Core Insights - On February 2, 2026, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and China Mobile (00941) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with transaction amounts of 6.121 billion, 4.166 billion, and 3.225 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and SMIC (00981) also led the trading volume, with transaction amounts of 3.730 billion, 2.511 billion, and 2.012 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 6.121 billion with a net buy of -0.816 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 4.166 billion with a net buy of +0.880 billion [2] - China Mobile (00941) had a trading amount of 3.225 billion with a net buy of -0.134 billion [2] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 2.965 billion with a net buy of -29.8693 million [2] - Other notable companies included Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a trading amount of 2.096 billion and a net buy of +0.391 billion [2] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 3.730 billion with a net buy of +0.488 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 2.511 billion with a net buy of +0.424 billion [2] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 2.012 billion with a net buy of -1.32 billion [2] - Other significant companies included China Mobile (00941) with a trading amount of 1.401 billion and a net buy of +0.0651447 billion [2]

据Mysteel不完全统计，2026年1月国内15个涉铜项目公布开工、投产和环评审批等情况。其中玉林市桂铜32万吨含铜二次资源综合利用项目于1月11日开 工，紫金矿业巨龙铜矿二期改扩建工程于1月23日投产。 据Mysteel不完全统计，2026年1月国内15个涉铜项目公布开工、投产和环评审批等情况。其中玉林市桂铜32万吨含铜二次资源综合利用项目于1月11日开 工，紫金矿业巨龙铜矿二期改扩建工程于1月23日投产。 具体情况如下： | 日期 | 公司名称 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 1月4日 | 福建紫金贵金属材料有限公司 | 铜粉/银1 | | 1月6日 | 新疆有色金属工业(集团)有限责任 公司 | 伊泰公里 | | 1月8日 | 安徽新太科技有限公司 | 年产40.5 | | 1月11日 | 玉林市桂铜再生资源有限公司 八八五日十八五五十九五五十九 六三一一七月 | 32万吨台 | | | 1月13日 江西凯安新材料集团股份有限公司 年产5万 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 1月14日 | 安徽九发铜业有限公司 | 年产137 | | 1月15日 | 苏州美亿鑫智 ...

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 1.907 billion HKD today, with notable purchases including Tencent Holdings (1.304 billion HKD), Xiaomi Group-W (277 million HKD), and China Life (187 million HKD) [1] - Continuous net buying of Xiaomi has occurred for three consecutive days, totaling 1.8348 billion HKD, while China Mobile has seen net selling for 21 consecutive days, amounting to 16.04415 billion HKD [1] - Significant net selling was observed in several companies, including Hua Hong Semiconductor (651 million HKD), Zijin Mining (464 million HKD), and Alibaba-W (328 million HKD) [1] Group 2 - Alibaba-W experienced a decline of 3.5% with a net selling amount of 816 million HKD, while Tencent Holdings saw a decrease of 1.2% with a net buying of 880 million HKD [3] - China Mobile's stock fell by 2.3% with a net selling of 134 million HKD, and SMIC's stock dropped by 4.2% with a net selling of 30 million HKD [3] - Xiaomi Group-W's stock decreased by 1.2% with a net buying of 391 million HKD, while China Life's stock fell by 4.0% with a net buying of 188 million HKD [3]

Market Overview - Southbound funds traded approximately HKD 138.285 billion today, a significant increase of about HKD 21.8 billion compared to the previous day, accounting for 39.75% of the total turnover of the Hang Seng Index, which has been below 40% for several consecutive days [2] - Despite the Hong Kong stock market accelerating downward, southbound funds saw a net inflow of approximately HKD 1.907 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect recording a net inflow of about HKD 2.738 billion, while the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect experienced a net outflow of approximately HKD 0.83 billion [2] Individual Stock Performance - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) saw a significant net buy of HKD 1.304 billion, while its stock price fell by 1.24% [2][3] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) had a net buy of HKD 0.278 billion, with a stock price decline of 1.24% [2][3] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) experienced a net outflow of HKD 0.615 billion and a sharp decline of 11.24% [2][4] - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) had a net outflow of HKD 0.464 billion, with a stock price drop of 5.58% [2][4] - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) saw a net outflow of HKD 0.393 billion and a decline of 4.69% [2][4] - Alibaba-W (09988.HK) experienced a net outflow of HKD 0.329 billion, with a stock price decrease of 3.49% [2][4] - SMIC (00981.HK) had a net outflow of HKD 0.162 billion, with a decline of 4.24% [2][4] Trading Activity - In the top ten active stocks on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shanghai), Alibaba-W had a net outflow of HKD 0.816 billion, while Tencent Holdings had a net inflow of HKD 0.880 billion [5] - On the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Alibaba-W recorded a net inflow of HKD 0.488 billion, while Huahong Semiconductor had a significant net outflow of HKD 0.554 billion [5]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net inflows from northbound capital, with a total net buy of HKD 19.07 billion on February 2, 2023, indicating strong investor interest