Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that the A-shares and H-shares of Chinese banks have recorded absolute returns of 12% and 21% year-to-date, respectively, driven by improvements in the banks' fundamentals rather than a shift in investor preference for dividend returns [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The outlook for the mainland banking sector remains cautiously optimistic, with a focus on banks that can reduce the impact of bond investments on earnings and capital volatility while maintaining credit growth and adequate provisioning and capital [1] - The large state-owned banks and China Merchants Bank (600036) (03968) are expected to achieve a more sustainable recovery in net interest margins compared to their peers, indicating greater potential for shareholder returns [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Goldman Sachs has slightly adjusted its forecasts for the banks' pre-provision operating profit and net profit for 2025 to 2027, reflecting improved prospects for fee income growth, weakened credit demand, declining investment income contributions, and increased provisions [1] - The target price for covered H-shares of Chinese banks has been reduced by 1% to 9%, with a preference for China Merchants Bank, which receives a "Buy" rating, and its target price adjusted from HKD 53.34 to HKD 52.98 [1] - "Buy" ratings are also given to Postal Savings Bank (601658) (01658), Bank of China (601988) (03988), and China Construction Bank (601939) (00939) H-shares [1]

高盛轻微调整所评级的银行2025至2027年拨备前经营利润及净利润预测，以反映手续费收入增长前景改 善、信贷需求转弱、投资收入贡献下跌及拨备增加等影响，所覆盖内银H股目标价下调1%至9%，当中 较偏好招行，给予"买入"评级，目标价由53.34港元下调至52.98港元，并对招行、邮储银行(01658)、中 国银行(03988)及建设银行(00939)H股同予"买入"评级。 展望第三季业绩，该行对内地银行业维持审慎乐观看法，在选股上会更关注专注于在净息差恢复过程中 能减低债券投资对盈利及资本波动影响、适当维持信贷增长、保持拨备及资本充足的银行。高盛认为大 型国有银行及招商银行(03968)相比其他同业更能实现可持续的净息差恢复，因此具有更大股东回报潜 力。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，该行所评级的内银A股及H股年初至今分别录得12%及21%%市值 加权绝对回报，相信并不是投资者倾向追求股息回报的行业配置需求，而是主要来自于各银行基本面改 善的推动，包括资产质量趋向稳定，以及净息差跌幅收窄。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the benefits and features of personal pension plans offered by China Merchants Bank, highlighting the ease of account setup, tax savings, and various investment options available for retirement planning [1][3][4]. Group 1: Account Setup and Tax Benefits - Over 13 million people have chosen to open personal pension accounts with China Merchants Bank as of June 30, 2025 [3]. - The account can be set up quickly in one minute, allowing for manual or automatic deposits, with a maximum annual tax saving of 5,400 yuan based on a contribution of 12,000 yuan at a 45% personal income tax rate [4][5]. - The tax savings calculation does not account for a 3% tax on withdrawals, and the actual savings may vary based on individual circumstances [5][12]. Group 2: Incentives and Services - The bank offers various incentives for contributions, including cash rewards for reaching certain deposit thresholds, such as 300 yuan for cumulative contributions and 20 yuan for smaller amounts [7]. - The personal pension service includes a default investment option that allows users to set up automatic contributions and investments, aiming for long-term growth and tax efficiency [7][8]. Group 3: Investment Options and Returns - The article outlines a range of investment products available, including fixed deposits with competitive interest rates, mutual funds, and insurance products, catering to different risk appetites and investment goals [9][10][11]. - For example, fixed deposit rates range from 1.25% to 1.80% depending on the term, while various funds offer different risk and return profiles [9][10]. - The expected retirement payout is calculated based on an average annual return of 3.4%, with projections indicating a potential payout of approximately 609,000 yuan at retirement [7].

