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研报掘金|华泰证券:下调港铁目标价至29.9港元 仍维持“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-18 03:15
考虑香港车务营运成本上涨、投资物业公允价值损失,华泰证券下调港铁2025至27年各年纯利预测分别 11%、3%及17%,至各181亿、210亿及110亿元。基于分部估值法,目标价从31.9港元下调至29.9港元。 华泰证券发表研报指出,港铁公司上半年收入274亿港元,按年跌6.5%;归母净利润77.09亿港元,按年 增27.5%,惟较该行预测低约9%,主要是经常性利润低于预期(42.2亿港元)。票价方面,港铁在 2024/2025年度提价,使今年上半年票价按年提升约3%。该行考虑香港楼市复苏且公司处于交楼高峰 期,维持"增持"评级。 ...
华泰证券:下调港铁目标价至29.9港元 仍维持“增持”评级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 03:06
华泰证券发表研报指出,港铁公司上半年收入274亿港元,按年跌6.5%;归母净利润77.09亿港元,按年 增27.5%,惟较该行预测低约9%,主要是经常性利润低于预期(42.2亿港元)。票价方面,港铁在 2024/2025年度提价,使今年上半年票价按年提升约3%。该行考虑香港楼市复苏且公司处于交楼高峰 期,维持"增持"评级。考虑香港车务营运成本上涨、投资物业公允价值损失,华泰证券下调港铁2025至 27年各年纯利预测分别11%、3%及17%,至各181亿、210亿及110亿元。基于分部估值法,目标价从 31.9港元下调至29.9港元。 ...
华泰证券:上调海丰国际目标价至31港元 上调今年净利预测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 02:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that SeaLand International's revenue increased by 28% year-on-year to $1.66 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 79.7% to $630 million, exceeding the forecast of $600 million [1] - The significant growth in profitability is attributed to tariff disruptions and a substantial rise in container shipping rates in Southeast Asia [1] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the restructuring of the industry, which is expected to drive cargo growth within the Asian region, alongside a tightening supply of small and medium-sized container ships [1] Group 2 - Despite short-term fluctuations in shipping rates due to tariffs, geopolitical events, and seasonal factors, the supply-demand structure in the Asian container market is improving [1] - The report anticipates a significant increase in the price level compared to the 2010-2019 cycle [1] - Based on strong mid-term performance, the company has raised its net profit forecast for 2025 by 7% to $1.17 billion, while keeping the 2026 and 2027 profit forecasts unchanged [1] Group 3 - The target price for SeaLand International has been raised by 11% to HKD 31, based on a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 times for 2025, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调海丰国际目标价至31港元 上调今年净利预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 02:57
Core Viewpoint - Haitong Securities reports that SeaLand International's revenue increased by 28% year-on-year to $1.66 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 79.7% to $630 million, exceeding the firm's expectation of $600 million [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The significant year-on-year growth in the company's earnings is primarily driven by tariff disruptions and a substantial increase in container shipping rates in Southeast Asia [1] - The firm has raised its net profit forecast for SeaLand International for 2025 by 7% to $1.17 billion, while maintaining the profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the growth in cargo volume driven by industry restructuring in the Asian region, alongside a tightening supply of small and medium-sized container ships [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations in shipping rates due to tariffs, geopolitical events, and seasonal factors, the supply-demand structure in the Asian container market is improving, with a significant increase in the price level compared to the 2010-2019 cycle [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Based on a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 times for 2025, the target price for SeaLand International has been raised by 11% to HKD 31, with a "Buy" rating maintained [1]
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调网易云音乐目标价至360.42港元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 02:57
Core Insights - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 3.827 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year decrease of 6% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 1.946 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 121%, primarily due to effective cost control [1] - The company is focused on building a comprehensive and differentiated content ecosystem, with stable growth in core online music service revenue [1] Financial Performance - The profit exceeded expectations mainly due to good cost and expense management [1] - The company has completed adjustments to its product pages in the first quarter, and future revenue from social entertainment services is expected to remain relatively stable [1] - The forecast for adjusted net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is set at 3.091 billion, 2.656 billion, and 2.983 billion yuan respectively, with increases of 61%, 29%, and 36% [1] Valuation and Ratings - The target price for NetEase Cloud Music has been raised from 205.47 HKD to 360.42 HKD [1] - The rating remains "Buy" [1]
华泰证券:上调网易云音乐目标价至360.42港元 维持“买入”评级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 02:52
华泰证券发表研报指,网易云音乐上半年财报收入38.27亿元(年减6%);经调整净利润为19.46亿元(年增 121%)。利润超预期主要得益于良好的成本费用控制。公司专注于打造全面且差异化的内容生态,核心 在线音乐服务收入稳健增长,在营运效率持续优化下利润率有望进一步提升。该行表示,网易云音乐产 品页面调整已于第一季基本完成,预期未来社交娱乐业务收入将维持相对稳定。考虑到公司2025年上半 年毛利率及销售费用率优化优于预期,经营杠杆有望持续兑现,并考量一次性递延税项影响,该行预测 其2025、2026、2027年调整后归母净利润分别为30.91亿、26.56亿、29.83亿元(上调61%、29%、36%)。 该行对其目标价从205.47港元上调至360.42港元,维持"买入"评级。 ...
