开栏语：一场规模高达50万亿的存款迁徙正蓄势待发。站在财富配置的历史拐点，如何审视这波天量资金 的洪流涌向？凭借净值化运作的专业禀赋，公募行业正以"固收+"为盾、FOF为矛，站上潮头，成为金融深 化改革的时代注脚。深度探究行业变化，智通财经推出《迎接50万亿存款迁徙》专题，以专业视角观察、 见证公募的发力，为投资者绘制新的财富蓝图。 智通财经2月27日讯（记者 闫军）固收+基金在2026年增量可期，已经成为公募基金业务在ETF之外，最大的共识。 一是50万亿高息存款到期的居民财富迁徙，二是险资加大投资、银行资金转移等机构增量资金涌入，两大历史机遇之 下，公募基金行业正达成共识：3万亿或仅是起点，2026年"固收+"业务的争夺战已然全面打响。 3万亿元，固收+最新规模达历史峰值 中金公司研报数据显示，截至2025年末，全市场2292只"固收+"基金规模合计达3万亿元，超过2022年2.7万亿元的历史 峰值，创下新高。环比增长9%，较去年同期增长56%。（固收+统计口径：一级债基、二级债基、可转债、偏债混 合、权益仓位不超过4成的灵活配置基金、偏债混合型FOF）。 | 排 | | | 2021-2025年基金公司 ...

A股市场方面，多数保险机构对2026年A股市场持较乐观态度。2026年，保险机构更看好科创50、沪深 300、中证A500和创业板等相关股票，看好电子、有色金属、电力设备、计算机、通信、医药生物和基 础化工等行业，关注芯片半导体、国防军工、AI算力、机器人、能源金属、商业航天、高股息、医药 生物与创新药和企业出海与全球化等投资主题，认为企业盈利修复和流动性环境是影响A股市场的主要 因素。资产配置上，多数保险机构计划小幅增配A股。 基金投资方面，2026年，保险资产管理机构倾向配置股票型基金、二级债基、混合偏股型基金、指数型 基金和ETF基金；保险公司偏好配置二级债基、股票型基金、混合偏股型基金、成长型基金和ETF基 金。近半数保险机构计划小幅增配公募基金。 据中国银行保险资产管理业协会网站，该协会近日发布的"保险机构2026年资产配置展望调查结果"显 示，大类资产配置方面，股票和证券投资基金是2026年保险机构普遍看好的境内投资资产。多数保险机 构预计对银行存款、债券、证券投资基金及其他金融资产的配置比例与2025年基本持平，部分机构有意 愿适度或微幅增加股票投资。 债券市场方面，多数保险机构对2026年债券 ...

固收+基金如何应对大资管分工趋势？20260205 摘要 根据名义万得数据统计，二级债基和偏债混合基金在业绩中位数上相对更强， 而转债基金则显示出更高的弹性。具体来看，这些产品根据其权益敞口暴露程 度进行分类后发现，无论是股票还是转债，其权益中枢越高，业绩表现越好。 这表明股票贝塔是固收加基金主要业绩来源之一。 2025 年固收加基金规模扩张情况如何？ 2025 年，固收加基金规模扩张迅速，总体增长近 1 万亿人民币。截至年底， 总规模达到 2.735 万亿人民币，其中含权部分约为 2.5 万亿人民币。然而，这 一轮净申购主要集中在少数明星产品上。例如永赢稳健增强、长城景气、申万 菱信丰力等明星产品，其净申购量占市场总量超过 40%。 2025 年固收加基金市场表现如何？ 2025 年，固收加基金整体表现强劲。一级债基、偏债混合和纯债基金的收益 均显著优于纯债基金，展现出跨周期的收益能力。数据显示，从 2012 年至 2025 年、2019 年至 2025 年以及 2023 年至 2025 年的不同周期内，固收加 基金的超额收益较为明显。特别是在权益中枢线性上升的背景下，这些产品的 业绩也随之提升。 固收加基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth and performance of "fixed income +" funds in the Chinese market, highlighting their increasing share and the dynamics of their issuance and performance from 2019 to 2025 [4][5][6][7]. Fund Classification - "Fixed income +" funds primarily include first-level bond funds, second-level bond funds, mixed bond funds, and convertible bond funds, with a total share of approximately 2.05 trillion units by the end of 2025, accounting for 6.5% of the total public fund market, while pure bond funds represent 20.4% [4]. Issuance Aspects - The years 2020 to 2022 saw a concentrated issuance of "fixed income +" funds, peaking in 2021; the focus for 2024 and 2025 will be on second-level bond funds, followed by first-level bond funds [5]. Stock and Bond Allocation - By the end of 2025, the share of "fixed income +" funds increased by 1.46 trillion units compared to the end of 2019, with contributions from first-level bond funds (17.6%), second-level bond funds (72.3%), mixed bond funds (8.8%), and convertible bond funds (1.3%), with second-level bond funds being the major contributor [6]. Performance Overview - The performance of "fixed income +" funds from 2019 to 2025 can be divided into three phases: 1. From 2019 to 2021, convertible bond funds consistently outperformed the other three types of "fixed income +" funds 2. In 2022-2023, all