Core Viewpoint - Multiple factors support the performance of Chinese equities, maintaining a tactical overweight view on A/H shares [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Global risk appetite has significantly declined, leading to increased asset volatility and panic selling, which has greatly released micro trading risks [1] - The importance of economic growth at the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan is highlighted, with an approaching policy window period suggesting the market may establish new expectations [1] Group 2: Regulatory Environment - The regulatory authorities show strong determination and action plans to stabilize the capital market in the short term [1] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Factors that previously caused valuation discounts in the stock market have been alleviated, with tail risks decreasing and the stabilization of RMB assets [1] - The Chinese capital market is in a cycle of valuation recovery and significant development, with potential for substantial upside [1] - Chinese equities offer a higher risk-return profile compared to other major asset classes [1]

2025年12月1日，众生药业（股票代码：002317）在公司会议室接待了机构调研，国泰海通证券股份有 限公司、上海睿郡资产管理有限公司分析师及研究员参与了现场交流。公司董事会秘书杨威、证券事务 代表陈子敏就核心产品进展、临床研发及商业化战略等问题与机构进行了深入沟通。 核心产品进展：昂拉地韦片全球首款优势显著，商业化路径清晰 研发战略升级：加码众生睿创持股，强化创新布局 调研中，公司明确表示将持续聚焦呼吸系统、代谢性疾病领域，通过增持控股子公司众生睿创股权强化 研发协同。众生睿创作为公司创新转型的核心平台，专注于上述领域创新药研发与商业化，此次持股比 例提升后，公司将进一步整合资金、资源与管理优势，加速推进在研项目落地。 早研管线方面，公司已布局多个差异化项目：呼吸系统领域，针对呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）的小分子药 物已确定临床前候选化合物（PCC），国内尚无同类药物获批；代谢领域，超长效GLP-1/GIP/GCG三受 体激动剂RAY0221已进入临床前研究，同时探索Amylin类多肽、口服GLP-1RA小分子等前沿赛道，持 续丰富管线梯队。 公司强调，本次调研未涉及应披露重大信息，未来将继续以"高质量、加速 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Guotai Junan Zimeng team has achieved significant recognition in the food and beverage research sector, winning the title of "Best Analyst in the Food and Beverage Industry" at the 2025 Analyst Conference and the 7th Sina Finance "Golden Unicorn" Awards, reflecting their deep understanding of consumer trends and a mature research framework [1][2]. Group 1: Team Performance - The Guotai Junan Zimeng team moved from second place in the 2024 awards to first place in 2025, indicating a strong competitive potential and improvement in research capabilities [2]. - The competition landscape changed significantly, with the GF Securities team ranking second and Huachuang Securities team dropping to fourth place [2]. Group 2: Award Details - The Guotai Junan team members include Zimeng, Yan Huijing, Xu Yang, Yao Shijia, Li Yao, Cheng Biheng, Zhang Yuxuan, Chen Liyu, Li Meiyi, Pang Yuze, Miao Xin, Zhang Jiaying, Yang Liu, Yan Qinghui, and Li Yibing [1]. - The awards highlighted the top teams in the food and beverage sector, with Guotai Junan taking first place, GF Securities second, and Changjiang Securities third [3]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The Zimeng team believes that the liquor industry is currently undergoing a rapid clearing adjustment phase, with inventory levels decreasing and stock prices potentially rising amidst market pessimism [9]. - The beer industry is expected to clear earlier than the liquor sector, with increasing differentiation within the industry, suggesting investors should focus on regionally competitive beer leaders [9].

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通证券发布研报称，维持钢铁行业"增持"评级。长期来看，产业集中度提 升、促进高质量发展是未来钢铁行业发展的必然趋势，具有产品结构与成本优势的钢企将充分受益;在 环保加严、超低排放改造与碳中和背景下，龙头公司竞争优势与盈利能力将更加凸显。 国泰海通证券主要观点如下： 需求环比下降，库存环比下降 上周(本报告中的上周均指2025年11月24日至11月28日当周)五大品种表观消费量为888万吨，环比降 0.69%，同比升1.2%;其中建材表观消费量318万吨，环比降1万吨;板材表观消费量570万吨，环比降5万 吨。五大品种钢材产量855.7万吨，环比增5.8万吨;总库存1401万吨，环比降32万吨，维持低位水平。根 据Mysteel数据，上周全国247家钢厂高炉开工率81.09%，较上一周降1.1个百分点;全国247家钢厂高炉产 能利用率为87.98%，较上一周降0.6个百分点;上周全国电炉开工率60.9%，较上一周降0.64个百分点;上 周电炉产能利用率为52.92%，较上一周升0.51个百分点。库存仍继续下降。 盈利率环比下降 上周45港进口铁矿库存15206万吨，环比增155万吨。上 ...

