Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry shows resilient demand, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in September, indicating a steady expansion of the market [4][25] - The logistics sector is witnessing technological advancements, with JD Logistics planning to procure 3 million robots and 100,000 unmanned vehicles over the next five years, which may enhance supply chain efficiency [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from geopolitical factors and trade negotiations, potentially increasing demand for oil transportation and bulk shipping [6][10] - The aviation sector is experiencing growth, with a 10.8% increase in international flight volumes for the upcoming winter-spring season, reflecting a recovery in air travel [10][12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - In September 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a 12.7% year-on-year increase, with revenue of 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% [4][25] - Major players like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control, with significant growth potential [14] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market may benefit from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil, potentially increasing long-distance shipping demand [6] - The shipping market is expected to see a recovery driven by environmental regulations and geopolitical stability, with recommendations to focus on companies like China Shipping and COSCO [14][15] Aviation - The aviation industry is projected to maintain steady growth, with a 10.3% increase in total transport turnover and a 5.2% rise in passenger transport volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Airbus has opened a new A320 assembly line in Tianjin, marking a significant milestone in Sino-European cooperation [9] Road and Rail - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 2.33% and highway freight truck traffic rising by 24.72% [13] - Strategic partnerships in the highway sector are being formed to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [13] Overall Market Performance - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 1.12%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [20][23]

Summary of China Shipping and Shipbuilding Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Shipping and Shipbuilding - **Key Companies**: Hengli Heavy Industry, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, COSCO Shipping Holdings, COSCO Shipping Energy, SITC Holdings Key Takeaways 1. New Shipbuilding Entrant and Impact - Hengli Heavy Industry (HHI) is a new entrant in the shipbuilding industry with a target of 2.3 million tons steel processing volume, potentially translating to 1.5-2x capacity compared to Yangzijiang, which holds 4-5% of global market share. This could imply a 3-4% upside to supply growth forecasts [5][9] - HHI's effective capacity will depend on production efficiency and recruitment of additional employees. The impact on newbuild ship prices is expected to be limited due to the time required for ramping up capacity and disciplined capacity expansion among other Chinese shipyards [5][6] 2. Pricing and Costs Outlook for Chinese Shipyards - Yangzijiang has observed limited further impact from USTR's port fees on China-built vessels, with a pricing gap between Korean and Chinese shipyards widening to 10%. They have regained market share for new ship orders since July and August [10][34] - Both Hengli and Yangzijiang expect stable steel prices in the medium term, which constitutes a significant portion of their operating costs [10][34] 3. Shipping Sub-segments and New Ship Orders Outlook - Positive outlook for tankers, with COSCO Energy expecting elevated freight rates driven by trade rerouting and low supply growth. The management sees improving supply-demand dynamics for crude tankers over the next two years [10][43] - Conservative outlook for container shipping, product tankers, and LNG carriers due to massive new ship deliveries. However, COSCO Shipping Holdings has fully booked slots for upcoming months on major routes, which may support spot rate hikes [10][39] - Rising new ship orders are anticipated for tankers and large-size bulkers, while container and LNGC new ship orders are expected to face pressure in the medium term [10][39] 4. Financial Performance and Projections - HHI reported a gross margin of 21% in 1H25, up from 10% in 1H24, with a net profit guidance of Rmb1.1 billion, Rmb1.6 billion, and Rmb2.1 billion for 2025-2027 [18] - Yangzijiang's management confirmed that most ships under construction are based on contracts signed in 2023, with no new builds from 2024 yet, indicating a favorable product mix [10][34] 5. Strategic Developments - HHI plans to ramp up its workforce from 40-50k to 60k to achieve its capacity target of delivering 80 ships annually [12] - Yangzijiang is set to increase its capacity by 20% with the opening of the Hongyuan Shipyard in 2H2026 [34] 6. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The merger of China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation aims to enhance order bidding coordination among subsidiaries [38] - The management of CSSC noted that the longer orderbook backlog is affecting new ship order shares, with a focus on environmental requirements driving future orders [38] 7. Risks and Challenges - Key risks include higher-than-expected steel prices, stricter USTR regulations, and potential declines in average selling prices [51][52] - The management expressed concerns about the sustainability of elevated freight rates in the container shipping sector due to massive new ship deliveries [46] Conclusion The shipping and shipbuilding industry in China is experiencing significant changes with new entrants like Hengli Heavy Industry, stable pricing outlooks, and varying projections across different shipping sub-segments. The competitive landscape is evolving with strategic mergers and capacity expansions, while risks related to pricing and regulatory challenges remain pertinent.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [7] Core Insights - The passenger transport volume is recovering, with domestic passenger volume increasing by 3% year-on-year and international passenger volume rising by 17% [5][13] - Shipping rates for container shipping are showing strong support, while oil and bulk shipping rates have slightly adjusted downwards [6][39] - Logistics technology financing is accelerating, with express delivery volume increasing by 7.8% year-on-year [5][50] Summary by Sections Passenger Transport - Domestic passenger volume has shown a 3% year-on-year increase as of October 24, with international passenger volume up by 17% [5][13] - The average domestic seat occupancy rate has improved by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while international occupancy has increased by 5.1 percentage points [22] - Oil prices have decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, putting slight pressure on industry revenue [22] Shipping - The average VLCC-TCE rate has decreased by 8.4% to $79,000 per day [39] - The SCFI index for foreign trade container shipping has increased by 7.1% to 1,403 points, indicating strong pricing support from shipping companies [6][39] - The BDI index has decreased by 3.8% to 1,991 points, reflecting a softening demand for large vessel rentals [39] Logistics - The express delivery volume from October 13 to October 19 reached 3.944 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 7.8% [50] - The average price for bulk commodity road transport has increased by 4.8% year-on-year, reaching 0.33 yuan per ton [50] - The average daily transport volume at Ganqimaodu was 900 vehicles, with a short-distance average price of 90 yuan per ton, reflecting a 13 yuan increase [50]

