Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the real estate sector, suggesting a "buy" recommendation for stocks in this industry due to recent price recoveries and potential policy support [7]. Core Insights - The A-share real estate sector saw a significant increase of +6.1% in the week of July 5-11, outperforming other sectors, while the Hong Kong real estate sector rose by +0.6% [3][17]. - There is an expectation for new stimulus policies to be introduced, particularly in light of the upcoming Central Urban Work Conference, which historically has influenced urban development strategies and real estate policies [5][13]. - The trend of Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization in the real estate sector is emerging, enhancing liquidity and providing new financing options for real estate companies [6][15]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The A-share real estate sector ranked first among all sectors with a weekly increase of +6.1%, while the Hong Kong real estate sector ranked sixth with a +0.6% increase [3][17]. - The property service index in Hong Kong increased by +1%, indicating a stable performance relative to other indices [25]. Land Market - In the week of July 5-11, the total area of residential land sold across 300 cities was 445 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 48% and a year-on-year decrease of 24% [26]. - The average premium rate for land transactions was reported at 8%, with a cumulative area of 19,016 million square meters sold since the beginning of 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 3.8% [26][29]. New Housing Sales - In 47 cities, new housing sales totaled 261 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 49% and a year-on-year decrease of 14% [33]. - Sales in first-tier cities decreased by 45% week-on-week and 17% year-on-year, while second-tier cities saw a 53% week-on-week decrease and a 10% year-on-year decrease [33]. Second-Hand Housing Sales - The total area of second-hand housing sold in 22 cities was 229 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 4% and a year-on-year decrease of 2% [41]. - First-tier cities experienced a 13% week-on-week decrease and a 6% year-on-year decrease, while second-tier cities saw a 2% increase week-on-week but an 8% decrease year-on-year [41]. Policy Expectations - The anticipation of new policies is growing due to recent declines in real estate data, with expectations for the Central Urban Work Conference to guide future policy directions [5][13]. - Historical insights from previous conferences indicate a focus on urban development and potential support for the real estate sector [5][13]. RWA Tokenization - The report highlights the development of RWA tokenization in real estate, which allows for the division of property ownership into tradable tokens, thereby increasing liquidity and providing new investment opportunities [6][15].

Core Viewpoint - Greentown China celebrates its 30th anniversary by unveiling seven major annual projects in East China, emphasizing the integration of urban spirit and architectural design [1][2] Group 1: Major Projects - The seven annual projects include notable developments such as Shanghai Chaoming Oriental and Suzhou Fengqi Chaoming, as well as modern stacked villa products like Shanghai Yilu and Wuxi Yilu [1] - These projects are strategically located in urban core landmarks, reflecting the city's cultural heritage and identity [1] Group 2: Design Philosophy - Greentown aims to create a "small but exquisite" concept with its projects, showcasing different living philosophies through various designs that resonate with contemporary lifestyle aspirations [1][2] - The company emphasizes the importance of not only architectural aesthetics but also the fulfillment of emotional and cultural needs for residents [2] Group 3: Market Position and Achievements - In the first half of 2025, Greentown China's sales reached 122.1 billion yuan, positioning the company as the second in the industry [2] - The company has consistently ranked top in product strength evaluations and customer satisfaction for 13 consecutive years, demonstrating its commitment to quality and customer-centric values [2]

Core Insights - The total sales area of commercial housing in Changsha from January to June 2025 reached 2.1036 million square meters, with a total sales amount of 30.11 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Sales Performance of Top Real Estate Companies - The top 20 real estate companies in Changsha achieved a combined sales amount of 22.691 billion yuan and a total sales area of 1.4988 million square meters [2][3] - The top 10 companies had a sales threshold of 9.15 billion yuan and 6.90 thousand square meters, while the top 20 had a threshold of 4.44 billion yuan and 3.36 thousand square meters [2][3] - China Resources, China Merchants, and China State Construction ranked as the top three companies by sales amount, with China Resources leading at 2.881 billion yuan [4][6] Group 2: Project Sales Rankings - The top 10 projects in Changsha for sales amount totaled 9.229 billion yuan, with a threshold of 636 million yuan [7] - The project "Changsha Ruifu" topped the sales amount ranking with 1.711 billion yuan, followed by "Jianfa Guanyun" at 1.105 billion yuan and "Changsha Runfu" at 1.019 billion yuan [7][8] - In terms of sales area, the top 10 projects accounted for a total of 529,100 square meters, with "Changsha Ruifu" leading at 83,700 square meters [8]