第七届新浪财经金麒麟最佳分析师荣誉榜出炉，非银金融业第一名为国泰海通证券刘欣琦团队。 新浪财经整理刘欣琦最新研究观点如下： 国泰海通证券刘欣琦：地产对上市险企影响有限，非银板块蓄势待发 本周（11月24日-30日）市场对涉房险企的资产端关注度提升。从历史数据以及交流情况来看，我们认 为目前上市保险公司涉房资产的占比均大幅下降，且资产质量相对此前均有所提升。因此，我们认为地 产对保险公司资产端的影响有限；而从保险负债端来看，越来越多的迹象表明负债端触底回升迹象显 现，2026年开门红将呈现超预期表现。 专题：2025分析师大会：资本市场"奥斯卡"启幕 【相关阅读】第七届新浪财经金麒麟最佳分析师荣誉榜 投资建议：我们预计资负共振推动上市险企26年开门红NBV较好增长，维持行业"增持"评级。 国泰海通证券刘欣琦："报行合一"更进一步，看好非银板块补涨机会 1．经纪业务：本周（17日-23日）日均股基成交额为19257亿元（前值21040亿元）；截至本周末，2025 年两市日均股基成交额19404亿元，同比变动67.05%。 2．投行业务：截至2025年11月21日，IPO和定增承销规模为9526亿元；截至2025年 ...

国泰海通保荐了长江能科、联合动力、友升股份、悍高集团、首航新能、浙江华业、浙江华远、常 友科技、毓恬冠佳、大明电子、丰倍生物11家企业上市，与华英证券、天风证券担任了兴福电子的联合 主承销商，与中信建投、中信证券、川财证券、中金公司、华泰联合担任了华电新能的联合主承销商， 与中金公司担任了屹唐股份的联合主承销商，与中信建投担任了禾元生物的联合主承销商，与东方证券 担任了海安集团的联合主承销商。 中国经济网北京12月1日讯（记者 华青剑）2025年1-11月，上交所、深交所及北交所共有98家上市 企业，其中主板33家企业上市，创业板有30家企业上市，科创板有12家企业上市，北交所有23家企业上 市。 据同花顺iFinD数据统计，这98家上市企业合计募资总额为1003.59亿元。华电新能募资181.71亿 元，为1-10月的募资王。西安奕材、中策橡胶分别募资46.36亿元、40.66亿元，分列募资额第二、三 名。 1-11月，共有34家券商参与了新增上市企业的保荐承销工作，合计赚得承销保荐费用49.46亿元。 其中，国泰海通成为2025年1-11月券商承销保荐费用的第一名，合计赚得承销保荐费用74332.14万 ...