types of "fixed income +" funds performed poorly, although first-level bond funds maintained positive returns while convertible bond funds recorded negative returns for two consecutive years 3. In 2024-2025, all types of "fixed income +" funds achieved positive returns, with mixed bond funds performing best in 2024 and convertible bond funds excelling in 2025, while first-level bond funds underperformed [7]. Asset Structure - The asset allocation of "fixed income +" funds between stocks and bonds showed fluctuations without a clear trend; by 2025, first-level bond funds, second-level bond funds, and mixed bond funds increased their stock asset allocation while reducing bond asset allocation [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report focuses on the "Fixed Income +" funds from 2019 - 2025, including their types, issuance, performance, and asset structure. It reveals that the issuance of "Fixed Income +" funds was relatively intensive from 2020 - 2022, peaking in 2021. In recent years, secondary bond funds have been the issuance focus. The share and scale of "Fixed Income +" funds have increased significantly from 2019 to 2025, with secondary bond funds playing the leading role. The performance of different types of "Fixed Income +" funds varies in different periods, and in 2025, the asset allocation of some funds has changed. [1][2][19] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 "Fixed Income +" Fund Types - "Fixed Income +" funds should have bond assets as the basis and use non - bond assets (mainly equity or equity - related assets) to enhance returns, with controllable return drawdowns. The main types include first - tier bond funds, second - tier bond funds, partial - debt hybrid funds, and convertible bond funds. [10][11] - First - tier bond funds mainly increase returns through convertible bond investments. Second - tier bond funds can invest in convertible bonds and stocks, with bond and cash assets accounting for at least 80% and stock investment below 20%. Partial - debt hybrid funds have a bond investment ratio of at least 60% and a stock investment ratio of 0 - 40%, with more strategies to enhance returns. Convertible bond funds mainly invest in convertible bonds and balance risks and returns. [11] - Flexible allocation funds and partial - debt FOF funds are not included in the scope of "Fixed Income +" funds in this report. As of December 31, 2025, the total share of partial - debt FOF funds was 1.804 billion, accounting for 0.1% of the total public fund share. [13] 3.2 2019 - 2025 Four "Fixed Income +" Fund Observations 3.2.1 Issuance - From 2020 - 2022, the issuance of "Fixed Income +" funds was relatively intensive, peaking in 2021 with 326 funds issued and a share of 401.25 billion. In 2025, 177 funds were issued, with a share of 65.22 billion, more than in 2024 but less than from 2020 - 2022. [19] - From 2019 - 2025, second - tier bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds were the issuance focus. Since 2022, the issuance scale of second - tier bond funds has significantly exceeded that of partial - debt hybrid funds. In 2023 - 2025, no new convertible bond funds were issued. In recent years, second - tier bond funds have been the issuance focus, followed by first - tier bond funds. [20] 3.2.2 Stock - At the end of 2025, the total share of "Fixed Income +" funds was 2.2 trillion. Second - tier bond funds accounted for 57.0%, followed by first - tier bond funds (31.5%), partial - debt hybrid funds (10.0%), and convertible bond funds (1.4%). [25] - Compared with the end of 2019, the share of "Fixed Income +" funds increased by 1.46 trillion at the end of 2025, with second - tier bond funds accounting for 72.3% of the increased share. The share change can be divided into three stages: significant increase in second - tier bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds from 2020 - 2021; continuous reduction in partial - debt hybrid funds and scale contraction in second - tier bond funds from 2022 - 2024; and mainly second - tier bond funds' share growth in 2025. [2][26] 3.2.3 Performance - From 2019 - 2021, convertible bond funds' returns continuously exceeded those of the other three types of "Fixed Income +" funds. [31] - From 2022 - 2023, the performance of different "Fixed Income +" funds was not ideal, but first - tier bond funds maintained positive returns, while convertible bond funds had negative returns for two consecutive years. [31] - From 2024 - 2025, all types of "Fixed Income +" funds achieved positive returns. In 2024, partial - debt hybrid funds performed best, and convertible bond funds performed worst. In 2025, convertible bond funds performed best, and first - tier bond funds performed poorly. [34] 3.2.4 Asset Structure - The proportion of stocks and bonds held by "Fixed Income +" funds fluctuated, and the stage - division of performance was not obvious in the stock - holding proportion. In 2025, the median proportion of stocks held by first - tier bond funds, second - tier bond funds, and partial - debt hybrid funds increased compared to 2024, while that of convertible bond funds decreased slightly. [36] - In 2025, the median proportion of bonds held by different "Fixed Income +" funds decreased compared to 2024. The proportion of convertible bonds held by different funds also decreased in 2025. [37][40]

中国银河固收研报指出，2025年"固收+"基金规模快速扩容、风险收益优化、资产配置结构相对稳健。 1）规模：广义"固收+"存量达1.79万亿元，同比+90.1%，二级债基增136%至1.42万亿；新发1216亿份 （同比+14%），主由二级债基贡献。2）绩效：全年累计收益率同比+1.1pp 至6.4%，转债基金以23.3% 收益率领跑，Q3当季最高（3.8%）；年内最大回撤-2.7%（同比-1.5pp），Q4市场震荡明显、当 季-1.7%。3）资产配置：股债仓位中枢仍80%/15%，环比加仓股票1.5pp；债券细分上增配国债2pp、金 融债10pp，减配转债7pp、企债3pp。Q4"固收+"基金规模续增、绩效回落、操作谨慎积极。1）规模续 增。整体规模环比增至1.79万亿（增幅13.8%），二级债基为增长核心（+18.1%至1.41万亿），转债基 金规模收缩4.2%至581亿。2）风险收益全面走弱。收益率环比回落3.4pp至0.4%，最大回撤走扩0.5pp 至-1.7%；风险收益比及稳健性走弱。3）纯债操作谨慎积极。久期微缩至2.9年；杠杆与持仓集中度分 化，"固收+"基金加杠杆、集中度微升，转债基金降杠杆、 ...

