Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in revenue but a decline in net profit, indicating a mixed financial outlook for the year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14% [1] - The core net profit attributable to shareholders reached 6.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102% [1] - The company’s average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 95,500 yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, while the gross margin was 16.4%, a decline of 0.3 percentage points [2] - The company’s net profit per vehicle was 4,724 yuan, an increase of 37% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Sales and Market Performance - The company’s sales volume for the first half of 2025 reached 1.503 million units, with a target increase to 3 million units for the full year [1][2] - The sales of fuel vehicles grew to 684,000 units, while pure electric vehicle sales reached 511,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 173% [2] - The company’s export sales in the first half of 2025 were 184,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 8% [1] Group 3: Product Development and Strategy - The company plans to enhance its product offerings by organizing into five major battle zones and customizing products by region [1] - The launch of multiple "9" series models aims to penetrate the high-end market, with the Lynk & Co 900 model showing promising sales [3] - The company’s upcoming models, including the Zeekr 9X and Galaxy M9, are expected to improve brand recognition in high-end intelligent driving solutions [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 15.96 billion yuan, 16.70 billion yuan, and 19.76 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating despite the competitive challenges it faces in the market [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Geely Automobile [1][8] Core Views - The company achieved significant cost reduction effects, but still faces challenges in high-end market positioning [1][8] - In the first half of 2025, Geely's revenue reached 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14% to 9.29 billion yuan [4][8] - The company aims to increase its annual sales target to 3 million units for 2025, reflecting strong demand for its economy models [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for Geely are as follows: 2023A: 179.2 billion yuan, 2024A: 240.2 billion yuan, 2025E: 320.5 billion yuan, 2026E: 371.0 billion yuan, 2027E: 410.9 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.1%, 34.0%, 33.4%, 15.7%, and 10.7% respectively [6][12] - Net profit projections are: 2023A: 5.3 billion yuan, 2024A: 16.6 billion yuan, 2025E: 15.9 billion yuan, 2026E: 16.7 billion yuan, 2027E: 19.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.9%, 213.3%, -4.0%, 4.6%, and 18.3% respectively [6][12] - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually, reaching 17.4% by 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 4.8% [6][12] Sales and Market Share - Geely's market share exceeded 10% for the first time in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in sales of the Galaxy model, which saw a 232% year-on-year growth [7][8] - The company reported a total of 54.8 million units sold in the first half of 2025, with a notable performance in both fuel and electric vehicles [7][8] Cost Management and Profitability - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle decreased by 12.9% to 95,500 yuan, while the gross margin slightly declined by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4% [7][8] - The net profit per vehicle increased by 37% to 4,724 yuan, with the core net profit margin improving to 4.4% [7][8] Future Outlook - The report adjusts the profit forecast for Geely, estimating net profits of 15.96 billion yuan for 2025, 16.70 billion yuan for 2026, and 19.76 billion yuan for 2027, reflecting a positive outlook despite competitive pressures [8][12]

Core Viewpoint - Geely is positioned to challenge BYD's dominance in the NEV market, with expectations of revenue growth and improved profitability driven by domestic market share expansion and overseas growth initiatives [1][10]. Financial Performance - In 2Q25, Geely's revenue grew by 7.3% QoQ to RMB77.8 billion, while core net profit slightly decreased to RMB3.2 billion from RMB3.5 billion in 1Q25 [1][2]. - The gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points QoQ to 17.1%, although it eroded by 0.7 percentage points YoY due to lower sales from higher-margin exports and increased marketing expenses [2][6]. - The company maintains a 2025 net profit forecast of RMB15 billion and raises the 2026 forecast by 13% to RMB20 billion, reflecting higher volume assumptions and positive margin outlook [1][6]. Market Strategy - Geely's management has outlined a comprehensive global expansion strategy, restructuring operations into five regional hubs to enhance local expertise while maintaining global coordination [3]. - The company aims to increase its domestic market share, having secured 11.44% of the NEV market in 1H25, and plans to launch several new models to fill product gaps in cost-sensitive segments [3][7]. - Geely's dual-track export strategy will include both ICE and NEV models, with a forecasted 50% YoY increase in overseas volume to 600,000 units in 2026 [8]. Technological Advancements - A major integration of Geely's intelligent driving units has been executed, consolidating teams to enhance technological capabilities and streamline resources [4][5]. - This consolidation is expected to reinforce Geely's leadership in autonomous driving technology and innovation [5]. Valuation - Geely's shares are currently trading at a significant discount, with a P/E ratio of 12x for 2025E and 9x for 2026E, compared to BYD's 18-20x [9]. - The target price has been raised to HK$32.00 based on a 15x 2026E P/E multiple, reflecting confidence in Geely's potential to close the valuation gap with BYD [10].

