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中信证券徐广鸿: 估值修复与结构重塑共振 2026年港股锚定四大核心赛道
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-09 20:46
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is entering a phase of valuation repair and structural reshaping, characterized by undervaluation, capital misalignment, and performance differentiation, with a significant influx of southbound capital and a shift in foreign investment reshaping the funding landscape [1][2]. Valuation and Market Dynamics - The Hang Seng Index has experienced a cumulative decline of over 50% from the post-Lunar New Year of 2021 to January 2024, leading to a significant valuation gap [2]. - As of December 9, 2023, the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index have recorded cumulative gains of 49.20%, 22.59%, and 24.32%, respectively [2]. - By the end of 2025, the expected EPS growth rate for the Hang Seng Index in 2026 is projected to be 8%, with a dynamic P/E ratio of only 12 times, indicating a notable valuation gap compared to major global markets [2]. Capital Flow and Investment Preferences - Southbound capital has seen a record net inflow of nearly 1.4 trillion HKD by the end of November, marking a new high since the launch of the mutual market access mechanism [3]. - The capital structure shows a clear differentiation, with institutional investors favoring themes like non-bank ETFs and personal investors focusing on growth sectors such as automotive, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods [3]. - Foreign capital, while still experiencing outflows, has shown signs of recovery since August, with long-term foreign capital seeing its first phase of inflow since September 2022, particularly favoring the information technology sector [3]. Sector Performance and Outlook - The technology sector is expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, contrasting sharply with traditional sectors like finance and real estate [4]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index has shown volatility but continues to strengthen its core competitiveness, with the sector benefiting from advancements in AI and related technologies [4]. - The long-term trend of recovery in the Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue, driven by policy dividends and external risk dynamics [5][6]. Investment Directions - Key investment opportunities for 2026 are identified in four main sectors: technology, pharmaceuticals, resource products, and essential consumer goods, focusing on "earnings certainty + valuation elasticity" [8][9]. - The technology sector, particularly the AI industry chain, is anticipated to benefit from a virtuous cycle of investment and revenue growth, with a focus on leading companies and quality players in the computing power supply chain [8]. - The pharmaceuticals sector is entering a phase of certain growth, supported by policy and industry developments, with a focus on innovative companies and those benefiting from domestic market reforms [8]. - The resource products sector is supported by supply-demand mismatches and liquidity drivers, with expectations of rising commodity prices benefiting related stocks [9]. - The essential consumer goods sector is poised for valuation recovery, supported by domestic policies aimed at boosting consumption and improving income expectations [9].
2025年国家开发银行





Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-09 18:53
Core Insights - The awards for financial bond underwriting and market-making have been announced, recognizing various banks and securities firms for their outstanding performance in the industry [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Group 1: Outstanding Underwriters - The title of "Outstanding Underwriter" was awarded to several banks, including CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [1][2] - A total of 10 banks were recognized as "Excellent Underwriters," highlighting their contributions to the financial bond market [1] Group 2: Excellent Market Makers - The "Excellent Market Maker" category included firms such as Huatai Securities and CITIC Securities, showcasing their role in enhancing market liquidity [2][4] - A diverse range of banks, including Ping An Bank and Industrial Bank, were acknowledged for their market-making capabilities [2][4] Group 3: Special Awards - Special awards were given for various categories, including "Debt Sea Rising Award" and "Green Low Carbon Award," recognizing banks like Agricultural Bank of China and Postal Savings Bank of China for their innovative approaches [3] - The "Technology Innovation Award" was awarded to banks that demonstrated significant advancements in financial technology [3] Group 4: Individual Recognitions - Individual awards were presented to key personnel from various banks, such as CITIC Bank's Sun Wei and China Everbright Bank's Liu Yan, acknowledging their leadership in driving financial bond initiatives [4][5] - The "Outstanding Underwriting Supervisor" category highlighted individuals from major banks, emphasizing the importance of leadership in underwriting processes [5]
107亿元券商中期分红已“到账” 还有百亿元在路上
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-09 15:53
今年以来,为响应"一年多次分红"的政策号召,上市券商积极开展中期分红(包括季度、半年度以及特殊分红)。Wind资 讯数据显示,今年以来截至12月9日(按派息日计),已有23家上市券商实施了中期分红,合计派发现金红利106.83亿元。其 中,国泰海通分红金额居首,为26.27亿元;其次为中国银河,分红金额为13.67亿元;招商证券、东方证券分红金额分别为 10.35亿元、10.12亿元。 此外,还有14家券商根据最新经营情况公布了中期分红方案,正等待实施,合计拟分红金额达111.33亿元。其中,行业龙 头中信证券以42.98亿元的拟分红金额居首,随后是华泰证券和中信建投,拟分红金额分别为13.54亿元和12.8亿元。 本报记者 于宏 整体来看,今年上市券商中期分红力度将较去年更上一个台阶(2024年上市券商中期分红金额合计为149.47亿元)。除了 半年度分红,越来越多的券商还表示将进行季度分红。除上述拟进行前三季度分红的国信证券外,西部证券和西南证券均在已 实施半年度分红的基础上,拟再进行第三季度分红。 12月8日晚间,国信证券公布了前三季度利润分配方案,拟向全体普通股股东每10股派送现金红利1元(含税,下同 ...
