大摩预测，中国的Token消耗在2025年至2030年间的年复合增长率将达到约330%。同时，GPU计算能力 的供不应求状况预计在未来几年内仍会持续。该行认为，这使得中国的AI基础设施成为其中国TMT覆 盖范围内最具吸引力的投资主题之一。 一些投资者指出，腾讯控股(00700)的AI产品推进势头似乎比某些大型平台同业更谨慎，这引发对潜在 估值压缩的担忧。该行认为市场已经反映这一担忧的很大一部分，该股目前的交易估值为2026年预测市 盈率的15倍，仅比历史低点高约25%，而核心盈利展望仍然稳健。该行认为，腾讯最持久的资产不是任 何单一的AI能力，而是其分发和参与度，这种能力往往会随时间复利增长，并使包括AI在内的新能力 以比同行更低的用户获取成本实现规模化。 摩根大通发布研报称，消费者行为正在转变，用户获取信息和消费内容的方式逐渐改变，聊天机器人正 成为搜寻、推荐和任务执行的新"起点"。该行认为，大型互联网平台现在愿意投入真正的营销资金以加 速采用，这将机器性地提高推理量并推动Token消耗的快速增长。小摩更青睐中国AI基础设施受益，如 阿里巴巴-W(09988)和百度集团-SW(09888)以及线上广告受益者 ...

Core Insights - Alibaba's AI chatbot Qwen has temporarily halted coupon issuance due to overwhelming customer demand, which is affecting a new promotional campaign aimed at showcasing the tool's capabilities beyond basic question answering [1] Group 1 - The chatbot Qwen is designed to enhance user engagement by offering promotional coupons [1] - The decision to stop issuing coupons is a response to customer overload, indicating high interest and demand for the service [1] - This situation may hinder Alibaba's efforts to expand the chatbot's functionalities and market presence [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports a shift in consumer behavior, with chatbots becoming a new starting point for information search, content consumption, and task execution [1] - The firm predicts a compound annual growth rate of approximately 330% for China's token consumption from 2025 to 2030, indicating significant growth potential in AI infrastructure [1] - Major internet platforms are now willing to invest substantial marketing funds to accelerate adoption, which will mechanistically increase reasoning volume and drive rapid growth in token consumption [1] Group 2 - Concerns have been raised about Tencent Holdings' (00700) cautious advancement in AI products compared to peers, leading to potential valuation compression [2] - The current trading valuation of Tencent is 15 times the forecasted earnings for 2026, only about 25% above historical lows, while core earnings outlook remains robust [2] - Tencent's enduring asset is its distribution and engagement capabilities, which can grow over time and allow for scaling new capabilities, including AI, at a lower user acquisition cost [2]

此前，科技新闻网站The Information爆料指，Qwen3.5将在春节期间开源。 2025年4月29日，阿里巴巴发布了新一代Qwen3模型，一举登顶全球最强开源模型。这是国内首个"混合 推理模型"，将"快思考"与"慢思考"集成进同一个模型，大大节省算力消耗。 相关讯息透露，千问3.5采用全新的混合注意力机制，并且极有可能是原生可实现视觉理解的VLM类模 型，有开发者进一步挖掘出，Qwen3.5或将开源至少2B的密集模型和35B-A3B的MoE模型。 据报道，在全球最大人工智能(AI)开源小区HuggingFace的开源项目页面中，最新出现Qwen3.5并入 Transformers的新PR(提交代码合并申请)。业内猜测阿里巴巴(09988)千问新一代基座模型Qwen3.5发布 在即。 ...

2025年4月29日，阿里巴巴发布了新一代Qwen3模型，一举登顶全球最强开源模型。这是国内首个"混合 推理模型"，将"快思考"与"慢思考"集成进同一个模型，大大节省算力消耗。 相关讯息透露，千问3.5采用全新的混合注意力机制，并且极有可能是原生可实现视觉理解的VLM类模 型，有开发者进一步挖掘出，Qwen3.5或将开源至少2B的密集模型和35B-A3B的MoE模型。 此前，科技新闻网站The Information爆料指，Qwen3.5将在春节期间开源。 智通财经APP获悉，据报道，在全球最大人工智能(AI)开源小区HuggingFace的开源项目页面中，最新出 现Qwen3.5并入Transformers的新PR(提交代码合并申请)。业内猜测阿里巴巴(09988)千问新一代基座模 型Qwen3.5发布在即。 ...