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the company meets expectations, with strong resilience in various segments despite losses in the Zeekr brand [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 704,000 new vehicles, with revenue reaching 77.79 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.5% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 17.1%, with a net profit of 3.16 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 74.7% [1] - For the first half of 2025, total vehicle sales reached 1.408 million, with revenue of 150.285 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5% [1] Cost and Expenses - The sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios for Q2 2025 were 6.1%, 1.9%, and 5.1%, respectively, indicating a slight increase in sales and R&D expenses [1] - The company faced increased R&D expenses due to new vehicle development, contributing to losses in the Zeekr segment [2] Segment Performance - The Zeekr brand reported a loss of 580 million yuan in Q2, primarily due to changes in vehicle model sales and high R&D costs [2] - Other segments, particularly the Galaxy series, showed strong performance with a net profit of 3,300 yuan per vehicle, indicating resilience amid price competition [2] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its future operations, driven by a strong new vehicle cycle and low-cost production strategies [3] - Upcoming models, including the Galaxy M9 and Zeekr 9X, are expected to enhance the company's market position [3] - The company maintains profit expectations of 16.6 billion yuan, 19.68 billion yuan, and 24 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 150.285 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 27%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14% to 9.29 billion yuan [1] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 16.4%, down by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratios showed a decline across various categories [1] Sales Performance - Total sales volume for the first half of 2025 reached 1.409 million units, a year-on-year increase of 47%, with a market share of 10.4%, up by 2.4 percentage points [2] - The sales target for the entire year has been raised to 3 million units [2] - New energy vehicle sales amounted to 725,000 units, marking a 126% year-on-year increase [2] - The Galaxy brand achieved sales of 548,000 units, up 232% year-on-year, while the China Star fuel vehicle sales reached 474,000 units, a 21% increase [2] - The Zeekr brand sold 91,000 units, a 3% increase, and the Lynk brand sold 154,000 units, up 22% [2] - New energy vehicle exports exceeded 40,000 units, reflecting a 146% year-on-year growth [2] Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 15.008 billion yuan, 17.846 billion yuan, and 20.954 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11.99, 10.08, and 8.59 times [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated strong performance in 1H25, with total revenue increasing by 26.5% year-on-year to 150.28 billion yuan, driven by rapid growth in vehicle sales and internal efficiency improvements [4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for 1H25 reached 150.28 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.5% [4]. - Gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 13.9% to 9.29 billion yuan, while core net profit increased by 102% to 6.66 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Sales Growth and Cost Efficiency - Total sales volume increased by 47.4% year-on-year to 1.409 million units, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 126.5% to 725,000 units, accounting for 51.5% of total sales [5]. - The company achieved a reduction in SG&A expense ratio by 1.7 percentage points to 7.5% [5]. - The sales and administrative expense ratios decreased by 1.1 and 0.7 percentage points to 5.6% and 1.9%, respectively [5]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its "One Geely" strategy, with plans to complete the acquisition of Zeekr by the end of 2025 for approximately 2.4 billion USD [6]. - Globalization efforts are underway, with a 7.7% decline in export sales in 1H25, primarily due to the Eastern European market, but expected to improve with new models launching in overseas markets [6]. - The integration of smart driving operations is progressing, with a joint venture established to enhance the competitiveness of various vehicle models [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market is undergoing significant structural adjustments, with a notable rise in new energy vehicle sales, which accounted for 44.3% of total new car sales in the first half of 2025. Despite intense competition, Geely Auto has successfully navigated these challenges by promoting a "anti-involution" strategy, focusing on quality growth rather than price wars [1][2][23]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, China's automotive production and sales reached 15.62 million and 15.65 million units, respectively, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) producing 6.97 million and selling 6.94 million units [1]. - The overall market is experiencing fierce competition, but Geely Auto has differentiated itself by emphasizing long-term strategies and comprehensive strength [1][2]. Company Performance - Geely Auto reported a record revenue of 150.