Core Insights - The report focuses on fixed income + products issued by wealth management companies, highlighting superior performing products available for investors through distribution channels [1] - A ranking of products is provided based on their annualized performance over the last month, three months, and six months, with a particular emphasis on the three-month annualized yield to reflect their performance amid recent market fluctuations [1] Distribution Channels - The report includes a list of 28 distribution institutions, which consist of major banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and others [1] Product Performance - The ranking showcases various products with their respective annualized yields, indicating the performance metrics over different time frames, such as 2.64% for one month and 9.11% for three months for a specific product [5] - The data is sourced from the South Finance Financial Terminal, with statistics as of February 5, 2026, providing a snapshot of the current market offerings [5][10]

Core Insights - The article focuses on the performance of minimum holding period RMB public offering products, ranking them based on annualized returns for holding periods of 7, 14, 30, and 60 days [1] Group 1: 7-Day Holding Period Products - The top-performing product is from Minsheng Bank with an annualized return of 7.56% [5] - Other notable products include a 6.98% return from Shanghai Bank and a 6.04% return from Minsheng Bank [5] Group 2: 14-Day Holding Period Products - The leading product is from Minsheng Bank with a return of 7.39% [8] - China Bank follows with a return of 4.44% [8] Group 3: 30-Day Holding Period Products - The highest return is 18.14% from Hangzhou Bank [12] - Other significant returns include 12.34% from Minsheng Bank and 9.72% from Minsheng Bank [12][13] Group 4: 60-Day Holding Period Products - The top product is from China Bank with a return of 9.33% [15] - Other products include 5.95% from Shanghai Bank and 5.54% from Huaxia Bank [15][16]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The trade return ratio has turned positive again, and the service trade deficit has significantly narrowed [16][18] - The cross-border capital flow is expected to gradually return, positively impacting domestic liquidity [5][19] - The service trade deficit for December 2025 was 966 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 466 billion CNY, with a full-year deficit of 13,760 billion CNY, down 2,544 billion CNY, approximately 16% [18] Summary by Sections 1. Current Observation - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) released data on China's international balance of payments for December 2025, indicating a potential impact on the central bank's willingness to settle foreign exchange [16] - The trade return ratio is at a historical high, with a monthly unconverted trade net outflow of 447 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1,392 billion CNY [17] 2. Arbitrage Trading Returns - The arbitrage trading return rate for 10Y US Treasury bonds in CNY has dropped significantly to -1.77%, indicating a shift in cross-border capital dynamics [17] 3. Service Trade Deficit - The service trade deficit has narrowed significantly, with major contributions from improved policies for foreign visitors, reduced international shipping costs, and enhanced competitiveness in high-tech services [18] 4. Cross-Border Liquidity Outlook - Despite the recent appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, the trend of cross-border capital return is expected to continue, influenced by the Fed's monetary policy stance [19][21] - The short-term liquidity in the US remains tight, with limited space for balance sheet reduction, while long-term prospects depend on economic performance [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 annual reports of listed companies are being released, revealing a number of companies with strong performance and continuous profit growth over the past five years [1][16]. Group 1: Company Performance - A total of 62 companies have reported continuous net profit growth for five consecutive years, with significant representation from the machinery, banking, automotive, and pharmaceutical industries [5][16]. - The machinery sector shows a remarkable increase in net profit, with a year-on-year growth of over 290% for 2025, driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements, as well as expansion into emerging markets [5][16]. - In the banking sector, eight companies are included, with China Merchants Bank achieving a net profit exceeding 150 billion yuan, marking a historical high [5][16]. - The automotive and pharmaceutical sectors each have six companies reporting substantial profit growth, with specific companies like Asia-Pacific Shares and Ninebot Company-WD showing net profit increases of over 50% for 2025 [5][16]. Group 2: Significant Growth Companies - Among the 62 companies, 49 have doubled their net profits, 14 have increased profits by over five times, and six have seen growth exceeding ten times, including Asia-Pacific Shares and Ninebot Company-WD [6][17]. - Zhongji Xuchuang, a leader in optical modules, reported a net profit of 9.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of nearly 90%, benefiting from strong demand for computing infrastructure [6][17]. - Companies like Cai Bai Shares and Hunan Gold have seen significant stock price increases, with Cai Bai Shares rising over 71% since 2026 and reporting a net profit of no less than 1.06 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of over 190% compared to five years ago [19][21]. Group 3: Institutional Research and Market Performance - Nearly 20 of the 62 companies have received institutional research since 2026, with Ninebot Company-WD and Zhongji Xuchuang receiving over 75 institutional inquiries each [21][22]. - The average stock price increase for the 62 companies is close to 8% for 2026, with 11 companies seeing cumulative increases exceeding 20% [18][22]. - Cai Bai Shares and Hunan Gold have both reported significant stock performance, with Hunan Gold's net profit growth exceeding 460% compared to five years ago [19][21].