Supply Overview - The supply of residential land in key cities reached 6.08 million square meters, a 26% increase week-on-week, continuing the seasonal rise seen mid-year [2] - The average plot ratio for residential land supplied this week was 1.99, with cities like Nanjing, Nantong, Hefei, and Tianjin having ratios not exceeding 2.0 [2] - Notable land supply includes a residential plot in Longhua District, Shenzhen, with a base price of 1.906 billion yuan and a plot ratio of 3.1, indicating strong market interest due to its proximity to transportation and amenities [2] Transaction Overview - The transaction volume for residential land was 5.56 million square meters, reflecting an 11% decrease week-on-week, while the transaction amount was 39.2 billion yuan, down 26% [4] - The average premium rate for land transactions fell to 3.3%, indicating a trend of lower premiums in the current market [4] - A high-profile transaction occurred in Chengdu's Jinniu District, where a residential plot sold for 1.748 billion yuan with a premium rate of 24%, showcasing competitive bidding among developers [4] Key Transactions - In Nanjing, 16 residential plots were listed, totaling 709,000 square meters with a starting total price of 7.25 billion yuan, highlighting the city's active land market [3] - The highest starting price was for a plot in Gulou District, with a base price of 280 million yuan and a starting floor price of 30,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting the area's premium location [3] - In Wuhan, a low-density residential plot attracted significant interest, selling for 660 million yuan after 104 rounds of bidding, setting a new record for residential floor prices in the city [4][7]

Group 1: Real Estate Market Overview - The second-hand housing market in Shenzhen recorded 1,436 transactions in the 27th week of 2025, representing a month-on-month increase of 4.2% [1] - The total number of available second-hand housing units in Shenzhen reached 75,169, an increase of 1,311 units from the previous week [1] - The new housing market in Shenzhen saw a significant decline in transaction volume during the same period [1] Group 2: Company Sales Performance - Ronshine China reported a total contract sales amount of approximately 251 million yuan in June, with a contract area of about 27,600 square meters and an average contract price of 9,066 yuan per square meter [2] - Agile Group disclosed a total pre-sale amount of approximately 930 million yuan in June, corresponding to a building area of 101,000 square meters and an average price of 9,187 yuan per square meter [3] - Greentown China achieved sales of 14.2 billion yuan in June from self-invested projects, with 2,845 units sold at an average price of 34,700 yuan per square meter [4] - Poly Real Estate reported a contract sales amount of approximately 4.8 billion yuan in June, with a sales area of 165,000 square meters and an average contract price of 29,200 yuan per square meter [5]

Group 1: Company News - Times China Holdings (01233.HK) reported a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 380 million in June, with a signed construction area of about 27,000 square meters [2] - Dongfeng Motor Group (00489.HK) recorded cumulative vehicle sales of 823,911 units from January to June 2025, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 14.7%. Among these, new energy vehicle sales reached 204,383 units, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 33.0% [2] - Agile Group Holdings (01813.HK) reported a pre-sale amount of RMB 653 million in June, a year-on-year decrease of 34%. The pre-sale construction area was approximately 21,000 square meters, down 61.7% year-on-year [2] - Greentown China Holdings (03900.HK) achieved a contract sales area of approximately 2.29 million square meters and a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 80.3 billion from January to June 2025, with the equity amount attributable to Greentown China being approximately RMB 53.9 billion [2] - Ronshine China Holdings (03301.HK) reported a total contract sales amount of approximately RMB 250.55 million in June, with a contract construction area of about 27,636 square meters and an average contract price of approximately RMB 9,066 per square meter [2] Group 2: Strategic Cooperation - Jinyong Investment (01328.HK) entered into a strategic cooperation framework memorandum with AnchorX on July 4, 2025, to explore potential collaborations in cross-border payments and trade, stablecoin application scenarios, digital asset trading and management, and investments in blockchain technology and fintech [3]

