中创新航(03931)涨超11%，截至发稿，涨11.44%，报34.68港元，成交额3.4亿港元。 消息面上，10月28日，《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》发布，政策 文件针对碳减排目标和新型能源体系再次给出定调指引，并提出大力发展新型储能等。中信建投 （601066）指出，统计下来今年1-9月份国内储能项目新增招标255.8GWh，同比增长97.7%。该行上调 明年国内储能新增装机至300GWh，多个环节可能出现短缺。预计明年锂电池总需求有望超过 2700GWh，同比增速超过30%，其中储能电池需求超过900GWh，锂电多个环节可能出现紧缺。 国信证券指出，公司是全球领先的动储电池企业。2021年公司动力电池装机量进入国内前三；2024年公 司动力电池装机量进入全球前四。同时，公司加速推进动力储能双驱动业务战略，2025H1公司储能电 芯出货量已达到全球第四。西牛证券表示，伴随未来更多产能释放、新客户及直供比例的增加，储能业 务预计能够保持较高的增速，有望实现全年45GWh的全年出货目标，并于明年达到约70GWh的水平， 同时利润率亦预计得到改善。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Innovation Aviation (03931) has risen over 11% following the release of a policy document emphasizing carbon reduction targets and the development of new energy systems, particularly in energy storage [1] Industry Summary - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has issued guidelines for the 15th Five-Year Plan, focusing on carbon reduction and the promotion of new energy systems, including energy storage [1] - In the first nine months of this year, domestic energy storage project new tenders reached 255.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 97.7% [1] - Citic Securities has raised its forecast for new domestic energy storage installations to 300 GWh for next year, anticipating potential shortages in various segments [1] - Total demand for lithium batteries is expected to exceed 2700 GWh next year, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, and energy storage battery demand projected to surpass 900 GWh [1] Company Summary - The company is recognized as a global leader in dynamic storage battery technology, ranking among the top three in domestic power battery installations in 2021 [1] - By 2024, the company is expected to rank among the top four globally in power battery installations [1] - The company is accelerating its dual-driven strategy in power storage, with energy storage cell shipments reaching the fourth position globally by the first half of 2025 [1] - With the release of more production capacity, an increase in new customers, and a higher direct supply ratio, the energy storage business is projected to maintain a high growth rate, aiming for an annual shipment target of 45 GWh this year and approximately 70 GWh next year, with expected improvements in profit margins [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in energy storage concept stocks on October 30, with notable increases in share prices for several companies [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Zhongchuang Innovation surged nearly 10% [1] - Tianneng Power increased by over 5% [1] - Ruipu Lanjun rose by nearly 5% [1] - Zhengli New Energy gained nearly 4% [1] - CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) saw an increase of nearly 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong lithium battery stocks have shown significant gains, driven by strong demand in the battery sector and optimistic production forecasts for the upcoming years [1] Company Performance - Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 25.52 million yuan, a turnaround from a loss of 640 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - Basic earnings per share for Ganfeng Lithium stood at 0.01 yuan [1] Industry Trends - Dongwu Securities highlighted robust demand during the battery peak season, with production schedules increasing month by month and sales experiencing high growth [1] - Current battery manufacturers are benefiting from energy storage demand, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [1] - Production in September increased by 10% month-on-month, with an expected further increase of 10% in October, resulting in a year-on-year growth of over 35% [1] - The overall demand for the year is projected to grow by 40%, with optimistic order forecasts from leading battery manufacturers for 2026, expecting a shipment growth of over 25%, significantly better than the previous expectation of 15-20% [1] - European power and global energy storage demand are exceeding expectations, with high growth anticipated for 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Solid-state batteries have become a hot topic in various sectors, including academia, capital, and consumption, with significant market interest and policy support driving their development [3][4]. Capital Market Dynamics - The solid-state battery index has nearly doubled from 1288.8 on April 9 to 2426.32 on October 9, with a recent closing at 2277.83, reflecting strong investor interest [3]. - Major companies in the solid-state battery sector have seen substantial stock price increases, with Penghui Energy up over 54%, Guoxuan High-Tech up over 73%, and CATL up nearly 55% since the second half of the year [6]. - Shanghai Xiba has transformed into a solid-state battery concept stock after partnering with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, resulting in a nearly fourfold increase in its stock price over the past year [6][7]. Academic and Technological Advancements - Chinese research institutions have made significant breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology, enhancing commercial viability [3][8]. - Recent advancements include reducing interface impedance to levels comparable to traditional liquid batteries and solving key challenges in all-solid-state lithium batteries, potentially doubling the range of electric vehicles [8][9]. Industry Perspective - The industry remains cautious despite the excitement in capital and academia, with companies like CATL expressing a conservative outlook on the timeline for commercial viability, projecting small-scale production by 2027 and broader commercialization by 2030 [10][11]. - Concerns exist regarding the distinction between solid-state and semi-solid-state batteries, with regulatory bodies considering new nomenclature to avoid confusion [11]. Competitive Landscape - The competition for solid-state battery technology is intensifying among leading battery manufacturers and automotive companies, with significant investments from both Chinese firms and Japanese companies like Toyota aiming to reclaim market leadership [13][14]. - The solid-state battery market is expected to see a mix of new and existing technologies, with established players likely maintaining their market positions despite potential variations in development timelines [13][14]. Strategic Considerations for Companies - Companies aiming to lead in solid-state battery technology must focus on scale, talent acquisition, and collaboration with research institutions to translate advanced research into commercial applications [14].

