Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Tuhu-W (09690) is expected to achieve double-digit revenue growth and stable profit margins in the second half of the year, with a potential recovery in profit growth by 2026 [1] - The target price for Tuhu-W has been raised from HKD 21 to HKD 25, based on an 18 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - In the first half of the year, Tuhu outperformed the industry through consumer insights and supply chain management technology, with revenue showing accelerated year-on-year growth [1] Group 2 - The company managed to improve gross profit margins on a quarter-on-quarter basis despite downward pressure on average transaction value by optimizing product category structure and supply chain management [1] - Operating expense ratios continued to show an optimizing trend, indicating effective cost management [1] - The performance and store opening progress in the first half of 2025 were generally in line with expectations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Tuhu-W (09690) is expected to achieve double-digit revenue growth and stable profit margins in the second half of the year, with a potential recovery in profit trends by 2026, leading to an adjustment in valuation based on an 18x P/E ratio for 2026, raising the target price from HKD 21 to HKD 25 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1 - In the first half of the year, Tuhu outperformed the industry through insights from the consumer end and supply chain management technology [1] - The performance and store expansion in the first half of 2025 were generally in line with expectations, with revenue showing accelerated year-on-year growth [1] - Despite downward pressure on average transaction value, Tuhu improved its gross profit margin quarter-on-quarter by optimizing product category structure and supply chain management, while also continuing to optimize operating expense ratios [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Tuhu-W (09690) achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 11% to 7.9 billion RMB in the first half of the year, surpassing the 8% growth rate from the second half of last year, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit for the period increased by 15% year-on-year, exceeding expectations, primarily driven by non-operating income and revenue [1] - For the second half of the year, revenue is expected to grow by 11% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit projected to increase by 33% to 354 million RMB [1] Forecasts and Target Price - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 remain largely unchanged, while adjusted net profit forecasts have been raised by 0 to 3% [1] - The target price has been increased from 21.9 HKD to 22.4 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

汽车/汽车服务 途虎-W（09690.HK） 2025 年 08 月 25 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/8/22 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 20.740 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 25.000/14.360 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 170.86 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 170.86 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.24 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 8.24 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 14.26 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 途虎-W 恒生指数 相关研究报告 《收入规模稳定增长，门店扩张坚持 下沉战略—港股公司信息更新报告》 -2025.3.23 《门店维持高速扩张，利润率稳步提 升 — 港 股 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.9.3 门店持续扩张，精细化运营赋能增长韧性 ——港股公司信息更新报告 | 殷晟路（分析师） | 陈诺（分析师） | | --- | --- | | yinshenglu@kysec ...

Core Viewpoint - Tuhu Car Maintenance has demonstrated robust and high-quality growth in its mid-2025 performance, adhering to a dual-track strategy of "domestic brands breaking through upwards and international brands rooting downwards" while deepening efficiency across the entire supply chain [1] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, Tuhu Car Maintenance achieved total revenue of 7.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.5% from 7.1 billion RMB in 2024, maintaining its position as the leading independent automotive service provider in China [2][3] - Gross profit reached nearly 2 billion RMB, up 7.4% year-on-year, with adjusted EBITDA of 483 million RMB, reflecting a 7.5% increase [4] - Adjusted net profit was 410 million RMB, a 14.6% increase year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability and quality [4] User Growth and Store Expansion - The user base expanded significantly, with 26.5 million cumulative trading users, a 23.8% increase year-on-year, and an average monthly active user count of 13.5 million, up 17.5% [6][8] - The number of Tuhu workshops reached 7,205, a 14.2% increase from 6,311 in 2024, with over 60% of new stores located in second-tier and lower cities [8][10] Brand and Service Enhancement - Tuhu Car Maintenance has invested in brand building and service experience, appointing Han Han as the first "professional image ambassador" to enhance brand trust [9] - The company established the "Gold Medal Film Testing Center" for product evaluation and improved customer service through an AI-driven intelligent customer service system, leading to a 2% increase in conversion rates and a 7% rise in customer satisfaction [9] Strategic Initiatives and New Business Development - The company is pursuing a dual-track strategy while actively developing new business areas, including tire and maintenance services, with significant growth in fast repair and electric vehicle services [11][13] - The fast repair business saw over 60% revenue growth, while the electric vehicle segment experienced an 83.5% increase in trading users, indicating strong market demand [14] Future Outlook - The automotive aftermarket is expected to continue growing due to increasing vehicle ownership and aging vehicle structures, with Tuhu Car Maintenance well-positioned to leverage its user-store synergy and ongoing strategic initiatives to maintain its industry leadership [14]

