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国泰海通:制度闭环叠加AI催化 迎接数据要素“价值释放年”
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 23:47
国泰海通证券发布研报称,2025年12月29日至30日,全国数据工作会议在北京召开,会议围绕明晰数据 流通服务机构功能定位、提升数据流通交易服务效能、繁荣数据市场生态进行了专题部署,并明确提出 2026年是"数据要素价值释放年",要求着力畅通数据流动和资源配置渠道,激活数据市场供给和需求, 繁荣市场生态,进一步推动数据"供得出、流得动、用得好、保安全",促进数据要素全面融入经济价值 创造过程,更好赋能经济社会发展。 2026年是"数据要素价值释放年"。2025年12月29日至30日,全国数据工作会议在北京召开,会议围绕明 晰数据流通服务机构功能定位、提升数据流通交易服务效能、繁荣数据市场生态进行了专题部署,并明 确提出2026年是"数据要素价值释放年",要求着力畅通数据流动和资源配置渠道,激活数据市场供给和 需求,繁荣市场生态,进一步推动数据"供得出、流得动、用得好、保安全",促进数据要素全面融入经 济价值创造过程,更好赋能经济社会发展。 2024年以来政策落地节奏加快,构建数据要素制度闭环。2020年,中共中央、国务院发布《关于构建更 加完善的要素市场化配置体制机制的意见》,正式把数据列为"第五大生产要素" ...
国泰海通:商业航天上升为国家战略重点 产业链日趋闭环成型
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 08:58
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese commercial aerospace sector has transitioned from marginal exploration to a national strategic focus, with significant policy support and a clear framework for development [2] Group 1: Policy Support and Strategic Importance - The central government has issued substantial policies for five consecutive years to support the development of commercial aerospace since "satellite internet" was included in new infrastructure [2] - The 2025 Government Work Report explicitly lists commercial aerospace as a key direction for future industries, indicating its growing importance [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The cost structure and frequency limitations of commercial aerospace are being reshaped by technological innovations, including the successful 10-kilometer VTVL test flight by private company Blue Arrow Aerospace [3] - State-owned aerospace enterprises are set to unveil a fully reusable heavy rocket plan at the 2024 Zhuhai Airshow, with a first flight scheduled for 2030, indicating systematic progress in reusable rocket capabilities [3] Group 3: Industry Structure and Ecosystem - The commercial aerospace industry in China has developed a complete chain encompassing upstream manufacturing, midstream launching, and downstream applications, with significant collaboration among state-owned and private enterprises [4] - The industry is moving from isolated breakthroughs to a more integrated ecosystem, with rapid expansion in vertical applications such as remote sensing, navigation, and communication [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on high-quality enterprises with core technological capabilities and collaborative advantages, recommending specific stocks such as AsiaInfo Security and Zhongke Star Map [6]
恒道科技过会:今年IPO过关第13家 国泰海通过2单
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-01-29 08:17
Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Hengdao Technology Co., Ltd. has been approved for IPO by the Beijing Stock Exchange, marking it as the 13th company to pass the review in 2026, with a focus on the development and production of hot runner systems for injection molds [1][2]. Company Overview - Hengdao Technology specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of hot runner systems and related components, which are essential heating components in injection molds widely used in automotive lighting, interior and exterior automotive parts, and 3C consumer electronics [1]. - The controlling shareholder, Wang Hongchao, holds 69.20% of the company's shares directly and controls an additional 9.30% through affiliated partnerships, totaling 78.50% of voting rights [1]. IPO Details - The company plans to publicly issue up to 13,080,000 shares, with a potential additional 1,962,000 shares through an over-allotment option, subject to approval by the Beijing Stock Exchange and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2]. - The funds raised, totaling approximately 403.02 million yuan, will be allocated to the production line project for 30,000 hot runner systems, the construction of a research and development center, and to supplement working capital [2]. Inquiry Points from Review Meeting - The review raised questions regarding the authenticity of performance, specifically the rationale behind the fluctuation of customers with annual sales below 500,000 yuan and the high proportion of overdue accounts receivable [3]. - Additionally, the sustainability of performance was questioned, focusing on market share among competitors in the automotive and consumer electronics sectors, core competitive advantages, and customer repurchase rates [3].