受访公募机构表示，当前，居民资产配置持续向金融资产转移，"固收+"产品凭借其清晰的风险收益特 征，有望成为承接稳健类资金的重要载体，市场规模或进一步增长。 "固收+"基金规模达2.99万亿元，有望成低风险理财市场"压舱石" 随着天量存款到期、低利率环境延续，"固收+"基金规模和业绩迎来"双丰收"。 "固收+"产品规模快速增长 "固收+"产品规模持续扩张。中金公司研报数据显示，截至2025年末，全市场2292只"固收+"基金规模合 计达2.99万亿元（统计一级债基、二级债基、可转债、偏债混、低仓位灵活配置基金、偏债混合型 FOF），创历史新高；环比增长9%，较去年同期增长56%。从细分品类来看，2025年四季度，二级债基 大幅扩容，最新规模达1.55万亿元，环比增长19%。 进入2026年以来，基金公司继续加大力度布局"固收+"基金，包括汇添富、富国、易方达、国泰、摩根 等多家基金公司。 兴业基金固定收益投资部总经理助理腊博表示，"固收+"产品规模快速增长是多方面因素共同影响的结 果，低利率环境是重要的背景，较低的存款利率和债券收益率难以满足投资者对收益的诉求，经济结构 转型和政策支持使市场风险偏好显著提升。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report The report analyzes the asset allocation changes of public - offering bond funds in Q4 2025. In Q4, medium - and long - term pure bond funds continued to shrink, while second - tier bond funds maintained growth. All types of bond funds increased their bond positions, with second - tier bond funds reducing their stock positions. Short - term bond funds increased leverage, medium - and long - term bond funds decreased leverage, and most bond funds reduced duration. All bond funds significantly increased their allocation to credit bonds and reduced their allocation to interest - rate bonds. There were signs of marginal credit downgrading in the top - holding bonds, and there were regional differences in the allocation of top - holding urban investment bonds. [1][2][3] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Medium - and Long - term Pure Bond Funds Shrink, Second - tier Bond Funds Grow In Q4 2025, the scale of medium - and long - term pure bond funds continued to shrink, while the scale of second - tier bond funds maintained growth. The total net asset value of the four types of bond funds was 9.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 151.2 billion yuan from the previous quarter. Medium - and long - term pure bond funds decreased by 154.9 billion yuan to 5.76 trillion yuan, short - term pure bond funds increased by 69.9 billion yuan to 1.02 trillion yuan. The first - tier bond funds decreased by 14 billion yuan to 833.1 billion yuan, and second - tier bond funds increased by 250.3 billion yuan to 1.6 trillion yuan. [1][10] 3.2 Asset Structure: Bond Positions Increase In terms of asset allocation structure, the scale contraction led medium - and long - term bond funds to reduce their bond holdings, while second - tier bond funds increased their bond allocation due to share expansion. The four types of funds collectively increased their bond holdings by 168.1 billion yuan. By the end of 2025, medium - and long - term pure bond funds, short - term pure bond funds, first - tier bond funds, and second - tier bond funds held bond market values of 6.69 trillion yuan, 1.1 trillion yuan, 941 billion yuan, and 1.42 trillion yuan respectively. Medium - and long - term pure bond funds reduced their holdings by 186.3 billion yuan, while short - term pure bond funds, first - tier bond funds, and second - tier bond funds increased their holdings by 84.2 billion yuan, 17.5 billion yuan, and 252.6 billion yuan respectively. The bond positions of all types of bond funds increased, and the stock position of second - tier bond funds decreased slightly. [18][19] 3.3 Medium - and Long - term Bond Funds Reduce Leverage and Control Duration Short - term bond funds increased leverage, while medium - and long - term bond funds decreased leverage. In Q4, short - term pure bond funds adopted a defensive coupon strategy of "increasing leverage + reducing duration", with the leverage ratio increasing by 0.26 pct to 111.66%. Medium - and long - term pure bond funds actively reduced leverage due to net redemption pressure and unstable long - term interest rates, with the leverage ratio decreasing by 0.92 pct to 115.83%. The leverage ratios of first - tier and second - tier bond funds increased by 1.58 pct and 0.82 pct to 113.53% and 111.59% respectively. Most bond funds reduced their duration exposure. The arithmetic average durations of medium - and long - term interest - rate bond funds, medium - and long - term credit bond funds, short - term interest - rate bond funds, and short - term credit bond funds in Q4 were 3.35 years, 2.38 years, 0.99 years, and 0.88 years respectively, decreasing by 0.23 years, 0.15 years, 0.19 years compared to Q3, and the short - term credit bond fund increased by 0.02 years. [28] 3.4 Bond Type Portfolio: Increase