报告导读： 从技术面来看， Wind 全 A 指数依旧处于 SAR 反转点位之下；均线强弱指数 在指数绝对点位上升幅度并不大的情况下出现上行，表明市场依旧存在下行可能；情绪模 型继续显示市场情绪较弱。我们认为，市场下周维持震荡可能性较大。 下周（20251201-20251205，后文同）市场观点：市场下周维持震荡可能性较大。 从量化指标上看，基于沪深300指数的流动性冲击指标周五为0.50，高 于前一周（0.15），意味着当前市场的流动性高于过去一年平均水平0.50倍标准差。上证50ETF期权成交量的PUT-CALL比率震荡，周五为1.02，持平于前 一周（1.02），投资者对上证50ETF短期走势相对谨慎。上证综指和Wind全A五日平均换手率分别为0.98%和1.59%，处于2005年以来的65.67%和 73.47%分位点，交易活跃度有所下降。从宏观因子上看，上周人民币汇率震荡，在岸和离岸汇率周涨幅分别为0.43%、0.48%。日历效应上，2005年以 来，上证综指、沪深300、中证500、创业板指在12月上半月上涨概率分别为 70% 、 65% 、 55% 、 60% ，涨幅均值分别为 1.81% 、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing a marginal decline in premium growth for life insurance as of October 2025, with a shift in focus towards business preparations for 2026, particularly in new business value (NBV) growth for life insurance [1][2][4]. Life Insurance Summary - From January to October 2025, the cumulative premium income for the life insurance sector reached 39,924 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.6%. The breakdown includes life insurance at 32,748 billion yuan (up 12.0%), health insurance at 6,850 billion yuan (up 0.1%), and accident insurance at 326 billion yuan (down 9.2%) [2]. - In October 2025, the monthly premium income for life insurance was 1,040 billion yuan, showing a decline of 5.1% year-on-year [2]. - The decline in premium growth is attributed to insurance companies shifting their operational focus towards 2026 due to the satisfactory achievement of business goals for 2025 [2]. Non-Life Insurance Summary - The cumulative premium income for the non-life insurance sector from January to October 2025 was 14,908 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0%. This includes motor insurance at 7,612 billion yuan (up 3.2%) and non-motor insurance at 7,297 billion yuan (up 4.9%) [3]. - In October 2025, the monthly premium income for non-life insurance was 1,196 billion yuan, down 5.5% year-on-year, with motor insurance premiums at 776 billion yuan (down 6.6%) and non-motor insurance premiums at 420 billion yuan (down 3.4%) [3]. - The slowdown in motor insurance growth is expected due to a marginal decline in the number of insured vehicles, while non-motor insurance growth is facing pressure from seasonal underwriting factors and the implementation of policy changes [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the life insurance sector will see a positive growth in NBV for the 2026 opening, driven by the transformation of participating insurance products and improved investment returns from leading insurers [4]. - For non-life insurance, the comprehensive governance of non-motor insurance is expected to further improve the combined operating ratio (COR) [4]. - The overall investment recommendation remains "overweight" for the insurance sector, with expectations of good growth in NBV for listed insurance companies in 2026 [5].

Core Conclusions - The financial industry experienced a weekly increase of +0.68% in the non-bank financial index, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.96 percentage points [1] - The banking sector saw a decline of -0.59%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 2.23 percentage points, with state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks showing varied performance [1][9] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector's index rose by +0.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.44 percentage points, driven by strong demand for dividend insurance products that align with residents' needs for stable returns and value appreciation [2][12] - Major insurance companies are focusing on dividend insurance as a strategic core, with product offerings expanding significantly ahead of the 2026 "opening red" period [2][12] - The growth of new single premiums is expected to be strong in 2026, supported by improved net present value margins (NBVM) and a favorable regulatory environment for dividend insurance [2][17] Brokerage Sector Insights - The brokerage sector index increased by +0.74%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.90 percentage points, with recent developments in refinancing for two brokerages indicating a cautious approach to capital raising [2][18] - The current environment presents a mismatch between profitability and valuation in the brokerage sector, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [2][19] - Recommendations include strong mid-to-large brokerages with low valuations and those involved in mergers or restructuring [2][19] Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector's index decreased by -0.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.23 percentage points, with a focus on high dividend strategies remaining viable [3][20] - The average dividend yield for banks is approximately 4.1%, which is attractive compared to other sectors, particularly in the context of a stable earnings outlook [3][21] - Recommendations include state-owned banks and resilient city commercial banks, with specific attention to banks with strong fundamentals and low volatility [3][22]

Core Insights - The financial industry has a high demand for specialized talent who understand both business and technology, which is currently hard to find [1] - Guotai Junan Securities aims to develop a self-cultivation system for talent, encouraging business personnel to actively participate in AI application implementation [1] - The company believes that composite talent will play a crucial role in the large-scale application of future model products [1] Group 1 - The financial sector requires professionals who are proficient in both business and technology, highlighting a gap in traditional educational models [1] - Guotai Junan is exploring a "Finance + AI" talent cultivation model to better align with industry needs [1] - The firm has designed a "business personnel participation mechanism" to lower the technical barriers for employees [1] Group 2 - The initiative aims to empower business personnel to independently address practical issues in their work through AI [1] - Guotai Junan seeks to continuously expand its talent pool by fostering internal practices and innovative mechanisms [1] - The emphasis on composite talent is seen as vital for the future scalability of AI applications within the company [1]