以下文章来源于版面之外 ，作者画画 版面之外 . 版面之外，才是真相。 权力交接。 作者 / 画画 来源 / 版面之外 （ID：Out_take） 2 0 2 5年底到2 0 2 6年初的几个月里，科技圈有个现象挺耐人寻味。 没有盛大的发布会，没有官方通告，但在深圳腾讯大厦、杭州阿里西溪园区、北京字节 跳动办公楼里，指挥大模型战场的人，悄然换上了一副副年轻面孔。 先 看 腾 讯 ， 虽 然 过 去 一 两 年 被 认 为 大 模 型 落 后 ， 但 它 丝 毫 没 闲 着 。 先 是 前 Op e nAI 研 究员姚顺雨被传1亿年薪入职腾讯，经过几次辟谣之后，终于在去年底正式加入腾讯， 头衔是首席 AI 科学家，直接向腾讯总裁刘炽平汇报。 就 在 上 周 ， 清 华 大 学 计 算 机 系 博 士 、 前 新 加 坡 S e a AI La b 高 级 研 究 科 学 家 庞 天 宇 也 入 职腾讯，负责多模态强化学习。在腾讯这种讲究山头和资历的老牌帝国里，这俩人简直 是坐着猎鹰 9 号火箭上位的。 再 看 阿 里 。 林 俊 旸 ， 硕 士 毕 业 后 直 接 加 入 阿 里 AI 研 究 机 构 达 摩 ...

Core Insights - The Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics officially opened on February 6, with the International Olympic Committee (IOC) emphasizing the importance of AI technology in shaping the future of the Olympics, highlighting Alibaba as a key partner in this transformation [1][3] Group 1: Partnership and Collaboration - IOC President Kirsty Coventry expressed excitement about the collaboration with Alibaba, describing it as a significant source of friendship and inspiration [3] - Alibaba's Chairman, Daniel Zhang, noted the evolution of their partnership from "Cloud Olympics" to "Smart Olympics," indicating a shift in focus as their collaboration deepens [5] Group 2: Technological Innovations - The "Milan Alibaba Pavilion" features a transparent crystal ball and an ice crystal dome, providing an immersive AI digital shopping experience for visitors during the Winter Olympics and Paralympics [5] - Visitors can engage in an AI digital shopping journey with the help of an AI assistant, which offers personalized clothing, makeup, and fragrance recommendations based on individual style and preferences [6] Group 3: AI Integration in Operations - The IOC announced the creation of the first official Olympic large model based on Alibaba's Qianwen, aiming to make the Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics the most intelligent event in Olympic history through enhanced operations and deeper engagement [9] - An AI assistant for National Olympic Committees has been launched, utilizing Qianwen's multilingual capabilities to provide precise answers to various inquiries, significantly improving coordination efficiency among global delegations [9] Group 4: Broadcasting and Digital Transformation - Alibaba Cloud supports the majority of global Olympic broadcast content distribution, with AI-enhanced broadcasting technologies deployed in ten core competition venues for the Milan Winter Olympics [9] - The introduction of "360° real-time replay technology" and new "time-space slicing" effects will enhance the viewing experience for global audiences [9][10] - Alibaba has been a global Olympic partner since 2017, progressively advancing the digital transformation of the Olympics from the Tokyo 2020 Games to the upcoming Paris 2024 Games [10]