Allocation to Credit Bonds, Reduce Allocation to Interest - rate Bonds In Q4, the four types of bond funds collectively increased their credit bond holdings by 306.1 billion yuan and reduced their interest - rate bond holdings by 117.4 billion yuan. Among pure bond funds, medium - and long - term bond funds reduced interest - rate bonds and increased credit bonds, and short - term bond funds increased their credit bond allocation more than interest - rate bonds. Among bond funds with equity components, first - tier bond funds mainly increased their credit bond holdings, and second - tier bond funds increased their credit bond allocation more than interest - rate bonds. In terms of specific bond types, medium - and long - term pure bond funds mainly reduced their holdings of treasury bonds, policy - financial bonds, and financial bonds and increased their holdings of medium - term notes; short - term pure bond funds mainly increased their holdings of financial bonds, policy - financial bonds, and commercial paper; first - tier bond funds mainly increased their holdings of financial bonds; second - tier bond funds mainly increased their holdings of financial bonds and policy - financial bonds. The proportion of policy - financial bonds in the interest - rate bond portfolio of most bond funds increased. [35][43][52] 3.5 Top - holding Bond Analysis: Rating Central Tendency Migrates Downward In Q4 2025, bond funds significantly reduced their holdings of interest - rate bonds, slightly reduced their holdings of urban investment bonds, increased their holdings of convertible bonds, industrial bonds, and certificates of deposit, and slightly increased their holdings of financial bonds. There were signs of marginal credit downgrading in the top - holding bonds. Most bond funds reduced the proportion of AAA - rated bonds and increased the proportion of AA - and below - rated bonds. In terms of regional allocation of top - holding urban investment bonds, bond funds significantly reduced their holdings of urban investment bonds in Zhejiang and Anhui and increased their holdings in Sichuan and Chongqing. [55][58][65]

债券型基金分析： 2026 年 01 月 29 日 二级债基定量打分卡介绍 glmszqdatemark 风险提示：模型测算风险、基金行为偏移风险、基本面相关风险。 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 [Table_Author] 分析师 徐亮 执业证书： S0590525110037 邮箱： xliang@glms.com.cn 截面持仓特性：二级债基虽然属于债券型基金，但由于其"固收加"的属性，使得其 可以通过调整股债的配置比例，从而在权益市场较好时候获取相比纯债基金更好的 表现我们统计了目前市场上存量的 1049 只二级债基，观测这些基金在各类资产上 的配置比例（在资产总值中的配置比例）。25 年三季度，从平均配置比例来看，信 用债的配置比例最高，利率债（国债+政金债）平均配置比例为 26.2%，权益类资 产（转债+权益）的平均配置比例为 13.87%。从分位数来看，40%以上的固收加 基金都配置了至少一半的信用债。 分市场表现：投资者投资二级债基的主要原因在于其固收底带来的安全性和权益部 分带来的进攻性，我们以存续超过 36 个月的二级债基（720 ...

Performance Overview - In Q4 2025, convertible bond funds achieved a median return of 1.09%, outperforming first-level bond funds (0.6%), second-level bond funds (0.44%), and mixed bond funds (0.31%) [1] - For the entire year of 2025, the median return for convertible bond funds was 22.43%, significantly higher than first-level bond funds (2.06%), second-level bond funds (4.66%), and mixed bond funds (5.49%) [1] Fund Scale and Demand - In Q4 2025, the scale of second-level bond funds increased by 2506 billion CNY to reach 15535 billion CNY, while first-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw decreases of 142.5 billion CNY and 7 billion CNY, respectively [1] - The net subscription for second-level bond funds in Q4 2025 was 2344 billion units, while first-level bond funds faced a net redemption of 186 billion units [19] Convertible Bond Holdings - In Q4 2025, the convertible bond holdings of first-level bond funds increased by 0.32 percentage points to 7.97%, while second-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw declines of 1.07 and 0.88 percentage points, respectively [33] - Public funds focused on increasing holdings in bank bonds, as well as in sectors like new energy, cyclical stocks, and military-related bonds [40] Investment Strategy Insights - The demand for fixed-income plus funds is robust, with second-level bond funds becoming the primary vehicle for this demand, while first-level bond and convertible bond fund scales have marginally declined [3] - Institutions with equity allocation permissions are shifting their demand from first-level bond funds to second-level bond and mixed bond products due to the high valuation of convertible bonds [3]