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that the A-shares and H-shares of Chinese banks have recorded absolute returns of 12% and 21% year-to-date, respectively, driven by improvements in the banks' fundamentals rather than a shift in investor preference for dividend returns [1] - The outlook for the third quarter remains cautiously optimistic, with a focus on banks that can reduce the impact of bond investments on earnings and capital volatility while maintaining credit growth and adequate provisioning [1] - Goldman Sachs has slightly adjusted its forecasts for the banks' pre-provision operating profit and net profit for 2025 to 2027, reflecting improved prospects for fee income growth, weakened credit demand, declining investment income contributions, and increased provisions [1] Group 2 - Target prices for covered H-shares of Chinese banks have been lowered by 1% to 9%, with a preference for China Merchants Bank, which has been given a "Buy" rating, along with Postal Savings Bank, Bank of China, and China Construction Bank H-shares also receiving "Buy" ratings [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent announcements from major Chinese banks highlight increased market risks associated with precious metals due to heightened price volatility, urging clients to adopt cautious investment strategies and risk management practices [1]. Group 1: Bank Announcements - China Construction Bank warns clients about intensified fluctuations in domestic and international precious metal prices, advising them to enhance risk awareness and manage their positions carefully [1]. - China Merchants Bank emphasizes the need for clients to consider their financial situation and risk tolerance when engaging in precious metal investments, recommending timely monitoring of positions and margin balances [1]. - Industrial Bank suggests that clients stay informed about market trends and adjust their positions according to their risk capacity, promoting cautious decision-making [1]. - Minsheng Bank calls for increased awareness of market risks and prudent investment practices among investors due to significant price volatility in precious metals [1]. - CITIC Bank issues a risk alert regarding potential increases in gold price fluctuations, advising clients to allocate gold assets wisely based on their risk tolerance and financial needs [1].

Group 1 - The A500ETF by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 2.23% and a transaction volume of 262 million yuan, with a total scale reaching 11.624 billion yuan [3] - Over the past five trading days, the A500ETF has seen net inflows on three days, totaling 149 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [3] - As of October 17, 2025, the A500ETF has achieved a net value increase of 24.41% over the past year, with the highest monthly return since inception being 11.71% [3] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 index as of September 30, 2025, include Ningde Times, Kweichow Moutai, and China Ping An, collectively accounting for 19% of the index [4] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: Kweichow Moutai at 3.87%, Ningde Times at 2.89%, and China Ping An at 2.60% [6] - Investors without stock accounts can access the A500ETF Jiashi through the A500ETF Jiashi linked fund (022454) for exposure to the top 500 A-share companies [6]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the abundance of bank wealth management products with similar names and vague characteristics, urging investors to carefully select and differentiate among them [1] - The research team from Nanfang Finance aims to reduce the selection cost for investors by focusing on the performance of wealth management products available through various distribution channels [1] Group 1: Product Performance - The report highlights the performance of mixed-type wealth management products issued by wealth management companies, providing a performance ranking based on annualized returns over the past month, three months, and six months [1] - The ranking is sorted by the annualized return over the past three months to reflect the products' performance amid recent market fluctuations [1] Group 2: Distribution Channels - The report includes a list of 28 distribution institutions, such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and others, which are involved in selling these wealth management products [1] - It is noted that the assessment of the "on-sale" status of wealth management products is based on their investment cycles, but actual availability may vary due to factors like sold-out quotas or differences in product listings for different customers [1]

编者按：当前银行理财货架产品琳琅满目，诸如"增强""稳健""均衡"等名称相近、特征模糊的产品层出不穷，投资者应如何甄别 与选择？为降低投资者的选择成本，南财理财通课题组从代销机构角度入手，每周一聚焦各渠道当周在售的理财产品，搜罗其 中业绩表现优异者，并发布代销产品业绩榜单。 本期，南财理财通重点关注最低持有期人民币公募产品的业绩表现，按照90天、180天、365天持有期限分类对产品业绩进行排 名，业绩指标计算指标为年化收益率，计算区间与持有期限相同，如90天持有期产品的业绩计算区间为近三月年化收益率，同 机构同系列同投资周期产品保留一只。 21世纪经济报道 21 21财经 (财)南财理财通 SFC 南方则经全媒体集团 银行本周(10/20-10/26) 在售最低持有180天产品榜 u | 1 | | --- | | l | 代销机构 | 产品名称 | 发行机构 | Harri | 近6月年 | 业绩比较 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 街质 | 化收藏 | 基隆 | | | | | | | | 35%×沪深 300指数期 | | ...

