Core Insights - Bilibili (NASDAQ: BILI) has shown strong performance since initial coverage in April, with significant progress in cost-cutting efforts [1] - The company's gross margin reached 36% in Q1 2025, surpassing management's expectations [1] Company Performance - The focus on cost-cutting has positively impacted Bilibili's financial metrics, indicating effective management strategies [1] - The improvement in gross margin reflects the company's ability to enhance profitability amidst competitive pressures [1] Analyst Perspective - The analyst expresses a potential interest in initiating a long position in Bilibili, indicating a positive outlook on the company's future performance [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - In June 2025, the media sector (Shenwan Media Index) rose by 8.40%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 5.90 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 industries [12][17] - The current TTM-PE for the Shenwan Media Index is 47.9x, positioned at the 87th percentile over the past five years, indicating a relatively high valuation [17] - Notable stock performances included Giant Network, Lianjian Optoelectronics, and ST Guangwang with significant gains, while Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism and Youzu Network faced declines [20] Group 2: Gaming Sector - A total of 147 domestic games and 11 imported games were approved in June, maintaining a high level of issuance, with 812 game licenses granted in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.9% [23] - The Chinese gaming market generated revenue of 28.1 billion yuan in May, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth, with mobile games achieving 21.2 billion yuan in revenue, up 12% [26] - The gaming sector is expected to see upward valuation adjustments driven by new product launches, regulatory policies, and AI applications [2][4] Group 3: Film and Television Sector - The total box office in June reached 1.906 billion yuan, down 14.6% year-on-year, but showing a 9.7% month-on-month increase [50] - The top five films in June included "Mission: Impossible 8" and "Detective Conan: The Eye of the One-Horned," indicating a gradual recovery in box office performance [53] - The summer film season is critical, with over 60 films scheduled for release, and the performance of new films like "731" and "The Lychee of Chang'an" is being closely monitored [61] Group 4: AI Applications - The 2025 Global Unicorn List highlighted SpaceX, ByteDance, and OpenAI as the top three companies, with valuations of 2.6 trillion yuan and 2.2 trillion yuan respectively [77] - OpenAI launched the Deep Research API, designed for advanced analysis and deep information synthesis, indicating significant advancements in AI capabilities [78] - ByteDance introduced the VINCIE-3B image editing model and the EX-4D video generation framework, showcasing breakthroughs in AI-driven content creation [80][84]

Industry Trends - The gaming industry is projected to generate $234 billion (approximately 1.68 trillion RMB) in revenue by 2025, with about $71 billion (approximately 508.66 billion RMB) directed towards technology suppliers [3] Domestic Company News - Perfect World has launched an internal anti-corruption investigation, revealing that 8 current and former employees are suspected of colluding with suppliers and engaging in misconduct, leading to a police report [5] - Bilibili (B站) reported the arrest of its former game cooperation department general manager for serious job-related crimes during his tenure [6] - NetEase has halted the development of its single-player strategy game "Wanmin Changge: Three Kingdoms," which was under the supervision of its tenth business unit [7] - Tencent's QQ client will now support running WeChat mini-programs, allowing developers to migrate existing QQ mini-programs to WeChat for better interface support and dual traffic benefits [8] - Kaixin Network has launched an AI development platform named "SOON," aimed at providing automated solutions for game developers from art asset generation to code deployment [10] Overseas News - Xbox head Phil Spencer confirmed that Microsoft will conduct large-scale layoffs in its gaming division as part of a broader plan to cut over 9,000 jobs, affecting various departments including Bethesda's London office [11] - Blizzard Entertainment announced that "Warcraft: Battle for Azeroth" will only support regular system events and bug fixes, with no new content updates due to layoffs impacting the development team [11]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong internet sector is experiencing a competitive landscape, highlighted by a significant promotional battle between Alibaba's Ele.me and Meituan, indicating aggressive market share acquisition strategies [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 7, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index (931637) decreased by 0.46%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3]. - Notable gainers included Zhong An Online (06060) up 5.52%, Ping An Good Doctor (01833) up 3.23%, and Dongfang Zhenxuan (01797) up 3.11% [3]. - Conversely, Kingdee International (00268) led the declines at 4.29%, followed by Kingsoft (03888) down 4.06% and Yimaitong (02192) down 2.92% [3]. - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (159568) saw a slight increase of 0.06%, closing at 1.67 yuan, with a 1.21% rise over the past two weeks [3]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - The Hong Kong Internet ETF recorded a turnover of 20.01% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 63.6452 million yuan, indicating active market participation [3]. - Over the past year, the ETF has averaged daily trading volume of 174 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Investment Outlook - According to CICC, the internet sector has entered a new investment cycle since 2025, with AI, overseas expansion, and instant retail emerging as key focus areas [4]. - The Hong Kong Internet ETF has shown a net value increase of 47.93% over the past year, ranking 218 out of 2897 index funds, placing it in the top 7.53% [4]. - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 30.31%, with a historical one-year holding profitability rate of 100% [4]. Group 4: Valuation and Tracking Accuracy - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index is 21.75, indicating a valuation below 89.06% of the past year, suggesting historical low valuation levels [5]. - The ETF has the highest tracking accuracy among comparable funds, with a tracking error of 0.052% over the past three months [5]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 72.11% of the total, including major players like Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Tencent Holdings (00700), and Alibaba-W (09988) [5].

