上周，美国运输部提议禁止中国航空公司飞越俄罗斯往返美国的航线，并表示飞行时间的减少使美国航 空公司处于不利地位。 (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇10月15日｜美国特朗普政府此前提议禁止中国航空公司使用途经俄罗斯领空的路线往返美国。美 国联合航空敦促将禁令扩大至国泰航空，以及其他以香港为基地的航空公司。 内地主要航空公司促请放弃禁止飞越俄罗斯的计划，称将增加飞行时间、提高机票价格，并可能扰乱一 些航线。东航表示，此举可能会使其部分最重要航线的飞行时间延长2至3个小时，大大增加错过转机的 风险，并增加燃油消耗。国航及南航表示，这项决定将对美国和中国的大量乘客产生不利影响。南航预 计，至少有2800名原定于11月至12月假期高峰期间出行的乘客需要重新订票，这将危及他们的旅行计 划。 ...

国信证券发布研报称，四季度进入出行淡季，去年同期公商务出行需求相对较弱，今年同比或有一定修 复。未来运力供给增速放缓确定性增强，若出行需求能保持稳增，带动航司座收持续修复，有望带来航 司业绩高弹性；叠加油价中枢下行、汇率稳定等，航司利润向上空间可期。 航空股集体走高，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)涨5.43%，报3.3港元；中国国航（601111）(00753)涨 4.24%，报5.65港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨3.24%，报4.14港元；国泰航空(00293)涨1.23%，报 10.66港元。 消息面上，国庆及中秋假期八天，全社会跨区域人员流动量累计达到24.33亿人次，日均同比+6.3%，较 2019年同期+30.8%。去年同期国庆假期（七天）民航出行基数较高，日均客流量同比+11.1%；今年同 期假期八天，民航日均客流同比仍实现+3.3%增长。航班管家数据显示，假期国内线经济舱平均票价 849元，同比+0.3%，基本持平，对比2019年同期微降1.4%，假期票价表现较为平稳。 ...

南方航空所属申万行业为：交通运输-航空机场-航空运输。所属概念板块包括：民用航空、低价、融资 融券、一带一路、MSCI中国等。 截至6月30日，南方航空股东户数14.00万，较上期减少7.17%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-6月，南方航空实现营业收入862.91亿元，同比增长1.77%；归母净利润-15.33亿元，同比减 少24.84%。 分红方面，南方航空A股上市后累计派现66.29亿元。近三年，累计派现0.00元。 南方航空今年以来股价跌5.86%，近5个交易日涨0.99%，近20日跌0.33%，近60日涨7.76%。 资料显示，中国南方航空股份有限公司位于广东省广州市白云区齐心路68号中国南方航空大厦，成立日 期1995年3月25日，上市日期2003年7月25日，公司主营业务涉及国内和经批准的国际、地区航空客、 货、邮、行李运输业务,通用航空业务等。主营业务收入构成为：客运及客运相关服务86.42%，货运及 邮运10.52%，其他(补充)3.06%。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，南方航空十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股5.82亿股，相 ...

Domestic Flight Schedule - Domestic airlines' average daily flight schedule for winter 2025 is 15,439 flights, a decrease of 1.8% compared to 2024 and an increase of 20% compared to 2019[4] - Total average daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is 16,911 flights, down 1.6% from 2024 and up 15% from 2019[4] - The average daily flight schedule for international flights is 1,276, an increase of 1.8% from 2024 but a decrease of 19% from 2019[4] International and Regional Flight Recovery - International flight schedules are recovering to 81% of 2019 levels, with domestic airlines' international flights averaging 1,472, maintaining the same recovery rate as 2024[6] - Flights to Australia, North America, Southeast Asia, and Europe are recovering to 79%, 25%, 77%, and 129% of 2019 levels respectively[6] - The average daily flight schedule for international and regional flights is 2,403, recovering to 77% of 2019 levels[52] Investment Insights - The aviation sector is expected to see significant improvements in profitability, driven by strong supply logic and elastic demand[6] - Recommended stocks include China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, China National Aviation, and others, with a focus on the aviation sector's recovery potential[6] - Risks include fluctuations in oil prices, economic growth not meeting expectations, and aviation safety incidents[6]

Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector saw a slight increase of 0.31% on October 14, with China Eastern Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Stock Performance - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.15, up 1.22% with a trading volume of 1.0534 million shares and a transaction value of 436 million [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 14.56, up 1.04% with a trading volume of 19,800 shares [1] - Baiyun Airport (600004) closed at 9.54, up 0.85% with a trading volume of 179,400 shares [1] - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.63, up 0.62% with a trading volume of 5.3673 million shares [1] - Spring Airlines (601021) closed at 52.19, up 0.35% with a trading volume of 42,000 shares [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 54.71 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 97.49 million [2][3] - Major stocks like China Eastern Airlines and HNA Holding had mixed capital flows, with significant outflows from institutional and speculative investors [3]

Group 1 - Jiangsu Province Sports Bureau announced that the "Su Super" league will continue to be held in 2026, with optimized player selection rules to enhance the league's connection to youth training [1] - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [2] - eBay's CEO Jamie Iannone stated that the platform was "overconfident" in 2020 and is now focusing on core users, predicting a 50% stock increase by 2025 [2] Group 2 - Google expressed concerns that Australia's new law restricting social media use for those under 16 will be "extremely difficult to enforce" and may not achieve its goal of improving children's online safety [3] - Heng Rui Medicine announced that three drugs received clinical trial approval from the National Medical Products Administration, with significant R&D investments of approximately 225 million yuan, 62.09 million yuan, and 939 million yuan for the respective drugs [4][5] - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be reduced by 70 yuan and 75 yuan per ton respectively, effective from October 13, with a decrease of 0.06 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 gasoline [6] Group 3 - Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group issued a statement regarding unauthorized use of its name in a WeChat group, emphasizing that it has not registered or authorized any such services [7] - China Southern Airlines will launch direct flights from Guangzhou to Madrid and Darwin in December 2025, with specific flight schedules provided [8] - Meituan announced a "full refund for side effects" policy for certain medications, allowing users to return drugs if side effects occur within 21 days [9] Group 4 - Tianzhen Co. stated that the impact of tariffs on its operations is relatively small, as the company has established a global production layout in Southeast Asia and the United States [10] - Xiaomi responded to concerns regarding the safety of its SU7 vehicle after a fatal accident, stating that the vehicle's doors will unlock upon collision [11]

国信证券近日发布交通运输行业10月投资策略：由于国庆假期结束，上周整体和国内客 运航班量环比有所下降，整体/国内客运航班量环比分别为-0.6%/-0.6%，整体/国内客运航班 量分别相当于2019年同期的111.2%/116.3%，国际客运航班量环比下降0.4%，相当于2019年 同期的88.3%，近期国际油价略低于去年同期水平。 顺丰控股虽然短期业绩表现承压，但是公司强调"先有后优"的战略，我们预计公司四季 度的业绩有望实现改善且回归正规，明年公司的盈利能力将继续实现提升，明年公司业绩有 望实现15-20%的较快增长，2025年PE估值约18倍，维持推荐；2）在"反内卷"政策指导下， 通达系价格开始企稳回升，公司下半年盈利将确定性改善，建议紧密跟踪行业"反内卷"政策 的持续性及竞争格局变化，推荐中通快递、圆通速递、申通快递、韵达股份。 投资建议：建议配置具有长期价值的稳健标的，看好经营稳健、风险可控且有望带来稳 定收益的价值龙头。推荐顺丰控股、中通快递、圆通速递、申通快递、韵达股份、春秋航 空、南方航空、中远海能、招商轮船、德邦股份。 风险提示：宏观经济复苏不及预期，油价汇率剧烈波动。（国信证券 罗丹） 【 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The report highlights a slowdown in holiday shipments and a decline in crude oil shipping rates, while container shipping rates for long-distance routes have rebounded [3][14] - Shenzhen has introduced detailed policies to support low-altitude economic development, and international flight routes have resumed during the 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [3][16] - China's express delivery volume reached 150 billion packages ahead of schedule, with strategic cooperation agreements signed between YTO Express and Huizhou [3][23] Summary by Sections Industry Hotspot Events - Holiday shipments have slowed, leading to a drop in crude oil shipping rates, while container shipping rates for long-distance routes have rebounded. The China Import Crude Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) was reported at 1407.48 points, down 26.2% from September 25 [3][14] - Shenzhen's transportation bureau released measures to support low-altitude economic development, effective from October 9, 2025, to December 31, 2026. During the holiday, civil aviation transported 19.138 million passengers, with an average of 2.392 million passengers per day, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [3][16][18] - As of October 11, 2025, China's express delivery volume surpassed 150 billion packages, achieving this goal 37 days ahead of schedule compared to 2024. A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between the Huizhou government and YTO Express [3][23][24] Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index was reported at 4621.00 points, down 5.3% year-on-year but up 1.3% month-on-month [28] - In September 2025, domestic cargo flights increased by 3.05% year-on-year, while international flights rose by 15.86% year-on-year [33] - The SCFI index for container shipping was reported at 1160.42 points, up 4.12% week-on-week but down 43.74% year-on-year [40] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the equipment and manufacturing industrial product export chain, recommending companies such as COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - It also highlights investment opportunities in the low-altitude economy, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - The report advises attention to the road and rail sector, recommending companies like Gansu Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and Anhui Expressway [4][5]

