Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The real estate sector is at a historical low in holdings, combined with interest rate cuts, which enhances the attractiveness of investments in this sector [4] - The report highlights that the fund holdings in real estate stocks have reached a historical low, with a significant drop in market value from 14.1 billion to 3 billion, a decrease of 80% [19] - The report identifies several driving factors, including low fund holdings, global policy cycles, and high base pressure in Q4 2025, which necessitate further policy support [5] Summary by Sections 1. Real Estate Heavyweight Stock Analysis: Historical Low Holdings - The number of funds holding real estate stocks has reached a five-year low, with a decline from 372 funds in Q4 2020 to 194 funds in Q4 2023 [13] - The total market value of funds holding real estate stocks has decreased significantly, reaching a historical low of 3 billion by H1 2025 [19] - The report notes that the proportion of funds overweight in real estate stocks has remained around 55% over the past five years, indicating a stable but low allocation [23] 2. Impact of US Rate Cuts on Chinese Real Estate Stocks - The report discusses the correlation between US interest rate cuts and the valuation recovery of Chinese real estate stocks, suggesting that these cuts can alleviate pressure on the Chinese yuan and provide opportunities for local rate cuts [56] - It emphasizes that the US rate cuts can improve the financing environment for Chinese real estate companies, thereby enhancing their credit profiles and market valuations [58] - The report anticipates a 92.1% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September 2025, which could further influence the Chinese real estate market positively [61]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the real estate industry, indicating a cautious but potential investment opportunity as the sector adjusts to current market conditions [3]. Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing a "W-shaped" bottoming process, with new construction expected to show a trend of rising and then falling in the second half of the year, with the peak likely approaching zero growth [2][39]. - The overall development investment is under pressure, with July's investment amount showing a year-on-year decline of 17.0%, reflecting weaker construction intensity due to declining sales market heat [2][38]. - The funding chain index for the real estate sector has slightly improved but remains at historically low levels, indicating potential future improvements in the financial situation of some companies [2][10]. Summary by Sections Sales and Construction Data - In July, the adjusted year-on-year growth rate for new housing sales area was -7.8%, continuing a trend of low market activity since May [13][14]. - The total sales area for the first seven months of 2025 was 515.6 million square meters, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 4.0% [9][14]. - The new construction area in July saw a year-on-year decline of 15.4%, with a cumulative decline of 19.4% for the first seven months [2][39]. Price Trends - The new home price index for 70 cities showed a month-on-month decline of 0.31% in July, with significant drops in second-tier cities [10][11]. - The average price of new homes in July was 9,613 yuan per square meter, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [12][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the narrowing gap between net rental yields and mortgage rates is a key observation point for total demand in both new and second-hand housing markets [37]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with stable cash flow generation capabilities, such as China Overseas Development and Poly Developments, as potential investment opportunities [37][38].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in new housing transaction volume and value, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.0% in sales area and 6.5% in sales value for the first seven months of 2025 [5][14] - The report indicates a continued downward trend in sales data, with July showing a significant drop of 7.8% in sales area and 14.1% in sales value compared to the previous year [5][14] - The report notes that the construction data shows a narrowing decline, with new construction area down 19.4% year-on-year, while completion area decreased by 16.5% [6][20] - The report emphasizes that the investment in real estate development has seen an increasing decline, with a 12.0% drop in investment amount for the first seven months of 2025 [7][24] - The report mentions that the funding available to real estate developers has decreased by 7.5%, with only personal mortgage loans showing a month-on-month increase [7][27] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In the first seven months of 2025, the total sales area of commercial housing was 516 million square meters, down 4.0% year-on-year, with residential sales area down 4.1% [5][14] - The sales value for the same period was 4.96 trillion yuan, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, with residential sales value down 6.2% [5][14] Construction Data - The new construction area for the first seven months was 352 million square meters, down 19.4% year-on-year, with residential new construction down 18.3% [6][20] - The completion area was 250 million square meters, down 16.5% year-on-year, with residential completion down 17.3% [6][20] Investment Trends - Real estate development investment for the first seven months was 5.36 trillion yuan, down 12.0% year-on-year, with residential investment down 10.9% [7][24] - The funding available to developers was 5.73 trillion yuan, down 7.5% year-on-year, with domestic loans and personal mortgage loans showing slight increases [7][27] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the traditional off-season in July and August will see continued weakness in supply and demand, with a recommendation for strong credit real estate companies that can capture improvement-driven customer demand [8][33] - It also highlights companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, as well as those with high-quality property management services [8][33]