Core Viewpoint - Greentown China (03900.HK) achieved a contract sales area of approximately 2.29 million square meters and a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 80.3 billion for the first half of 2025, with the equity amount attributable to Greentown Group being approximately RMB 53.9 billion [1] Summary by Category - **Sales Performance** - The company recorded a contract sales area of about 2.29 million square meters [1] - The total contract sales amount reached approximately RMB 80.3 billion [1] - The equity amount attributable to Greentown Group was around RMB 53.9 billion [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the real estate market is returning to a downward trend, with sales expected to decline without new policies, projecting a decrease in sales revenue by 5.8% and sales area by 3.6% for 2025 [2][3][90] - The report highlights that the current inventory supply-demand relationship has not improved significantly, with an estimated 14% of excess idle land potentially being absorbed if all recovery plans are implemented [3][82] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy measures aimed at stabilizing the market, particularly focusing on inventory reduction strategies such as land recovery and urban village renovations [10][12][13] Group 2 - The investment strategy suggests that companies with strong land acquisition capabilities, high-quality land reserves, and strong product offerings are likely to stand out during the market bottoming process, recommending firms like China Jinmao, China Resources Land, and Greentown China [4][8] - The report anticipates a continued decline in real estate investment, projecting a decrease of 9.3% for 2025, driven by both construction and land acquisition costs [91] - The report notes that the new housing regulations aim to improve the quality of residential buildings, which is expected to positively impact demand for high-quality housing in the long term [17][70] Group 3 - The report indicates that the sales performance of new homes in first-tier cities has shown some resilience, with cumulative transaction areas in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai experiencing slight increases [22][34] - The report outlines that the overall housing market is under pressure, with new home prices showing a year-on-year decline of 0.9% in the first five months of 2025, while second-hand home prices have decreased by 6.3% [45][53] - The land market is experiencing a divergence, with land prices in high-tier cities increasing significantly, while lower-tier cities are seeing a decline in land transaction volumes [57][58]

Market Overview - The US 90-day exemption period is ending this week, leading to ongoing market focus on US tariff negotiations [1] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.12% at 23,887.83 points, with a total turnover of HKD 193.79 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.25% to 5,229.56 points, indicating mixed performance across indices [1] Blue Chip Performance - Sands China (01928) led blue-chip stocks, rising 3.85% to HKD 18.32, contributing 2.58 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Macau's June gaming revenue increased by 19% year-on-year to MOP 21.1 billion, exceeding market expectations [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included China Resources Land (01109) up 3.45% and Ideal Automotive (02015) up 2.8% [2] Sector Highlights Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin concept is gaining traction, with companies like Guotai Junan International (01788) rising 10.77% [3] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation is set to take effect on August 1, with limited licenses expected to be issued [3] Beverage Sector - Tea beverage stocks surged, with Cha Bai Dao (02555) up 11.04% amid a competitive delivery market [4] - The delivery battle between Alibaba and Meituan has significantly boosted tea beverage consumption [4] Real Estate Sector - The housing market is under scrutiny, with a focus on stabilizing expectations and activating demand [5] - Analysts suggest that the third quarter will be crucial for policy direction affecting the real estate market [5] Gaming Sector - Gaming stocks continued to rise, with MGM China (02282) up 2.38% and overall positive sentiment in the Macau gaming market [6] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 10% year-on-year increase in Macau's July gaming revenue [6] Power Sector - Power stocks saw a general increase, driven by record electricity demand due to high temperatures [7] - The maximum national electricity load reached 14.65 billion kilowatts, marking a significant year-on-year increase [7] Gold Sector - Gold stocks faced pressure, with Shandong Gold (01787) down 5.96% as gold prices fell below USD 3,310 per ounce [7] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced expectations for US interest rate cuts [7] Notable Stock Movements - H&H International Holdings (01112) issued a profit warning, falling 7.14% [8] - Jihong Co. (02603) saw a significant rise of 11.62%, with projected net profit growth of 97.25% to 108.21% for the first half of 2025 [9] - Lao Pu Gold (06181) reached a new high, reflecting strong growth potential compared to industry peers [10] - FWD Group (01828) debuted on the market, closing up 1.05% with a net fundraising of approximately HKD 29.53 billion [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [5] Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate market is still in a destocking trend, with new housing market conditions remaining challenging despite some policy support aimed at stabilizing expectations and promoting recovery [4][32] - The report highlights the importance of strong product capability and inventory management in identifying quality real estate companies for investment [5] Summary by Sections Industry Data - New housing transaction volume in 34 key cities decreased by 0.3% week-on-week, with first and second-tier cities seeing a 2% increase while third and fourth-tier cities experienced a 38% decline [6] - In July, the cumulative transaction volume for new homes in 34 cities dropped by 25% year-on-year, with first and second-tier cities also down by 25% [9][10] - The inventory of new homes in 15 cities decreased by 1% week-on-week, with a current available area of 88.85 million square meters [23] Policy and News Tracking - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasized the need for multi-faceted approaches to stabilize expectations and promote recovery in the real estate market [32][33] - Local policies include the expansion of housing provident fund loans in Nanjing and new policies in Hainan and Guangzhou to facilitate housing loans [32][33] Company Dynamics - Vanke has applied for a loan of up to 6.249 billion yuan from Shenzhen Metro Group, marking the sixth loan transaction this year [5] - Poly Developments reported sales of 29 billion yuan, down 31% year-on-year, while China Overseas Development reported 29.7 billion yuan, down 36% [5] - The report recommends focusing on quality real estate companies with strong product capabilities and inventory management, including companies like China Overseas Development and Poly Developments [5]