中新网汕头10月13日电 (郭军 张君茹 谭志鹏)据中国南方航空公司(以下简称"南航")13日消息，11日晚， 一名旅客在乘坐南航航班时，不慎与他人将外形相似的背包互相拿错。CZ5929航班乘务组发现后立即 启动应急机制，在多方联动下，不到12小时内极速寻回失主，并将50万元巨款完璧归赵。 "这个包不是我的，但跟我的很像！"蒋女士向乘务组描述着。凭借丰富的处置经验，纪煜文敏锐地判 断："很可能是旅客之间误拿了外形相似的背包。" 为尽快找到失主线索，乘务组严格按照规定与地面服务人员交接，在航班安全员执法记录仪的全程记录 下，他们共同打开背包寻找信息，拉链滑开的瞬间，在场所有人都为之震惊——包里不是寻常衣物，而 是整捆整捆的现金！ "当时心里'咯噔'一下，这么多现金，失主该有多着急。"一位在场乘务员事后回忆。经乘务组与地服人 员共同仔细清点，包内现金总额高达50万元。乘务长纪煜文当即表示："这很可能是一笔救急的钱，我 们必须尽快速度联系到旅客！" 乘务组再次细致地检查背包，终于在侧边夹层中发现了失主张先生的登机牌。他们迅速将失主信息、航 班情况传递给南航值班岗位。南航汕头公司立即调动多方力量，核实失主张先生的行程 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration's proposal to ban Chinese airlines from flying over Russian airspace on flights to and from the U.S. has raised significant concerns within the Chinese and U.S. aviation industries [1][5]. Group 1: Impact on Airlines - Seven Chinese airlines, including Air China and China Eastern Airlines, have jointly requested the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) for more time to assess the impact of the proposed ban on their operations, arguing that it would disrupt travel plans for passengers [1][4]. - The proposed ban could lead to increased flight times and fuel costs for Chinese airlines, with an example indicating that a Beijing-New York flight might require an additional two hours of flying time, resulting in increased fuel expenses of several hundred thousand dollars [7]. Group 2: Regulatory Context - The U.S. DOT has set an unusually short two-day period for airlines to respond to the proposed ban, which has been criticized by Chinese airlines as insufficient for a thorough evaluation [1][5]. - The final decision on the ban could be implemented as early as November of this year, amidst escalating tensions between the U.S. and China over various economic issues [5][7]. Group 3: Public and Expert Reactions - Chinese officials have criticized the U.S. for imposing restrictions on Chinese airlines, suggesting that such actions are detrimental to bilateral relations and the interests of consumers [7]. - Many American commenters on the DOT's public review page have expressed concerns about the negative impacts of the ban, including longer flight times, reduced travel options, increased ticket prices, and adverse environmental effects [7][9].