Core Viewpoint - The resumption of government bond trading is more significant for long-term logic than for short-term market points, indicating a potential shift in monetary policy and market stability [1][2]. Group 1: Short-term Market Reactions - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced the resumption of government bond trading, which may serve as a response to recent market conditions and the Fourth Plenary Session's directives [1]. - The bond market showed a stronger performance in long-term bonds compared to short-term ones, with 10-year and 30-year government bonds declining over 5 basis points [1]. - The strengthening of the RMB in the night market suggests that foreign capital may interpret the resumption as an expansionary economic stimulus policy [1]. Group 2: Long-term Implications - The primary significance of resuming government bond trading is to provide a safety net for the bond market, establishing an upper limit on long-term interest rates and enhancing the safety cushion for long-term bond investments [2]. - The resumption allows for better coordination with fiscal policies, especially as government leverage increases, preventing rapid upward movement of bond market interest rates that could constrain fiscal space [2]. Group 3: Flexible Operations Post-Resumption - The operations following the resumption of government bond trading are expected to be more flexible, with uncertainty regarding the pace, direction, duration, and scale of transactions [3]. - The approach may resemble the reform of reverse repos and MLF, allowing for adjustments based on market conditions rather than a fixed strategy [3]. Group 4: Broader Market Impact - The resumption of government bond trading is not only beneficial for the bond market but is also expected to support the stock market in the medium to long term [4]. - The fundamental nature of government bond trading as a liquidity management tool can complement fiscal issuance, potentially benefiting equity assets in a broader economic context [4]. - The current bond market conditions validate the expectation of a "weak front, strong back" scenario for the fourth quarter, with opportunities for capital gains in long-term bonds [4].

9月23日，国泰海通证券举办的"AI加速，联接全球资本市场"2025海外市场投资峰会在上海圆满落幕。 本次会议聚焦AI变革与投资机会挖掘，携手智信财经盛邀港美股上市公司、产业专家、投资机构等， 汇聚全球智慧，启迪投资思维，铸就海外市场投研交流高地，联接全球资本市场。 报告名称： AI社交网络，人类的远大前程 ；报告日期：2024.07.16 报告作者： 秦和 平， 登记编号： S0880523110003 ；风险提示： 隐私及数据安全风险；AI技术进展不及预期风险；广 告业务不及预期风险；商业化落地不及预期风险；政策监管风险。 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 国泰海通证券副总裁、研究与机构业务委员会总裁、政策和产业研究院院长陈忠义出席大会并致辞。陈忠 义指出国泰海通证券将以科技驱动为引擎，持续提升面向全球的研究与资产配置能力，以更专业的中国方 案、更高质量的国际化服务，锻造具有国际竞争力和市场引领力的一流投资银行。本次峰会正是国泰海通 践行国际化战略、展示全球化服务能力的重要机会。 国泰海通证券研究所海外科技首席分析师秦和平指出，社交网络视角下的全球化正在加速，人类正以前所未 有的规模和效率连接 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic partnership between Jingbeifang and Guotai Junan Securities, marking Jingbeifang's first deep collaboration with a leading domestic brokerage [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Jingbeifang's chairman, Fei Zhenyong, signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Guotai Junan Securities during the "2025 Guotai Junan Financial Technology Cultural Festival Theme Forum and Shanghai Suhe Bay Conference" [1] - The partnership aims to promote the integration of financial technology and capital markets, exploring new development paths [1]

Group 1 - A-shares opened lower with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25% and the ChiNext Index down 0.9%, with storage chips, combustible ice, cultivated diamonds, and CPO sectors leading the declines [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan indicates that a new round of financial policies and capital market reforms is imminent, which is expected to further promote economic transformation and enhance the perception of the value of Chinese assets, suggesting that the "transformation bull" in the Chinese stock market still has room for new highs [2] Group 3 - Everbright Securities suggests that multiple favorable factors are likely to support a strong market performance in the short term, with attention on TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors in the medium term, as company earnings are expected to improve, contributing new momentum to the market [3] - The report highlights that while the recovery process remains relatively slow, some areas show improvement, and domestic exports are expected to remain resilient, with the potential for sustained improvement in domestic demand [3] Group 4 - Dongfang Securities notes that the battle for the 4000-point mark is entering a critical phase, with short-term upward movement not expected to be smooth, emphasizing the importance of tracking technology themes [4] - The report indicates that the stocks contributing most to the gains in the Shanghai Composite Index are primarily bank stocks and "state-owned enterprises," along with leading AI stocks like Industrial Fulian, showcasing recent market characteristics [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the "anti-involution" trend in the express delivery industry has spread nationwide, significantly increasing the per-package revenue for companies, which is expected to improve the profitability of e-commerce express delivery firms in the second half of this year and into next year. The elasticity of profitability depends on the sustainability of price increases [1] Group 1 - The "anti-involution" trend in the express delivery sector has become widespread across the country [1] - There is a noticeable increase in companies' per-package revenue due to this trend [1] - The profitability of e-commerce express delivery companies is expected to recover in the latter half of this year and next year [1] Group 2 - The improvement in profitability is contingent upon the continued ability to raise prices [1] - There is a recommendation to pay attention to the opportunities for performance improvement in the e-commerce express delivery sector [1]

