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2026年碳酸锂基本面或重归紧平衡
近期,宜春八矿中已有两矿更新进度,处于换证进程中。 自然资源部采矿许可信息查验系统显示,宜春国轩矿业有限责任公司的水南矿开采主矿种已变更为"锂 矿",说明已经进入换证阶段。同样,宁德时代枧下窝锂矿的开采主矿种也变更为"锂矿"。此前,枧下 窝锂矿已于2025年12月18日进入第一次环评公示阶段,公示期为10个工作日。 关于换证停产问题,国轩高科回应记者称,目前也在了解情况,以公司公开信息为准。 按照有关法规,换证期间矿山应处于停产状态。《矿产资源开采登记管理办法》规定,变更主要开采矿 种的,采矿权人应当在采矿许可证有效期内,向登记管理机关申请变更登记。任何单位和个人未领取采 矿许可证擅自采矿的,由登记管理机关依照有关法律、行政法规的规定予以处罚。 新的采矿许可证下达或仍需等待较长周期。一位业内知情人士告诉记者,矿山企业申请变更开采主矿 种,是矿业权管理中的重大变更登记事项之一,其办理周期长、流程复杂、不确定性高。通常,一个完 整的变更流程至少需要1.5年至3年甚至更长时间,具体周期受项目基础、地区政策、审批层级等因素影 响巨大。其中,如涉及重做或重大变更,环评报告需重新报批,整个过程包括编制、公示、评审、批 复 ...
天齐锂业成注册品牌,酸锂期货定价效率或将进一步提升
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2026-01-26 07:12
"天齐锂业"牌被正式纳入广州期货交易所碳酸锂期货注册品牌,标志着其产品从"可交割"升级为"品牌 交割品",是企业核心竞争力在金融市场的权威认证,构成多维度战略利好。 1月22日,广期所发布公告称,新增天齐锂业股份有限公司"天齐锂业"牌为碳酸锂期货注册品牌,新增 的注册品牌自2026年2月2日起启用。 据悉,此前天齐锂业已成为碳酸锂期货指定交割库,成为注册品牌后,天齐锂业可实现"交割厂库+注 册品牌"双布局,成为全国唯一同时拥有碳酸锂期货交割厂库资质与注册品牌的锂企。 资讯编辑:周小燕 021-26096760 资讯监督:乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉:陈跃进 021-26093100 免责声明:Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容,仅供客户参考,不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有,转载需取得Mysteel书面授 权,且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络,目的在于传递更多信息,方 便学习与交流,并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。 据悉,为更好发挥碳酸锂期货功能,广期所于2025年5月15日发布了征集碳酸锂 ...
碳酸锂周报:碳酸锂市场冲高回落,政策扰动与需求现实博弈加剧-20260126
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2026-01-26 03:32
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate market has experienced a sharp rise and then a fall, with intensified games between policy disturbances and demand realities. The market is currently in a high - level wide - range oscillation stage, and the core contradiction lies in the game between the expected supply contraction caused by policy disturbances on the supply side and the weak demand reality of new - energy vehicles downstream. It is expected that the lithium carbonate price will enter a high - level oscillation and consolidation stage in the next 1 - 2 weeks [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Salt Market Introduction - **Price Changes**: The battery - grade lithium carbonate spot price increased by 12.33% to 156,250 yuan/ton this week. The futures price of lithium carbonate rose 1.94% to 146,200 yuan/ton. The spot prices of lithium hydroxide also had significant increases, with the price of electric - carbon (coarse particles) rising 14.02% to 150,500 yuan/ton, electric - carbon (fine powder) rising 13.48% to 155,700 yuan/ton, and industrial - carbon rising 14.60% to 145,200 yuan/ton [2][4]. - **Premium Changes**: The premium of different raw materials and enterprises has changed to varying degrees. For example, the premium of spodumene raw materials increased by 100 yuan, and the premium of Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. increased by 200 yuan [7]. Lithium Salt Fundamentals - **Supply**: The domestic lithium carbonate capacity utilization rate remained at a high level of 87.14% with no week - on - week change. The supply side is mainly affected by news such as overseas mining rights policies and domestic environmental protection actions, and there is an expected long - term supply contraction. The production of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide in China and their production in different regions and from different raw materials are also involved in the report, but specific data are not detailed here [2]. - **Demand**: Downstream demand is differentiated. The production start - up rate of energy - storage cells has increased, but the new - energy vehicle sales data in early January decreased significantly year - on - year. The production schedule of cathode material factories in January is expected to decline month - on - month, and procurement is mainly for rigid demand [2]. - **Import and Export**: The salable inventory of port lithium ore traders decreased by 4.83% to 13.8 tons week - on - week, indicating a tight supply of imported raw materials. The freight cost of some routes increased slightly, such as the Nigeria route, which increased by 6.67% week - on - week [2][27]. - **Inventory**: The exchange warehouse receipt inventory increased by 8.27% to 27,458 lots, with significant increases in warehouses such as Jiangsu Benniu Port and Shanghai Xiangyu Sichuan Warehouse, indicating that spot goods are flowing into the futures market and inventory pressure has increased [2][40]. - **Cost and Profit**: The production cost of externally purchased lithium concentrate increased by 3.1% to 158,106 yuan/ton, higher than the futures closing price. The production profit decreased by 86.98% to - 1,856 yuan/ton, showing the effect of cost support [2]. Lithium - Battery Fundamentals - **Market and Supply of Cathode Materials**: The report involves the market and supply of cathode materials, including production volume and price, but specific data are not detailed [44][46]. - **Supply of