in certain stocks while others faced net sell-offs [1]. Group 1: Northbound Capital Activity - Northbound capital recorded a net buy of HKD 27.38 billion through the Shanghai Stock Connect and a net sell of HKD 8.3 billion through the Shenzhen Stock Connect [1]. - The most bought stocks included Tencent (00700), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and China Life (02628) [1]. - The most sold stocks were Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), Zijin Mining (02899), and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) had a net sell of HKD 3.28 billion, with plans to invest HKD 30 billion in a "Spring Festival Treat Plan" [6][7]. - Tencent (00700) saw a net buy of HKD 13.03 billion, boosted by the launch of its "Yuanbao" Spring Festival red envelope activity, which is expected to increase downloads and user engagement [4]. - China Life (02628) received a net buy of HKD 1.87 billion, supported by positive forecasts for its individual insurance sales [5]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) faced a net sell of HKD 6.15 billion, amid tightening order reviews from major chip manufacturers [6]. - Zijin Mining (02899) experienced a net sell of HKD 4.64 billion, as it announced plans to issue USD 1.5 billion zero-coupon convertible bonds for project financing [7].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric (00042), Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033), and Zhejiang Shibao (01057) leading in premium rates, while CATL (03750), China Merchants Bank (03968), and Heng Rui Medicine (01276) are at the bottom of the list [1] Premium Rate Rankings - The top three AH shares by premium rate are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a premium rate of 864.29% - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) with a premium rate of 361.80% - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a premium rate of 345.22% [1] - The bottom three AH shares by premium rate are: - CATL (03750) with a premium rate of -14.10% - China Merchants Bank (03968) with a premium rate of -4.16% - Heng Rui Medicine (01276) with a premium rate of 0.99% [1] Deviation Value Rankings - The top three AH shares by deviation value are: - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) with a deviation value of 89.71% - Northeast Electric (00042) with a deviation value of 34.53% - Zhongwei New Materials (02579) with a deviation value of 25.28% [1] - The bottom three AH shares by deviation value are: - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a deviation value of -53.92% - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) with a deviation value of -35.50% - Nanhua Futures (02691) with a deviation value of -30.81% [1] Additional Insights - The report includes detailed tables showing the premium rates and deviation values for various AH shares, indicating significant disparities in market valuations between H-shares and A-shares [2]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced the highest capital outflow of 3.861 billion, with a share price decline of 8.94% [1][2] - BlueFocus Media saw a capital outflow of 2.275 billion, with a decrease of 8.4% in its stock price [1][2] - Zijin Mining had an outflow of 1.891 billion, reflecting an 8.79% drop in its share price [1][2] - Industrial Fulian faced an outflow of 1.839 billion, with a 3.5% decline in stock value [1][2] - Zhaoyi Innovation reported a capital outflow of 1.673 billion, with a significant drop of 10% in its share price [1][2] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Outflows - Shannon Microelectronics had an outflow of 1.520 billion, with a steep decline of 12.36% [1][2] - BYD experienced a capital outflow of 1.374 billion, with a 4.22% decrease in its stock price [1][2] - Baiwei Storage saw an outflow of 1.183 billion, with a decline of 10.35% [1][2] - Jiangbolong had an outflow of 1.150 billion, with a 10.77% drop in its share price [1][2] - Northern Rare Earth reported an outflow of 1.027 billion, with a 7.62% decline [1][2] Group 3: Other Stocks with Capital Outflows - China Aluminum faced an outflow of 1.016 billion, with a stock price decrease of 9.98% [1][2] - Tianfu Communication had an outflow of 0.977 billion, with a 4% decline in its share price [1][3] - SMIC reported an outflow of 0.953 billion, with a 4.81% drop [1][3] - iFlytek experienced an outflow of 0.797 billion, with a 4.36% decline [1][3] - Wanhua Chemical had an outflow of 0.741 billion, with an 8.68% decrease [1][3]