Core Viewpoint - Solid-state batteries have become a hot topic in various sectors, with significant capital inflow and policy support driving interest in their development and commercialization [2][3][4]. Capital Market Dynamics - The solid-state battery index (BK0968) nearly doubled from 1288.8 on April 9 to 2426.32 on October 9, with a recent close at 2277.83, reflecting strong market interest [2]. - Major companies in the solid-state battery sector, such as Penghui Energy, Guoxuan High-Tech, and CATL, have seen stock price increases of over 54%, 73%, and 55% respectively since the second half of the year [3]. - Shanghai Washba transformed into a solid-state battery concept stock after collaborating with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, resulting in a nearly fourfold increase in its stock price over the past year [3]. Fund Investments - Numerous funds have heavily invested in solid-state battery themes, with several funds focusing on battery technology, indicating a strong belief in the sector's future [4]. - The newly established Yongying New Materials Fund emphasizes solid-state battery technology as a key direction, predicting 2026 as a potential year for mass production [4]. Academic and Technological Advancements - Recent breakthroughs in solid-state battery research include reducing interface impedance to levels comparable to liquid batteries and achieving flexibility without performance degradation [5][6]. - The advancements suggest a potential increase in battery range, with new technologies allowing for over 1000 kilometers of range with a 100 kg battery [6]. Industry Caution - Despite the excitement in capital and academia, industry players express caution regarding the commercialization timeline of solid-state batteries, with estimates suggesting small-scale production may not occur until 2027 or later [7][8]. - Companies like CATL acknowledge the disparity between market enthusiasm and actual technological readiness, emphasizing the need for a realistic approach to commercialization [7]. Competitive Landscape - Major players in the battery industry, including CATL, Guoxuan High-Tech, and others, are racing to establish a foothold in the solid-state battery market, with significant investments from both domestic and international firms [9]. - The competitive dynamics suggest that while there may be variations in technological advancements, leading companies are likely to maintain their market positions due to their established expertise and resources [9][10]. Strategic Considerations for Companies - Companies aiming to lead in solid-state battery technology must focus on scale, talent acquisition, and collaboration with research institutions to translate innovations into commercial applications [10]. - The unique characteristics of the lithium battery industry necessitate that each company develops its own proprietary knowledge and processes to succeed in the solid-state battery market [10].