Electrolytes**: The price and production volume of electrolytes are also mentioned, but specific data are not detailed [48]. - **Demand for Cathode Materials**: The consumption of cathode materials is involved, but specific data are not detailed [50]. - **Import and Export of Lithium - Battery Materials and Batteries**: The import and export of lithium - battery materials and batteries are mentioned, but specific data are not detailed [52][54]. - **Cost and Profit of Ternary Materials**: The cost and profit of ternary materials are involved, but specific data are not detailed [56]. - **Lithium - Battery Recycling**: Lithium - battery recycling is mentioned, but specific data are not detailed [58]. - **New - Energy Vehicle Production and Sales**: The production and sales of new - energy vehicles and other important data are involved, but specific data are not detailed [60][62].
嘉实新能源新材料股票A:2025年第四季度利润5844.23万元 净值增长率2.04%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-25 11:23
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and strategic adjustments of the Jiashi New Energy Materials Stock A Fund, indicating a positive growth trajectory and a focus on resource-oriented upstream assets in the new energy sector [2][3]. Fund Performance - The fund reported a profit of 58.44 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0539 yuan [2]. - The net asset value (NAV) growth rate for the fund was 2.04% during the reporting period, with a total fund size of 2.855 billion yuan as of the end of Q4 [2][15]. - As of January 22, the fund's one-year compounded NAV growth rate reached 71.59%, ranking 4th among comparable funds [3]. Comparative Performance - Over the past three months, the fund's compounded NAV growth rate was 15.47%, ranking 11th out of 39 comparable funds [3]. - The fund's six-month compounded NAV growth rate was 57.48%, placing it 3rd among its peers [3]. - The fund's three-year Sharpe ratio was 0.5367, ranking 12th out of 32 comparable funds [8]. Risk and Exposure - The fund's maximum drawdown over the past three years was 55.48%, ranking 28th out of 32 comparable funds, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2022 at 24.88% [9]. - The average stock position over the past three years was 91.63%, higher than the industry average of 87.73%, with a peak position of 94.62% at the end of 2023 [12]. Holdings and Strategy - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with stable stock targets. As of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings included companies like CATL, Salt Lake Potash, and Huayou Cobalt [19]. - The fund management indicated a strategic shift towards increasing exposure to upstream assets related to lithium carbonate, cobalt, and nickel, in response to macroeconomic and market conditions [2].
能源金属行业周报:碳酸锂价格短期或继续上行,看好价格重估背景下的关键金属全面行情-20260125
HUAXI Securities· 2026-01-25 11:07
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]
有色金属大宗金属周报(2026/1/19-2026/1/23):库存累积,铜铝价格高位震荡-20260125
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-01-25 09:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]
长江新能源产业混合型A:2025年第四季度利润1224.32万元 净值增长率10.18%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 08:44
Core Insights - The AI Fund Changjiang New Energy Industry Mixed A (011446) reported a profit of 12.24 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.1594 yuan. The fund's net value growth rate for the reporting period was 10.18%, and the fund size reached 123 million yuan by the end of Q4 2025 [2][13]. Fund Performance - As of January 21, the fund's unit net value was 1.932 yuan. Over the past year, the fund achieved a cumulative growth rate of 76.8%, outperforming its peers [2]. - The fund's performance over different time frames includes a 27.27% growth rate over the past three months, ranking 7 out of 621 comparable funds, and a 59.78% growth rate over the past six months, ranking 27 out of 621 [3]. Investment Strategy - The fund focuses on the new energy industry and its upstream and downstream sectors, seeking opportunities in supply-demand reversals and technological advancements within the industry. The management plans to continue tracking and identifying investment opportunities in these areas [2]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is 0.6629, ranking 173 out of 526 comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 43.48%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q2 2022 at 21.13% [9]. Portfolio Composition - As of December 31, the fund's average stock position over the past three years was 78.37%, compared to the industry average of 85.83%. The fund reached its highest stock position of 86.26% at the end of 2021 and its lowest of 72.55% by the end of Q3 2024 [12]. - The top ten holdings of the fund include Tianqi Lithium, Huayou Cobalt, CATL, Tianhua New Energy, Yongxing Materials, China National Materials, Liyuanheng, Guoci Materials, Sifang Co., and Keda Technology [16].