2026年一开年，高德北京总部洋溢着喜悦之情。高德员工宋磊高兴地说，过去一年大家干劲十足，年底 能拿到丰厚年终奖了。员工士气高涨背后，高德地图最新月活跃用户数已达9.96亿，高出第二名一大 截。 宋磊更开心的是，团队过去一年的努力，得到了阿里巴巴集团CEO吴泳铭的认可，他不光替高德的活动 站台，还在新年家书里，称赞高德去年推出的扫街榜能让商家专心经营、让消费者放心消费。 在阿里合伙人、技术派掌门刘振飞的带领下，高德地图以月活跃用户数9.96亿的体量，成为阿里生态中 跃升的关键力量，其破局点在于去年推出的扫街榜。它的推出标志着高德从导航工具成功转型为本地生 活服务的重要入口，与淘宝、支付宝、千问等业务深度协同，构成了阿里"AI+大消费"战略的核心支 点。 高德扫街榜是阿里生态协同的新典范。它在去年9月发布后，带动高德地图月活跃用户数持续攀升。曾 经游离于阿里主航道的高德，是怎么成为集团打通线上线下的关键棋子的？这背后藏着一个阿里技术派 蛰伏与崛起的故事。 01、技术派掌门的蛰伏与崛起 "他是个被低估的阿里合伙人。"阿里前员工李笠告诉《财经天下》。高德现任董事长刘振飞为人低调， 毕业于计算机专业，拥有北京科技大学 ...

摩根大通发表研报指，消费者行为正在转变，用户获取信息和消费内容的方式逐渐改变，聊天机器人正 成为搜索、推荐和任务执行的新起点。该行认为，大型互联网平台现在愿意投入真正的营销资金以加速 采用，这将机械性地提高推理量并推动Token消耗的快速增长。摩通更青睐中国AI基础设施受益，如阿 里巴巴和百度以及在线广告受益者快手作为二级赢家，因为该行认为现在判断持久的AI应用赢家与输 家还为时过早。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of AI applications during the Chinese New Year, highlighting how major tech companies are leveraging AI to attract user attention and enhance consumer experiences through innovative strategies. Group 1: AI Competition and Strategies - Tencent initiated the AI Spring Festival battle by launching a 1 billion cash red envelope campaign and introducing a new AI social feature called "Yuanbao" [1] - Baidu followed with a 500 million red envelope initiative, collaborating with Beijing TV for the Spring Festival Gala [1] - ByteDance brought its Volcano Engine to the backstage of the CCTV Spring Festival Gala, intensifying the competition [1] - Alibaba's Qianwen APP entered the fray with a 3 billion "Spring Festival Treat Plan," integrating its ecosystem to offer a comprehensive consumer experience [1] Group 2: User Engagement and Order Volume - On the first day of the Qianwen APP event, over 10 million AI orders were completed within 9 hours, with more than 30 million "help me buy" requests received [2] - The overwhelming user engagement led to server congestion, prompting the Qianwen team to request leniency from users [5] Group 3: New Consumption Habits and AI Capabilities - The 3 billion investment not only aimed at distributing cash but also tested new consumer habits, encouraging users to interact with the Qianwen APP [6] - Qianwen demonstrated impressive cross-application coordination, efficiently managing travel planning by integrating services from Fliggy and Gaode [10] - In the family consumption sector, Qianwen acted as a "universal shopping guide," quickly filtering products from Taobao and Tmall based on user needs [13] Group 4: Differentiation in AI Development - The article notes the distinct strategies among tech companies, with Qianwen focusing on integrating AI into shopping and ticketing, thus targeting higher-value consumer scenarios [15] - The differences in AI development paths between China and the U.S. are highlighted, with U.S. AI primarily focusing on high-value B2B markets, while China's AI is more consumer-oriented [20][21] Group 5: Future of AI Applications - The article posits that 2023 and 2024 will be pivotal years for AI technology, with 2025 marking a year for application exploration, as evidenced by Qianwen's efforts to break the boundaries of AI applications [26] - Qianwen's approach combines AI capabilities with a robust ecosystem, enabling seamless integration of AI into everyday life [28] - The evolution of user interaction with digital platforms is shifting towards a more streamlined experience, emphasizing efficiency and convenience [29]