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 27% year-on-year increase, with a core net profit of 6.66 billion yuan, reflecting a 102% growth [3]. - The company's total sales reached 1.409 million units, with NEVs accounting for 51.5% of total sales, marking a 126% increase year-on-year [3][5]. - Geely has raised its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units based on strong first-half performance [3]. Brand Performance - Geely's various brands have contributed to a robust sales structure, with Geely Galaxy achieving sales of 548,000 units, a 232% increase [5]. - Zeekr brand sold 90,700 units in the first half, while Lynk & Co sold 154,000 units, showcasing strong market performance across different segments [7][11]. Cost Management and Efficiency - Geely has effectively controlled costs, with R&D expenses decreasing to 4.9% of revenue and sales and management expenses down to 5.6% [11]. - The integration of Zeekr and Lynk & Co has led to significant technical synergies, enhancing operational efficiency [11]. Technological Advancements - Geely is investing heavily in technology, particularly in smart electric vehicle systems, with breakthroughs in autonomous driving technology [12][14]. - The company has established a new battery division, enhancing safety and performance in its electric vehicle offerings [16]. Global Expansion - Geely's global strategy is expanding, with over 180,000 units exported in the first half of 2025 and a growing presence in 85 countries [17][20]. - The company is focusing on high-value exports and local production, with new factories in Egypt and Indonesia supporting its international operations [17][22]. Conclusion - Geely Auto's mid-year performance reflects its commitment to the "anti-involution" strategy, with significant revenue growth and an increased sales target. The company's focus on technology, quality, and global expansion positions it well for future growth in the competitive automotive landscape [23].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile, with a target price of HK$23.47, corresponding to a 13.5x PE for 2025E [3][6]. Core Insights - Geely's performance in 1H25 was strong, with total revenue increasing by 26.5% year-on-year to CNY 150.28 billion, while core net profit rose by 102% to CNY 66.6 billion [1][2]. - The company achieved a total sales volume of 1.409 million vehicles in 1H25, a 47.4% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales surging by 126.5% [2]. - The integration of the Lynk & Co and Zeekr brands is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs, as indicated by a decrease in SG&A expense ratio by 1.7 percentage points to 7.5% [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, Geely's gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 13.9% to CNY 9.29 billion [1]. - The company forecasts a total revenue of CNY 351.72 billion for 2025E, with a growth rate of 46.4% [5]. Sales and Market Strategy - Geely's sales target for the year has been raised by 11% to 3 million vehicles, with 47% of this target achieved in the first half of the year [2]. - The report highlights the expected launch of new models, including the Galaxy A7 and Galaxy M9, which are anticipated to drive sales growth in the second half of 2025 [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The management aims to complete the acquisition of Zeekr by the end of 2025, with an all-cash deal estimated at USD 2.4 billion [3]. - Geely's global and smart strategy is gradually being implemented, with plans to enhance competitiveness through the integration of autonomous driving technologies [3].

Core Insights - Geely Automobile reported a revenue of 150.28 billion yuan for the first half of 2023, marking a 27% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14% to 9.29 billion yuan [1][5] - The company achieved a sales volume of 1.409 million vehicles, a 47% increase year-on-year, making it one of the fastest-growing car manufacturers in China [3][9] - Geely's Galaxy brand saw exceptional growth, with sales reaching 548,000 units, a staggering 232% increase year-on-year [3][7] Financial Performance - Revenue reached a historical high of 150.28 billion yuan, while net profit fell to 9.29 billion yuan, primarily due to a one-time gain from a transaction with Renault in the previous year [5][11] - The gross profit margin slightly decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.4% [5][7] - Core net profit, excluding foreign exchange losses, was 6.66 billion yuan, representing a 102% increase compared to the previous year [5] Market Position and Strategy - Geely is narrowing the market share gap with leading competitors like BYD, with the difference now reduced to 4 percentage points [3][11] - The company plans to increase its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million vehicles [9][10] - The merger with Zeekr is ongoing, with shareholder meetings scheduled for September to finalize the legal completion of the merger [10][11] Product Development and Sales - Geely Galaxy has become the main force in the company's new energy vehicle segment, contributing over half of the group's total new energy vehicle sales [7][9] - The company plans to launch several new models, including the Galaxy A7 and Galaxy M9, aiming for a total sales target of 1 million units for the Galaxy brand [10][11] - The Lynk & Co brand sold 154,000 vehicles, a 22% increase, while Zeekr's sales reached 91,000 units, a 3% increase [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a net profit of 166.0 billion, 196.8 billion, and 240.0 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 11.51, 9.71, and 7.97 [4]. Core Views - The overall performance of the company meets expectations, with a significant increase in new car sales and revenue. The company sold 704,000 new cars in Q2, achieving a revenue of 77.79 billion, which represents a year-on-year increase of 41.5% [1][2]. - Despite a loss in the Zeekr segment, other divisions showed robust performance, indicating the company's resilience in a competitive market. The gross margin for Q2 was 17.1%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from a strong new car cycle, with several new models set to launch, enhancing its growth potential in both electric and fuel vehicle segments [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2, the company reported a total revenue of 77.79 billion, with a gross margin of 17.1% and a net profit of 3.16 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 74.7% [1][2]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q2 was 111,000, showing a slight decrease of 3.5% compared to the previous quarter [1]. Cost and Expenses - The company’s sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios for Q2 were 6.1%, 1.9%, and 5.1% respectively, indicating a slight increase in sales expenses [1]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned well for future growth, with strong new car launches anticipated, including the Galaxy A7 and Zeekr 9X, which are expected to drive sales and profitability [3][4].