证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 7 月 7 日 晨会纪要 当前，比亚迪"迪链"为代表的供应链金融模式，已不仅是单纯的结算工具，而是 逐步演化为一种深刻重塑企业核心竞争力与风险轮廓的复杂金融战略。供应商将"迪 链"层层流转，最终将"迪链"用于银行贷款，这在效果上，相当于比亚迪将自身 的信用和现金流压力部分转移给了供应链，利用供应商的融资能力来支持自身的高 速扩张。 2024 年末，名义上，比亚迪的债务仅有 286 亿元，但算上"迪链"后的广义债务规 模达到了 5000 多亿元；比亚迪流动资产约 3710 亿元，代表现金流上出现了 1000 多亿缺口，显示出较高的财务杠杆和潜在的流动性风险。销售量的下跌会导致现金 流的进一步减少，负债比例会迅速攀升，影响到"迪链"的稳定性，导致系统性崩 盘。因此，在当前模式下，比亚迪对销量的要求是非常高的，比亚迪开展的一系列 大降价可能反映了其为了维持规模和市场份额所面临的巨大压力。 这种极具争议的高杠杆运营模式正在成为行业的核心竞争力，各车企纷纷跟进推动 自家的"迪链"，这可能导致行业集体暴雷，使监管层面临两难局面。强力监管， 可能导致行业出现大规模的流动性危机；放任不管 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on July 7, but stablecoin concept stocks rose, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (513860) showing a year-to-date increase of over 27% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of 10:20 AM, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (513860) was flat after a pullback, with notable individual stock performances including Health Road up over 17% and Kuaishou-W up over 3% [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index increased by 30.85% as of July 4, 2025, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 19.22% and the Hang Seng Technology Index by 16.74% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows - According to Wind data, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (513860) saw a net inflow of 240 million yuan over the past five days, 520 million yuan over the past three months, and 657 million yuan year-to-date [1] Group 3: IPO Activity - In the first half of 2025, there were 42 IPOs in Hong Kong, raising over 107 billion HKD, which is approximately 22% more than the total for the previous year, making Hong Kong the global leader in IPO fundraising [1] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - The Hang Seng Index had a TTM price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.68 as of July 1, 2025, with a historical percentile of 63.98% and a dividend yield of 3.93% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index had a TTM P/E ratio of 20.10, with a historical percentile of 8.95%, indicating a relatively low valuation level [1]

Group 1 - Bilibili (09626.HK) shares have increased by 5% [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley's long position in Bilibili (09626.HK) has increased from 4.57% to 5.10% as of June 25 [1]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" rating, indicating a positive outlook for the gaming sector with expectations of outperforming the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - In June 2025, the National Press and Publication Administration approved 147 domestic game licenses and 11 imported game licenses, showing a significant increase compared to the same period in 2024, which is expected to boost market confidence in the gaming industry [4]. - Key games approved include titles from major companies such as Tencent, NetEase, and Giant Network, which are anticipated to contribute positively to their financial performance [4]. - The report highlights the strong performance of several companies, including Tencent's long-standing games, Giant Network's new releases, and the proactive measures taken by companies like Kaiying Network in AI gaming [4]. Company Summaries - **Kaiying Network**: Market cap of 37.5 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.98 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Giant Network**: Market cap of 41.4 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.84 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Yaoji Technology**: Market cap of 11.2 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 1.79 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Shenzhou Taiyue**: Market cap of 22.1 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.65 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **G-bits**: Market cap of 19.8 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 14.80 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. Industry Scale - The gaming industry consists of 161 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 1,740.9 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 1,580.9 billion [2]. Industry Index Performance - The absolute performance of the industry over the last 12 months is 42.6%, indicating strong growth [3]. - Relative performance metrics show positive trends, with expectations of continued growth in the coming months [3]. Related Reports - The report references several related analyses that discuss ongoing trends and performance in the gaming sector, highlighting the continuous improvement in revenue and the emergence of new gaming titles [3].

Bilibili (BILI) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade primarily reflects an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked by the system.The power ...