天齐锂业:截至2026年1月20日公司A股股东户数为284897户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-23 13:26
证券日报网讯 1月23日,天齐锂业在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2026年1月20日,公司A股股 东户数为284897户,公司A股股东中机构股东户数为3883户。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
业内首家!天齐锂业成注册品牌,酸锂期货定价效率或将进一步提升
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2026-01-23 07:37
Core Viewpoint - The inclusion of Tianqi Lithium's brand as a registered brand for lithium carbonate futures at the Guangzhou Futures Exchange signifies a strategic advantage, enhancing the company's market credibility and operational efficiency [1][2]. Group 1: Brand Registration Impact - Tianqi Lithium's brand will be officially recognized as a registered brand for lithium carbonate futures starting February 2, 2026, marking a transition from "deliverable" to "brand deliverable" status [1]. - The registration allows for direct delivery of products without the need for repeated quality inspections, saving approximately 20 yuan per ton in inspection fees and reducing time costs by 3-5 days, thus significantly improving delivery efficiency and customer acceptance [1]. Group 2: Competitive Advantage - With the registration, Tianqi Lithium becomes the only lithium company in China with both designated delivery warehouse and registered brand status for lithium carbonate futures, enhancing its control over the entire production, storage, delivery, and pricing chain [2]. - The company's production facilities in Sichuan and Jiangsu are noted as the lowest-cost lithium carbonate production bases globally, with production costs around 70,000 yuan per ton, significantly lower than the industry average of 110,000 yuan per ton [2]. - The brand registration is expected to amplify Tianqi Lithium's cost advantages, allowing for higher pricing power and the potential for simultaneous increases in both volume and price as market conditions improve [2].
异动盘点0123 | 透云生物今早放量闪崩跌超60%,黄金股反弹;稀土概念股走高,热门中概股普涨
贝塔投资智库· 2026-01-23 04:06
Group 1 - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) saw a decline of over 3.4% after announcing a share reduction plan involving the actual controller and several directors, with a total of up to approximately 10.2 million A-shares to be sold between February 24, 2026, and May 23, 2026 [1] - Tuo Yun Biotechnology (01332) experienced a significant drop of over 60%, nearly erasing gains since October 2022, following stock movements involving major shareholders [1] - Zhongwei New Materials (02579) increased by over 5% as the company announced securing 5-6 billion wet tons of nickel ore resources and establishing four nickel raw material industrial bases in Indonesia [1] Group 2 - InnoCare Pharma (03696) rose over 6%, reaching a new high of 62.9 HKD, after receiving FDA approval for its oral NLRP3 inhibitor ISM8969 for Parkinson's disease treatment [2] - Solar stocks surged, with Kaisa New Energy (01108) up 17.85% and other companies like Fuyao Glass (06865) and Xinyi Solar (00968) also showing significant gains, driven by a report indicating a new phase in commercial space deployment [2] - Jiangnan Buyi (03306) fell nearly 7% after announcing a placement of 14.535 million shares at a discount to the market price [2] Group 3 - Lithium stocks rose, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up 5.22% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) up 2.88%, following a report of a significant increase in lithium carbonate contract prices [3] - Rongchang Bio (09995) increased nearly 2% after UBS expressed a positive outlook on its collaboration with AbbVie, which includes substantial milestone payments [4] - DCH Holdings (00179) fell nearly 7% as it reported a slight decline in revenue for the nine months ending December 31, 2025 [4] Group 4 - Gold stocks rebounded, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) up 6.99% and others also showing gains, as spot gold prices reached a new high of over $4,960 per ounce [4] - Bitgo Holdings (BTGO.US) debuted on the US stock market, rising 2.72% as a leading cryptocurrency custody provider [5] - Rare earth stocks surged, with USA Rare Earth (USAR.US) up 17.49% after announcing partnerships to advance its Round Top project [5] Group 5 - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index opened up 1.6%, with major Chinese stocks like Li Auto (LI.US) and Alibaba (BABA.US) showing gains, supported by comments from the People's Bank of China regarding potential monetary easing [6] - Abbott (ABT.US) fell 10.04% after reporting lower-than-expected sales for Q4 2025, despite a year-over-year increase in adjusted EPS [7] - Alibaba (BABA.US) rose 5.05% as it plans to list its semiconductor division, benefiting from investor interest in competing with Nvidia [7]