研报掘金丨国泰海通:维持中国中铁“增持”评级,目标价9.07元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-29 08:09
国泰海通证券研报指出,中国中铁铜、钴、钼保有储量国内领先,铜、钼产能国内前列。2025年新签订 单增长1%,其中海外订单增长 17%。维持"增持"评级及目标价9.07元。假设2025 下半年中铁资源利润 与上半年相同,以全年51.6亿元计,按照紫金矿业和江西铜业平均估值24.6倍,公司矿产资源业务可比 市值1269亿元,公司总市值1432亿元,相当于建筑业务市值163亿元,建筑业务PE约0.8倍。2025新签订 单规模同比增加1.3%。境外业务同比增加16.5%。全面推进"人工智能+"专项行动,承建海南商业航天 发射场项目。 ...
国泰海通:维持中国中铁“增持”评级,目标价9.07元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 08:08
国泰海通证券研报指出,中国中铁铜、钴、钼保有储量国内领先,铜、钼产能国内前列。2025年新签订 单增长1%,其中海外订单增长 17%。维持"增持"评级及目标价9.07元。假设2025 下半年中铁资源利润 与上半年相同,以全年51.6亿元计,按照紫金矿业和江西铜业平均估值24.6倍,公司矿产资源业务可比 市值1269亿元,公司总市值1432亿元,相当于建筑业务市值163亿元,建筑业务PE约0.8倍。2025新签订 单规模同比增加1.3%。境外业务同比增加16.5%。全面推进"人工智能+"专项行动,承建海南商业航天 发射场项目。 ...
国泰海通:白银价格中长期仍然受支撑 短期警惕银价回调风险
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 00:11
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged to new highs since 2025, driven by a combination of industrial and financial demand, with silver's commodity attributes being stronger than those of gold [1][2] Group 1: Price Dynamics - The price of silver is more volatile than gold due to its stronger commodity attributes and broader industrial demand [2][3] - The historical relationship between gold and silver prices shows that they tend to move in sync, but silver's price is more elastic due to its financial attributes [2][3] - In the short term, financial attributes will amplify silver price fluctuations, influenced by speculative trading and market sentiment [4] Group 2: Demand Factors - Industrial demand is a core driver of silver prices, closely linked to global industrial cycles; increased demand during economic expansions supports higher prices [3] - Emerging industries such as photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and AI servers have created a structural and sustained increase in silver demand [3] - The global supply-demand gap for silver has been evident since 2020 and is expected to persist until 2025, providing a solid fundamental support for price increases [3] Group 3: Market Behavior - Speculative trading can lead to significant price volatility, with increased futures positions and ETF mechanisms contributing to market tightness [4] - The accumulation of silver in regions like India has reduced the available supply in the international market, exacerbating structural tensions in the spot market [4] - The recent surge in silver prices may lead to short-term overvaluation, necessitating caution regarding potential price corrections [4]
国泰海通:2025年归母净利同比预增111%到115%
当日晚间,国泰海通同步披露了关于计提资产减值准备的公告。2025年10月至12月,公司合计计提资产 减值准备16.3亿元,本次减值准备计提并非公司业务经营发生不利变动,主要是由于公司完成合并重组 后新增租赁业务的常规计提,以及按照非同一控制下的企业合并会计准则计提信用减值准备所致。 租赁业务的盈利模式为控制风险、保证资产质量的同时,实现利差收入扣减各项费用以及计提的信用减 值准备后仍能产生盈利。基于租赁业务这一特点,以及非同一控制企业合并的会计处理影响,国泰海通 对长期应收款和应收融资租赁款进行了减值计提,减值金额未发生异常波动。(邓侃) 编辑:李一帆 初步实现"1+1>2"效果 公告显示,报告期内,国泰海通积极践行金融使命,主动服务国家重大战略,坚持稳中求进、主动作 为,平稳高效完成合并交易,有序推动整合融合,扎实做好金融"五篇大文章",全面提升经营管理水 平,初步实现"1+1>2"的效果,为加快打造一流投资银行奠定坚实基础。 2025年,国内资本市场活跃度与景气度上行,公司积极把握市场机遇,充分发挥合并后的品牌优势、规 模效应和互补效应,优化升级零售、机构、企业三大客户服务体系,以提升综合能力实现客户经营 ...