Core Viewpoint - Tuhu Car Maintenance has demonstrated robust and high-quality growth in its mid-2025 performance, adhering to a dual-track strategy of "domestic brands breaking through upwards and international brands rooting downwards" [1] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, Tuhu Car Maintenance achieved total revenue of 7.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.5% from 7.1 billion RMB in 2024, maintaining its position as the leading independent automotive service provider in China [2][3] - Gross profit reached approximately 2 billion RMB, up 7.4% year-on-year, while adjusted EBITDA was 483 million RMB, reflecting a 7.5% increase [4] - Adjusted net profit was 410 million RMB, a significant rise of 14.6% compared to 358 million RMB in the previous year, indicating enhanced profitability and quality [4] User Growth and Store Expansion - Tuhu Car Maintenance's user base expanded significantly, with 26.5 million cumulative trading users, a 23.8% increase year-on-year, and an average monthly active user count of 13.5 million, up 17.5% [7][8] - The number of Tuhu workshops reached 7,205, a 14.2% increase from the previous year, with over 60% of new stores located in second-tier and lower cities [10][8] Operational Efficiency and Cost Control - The company has implemented various measures to enhance operational efficiency and control costs, including the "Tuhu New Youth" project to support new franchisees and the "10 Billion Subsidy, 10,000 Stores Together" initiative [10] - AI video recognition technology has been utilized to improve hygiene and compliance governance, enhancing user satisfaction with store environments [10] Dual-Track Strategy and Emerging Business - Tuhu Car Maintenance is committed to its dual-track strategy, focusing on upgrading its product matrix while actively developing emerging businesses [11] - The tire business has seen significant growth, with a focus on high-end products and a notable increase in sales in lower-tier cities [11] - The fast repair and new energy vehicle sectors have shown strong performance, with fast repair revenue growing over 60% year-on-year and new energy vehicle transactions increasing by 83.5% [12][11] Future Outlook - The automotive aftermarket is expected to continue growing due to increasing vehicle ownership and aging vehicle structures, with Tuhu Car Maintenance poised to maintain its industry leadership and create long-term value for stakeholders [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 7.88 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, and a net profit of 310 million yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit reaching 410 million yuan, reflecting a 14.6% increase year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's adjusted net profit margin was 5.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 25.2%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a shift in consumer preference towards cost-effective products [2] - Operating profit margin slightly decreased to 2.8% year-on-year, but improved by 1.3 percentage points compared to H2 2024, indicating stable overall profitability [2] Group 2: Business Expansion and User Growth - As of June 30, 2025, the company expanded its store network to 7,205 locations, a net increase of 331 stores from the beginning of the year, with over 60% of new stores located in second-tier and lower-tier cities [1] - The total number of transaction users reached 26.5 million, a year-on-year growth of 23.8%, maintaining a user satisfaction rate of 95% and a repurchase rate of 64% [1] - The company is accelerating its penetration in the new energy sector, with over 12% of total users on the platform being new energy transaction users, surpassing the industry penetration rate [1] Group 3: Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from tires and chassis components in H1 2025 was 3.29 billion yuan, up 10.5% year-on-year, driven by optimized online promotion and store network expansion [1] - Revenue from automotive maintenance reached 2.91 billion yuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year, supported by the growing average age of passenger vehicles and enhanced customer loyalty [1] - Revenue from other products and services, including cleaning and maintenance, was 1.26 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, driven by the introduction of cleaning and beauty services in more stores [1] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 from 806 million yuan and 1.021 billion yuan to 753 million yuan and 860 million yuan, respectively, while adding a forecast of 953 million yuan for 2027 [2] - The company maintains a long-term growth potential and investment opportunities, with a "buy" rating upheld [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][3]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.88 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.5%, and an adjusted net profit of 410 million yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year, indicating robust revenue growth and profit exceeding expectations [2][6]. - The long-term profit growth potential is viewed positively due to the company's solid market competitiveness and ongoing expansion of its store network [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 13.601 billion yuan - 2024: 14.759 billion yuan (growth of 8.5%) - 2025E: 16.364 billion yuan (growth of 10.9%) - 2026E: 17.737 billion yuan (growth of 8.4%) - 2027E: 19.106 billion yuan (growth of 7.7%) [3][8]. - Adjusted net profit estimates are: - 2023: 481 million yuan - 2024: 624 million yuan (growth of 29.7%) - 2025E: 786 million yuan (growth of 25.9%) - 2026E: 899 million yuan (growth of 14.4%) - 2027E: 1.051 billion yuan (growth of 16.9%) [3][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (Non-GAAP) are projected to be: - 2023: 0.59 yuan - 2024: 0.76 yuan - 2025E: 0.96 yuan - 2026E: 1.10 yuan - 2027E: 1.28 yuan [3][9]. Market Position and Expansion - As of the first half of 2025, the company has expanded its store network to 7,205 locations, a net increase of 894 stores year-on-year, with a coverage rate of 70% in counties with over 20,000 passenger vehicles [6][8]. - The company has seen a 23.8% year-on-year increase in transaction users on its app, reaching 26.5 million, with an average monthly active user count of 13.5 million, up 17.5% year-on-year [6][8]. Valuation - The target valuation for the company is set at 26.3 HKD per share, with the current stock price at 20.74 HKD [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the virtual assets sector, particularly following the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, which has led to a rebound in virtual assets [1][3]. Core Insights - The enthusiasm for the revaluation of Chinese assets continues, with expectations of increased liquidity and valuation uplift for Chinese stocks, particularly in the context of upcoming earnings reports [3][16]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the gaming sector, projecting the Chinese gaming market to reach 29.1 billion yuan by July 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 8.14% and a year-on-year growth of 4.62% [2][19]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing trends in blockchain and virtual assets, suggesting that institutions in Greater China will actively seek related investments in Hong Kong stocks [3][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Education Sector - The education index increased by 1.83%, underperforming compared to major indices like the CSI 300 and the SSE 50 [12]. - Key players such as New Oriental and TAL Education saw declines of 1.86% and 4.98%, respectively, indicating competitive pressures in the K12 education sector [12][19]. 2. Luxury Goods - The S&P Global Luxury Goods Index rose by 3.82%, with notable performances from high-end brands like Hermes and Richemont [19]. - The report notes a significant decline in new store openings in the luxury sector, particularly in non-first-tier cities, which saw a 48% drop [26]. 3. Coffee and Tea Drinks - The coffee sector remains robust, with a notable increase in consumer demand, while the tea drink segment faces increased competition [5][25]. - The report highlights the performance of various coffee brands, with Luckin Coffee opening new stores and expanding its market presence [30]. 4. E-commerce - The Hang Seng Internet Technology Index showed a slight increase of 0.29%, with Pinduoduo and Dingdong Maicai leading in stock performance [31]. - Alibaba has restructured its business into four main divisions, aiming to enhance operational efficiency [35]. 5. Streaming Platforms - The report indicates a slight decline in the media index, with a focus on improving content supply for long-video platforms [32][40]. - The performance of major streaming services like iQIYI and Tencent Music varied, with iQIYI reporting a revenue decline of 11% [41]. 6. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $412.39 billion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices showing slight fluctuations [42]. - The report suggests a positive trend for virtual assets, with institutions increasingly entering the market [3][42]. 7. Real Estate Transactions - Recent data shows a continued decline in second-hand housing transactions in major cities, indicating ongoing pressure in the real estate market [36]. 8. Automotive Services - The report notes a rise in losses among automotive dealers, with a 52.6% loss ratio reported for the first half of the year [5]. 9. Media and Entertainment - The report highlights the implementation of new policies aimed at enriching content supply for television platforms, which may improve the industry's outlook [40]. 10. Overall Market Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring market sentiment and the performance of key sectors, particularly in light of macroeconomic conditions and regulatory changes [3][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with a focus on increasing market share despite a challenging market environment [2][3] - The company achieved revenue of 7.88 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [10] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its standardized services and cost-effective products, leading to sustained growth in market share [3] Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.606 billion yuan in 2023, 14.759 billion yuan in 2024, 16.284 billion yuan in 2025, 17.926 billion yuan in 2026, and 19.658 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.67%, 8.47%, 10.34%, 10.08%, and 9.66% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 6.703 billion yuan in 2023, 483.79 million yuan in 2024, 545.87 million yuan in 2025, 653.23 million yuan in 2026, and 747.03 million yuan in 2027, with significant fluctuations in growth rates [1] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 25.2%, slightly down by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a shift in consumer preference towards cost-effective products [4] Market Expansion and User Growth - The company expanded its store network to 7,205 locations by June 30, 2025, a net increase of 331 stores from the beginning of the year, with over 60% of new stores located in second-tier and lower-tier cities [10] - The total number of transaction users reached 26.5 million, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, maintaining a user satisfaction rate of 95% and a repurchase rate of 64% [10] Financial Forecasts - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised to 7.53 billion yuan and 8.60 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 9.53 billion yuan [11] - The company is expected to maintain a stable long-term growth outlook, with a price-to-earnings ratio projected at 21, 18, and 16 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11]