股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 東方證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月9日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 600958 | 說明 | 上海證券交易所 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,469,482,864 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 7,469,482,864 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,469,482,864 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 7,469,482,864 | | ...

Core Insights - Hongmeng Zhixing achieved impressive pre-sales during the National Day period, with multiple new models launched in September expected to drive sales and market share growth in Q4 [1] - The high-end and luxury vehicle market share of Hongmeng Zhixing is leading, with a more complete product matrix expected by 2026 [2] - The proposed national standard for intelligent assisted driving is expected to enhance the market share of vehicles equipped with Huawei's driving assistance technology [3] Group 1 - Hongmeng Zhixing's total pre-sales reached 41,300 units from October 1-7, a 44% year-on-year increase compared to 28,600 units last year [1] - In September, Hongmeng Zhixing's delivery volume reached 52,900 units, with new vehicle pre-sales hitting a record high of 110,000 units [1] - New models such as the Aito M7, Shangjie H5, and Xiangjie S9T have received strong pre-sales, indicating a positive outlook for Q4 sales [1] Group 2 - The Aito S800 has accumulated over 15,000 pre-sales in four months, significantly outperforming competitors like Porsche Panamera and Mercedes-Benz S-Class [2] - The Aito M9 has maintained its position as the market leader with over 500,000 units sold for 18 consecutive months [2] - By 2026, Hongmeng Zhixing plans to launch new models across its product lines, including new SUVs and off-road vehicles, to strengthen its market position [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is seeking public opinion on a mandatory national standard for intelligent connected vehicles, set to be implemented on January 1, 2027 [3] - The standard will establish stricter entry requirements for L2-level assisted driving systems, which may benefit vehicles equipped with Huawei's technology [3] - Huawei's advanced driving capabilities are expected to help high-end brands like Aito capture market share from traditional luxury vehicles [3] Group 4 - With the launch of new models and the impending implementation of the intelligent driving standard, Hongmeng Zhixing's sales and market share are expected to rise [4] - Recommended investment targets include SAIC Motor, Jianghuai Automobile, and various component suppliers such as Yinlun, Xinquan, and Bojun Technology [4]

港交所：交易所对 东方证券 国际及6名前董事采取纪律处分措施。 ...

港交所：交易所对东方证券国际及6名前董事采取纪律处分措施。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile achieved record high sales in September, with market share expected to continue increasing [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Geely Galaxy's sales experienced significant year-on-year growth, with new models expected to further boost sales [1] Group 2: Company Developments - The official launch of Zeekr 9X and the planned share buyback demonstrate the company's confidence in its development [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company forecasts EPS of 1.49, 1.75, and 2.12 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [1] - The target price is set at 24.48 HKD, maintaining a buy rating based on a comparable company PE average valuation of 15 times for 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a fluctuating upward trend since September, with the brokerage sector experiencing ongoing adjustments, despite a significant surge on September 29, where the brokerage index rose nearly 5% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The brokerage index recorded a decline of 4.73% throughout September, despite the notable increase on September 29 [1][4]. - The overall A-share market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, saw increases of 0.64%, 6.54%, and 12.04% respectively during the same period [4]. - Certain sectors, such as precious metals and semiconductors, outperformed with gains exceeding 25%, while sectors like office supplies and insurance saw declines of over 5% [4]. Group 2: Fund Inflows - From September 1 to September 29, the Guotai Junan Securities ETF attracted over 10 billion yuan in net inflows, making it the top-performing stock ETF for the month [1][5]. - Other ETFs, including Huabao Securities ETF and Tianhong Securities ETF, also saw significant inflows of 6.03 billion yuan and 2.52 billion yuan respectively [1][5]. - Overall, ETFs related to "securities" or "brokerage" accumulated a total net inflow of 26.61 billion yuan since September [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the brokerage sector is likely to continue experiencing dual improvements in performance and valuation, driven by active market trading and favorable policies [5][9]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market has increased significantly, reaching 2.1 trillion yuan, which is a 211% increase compared to the second quarter of 2024 [8]. - Predictions indicate that the net profit of the brokerage sector could see a year-on-year increase of approximately 48% by the third quarter of 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) expected to rise to 7.7% [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies should focus on high-quality brokerage firms with strong wealth management and international business capabilities, as well as undervalued mid-sized brokerages [10]. - The recent policy guidance aims to foster a robust investment banking environment, suggesting a long-term positive outlook for the capital market [10].