2026年开年，A股市场表现亮眼，公募FOF市场也热度骤起。从最新市场动向看，公募FOF今年以来新 发产品爆款频出，合计募集规模近300亿元。FOF火热的背后，是银行客户旺盛的配置需求——在低利 率环境下，银行正竞相发力FOF业务。FOF正从"固收 +"主导的1.0阶段，迈向"多元资产配置"的2.0新阶 段。 发行火热频现一日售罄 开年以来，FOF发行掀起小高潮，一日结束募集的情况频现。 2月6日，广发基金公告称，广发悦丰多元稳健三个月持有期混合（FOF）自2月5日开始募集，原定募集 截止日为2月13日，现将基金募集截止日提前至2月5日。2月4日，景顺长城基金公告称，景顺长城盈景 保守配置三个月持有期混合（FOF）于2月4日开始募集，现将募集截止日从2月10日提前至2月4日。 截至2月6日，今年以来共成立了18只FOF产品，发行规模合计292.09亿元，而2025年同期这一数字为 61.29亿元。 今年以来新发的FOF产品可谓爆款频现。例如，博时盈泰臻选6个月持有期混合（FOF）发行规模为 58.44亿元，认购天数只有一天。工银盈泰稳健6个月持有混合（FOF）发行规模为45.81亿元，富国智汇 稳健3个月持有 ...

本报记者 彭妍 近期，部分银行相继上调存取款等动账短信通知的起点金额。例如，招商银行近日在官网发布公告称，自2026年3月16日 起，该行将优化账户变动短信通知服务。调整后，对未开通账户变动短信通知服务的客户，该行将不再发送单笔5000元（含） 以下的经人行大小额系统汇入汇款交易通知短信。招商银行提示，客户可通过招商银行App、个人银行PC版或网点渠道办理账 户变动短信通知服务，或通过招商银行App开通免费消息中心功能。 同日，平果国民村镇银行也通过微信公众号发布公告，自2026年2月10日起将个人账户短信通知交易金额起点调整至200元 （含）。对于调整原因，该行表示，此举是为向客户提供更优质的金融服务，同时顺应金融科技的发展趋势。 另据记者梳理，去年以来，已有包括中国银行、民生银行、广东华兴银行、湖北银行、甘肃银行等在内的十余家银行，陆 续提高了银行卡交易免费短信通知的门槛。 南开大学金融学教授田利辉在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，此类调整是推动渠道迁移的关键性市场信号，是通过价 格杠杆清晰地引导用户行为。传统短信通知模式作为外购、被动、单向的通信管道，正被银行自有、交互、可运营的数字化平 台所替代。长远 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report anticipates new RMB loans in January to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a corresponding loan growth rate declining to approximately 6.3% [4][6] - The expected new social financing scale for January is projected to be between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, maintaining a stock growth rate of around 8.3% [21][25] - The report highlights a strong performance in corporate activities, with expectations for increased credit supply due to a favorable lending environment and government policies [8][28] Summary by Sections 1. RMB Loans - New RMB loans are expected to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a growth rate declining to around 6.3% [4][6] - The monthly increase is projected to vary between a decrease of 300 million to an increase of 1.2 billion yuan [8] 2. Social Financing - The anticipated new social financing scale for January is between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, with a stock growth rate around 8.3% [21][25] - The report notes that the net financing scale of local government bonds and corporate credit bonds is expected to be 1.181 trillion yuan and 490.3 billion yuan respectively [25] 3. Liquidity - M1 and M2 growth rates are expected to rise due to a low base effect, with M1 projected at 4.0% and M2 at 8.7% [26] - The report indicates that the increase in government and credit bonds' net financing will impact market liquidity [26] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in bank stock investment logic from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the attractiveness of high-dividend bank stocks during economic stagnation [28] - Two main investment lines are recommended: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividends [28]