中信金属:关于更换持续督导保荐代表人的公告


Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-09 15:31
证券日报网讯 12月9日晚间,中信金属发布公告称,中信证券作为公司首次公开发行A股股票的保荐 人,原指定孙鹏飞先生和张欢先生为公司持续督导保荐代表人。现张欢先生由于工作安排原因,不再继 续担任公司持续督导的保荐代表人,为保证持续督导工作的有序进行,中信证券委派王晓雯女士接替张 欢先生继续担任公司持续督导的保荐代表人,履行持续督导职责。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
中信证券维持赛富时买入评级 目标价350美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 11:49
转自:智通财经 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 【中信证券维持赛富时买入评级 目标价350美元】智通财经12月9日电,中信证券维持赛富时 (CRM.N)买入评级,目标价350美元,FY2026Q3收入102.6亿美元(+9% YoY),Non-GAAP净利润 36.4亿美元(+16% YoY)超预期。数据云与AI产品经常性年化收入达14亿美元,同比增长114%, Agentforce订单进展强劲,推动平台价值提升。公司盈利预测上调,受益于AI驱动增长与生态协同效 应,目标价维持350美元。 ...
聚赛龙:接受中信证券等投资者调研
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-09 10:18
截至发稿,聚赛龙市值为22亿元。 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——处方药变"瘾品":国内首次报告普瑞巴林滥用致成瘾病例,网络平台暴 露"无病历可购药"漏洞,列管与否尚需科学考量 每经AI快讯,聚赛龙(SZ 301131,收盘价:46.91元)发布公告称,2025年12月9日下午13:00~14:30, 聚赛龙接受中信证券等投资者调研,公司董事会秘书吴若思,证券事务代表熊艳参与接待,并回答了投 资者提出的问题。 2025年1至6月份,聚赛龙的营业收入构成为:改性塑料行业占比100.0%。 (记者 曾健辉) ...
威力传动:接受中信证券调研
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-09 09:42
每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——处方药变"瘾品":国内首次报告普瑞巴林滥用致成瘾病例,网络平台暴 露"无病历可购药"漏洞,列管与否尚需科学考量 (记者 曾健辉) 每经AI快讯,威力传动(SZ 300904,收盘价:66.51元)发布公告称,2025年12月9日,威力传动接受 中信证券调研,公司副总裁、董事会秘书周建林先生参与接待,并回答了投资者提出的问题。 2025年1至6月份,威力传动的营业收入构成为:风电齿轮箱占比98.23%,其他产品占比1.77%。 截至发稿,威力传动市值为48亿元。 ...
中信证券:电动自行车上游安全材料、中游头部整车及下游配套服务赛道迎来结构性投资机会
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-12-09 08:44
作者丨彭鑫 编辑丨安安 12月9日,中信证券指出,2025年12月1日《电动自行车安全技术规范》(GB17761-2024)全面落地, 《外卖平台服务管理基本要求》(GB/T46862-2025)次日实施,行业正式进入"新新国标"阶段。当前市 场争议本质是"标准先行、配套跟进"的阶段性阵痛,随着道路建设、分级管控、商用速度限制等配套措 施落地,安全与实用的失衡料将逐步化解。 行业集中度提升与高端化趋势共振,头部企业凭借合规先发优势、产品创新能力及渠道壁垒料将持续受 益,上游安全材料、中游头部整车及下游配套服务赛道迎来结构性投资机会。 ...
中信证券:看好手机产业的智驾时刻有望加速来临
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-09 06:06
当前产业相关方关于"豆包手机"的系统安全、信息隐私&合规、生态主导权争夺、利益分配不明等方面 仍存在分歧与争议,虽然这一款搭载豆包手机助手的新机并不完美,但仍值得高度重视。参考汽车产 业,自动驾驶落地过程中面临了比当前AI手机更多的质疑和困难,但在远期光明前景驱动下已成为各 家车企核心战略投入方向;对于手机产业也有类似结论,AI手机有望为手机产业带来更广阔的发展空 间,同时也有可能改变商业模式、价值链以及生态格局,豆包的入局意味着各大手机厂商都必须进一步 加快拥抱AI的节奏以取得更有利的竞争态势。此外,中信证券认为"豆包+努比亚"的合作可类比汽车领 域"华为+赛力斯"的成功案例,大模型厂商有望为手机厂商提供更强大的大模型能力+生态助力,进而 加速能进一步优化消费者体验的AI手机爆款产品加速落地。 本文来自格隆汇专栏:中信证券研究 作者:徐涛 胡叶倩雯 夏胤磊 梁楠 AI手机是手机大厂高度重视的下一个重大变革,豆包等三方大模型厂商看重手机在端侧AI时代作为核 心硬件载体亦积极入局,2025年底豆包与努比亚联合发布搭载豆包手机助手的AI手机产品,具备系统 级智能体+高权限+跨应用执行能力,中信证券认为其重大意义可 ...
中信证券:燃气轮机行业有望持续保持较高的产业景气度
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 02:32
中信证券研报认为,结合全球"两机"(航空发动机和燃气轮机)OEM与国内配套供应商在近期的财报 表现,梳理目前的燃机订单和产能情况,经中信证券测算,预计至2028年全球燃机的供需逐步实现平 衡。在未来主要OEM的新一轮扩产周期中,我国供应链将充分且持续受益于下游订单与交付的高景气 度。燃气轮机行业受益于海外AIDC建设带来的用电供需紧张、后市场维保的快速起量,有望持续保持 较高的产业景气度。 ...