Group 1: Logistics - The logistics industry is expected to undergo a paradigm shift towards high-quality development, driven by policy changes and the "anti-involution" movement, which aims to ensure the rights of delivery personnel and improve profitability [4][24][30] - The logistics sector is entering a new phase of overseas expansion, with companies like Jitu Express and Jiayou International transitioning from initial stages to more advanced operations, focusing on management and capacity exports [4][8][35] Group 2: Aviation - The aviation industry is poised for recovery, benefiting from a resurgence in business travel demand since September, leading to improved revenue and cost dynamics [9][51] - The supply side is tightening, with low aircraft deliveries expected in 2025 and high capacity utilization rates, indicating a potential for revenue and cost resonance in the industry [9][51] Group 3: Shipping - The shipping sector is influenced by both seasonal and non-seasonal factors, with a focus on oil transportation due to OPEC+ production adjustments and the expected positive impact of new projects in the dry bulk segment [10][20] - The container shipping market is facing tariff disruptions, but demand is anticipated to rise due to proposed measures from the 301 investigation, which may boost feeder vessel demand [10][20] Group 4: Highways - Highway companies are regaining attractiveness in terms of valuation and dividend yield, with a focus on low valuation and high dividend characteristics [11][20] - The widening gap between highway company dividend yields and ten-year government bond yields suggests a return to a high cost-performance ratio for these assets [11][20]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas ETF (159697) opened with a gain of 1.33%, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The oil and gas ETF (159697) opened at 1.140 yuan [1] - Since its establishment on April 17, 2023, the ETF has achieved a return of 11.84% [1] - The ETF's performance over the past month has been a return of 6.81% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Major stocks within the ETF include: - China National Petroleum Corporation (down 0.22%) - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (up 0.36%) - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (down 0.07%) - Guanghui Energy (unchanged) - Jereh Oilfield Services (down 2.47%) - China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (up 2.97%) - XinAo Group (down 0.16%) - COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation (up 1.54%) - Offshore Oil Engineering Company (down 0.36%) - China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (up 0.31%) [1]

Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) has successfully met all prerequisites for issuing A-shares to specific investors, with the issuance expected to be completed by October 22, 2025 [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Issuance Details** - The company plans to issue a total of 694 million A-shares at a price of RMB 11.52 per share [1] - This issuance will represent approximately 12.71% of the company's total issued share capital following the completion of the issuance [1] - **Fundraising Amount** - The total amount raised from this issuance is RMB 8 billion [1] - The net proceeds from the issuance, after deducting total issuance costs excluding value-added tax, amount to RMB 7.98 billion [1]

Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) has announced the completion of all prerequisites for the issuance of A-shares to specific investors, with the issuance set to be completed on October 22, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company will issue a total of 694 million A-shares at a price of RMB 11.52 per share [1] - The total number of A-shares issued represents approximately 12.71% of the company's total issued share capital after the completion of this issuance [1]

Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) has announced the completion of all prerequisites for the issuance of A-shares to specific investors, with the issuance expected to be completed by October 22, 2025 [1] Summary by Sections - The company plans to issue a total of 694 million A-shares at a price of RMB 11.52 per share [1] - The total number of A-shares issued will account for approximately 12.71% of the company's total issued share capital after the completion of this issuance [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準 確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生 或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 COSCO SHIPPING ENERGY TRANSPORTATION CO., LTD.* （在中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） （股份代號：1138） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條之規定而作出。 中遠海運能源運輸股份有限公司（「本公司」）之A股在上海證券交易所上市，以下公告為本 公司根據上海證券交易所之要求於上海證券交易所網站刊發之公告。 承董事會命 中遠海運能源運輸股份有限公司 公司秘書 倪藝丹 中華人民共和國，上海 二零二五年十月二十三日 於本公告刊發日期，董事會由執行董事任永強先生及朱邁進先生，非執行董事汪樹青先 生、王威先生及周崇沂女士，以及獨立非執行董事黃偉德先生、李潤生先生、趙勁松先生 及王祖溫先生所組成。 * 僅供識別 中远海运能源运输股份有限公司 向特定对象发行 A 股股票 上市公告书 保荐人（主承销商） 二零二五年十月 1 中远 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準 確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生 或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 COSCO SHIPPING ENERGY TRANSPORTATION CO., LTD.* （在中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條之規定而作出。 中遠海運能源運輸股份有限公司（「本公司」）之A股在上海證券交易所上市，以下公告為本 公司根據上海證券交易所之要求於上海證券交易所網站刊發之公告。 承董事會命 中遠海運能源運輸股份有限公司 公司秘書 倪藝丹 中華人民共和國，上海 二零二五年十月二十三日 於本公告刊發日期，董事會由執行董事任永強先生及朱邁進先生，非執行董事汪樹青先 生、王威先生及周崇沂女士，以及獨立非執行董事黃偉德先生、李潤生先生、趙勁松先生 及王祖溫先生所組成。 * 僅供識別 国浩律师（上海）事务所 （股份代號：1138） 关于中国远洋海运集团有限公司 认购中远海运能源运输股份有限公司 向特定对象发行 A 股股票 ...