报告中称，多模态侧，快手可灵依靠底模迭代保持领先身位，2.5Turbo版本在"性能升级+降价30%"的组 合策略下，有望进一步带动用户增长和流水上行。主业方面，AI带动核心主业提效持续演绎，继此前 内容推荐OneRec提供社区生态健康度支撑，商业化系统的AI重构更是为主业稳健增长带来长效动能。 东方证券发布研报称，预测快手-W(01024)25-27年经调整归母净利润为196/230/259亿元。参考可比公司 给予公司26年17xPE估值，对应合理价值为3,911亿CNY，折合4,281亿HKD(港币兑人民币汇率0.914)， 目标价99.07港元/股，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities predicts Kuaishou-W (01024) adjusted net profit for 2025-2027 to be CNY 19.6 billion, CNY 23 billion, and CNY 25.9 billion respectively, with a target price of HKD 99.07 per share, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The adjusted net profit forecast for Kuaishou-W is CNY 19.6 billion in 2025, CNY 23 billion in 2026, and CNY 25.9 billion in 2027 [1] - The estimated reasonable value of Kuaishou-W is CNY 391.1 billion, equivalent to HKD 428.1 billion, based on a 17x PE valuation for 2026 [1] Group 2: Business Strategy and Performance - Kuaishou is expected to leverage its bottom model iteration to maintain a leading position, with the 2.5 Turbo version anticipated to drive user growth and revenue through a combination of performance upgrades and a 30% price reduction [1] - The core business is benefiting from AI-driven efficiency improvements, with the OneRec content recommendation system supporting community ecosystem health and AI restructuring of the commercialization system providing long-term growth momentum [1]

报告中称，公司强化AI战略地位并加大投入力度，模型技术领先+开源战略带动BC双端渗透率提升，看 好公司AI云及模型的持续领先地位及阿里云未来的持续提速。预测公司FY2026-2028营业收入为 10084/11391/12482亿元(原FY2026-2028预测为10049/11256/12129亿元，因AI战略深入+模型技术进步上 调阿里云收入增速)，经调整净利润为1412/1878/2166亿元(原FY2026-2028预测为1405/1866/2091亿元， 因阿里云AI收入加速带动利润率提升上调利润)。 东方证券发布研报称，2025云栖大会展现了阿里巴巴-W(09988)在AI技术的快速进步与All in AI的强大 战略决心，大语言模型技术领先地位进一步稳固，多模态大模型更新后进步明显，开源战略公司模型生 态与用户渗透均有明显增长。该行看好公司大模型能力的持续领先与开源战略下的强大BC双端渗透能 力，对应上调阿里云的收入增速预期，给予目标价205.34港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

报告中称，公司强化AI战略地位并加大投入力度，模型技术领先+开源战略带动BC双端渗透率提升，看 好公司AI云及模型的持续领先地位及阿里云未来的持续提速。预测公司FY2026-2028营业收入为 10084/11391/12482亿元(原FY2026-2028预测为10049/11256/12129亿元，因AI战略深入+模型技术进步上 调阿里云收入增速)，经调整净利润为1412/1878/2166亿元(原FY2026-2028预测为1405/1866/2091亿元， 因阿里云AI收入加速带动利润率提升上调利润)。 智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，2025云栖大会展现了阿里巴巴-W(09988)在AI技术的快速进 步与All in AI的强大战略决心，大语言模型技术领先地位进一步稳固，多模态大模型更新后进步明显， 开源战略公司模型生态与用户渗透均有明显增长。该行看好公司大模型能力的持续领先与开源战略下的 强大BC双端渗透能力，对应上调阿里云的收入增速预期，给予目标价205.34港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...