Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively rose, with Guolian Minsheng up 5.16% at HKD 5.5, Guotai Junan up 4.68% at HKD 17.91, CITIC Securities up 4.41% at HKD 29.82, CICC up 3.91% at HKD 21.26, and GF Securities up 3.19% at HKD 19.09 [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index broke the 4000 mark, achieving a 12-day winning streak, the longest in 33 years [1] - Goldman Sachs released a macro report titled "China 2026 Outlook: Exploring New Momentum," recommending overweight positions in Chinese stocks for 2026, with expectations of a 15% to 20% annual increase in the Chinese stock market for 2026 and 2027, supported by 14% and 12% earnings growth and approximately 10% valuation re-rating [1] Group 2 - Zhongyuan Securities indicated that 2026, as the starting year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, is expected to see a relatively strong overall performance in the capital market, with the securities industry continuing in its upward cycle [2] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to have relatively light year-on-year pressure on the operating performance of listed brokerages, suggesting a period of consolidation at current low levels to prepare for new investment opportunities [2] - Guojin Securities recommended focusing on undervalued brokerages for potential rebound opportunities during the spring market rally, particularly those with high AH premium rates and thematic investments [2]

消息面上，周一沪指攻克4000整数关，豪取12连阳，刷新近33年以来连阳记录高盛1月5日发布题为《中 国2026年展望：探索新动能》的宏观报告。报告称，2026年建议高配中国股票。高盛股票策略团队此前 在亚太范围内建议高配A股和港股，预计2026年和2027年中国股市将每年上涨15%至20%，分别由14% 和12%的盈利增长以及约10%的估值向上重估所支撑。 中原证券表示，作为"十五五"的开局之年，2026年资本市场整体运行有望保持相对强势，证券行业将持 续处于本轮上升周期中，券商板块平均估值持续走低的空间相对有限。2026年一季度上市券商经营业绩 的同比压力相对较轻，券商板块将在当前的相对低位蓄势震荡整理以酝酿新的投资机会。国金证券指 出，建议继续重点关注春季躁动行情下低估值券商的补涨机会，强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优 质券商，建议关注AH溢价率较高、有收并购主题的券商。 中资券商股集体走高，截至发稿，国联民生(01456)涨5.16%，报5.5港元；国泰海通(02611)涨4.68%，报 17.91港元；中信证券(06030)涨4.41%，报29.82港元；中金公司(03908)涨3.91%，报21 ...

Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively rose, with notable increases: Guolian Minsheng up 5.16% to HKD 5.5, Guotai Junan up 4.68% to HKD 17.91, CITIC Securities up 4.41% to HKD 29.82, CICC up 3.91% to HKD 21.26, and GF Securities up 3.19% to HKD 19.09 [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index surpassed the 4000 mark, achieving a 12-day winning streak, the longest in 33 years [1] - Goldman Sachs released a macro report titled "China 2026 Outlook: Exploring New Momentum," recommending an overweight position in Chinese stocks for 2026, with expectations of a 15% to 20% annual increase in the Chinese stock market for 2026 and 2027, supported by 14% and 12% earnings growth and approximately 10% valuation re-rating [1] Group 2 - Zhongyuan Securities indicated that 2026, as the first year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, is expected to see a relatively strong performance in the capital market, with the securities industry continuing in its upward cycle [2] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to have lighter year-on-year pressure on the operating performance of listed brokerages, suggesting a period of consolidation at current low levels to prepare for new investment opportunities [2] - Guojin Securities recommended focusing on undervalued brokerages for potential rebound opportunities during the spring market rally, particularly those with high AH premium rates and themes of mergers and acquisitions [2]

Group 1 - The total amount of A-share underwriting by securities firms in 2025 exceeded 1 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 226.1%, reaching 10,222.68 billion yuan [1] - Five leading securities firms accounted for 74.5% of the total market share, indicating a significant concentration effect in the industry [1] - CITIC Securities ranked first with a total underwriting amount of 2,416.68 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan and CICC with 1,506.59 billion yuan and 1,374.87 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 2 - The resignation of Zhao Yao, the general manager of Western Futures, raises concerns about the strategic continuity of the company, although he will remain as a consultant [2] - The chairman of Western Futures, Wang Baohui, will temporarily assume the general manager's responsibilities for a period not exceeding six months [2] - The management change may prompt investors to reassess the governance structure of futures companies under securities firms, potentially accelerating competition within the sector [2] Group 3 - The public fund fee reform has officially concluded, resulting in annual savings of over 50 billion yuan for investors [3] - The reform involved three phases, with the final phase focusing on reducing sales fees, leading to significant cost reductions for fund holders [3] - The low fee environment is expected to enhance market activity and improve capital allocation efficiency, supporting the stable operation of the capital market [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the release of guidelines by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aimed at promoting high-quality development of the power grid to address stability challenges posed by a high proportion of renewable energy integration [1] - The document provides clear directives on areas such as total investment in the power grid, coordination of main and micro grids, and the application of new technologies [1] - It is projected that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the basic construction investment in the power grid may reach 3.8 trillion yuan, driven by continuous growth in electricity consumption [1] Group 2 - The article suggests focusing on segments such as ultra-high voltage, digitalization of the power grid, and interconnectivity as key areas of investment opportunity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. military operation in Venezuela aims to control the country's oil resources, leading to significant geopolitical and market implications [2] Group 1: Geopolitical Impact - The U.S. launched a military operation in Venezuela, resulting in the detention of President Maduro and his wife, causing political instability [2] - Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves at 303.4 billion barrels, making its oil a strategic asset in the geopolitical landscape [2] - The operation is expected to lead to a short-term disruption in global oil supply, with Venezuela's oil exports effectively halted [1][4] Group 2: Oil Supply and Price Outlook - Venezuela's oil production is projected to face a short-term supply shock, with a potential supply gap of around 1 million barrels per day [1] - Geopolitical tensions may drive oil prices higher in the short term, but the overall market remains in a supply surplus, with prices expected to stabilize between $60 and $70 per barrel [5] - If the U.S. successfully stabilizes Venezuela and reforms its oil industry, production could rebound to 2-3 million barrels per day within 5-7 years [3] Group 3: Impact on Companies - U.S. oil companies like Chevron may benefit from the situation, as they are positioned to expand production in Venezuela [3] - Chinese oil companies face significant risks due to potential contract terminations and operational disruptions amid the political turmoil [3] - The production of asphalt, sulfur, and petroleum coke, which are byproducts of Venezuela's heavy crude oil, may see price increases due to supply chain disruptions [6]