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is tightening cost control measures by increasing the threshold for transaction notification SMS services, with some banks raising the limit to 5000 yuan, marking the beginning of a paid SMS notification era for small transactions [1][2]. Group 1: Changes in SMS Notification Services - Multiple banks, including China Merchants Bank, have announced adjustments to their SMS notification services, with a new threshold of 5000 yuan for free notifications, which is among the highest in the industry [2][3]. - Other banks, such as Minsheng Bank and Bank of China, have also raised their SMS notification thresholds to 300 yuan and 100 yuan respectively, indicating a trend across the banking sector [3][4]. - The adjustments reflect a broader movement among banks to manage operational costs more effectively, particularly in light of the expenses associated with SMS notifications [6][13]. Group 2: Cost Savings and Digital Transition - Banks are expected to save significant costs by reducing the number of SMS notifications sent, as each message incurs a fee from telecom operators [6][9]. - The average cost for SMS services varies, with larger banks typically securing lower rates due to their scale, while smaller banks face higher costs [8][9]. - The shift towards digital notification methods, such as mobile banking apps and WeChat services, is becoming more prevalent, reducing reliance on traditional SMS notifications [12][14]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The banking sector's net interest margin remains stable at 1.42%, with expectations of continued optimization in asset-liability structures and a gradual decline in interest margins [14][15]. - The cost structure for SMS notifications suggests that charging customers around 3 yuan per month can cover operational costs, especially if the average customer receives fewer than 100 notifications monthly [11][10].

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is tightening cost control by increasing the threshold for transaction SMS notifications, with some banks raising it to 5000 yuan, marking the beginning of a paid SMS notification era [1][3]. Group 1: Changes in SMS Notification Policies - Several banks have raised the threshold for free SMS notifications, with China Merchants Bank setting the highest threshold at 5000 yuan for single transactions [3][4]. - Other banks, including Minsheng Bank and Bank of China, have also adjusted their SMS notification thresholds to 300 yuan and 100 yuan respectively [4]. - The trend of increasing the threshold for free SMS notifications has been observed since the second half of last year, with over ten banks making similar adjustments [3][4]. Group 2: Cost Savings from SMS Notifications - Banks incur costs for each SMS sent, and the adjustments in notification policies are aimed at reducing these expenses [8]. - Estimates suggest that a bank with 1 million personal customers could save approximately 300 million yuan monthly if they stop sending free SMS notifications for small transactions [9]. - The procurement prices for SMS services vary, with larger banks generally securing lower rates than smaller banks due to their scale advantages [8]. Group 3: Shift to Digital Notification Channels - Banks are increasingly shifting towards digital notification methods, such as mobile banking apps and WeChat service accounts, which are more cost-effective than SMS [11]. - For example, Bank of China encourages customers to use its mobile banking app for free transaction notifications instead of relying on SMS [11]. - The overall trend indicates a decline in the necessity of SMS notifications as banks enhance their digital service offerings [11].

近日，招商银行宣布，对一卡通和一网通账户变动短信通知服务进行优化调整，引发市场广 泛关注。 根据公告内容，自2026年3月16日起，招商银行将对未开通账户变动短信通知服务的客户， 不再发送单笔5000元（含）以下的经人行大小额系统汇入汇款交易通知短信。 这一举措并非孤例，而是银行业在净息差持续收窄、经营压力加大背景下推进降本增效的的 缩影。据不完全统计，自2025年以来，已有中国银行、甘肃银行、广东华兴银行等十余家银 行公告上调动账短信的免费通知门槛，部分机构起点金额提至千元。新浪金融研究院查询国 有行、股份行App发现，对于小额账户变动的短信通知服务，银行每月收费1元至4元不等。 招商银行短信服务调整落地 单笔5000以下入账不再短信通知 据公告，招商银行此次调整旨在进一步优化客户服务体验，减少不必要的短信打扰。 该行同时表示，若客户希望及时掌握账户变动情况，可通过招商银行App、个人银行PC版或 网点渠道办理账户变动短信通知服务，或通过招商银行App开通免费消息中心功能。 新浪金融研究院查询招商银行App获悉，账户变动短信通知服务的收费标准为"3元/月/卡"， 定制后当月费用将于次月统一扣收。同时，65岁 ...