Group 1 - The gold stocks experienced significant declines, with Lingbao Gold dropping 13.87% to 20 HKD, China Gold International down 12.28% to 180 HKD, Shandong Gold falling 10.8% to 39.48 HKD, Zijin Mining decreasing 9.98% to 37.72 HKD, and Zijin Gold International down 8.14% to 200.8 HKD [2] - The sharp decline in gold prices was triggered by the market's hawkish expectations following the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump, leading to panic selling in precious metals [2] - On January 30, the London spot gold price fell by 7.8%, marking the largest single-day drop since February 1980, while COMEX New York gold futures plummeted by 9.3% [2] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities indicated that market sentiment had become fragile due to the rapid rise in gold prices, making it susceptible to any news that could trigger concentrated selling by short-term speculators [3] - The gold market is expected to enter a period of wide fluctuations in the short term, but there is still potential for a rebound within the year [3] - The ongoing global competition is a critical factor, and the long-term demand for gold from central banks is anticipated to continue, providing fundamental support for gold prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of Mr. Chen Jinghe as the Chief Advisor and the establishment of a Strategic Development Committee are expected to enhance the growth strategy and future project potential for the company, leading to a significant increase in stock price [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Mr. Chen Jinghe will be appointed as the Chief Advisor of the company, effective from February 2, 2026 [1] - The company has established a Strategic Development Committee to provide advice on the development strategies of existing businesses and potential future projects [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The stock price of the company rose over 8% in early trading and is currently up by 5.06%, trading at HKD 13.08 with a transaction volume of HKD 733 million [1] Group 3: Partnerships and Contracts - In October 2024, the company completed a placement of 166 million shares to a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zijin Mining [1] - In May of this year, the company's subsidiary, Jinling Mining, signed a mineral processing technical service contract with Zijin Mining and a feasibility study contract for expansion with Zijin Engineering [1] - According to a report by Global Fortune, the collaboration with Zijin Mining is expected to accelerate the development of the company's Jinling project in the Solomon Islands through funding and experience sharing, as well as support in overseas mining technology and operations [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for Zijin Mining Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced a pullback due to multiple factors including a rebound in the US dollar index, changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, easing tensions between the US and Iran, and a rise in inventories of certain metals. This has led to market volatility, with aluminum, copper, and tin prices dropping by 4%, 3%, and 8% respectively [2][3][4] - Despite the short-term correction, the long-term outlook for the commodity supercycle remains bullish, expected to last over three years, driven by geopolitical factors, strategic stockpiling, supply chain restructuring, and domestic anti-involution trends. The non-ferrous sector is projected to have significant upside potential in 2026, maintaining over 20% growth even after a 30% increase in January [2][5] Company Insights: Zijin Mining - Zijin Mining is viewed as a high-value investment, primarily due to a bullish outlook on copper prices, with expectations for LME copper to reach $15,000 and Shanghai copper to hit ¥120,000. Although the company has underperformed the broader non-ferrous market year-to-date, its performance is expected to improve as copper prices rise [2][6] - The company holds an 87% stake in Zijin Gold International, which has seen a price increase of over 60%. If selling pressure on large stocks subsides, Zijin Mining is anticipated to experience a rebound [2][7] Financial Projections - Based on current copper prices of ¥100,000/ton and gold prices of ¥1,100/gram, Zijin Mining's profit for 2026 is projected to be ¥93 billion, with a current valuation of only 11 times earnings. If the valuation returns to bull market levels of 18-20 times PE, there is potential for over 50% upside, making it a highly attractive investment [3][8] - Profit forecasts indicate that if gold prices average ¥1,100/gram in 2026, net profit could reach ¥51.5 billion this year, with projections of ¥92.6 billion in 2027 (80% YoY growth) and ¥121.7 billion in 2028 (31% YoY growth). Corresponding valuations would be 22 times, 12 times, and 9 times earnings respectively, suggesting at least 50% upside potential [12] Production and Growth Potential - Zijin Mining is a leading player in the industry with significant growth potential in both copper and gold production. By 2028, copper production is expected to reach 1.5-1.6 million tons, with major projects like the Kamoa-Kakula, Phase III of the Giant Dragon, and the Peji Copper-Gold Mine contributing to this growth [3][9][10] - The company is also expected to achieve 105 tons of gold production this year, with acquisitions in Ghana and Kazakhstan set to enhance performance [10] Market Concerns and Company Strengths - Market concerns primarily revolve around the impact of metal price volatility on Zijin Mining. However, the company’s strong operational management capabilities allow it to convert resources into profitable outputs, even amidst declining ore grades and increased mining difficulties globally [11] - The investment in Zijin Mining is not just about commodities but also about investing in a well-managed, world-class company [11]