Group 1 - Tianshan Co. announced that on October 24, 2025, it will accept an investor survey conducted by Guotai Junan Securities and others, with company representatives including Li Xueqin, Li Fumin, Ye Hong, and Qin Qihui participating in the reception and answering investor questions [1] Group 2 - The news highlights the involvement of private shipping tycoon in the restructuring of Shanshan Group, indicating a complex situation with the emergence of a mysterious figure orchestrating the restructuring consortium [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic cooperation agreement between UCloud and Guotai Junan aims to innovate the integration of cloud computing and financial services through a comprehensive partnership focused on digital infrastructure and data intelligence [1] Group 1 - UCloud and Guotai Junan have officially signed a strategic cooperation agreement [1] - The collaboration will focus on building a digital foundation, integrating data intelligence, and enhancing global business support [1] - The partnership aims to expand multi-level capital services and talent ecosystems [1]

Core Insights - Fengbei Biotechnology is a pioneer in the comprehensive utilization of waste oil resources, with significant advantages in R&D, product application, and quality control [2] - The company has received numerous accolades, including being recognized as a national-level "specialized, refined, and innovative" small giant enterprise and a unicorn cultivation enterprise in Suzhou [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the company holds 135 patents, including 33 domestic invention patents and 3 international invention patents, and has obtained ISCC certification for the EU market [2] Company Highlights - Fengbei Biotechnology has established a strong customer base due to its core technological advantages, which supports the sustainable and healthy development of its business [2] - The company has been awarded the Innovation Contribution Award by the China Pesticide Association and the first prize of the China Coal Industry Science and Technology Award [2] - The company aims to provide investors with a clear understanding of its investment value and opportunities through its online roadshow [3]

Core Points - The total cash dividends from 320 companies in the Shanghai market have exceeded 278 billion yuan as of October 24, with over 90 companies set to distribute an additional 280 billion yuan in cash dividends [1][2] - A record high of 414 companies have announced profit distribution plans, totaling over 560 billion yuan in cash dividends [1] - Major companies such as China Mobile and China Telecom have completed their cash distributions, amounting to 54.1 billion yuan and 16.6 billion yuan respectively, while the "Big Three" oil companies have distributed approximately 82.5 billion yuan in total [1] Company-Specific Summaries - China Petroleum has announced a cash dividend of 2.2 yuan per share, totaling 40.265 billion yuan, with 35.623 billion yuan allocated to A-share dividends [1] - Jagex has declared a cash dividend of 6.6 yuan per share, amounting to 474 million yuan, which represents 73.46% of its net profit for the period [2] - Guotai Junan plans to distribute 0.15 yuan per share, totaling 2.627 billion yuan, making it one of the leading brokerages in terms of dividend distribution [2] - Guodian Power intends to distribute 1 yuan per share, totaling 1.784 billion yuan, which is 48.38% of its net profit for the period [2] Upcoming Distributions - From October 27 to October 31, 20 companies will distribute a total of 9 billion yuan in cash dividends, including 京沪高铁 (19 billion yuan), 国泰海通 (26 billion yuan), and 国电电力 (18 billion yuan) [1][2] - There are still 74 companies that have not yet announced their dividend distribution plans, with a total amount exceeding 275 billion yuan expected to be distributed in the future [2]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery downstream demand remains strong, driving prices higher due to inventory depletion, while cobalt products continue to rise but with slower downstream follow-up, indicating a potential slowdown in price increases [1][2]. Lithium Sector - The lithium sector is experiencing a peak demand season, with inventory depletion pushing prices up. The weekly price of lithium carbonate in Wuxi rose by 1.32% to 76,500 CNY/ton, while the price in the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased by 4.25% to 78,900 CNY/ton [1]. - Lithium concentrate prices reached 881 USD/ton, an increase of 35 USD/ton compared to the previous period, reflecting strong demand from downstream buyers [1][2]. - The production of battery-grade lithium carbonate averaged between 74,500 and 76,330 CNY/ton, with a weekly increase of 2.79% [2]. Cobalt Sector - Cobalt prices are experiencing upward pressure, but the actual demand from the downstream is limited, leading to a slower price increase. The average price of electrolytic cobalt rose by 6.96% to between 400,000 and 415,000 CNY/ton [3]. - Cobalt salt prices are stabilizing as downstream acceptance of current prices is low, focusing mainly on inventory digestion and essential replenishment [3]. - The integration of cobalt-nickel precursor production enhances competitive barriers for cobalt companies, as they extend their reach into the new energy sector [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The overall market is witnessing a strong demand for lithium, supported by the rapid growth of power batteries and a thriving energy storage market, with the operating rate of downstream manufacturers continuously increasing [2]. - Despite the strong demand, the supply side is also seeing new production lines coming online, which may exert pressure on prices in the latter part of November [2].