国泰海通:3D打印产业浪潮已至 工业消费双向驱动
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 06:52
Core Insights - The 3D printing market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by both industrial and consumer sectors, with a projected global market size of $21.9 billion in 2024 and an expected CAGR of 18% until 2034 [2] - In China, the 3D printing industry market size is expected to reach 41.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 19.42% from 2020 to 2024 [1][2] Group 1: Market Overview - The characteristics of 3D printing, such as "moldless, waste reduction, and inventory reduction," make it widely applicable in various downstream fields including aerospace, medical, automotive, and consumer electronics [2] - The global 3D printing materials market is projected to reach $4.4 billion in 2024, with plastic materials accounting for $1.2 billion [3] Group 2: Consumer Market Dynamics - PLA is the preferred material for consumer-grade 3D printing due to its low melting point, plasticity, and environmental friendliness, accounting for over 65% of global FDM material consumption in 2023 [3] - The global consumer-grade 3D printing consumables market is expected to grow from $1 billion in 2024 to $4.4 billion by 2029, driven by increasing demand for PLA [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - In the industrial-grade market, overseas companies dominate, holding a 74% market share in 2024, while domestic companies are rapidly innovating and catching up [4] - The consumer-grade segment is seeing significant growth, with entry-level devices experiencing a 26% year-on-year increase in shipment volume in 2024, while other segments face pressure [4] - The top five companies in the consumer-grade market hold a combined market share of 78.6%, predominantly consisting of domestic firms, with TuoZhu Technology leading at 29% market share [4]
研报掘金丨东吴证券:国泰海通当前估值低于行业平均水平,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-28 06:34
【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 东吴证券研报指出,国泰海通预计2025年实现归母净利润275-280亿元,同比增长111%-115%;第 四季度实现扣非净利润48-52亿元,环比下滑42-47%。2025年利润增长主要来自于经纪、投行及自营业 务。国泰君安与海通证券于2025年一季度并表,初步实现"1+1>2"的效果。公司资产规模及经营业绩创 历史新高,财富管理、机构与交易等业务收入同比显著增长。此外因公司吸收合并海通证券所产生的负 商誉计入营业外收入。市场延续活跃,小幅调整此前盈利预测,预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别 为277/282/304亿元(前值为303/277/299亿元),对应PB为1.11/1.04/0.98倍。公司合并后各项指标均稳 居行业前列,资产规模排名行业第一,有望持续受益于资本市场改革。当前公司估值低于行业平均水 平,维持"买入"评级。 (责任编辑:贺翀 ...
国泰海通资管左秀海:FOF行业发展空间广阔,追求质与量双重提升
左秀海的职业生涯深耕于量化交易领域,他曾在海通证券分管量化业务并牵头构建对冲基金服务体系; 后担任海通资管副总经理。2025年12月,其职业履历迎来新发展阶段,出任国泰海通资管副总裁。 在波动的市场环境中,FOF(基金中的基金)凭借其"均衡配置、稳健收益"的核心特质,正成为承接居 民理财需求的重要载体。 国泰海通资管副总经理左秀海日前接受中国证券报记者专访时表示,从中长期来看,FOF行业发展空间 广阔,财富管理在市场中扮演重要角色,投资者群体日益丰富,预计未来三年中国FOF产品规模有望突 破1.5万亿元。 面对FOF这一具有广阔前景的业务,左秀海表示,随着绝对收益型产品需求增长与高净值客群配置意识 觉醒,近年来,国泰海通资管通过构建系统化投研体系、深化管理人认知,持续提升FOF解决方案的竞 争力。未来公司将致力于FOF业务规模与质效的双重提升,助推财富管理服务向更精细化、定制化和专 业化方向发展。 均衡稳健 打造资产配置最佳解决方案 国内市场对FOF产品的布局已经持续了多年,但近三四年呈现出规模快速增长的态势。Wind数据显 示,在持续的净申购和新产品发行推动下,公募FOF的总规模在2025年年底突破2500 ...