Group 1: Market Overview - The domestic energy storage bidding market is experiencing strong growth, with a new bidding volume of 14.73GW/41.54GWh in September 2025, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37%/8% [1] - The EPC project bidding volume reached a historical high in September, with an increase of 12.9GW/33.58GWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 96%/89% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 72%/41% [1] - The total domestic energy storage bidding from January to September 2025 reached 102GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 30% [1] Group 2: Company Performance - BYD has established a complete industrial chain for energy storage, covering various applications and providing reliable energy storage solutions globally [2] - CATL reported a net profit of 49.034 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36.20%, with strong demand for products driving revenue growth [2] - CATL's gross margin for energy storage products remains stable, indicating improved profitability amid rapid growth in domestic and international energy storage demand [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to exceed 2700GWh next year, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, indicating potential shortages across multiple segments [1] - The AIDC energy storage sector is projected to grow significantly, with major internet and data center operators relying on companies like DoubleDeng for energy storage solutions [3] - The promotion of green electricity combined with energy storage in data centers is expected to create broader development opportunities for companies in the sector [3]

Core Insights - The domestic energy storage bidding market is experiencing strong growth, with new bidding volumes reaching 14.73GW/41.54GWh in September 2025, representing a month-on-month increase of 37%/8% [1] - The EPC project bidding volume has seen a significant year-on-year increase of 96%/89%, with a month-on-month growth of 72%/41%, marking a historical high in September [1] - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to exceed 2700GWh next year, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30% due to strong market demand and investment [2] Industry Overview - The energy storage sector is witnessing a robust demand driven by the independent storage market and supportive capacity pricing policies, indicating a favorable environment for growth [2] - The bidding volume for energy storage systems has also increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 96%/113% in September, despite a month-on-month decline [1] Key Companies - BYD has established a complete industrial chain for energy storage, focusing on R&D, manufacturing, sales, and service, and has provided reliable energy storage solutions for numerous projects globally [3] - CATL reported a net profit of 49.034 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36.20%, benefiting from the rapid growth in domestic and international energy storage demand [3] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) has seen a 31.7% increase in revenue for the first half of the fiscal year, with energy storage system sales growing by 109.7% [3] - Double Electronics is a key player in AIDC energy storage, serving major internet and data center operators, and is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for backup power solutions [4]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in the electric power equipment industry, highlighting specific companies for potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Core Insights - Lithium battery material prices continue to rise, with domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate averaging 95,000 yuan/ton, up 20.25% month-on-month, and export prices at 104,000 yuan/ton, up 20.93% [1]. - The average winning bid price for lithium battery energy storage systems increased to 0.4771 yuan/Wh in September 2025, reflecting a 4.33% month-on-month rise [1]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing high demand in the wind power sector, with a target of adding no less than 120GW of new installed capacity annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3]. - The Indian market shows strong demand for photovoltaic installations, with 29.5GW added in the first three quarters of 2025, a 70% year-on-year increase [3]. Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Materials - Domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate prices are at 95,000 yuan/ton, a 20.25% increase month-on-month, while export prices are at 104,000 yuan/ton, up 20.93% [1]. - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include Zhuhai Guanyu, Shangtai Technology, and XWANDA [1]. Energy Storage Systems - The average winning bid price for lithium battery energy storage systems reached 0.4771 yuan/Wh in September 2025, marking a 4.33% increase month-on-month [1]. - Recommended companies in the energy storage sector include Yiwei Lithium Energy, Sungrow Power, and CATL [1]. Wind Power - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" sets a target of at least 120GW of new installed capacity annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a cumulative target of 1,300GW by 2030 [3]. - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology and Daikin Heavy Industries [3]. Photovoltaic Market - India added 29.5GW of new photovoltaic capacity in the first three quarters of 2025, a 70% year-on-year increase [3]. - Recommended companies in the photovoltaic sector include Aiko Solar, LONGi Green Energy, and Mibet [3].

Core Viewpoint - The recent battery supplier changes by automotive companies reflect consumer concerns about the protection of their rights and interests in the context of battery supply shortages [2][4]. Group 1: Battery Supplier Changes - Two automotive brands, SAIC MG and Zhijie, have recently switched their battery suppliers to CATL due to reported production capacity shortages from their original suppliers [4][5]. - The MG4 model, which was initially set to use Ruipulan batteries, has now been equipped with CATL batteries to meet delivery commitments [5]. - The change in battery suppliers has raised questions about whether automotive companies can freely switch batteries without proper notification or approval [8][9]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Capacity Issues - The battery industry is currently facing structural capacity issues, with an oversupply of certain types of batteries while high-performance batteries remain in short supply [11][12]. - The rapid expansion of battery production capacity since 2016 has led to a significant mismatch between planned capacity and actual market demand, resulting in a surplus of low-end battery production [12]. - The emergence of the energy storage market has created new dynamics, with increased demand for energy storage batteries leading to a unique supply chain challenge [13][14]. Group 3: Market and Policy Influences - Recent policy changes, such as the new regulations on lithium-ion battery production capacity utilization rates, are influencing the operational strategies of battery manufacturers [14][15]. - The shift towards larger battery sizes and fast-charging technologies is posing challenges for manufacturers, requiring adjustments in production lines and technology [13][15]. - The recent export controls on lithium batteries and related materials are creating uncertainty in the market, prompting companies to adapt their strategies accordingly [16].