Summary of Conference Call on Chinese Banks Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the Chinese banking sector, particularly the performance and outlook of A/H-share listed banks, with a specific emphasis on China Merchants Bank (CMB) [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Market Performance - A/H-share listed bank stocks have recorded market-cap-weighted absolute returns of 12%/21% year-to-date, attributed to improving fundamentals rather than sector allocation demand [1]. - The stabilization of asset quality and a narrowing decline in Net Interest Margins (NIMs) are significant factors driving this performance [1]. NIM and Loan Demand - The decline in NIM has narrowed in 3Q25, with expectations for continued narrowing into 1H26 due to ongoing deposit re-pricing [5]. - The large state-owned enterprises (SOE) banks and CMB are expected to have a sustainable NIM recovery, providing greater potential for shareholder returns [2]. - Loan demand is anticipated to weaken due to the "anti-involution" trend in the industrial sector, which will slow corporate loan demand [5][18]. Investment Income - Investment income is likely to be a negative contributor to bank revenue in 3Q25, particularly affecting small and medium-sized banks (SMBs) [5][27]. - The average year-over-year growth of bond investment income for covered banks is forecasted to be -7% in 3Q25 [36]. Fee Income - Fee income is expected to improve despite weak consumer credit demand, driven by growth in sales of financial products through banking channels [39]. - The sustained decline in deposit costs is creating opportunities for growth in wealth management products, insurance, and funds [40]. Asset Quality - Overall asset quality in the Chinese banking industry has not shown significant deterioration, with banks increasing provisions to bolster risk-resistance reserves [45]. - The NPL (Non-Performing Loan) coverage ratio has been on an upward trend, indicating that provisions are greater than new NPLs [45]. Additional Important Insights - CMB is favored for investment with a 12-month target price of Rmb54.24/HK$52.98, representing potential upside of 31%/10% [2]. - The average NIM for covered banks is expected to stabilize at 1.32% in 2026, largely unchanged from previous forecasts [17]. - The average loan growth forecast for covered banks in 2025 and 2026 is 9%, adjusted down from previous estimates [24]. Conclusion - The Chinese banking sector is navigating challenges such as narrowing NIMs and weakening loan demand, but there are positive indicators in fee income growth and asset quality stability. CMB stands out as a strong investment opportunity amidst these dynamics.

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.47% this week, with only four sectors experiencing gains, notably the banking and coal industries, which rose by 4.89% and 4.17% respectively [1][2] - The banking sector led the gains, while the electronic and media sectors faced the largest declines, dropping by 7.14% and 6.27% respectively [1][2] Industry Performance - The banking sector saw a net inflow of 24.19 billion yuan, with 41 out of 42 listed banks experiencing price increases. Key performers included Chongqing Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, which rose by 14.19%, 12.50%, and 12.17% respectively [3][4] - In contrast, the electronic industry faced the largest net outflow of funds, totaling 700.79 billion yuan, followed by the power equipment sector with a net outflow of 416.92 billion yuan [1][2] Fund Flow Analysis - Overall, the main funds in the two markets experienced a net outflow of 301.75 billion yuan this week, with only two sectors seeing net inflows: banking and coal [1][2] - The banking sector had 16 stocks with net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Agricultural Bank of China leading at 24.72 billion yuan, followed by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank with inflows of 12.81 billion yuan and 3.94 billion yuan respectively [3][4]