格隆汇8月13日丨保利物业(06049.HK)宣布，本公司将于2025年8月25日（星期一）举行董事会会议，藉 以（其中包括）考虑及批准本公司及其附属公司截至2025年6月30日止六个月的中期业绩及其刊发，及 处理其他事项。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO., LTD. 保利物業服務股份有限公司 董事長兼執行董事 吳蘭玉 中國廣州，2025年8月13日 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：06049） 董事會會議召開日期 保利物業服務股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此宣佈，本公司將 於二零二五年八月二十五日（星期一）舉行董事會會議，藉以（其中包括）考慮及 批准本公司及其附屬公司截至二零二五年六月三十日止六個月之中期業績及其刊 發，及處理其他事項。 承董事會命 保利物業服務股份有限公司 於本公告日期，本公司執行董事為吳蘭玉女士及姚玉成先生；本公司非執行董事 為劉平先生及劉智慧先生；及本公司獨立非執行董事為王小軍先生、譚燕女士及 張禮卿先生。 ...

Key Points - The top three stocks with net inflows from southbound funds are Yingfu Fund (02800) with 1.184 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) with 730 million, and Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with 556 million [1] - The top three stocks with net outflows are WuXi Biologics (02269) with -539 million, Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) with -509 million, and SMIC (00981) with -432 million [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Shanghai Industrial Holdings (00363) leads with 63.56%, followed by Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) with 60.26%, and Sunshine Insurance (06963) with 55.37% [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflow ratios are GX China (03040) at -100.00%, Southern Hang Seng Index ETF (03037) at -65.52%, and Sichuan Chengyu Expressway (00107) at -49.23% [1] Top 10 Net Inflows - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a net inflow of 1.184 billion, representing a 16.79% increase, closing at 25.380 [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) saw a net inflow of 730 million, with a 10.34% increase, closing at 116.300 [2] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) had a net inflow of 556 million, with an 8.70% increase, closing at 91.160 [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net inflow of 473 million, with a 6.69% increase, closing at 51.250 [2] - Zai Ding Pharmaceutical (09688) had a net inflow of 429 million, with a 26.73% increase, closing at 27.200 [2] Top 10 Net Outflows - WuXi Biologics (02269) experienced a net outflow of -539 million, with a -33.02% decrease, closing at 29.360 [2] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) had a net outflow of -509 million, with a -21.78% decrease, closing at 44.000 [2] - SMIC (00981) saw a net outflow of -432 million, with a -3.98% decrease, closing at 48.660 [2] - Kuaishou-W (01024) had a net outflow of -292 million, with a -14.76% decrease, closing at 79.150 [2] - Juzi Biotechnology (02367) experienced a net outflow of -220 million, with a -24.75% decrease, closing at 59.000 [2] Net Inflow Ratios - Shanghai Industrial Holdings (00363) had a net inflow ratio of 63.56%, with a net inflow of 11.36 million, closing at 14.870 [3] - Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) had a net inflow ratio of 60.26%, with a net inflow of 3.56 million, closing at 73.500 [3] - Sunshine Insurance (06963) had a net inflow ratio of 55.37%, with a net inflow of 2.48 million, closing at 3.790 [3] - Poly Property (06049) had a net inflow ratio of 52.60%, with a net inflow of 1.14 million, closing at 34.880 [3] Net Outflow Ratios - GX China (03040) had a net outflow ratio of -100.00%, with a net outflow of -7100.00, closing at 35.460 [3] - Southern Hang Seng Index ETF (03037) had a net outflow ratio of -65.52%, with a net outflow of -724,900, closing at 25.400 [3] - Sichuan Chengyu Expressway (00107) had a net outflow ratio of -49.23%, with a net outflow of -380,740, closing at 4.920 [3]