智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，亚太新兴经济体在2025年展现出超预期的韧性，但部分驱动 因素在2026年或将减弱，在此过程中出口导向型经济体或将承受更大压力，而内需驱动型市场或更具韧 性。结合CLSA分析，该行预计在高基数的背景下，亚太新兴经济体经济增长或将温和降温，低通胀下 部分经济体的货币政策仍有宽松空间。具体国家来看，印度、印尼、泰国、菲律宾和越南或将延续宽松 周期，但马来西亚和新加坡或将维持稳健的货币政策。 中信证券主要观点如下： 本月核心关注因素：亚太新兴经济体在2025年展现出超预期的韧性，但部分驱动因素在2026年或将减 弱，在此过程中出口导向型经济体或将承受更大压力，而内需驱动型经济体或更具韧性。 2025年，全球经济增长出现超预期韧性，主要得益于消费前置、人工智能资本支出以及强劲的股票市 场，带动亚太新兴经济体实现超预期经济增长。展望2026年，支撑亚太新兴经济体经济增长的驱动因素 可能边际减弱，在前期高基数背景下，亚太新兴经济体增速或将呈现"前低后稳"的温和放缓态势，出口 导向型经济体或将承受更大压力，内需驱动型经济体则相对稳健。此外，全球范围内国家安全范式正经 历深刻变革，或将 ...

Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical turmoil in Venezuela following the U.S. raid on Caracas has led to significant disruptions in the country's oil exports, which may impact global oil supply and prices [1] Oil Market Impact - Venezuela, holding the largest proven oil reserves globally, has seen its oil exports nearly halted, creating a potential supply gap of around 1 million barrels per day [1] - The ongoing accumulation of land storage tanks and offshore floating storage may accelerate the pace of oil production cuts [1] - Geopolitical risks are expected to drive oil prices higher in the short term, although the global oil market remains in a supply surplus, with prices projected to fluctuate between $60 to $70 per barrel [1] Investment Opportunities - Companies involved in oil and gas production, as well as those producing asphalt, sulfur, and petroleum coke, are recommended for attention due to the anticipated market changes [1]

Core Viewpoint - The PCB functional wet chemical industry is entering a phase of "structural upturn driven by AI" and "accelerated domestic substitution" from 2025 to 2026, marking a period of simultaneous quantity and quality improvement [1] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - Functional wet chemicals are critical for high-end PCB manufacturing, with low domestic substitution rates in key processes like hole metallization and electroplating [2] - Hole metallization and electroplating contribute approximately 60% of the value in PCB manufacturing, making them core value segments [2] - The cost share of functional wet chemicals in high-end PCBs has risen to 5-10% as the industry moves towards high-frequency, high-speed boards and advanced packaging [2] Group 2: AI and Technology Impact - AI is driving the upgrade of PCB processes, significantly increasing the demand for high-end functional wet chemicals [2] - The transition to finer line widths (from 40μm to 15μm) under mSAP/SAP processes is expected to increase the demand for horizontal copper plating solutions by about 30% and nearly double the need for electroplating additives [2] Group 3: Market Growth Projections - The global market for PCB functional wet chemicals is projected to grow from $3.54 billion in 2025 to $4.46 billion by 2029, with core growth driven by hole metallization and electroplating [3] - The market for horizontal copper plating and electroplating specialty chemicals is expected to reach $700 million and $930 million respectively by 2029, with a CAGR of 7.0% from 2025 to 2029 [3] Group 4: Domestic Manufacturer Opportunities - Domestic manufacturers are accelerating breakthroughs in high-end segments and have achieved domestic substitution in certain niche markets [3]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration released guidelines to promote high-quality development of the power grid, addressing challenges related to the high integration of renewable energy and optimizing resource allocation efficiency [1] Group 1: Investment Outlook - It is projected that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the total investment in power grid infrastructure may reach 3.8 trillion yuan, driven by continuous growth in electricity consumption [1] Group 2: Key Focus Areas - The guidelines provide clear directives on areas such as total investment in the power grid, coordination between main and distributed microgrids, and the application of new technologies [1] - Emphasis is placed on segments like ultra-high voltage, digitalization of the power grid, and interconnectivity [1]