华泰证券:不排除此后新型政策性金融工具、或类似的由政策性银行主导的金融工具将进一步扩容
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The first batch of new policy financial tools is expected to be 500 billion yuan, aimed at providing capital supplementation for investment projects in key support areas [1] Group 1: Financial Tools Overview - The new policy financial tools may expand further in the future, potentially led by policy banks [1] - Funding sources for these tools may include policy bank financial bond issuance and loans from the central bank to policy banks [1] Group 2: Supported Sectors - The first batch of tools primarily supports eight key areas: digital economy, artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, infrastructure in the consumer sector, green and low-carbon transition, agriculture and rural development, transportation and logistics, and municipal and industrial parks [1] Group 3: Investment Details - The financial tools will supplement capital for major projects through shareholder loans or equity investments by fund companies established by three major policy banks [1] - The funding provided by these tools will not exceed 50% of the project capital, with the possibility of increasing to 80% for key sectors or industries [1] - The investment term is set for over 5 years, with an interest rate of approximately 2.5% [1]
华泰证券:股市流动性充裕仍是行情的主要驱动
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-18 00:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, driven by active trading funds and abundant market liquidity [1] - Financial data indicates a divergence in entity credit and M1 year-on-year, with traditional industries showing overall weakness; however, deposit data reflects signs of resident funds entering the market, suggesting that if the stock market can create a sustained profit effect, liquid deposits could be a potential incremental source of funds in the future [1] - Currently, the entry of resident funds into the market is primarily through leveraging existing funds, as evidenced by the sustained high activity of leveraged funds, an improvement in new account openings, public fund issuance, and private fund registrations, although the rate of increase is limited; ETFs have seen overall net outflows in the past month, with increasing industry differentiation [1] Group 2 - Foreign and insurance capital are also potential incremental sources of funds, with recent activity levels showing an increase [1] - The market trend is strong, and it is recommended to maintain a relatively high position in the market [1]
华泰证券:肉与奶或将实现周期共振,上游龙头乳企的利润与估值弹性有望显现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:06
华泰证券指出,肉牛周期正步入上行阶段,供给端去化主导本轮行情。我们测算25-27年国内牛肉总供 给同比-3.3%/-6.4%/+1.3%,供需缺口最高达26年的147万吨/年,牛价高点或于28年底显现。本轮牛价上 涨幅度或超上一轮(18年7月至22年10月牛肉价格上涨38%),主因全球牛肉周期向上的背景下进口冲 击减弱,且国内产能传导时滞(能繁母牛补栏至商品牛出栏需24-28个月)放大供需错配。标的推荐 上,肉与奶或将实现周期共振,上游龙头乳企的利润与估值弹性有望显现。 ...
华泰证券:AI链、创新药、军工、大金融仍是战略配置重点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, driven by active trading funds and ample market liquidity [1] - Financial data indicates a divergence in entity credit and M1 year-on-year, with traditional industries showing overall weakness; deposit data reflects signs of resident funds entering the market, suggesting that if the stock market can create a sustained profit effect, the liquid deposits could be a potential incremental source in the future [1] - Currently, the entry of resident funds into the market is primarily through leveraging existing funds, as evidenced by the continuous increase in the activity of leveraged funds, while the number of new accounts, public fund issuance, and private fund registrations have improved but with limited slope; ETFs have seen overall net outflows in the past month, with increasing industry differentiation [1] Group 2 - Foreign and insurance capital are also potential incremental funds worth monitoring, as their activity levels have recently increased [1] - The market trend is strong, and it is recommended to maintain a relatively high position; strategic allocations should focus on AI chains, innovative pharmaceuticals, military industry, and large financial sectors, with an internal adjustment to high and low positions [1] - Within AI, attention should be paid to domestic computing power and AI applications, while in pharmaceuticals, the focus should be on externally driven CDMO [1]