就在8月8日稍晚时刻，保利物业发布了一则人事变动消息，将今年3月潘志华升任后，保利发展"副总经理空缺席位到底会是谁"的悬念，揭晓了。 填补保利发展副总空缺席位的，正是大家非常熟悉的保利系美女高管， 保利物业执行董事兼董事长吴兰玉。 实际上，这些年来保利发展的副总岗位调动比较频繁，有人去，又有人来，来来去去之间，有一位美女高管雷打不动，就是张艳华。 如今， 吴兰玉的加盟，又将为保利发展的副总天团增添更多柔性的力量和女性的视角。 此次调动，没有从保利内部提拔区域总或者营销总，反而是提拔了这位在物业板块深耕多年的物业掌舵人，也说明保利发展如今对于后端物业服务所带来 的高溢价价值和品牌赋能的重视和认可。 艳姐也特地去查看了一下吴兰玉的履历，真的可以说是地产圈为数不多的地产女全才。 在2005年，吴兰玉加盟保利发展，担任业务经理，负责相关投资事务； 从2005年到2018年期间， 吴兰玉则在保利发展的广州、武汉等城市公司负责销 售、市场营销、客户服务及物业管理相关工作，一路做到了城市公司副总经理。 然而，当很多人认为 吴兰玉的职业之路会继续在保利发展进阶之时，吴兰玉在2018年迎来了职业生涯的转折点：当时她空降保利物业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that despite the relaxation of purchase restrictions in Beijing, both new and second-hand housing transactions have declined [1][8] - The overall market performance is stronger than the broader market, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index rising by 2.16% compared to a 1.23% increase in the CSI 300 Index, resulting in a relative return of 0.93% [5][13] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index increased by 2.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index which rose by 1.23% [5][13] 2. Industry Fundamentals - For the week of August 1-7, the total number of new homes sold in 38 key cities was 19,984 units, a year-on-year decrease of 12% and a month-on-month decrease of 21.3% [6][21] - The total transaction area for new homes was 182.9 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 27% [6][21] - In the same week, the total number of second-hand homes sold in 16 key cities was 15,748 units, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.2% [32][38] - The total transaction area for second-hand homes was 150.7 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.4% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.7% [32][38] - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 188.41 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a depletion cycle of 148 weeks [49] 3. Land Market Supply and Transaction Analysis - During the week, 2,497.7 million square meters of land were supplied, a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [7] - The average transaction price of land was 1,399 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year increase of 34.3% [7] 4. Real Estate Financing Analysis - Real estate companies issued a total of 17.76 billion yuan in credit bonds, with a year-on-year increase of 83.38% and a month-on-month increase of 108.18% [7]

Core Viewpoint - Poly Property (06049) announced that its executive director and chairman, Wu Lanyu, has been appointed as the deputy general manager of Poly Development (600048) [1] Company Summary - The appointment of Wu Lanyu is expected to strengthen the leadership and management structure of Poly Development [1] - This move may indicate a strategic alignment between Poly Property and Poly Development, potentially enhancing operational synergies [1]

保利物业(06049.HK)：吴兰玉获委任为保利发展副总经理 保利物业(06049.HK)获FIL Limited增持32.68 万股 相关事件 格隆汇8月8日丨保利物业(06049.HK)发布公告，公司接获公司控股股东保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 ("保利发展")的通知，公司执行董事兼董事长吴兰玉已获委任为保利发展副总经理。 ...