Market Performance - The real estate development sector increased by 1.18% on December 31, with Hefei Urban Construction leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3968.84, up 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13525.02, down 0.58% [1] Top Gainers - Hefei Urban Construction (002208) closed at 12.38, up 10.04% with a trading volume of 249,500 shares and a transaction value of 309 million [1] - Chengjian Development (600266) closed at 5.07, up 9.98% with a trading volume of 1,381,300 shares and a transaction value of 675 million [1] - Hezhan Energy (000809) closed at 3.64, up 9.97% with a trading volume of 672,100 shares and a transaction value of 241 million [1] Top Losers - Wantong Development (600246) closed at 12.30, down 4.58% with a trading volume of 897,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.106 billion [2] - Shoukai Shares (600376) closed at 6.61, down 4.06% with a trading volume of 3,535,500 shares and a transaction value of 2.4 billion [2] - China Shiyi (000797) closed at 3.93, down 3.44% with a trading volume of 987,100 shares and a transaction value of 391 million [2] Capital Flow - The real estate development sector saw a net inflow of 9.55 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 37.1 million [2] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 381 million from speculative funds [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (600895) had a net inflow of 39 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 230 million from speculative funds [3] - Chengjian Development (600266) saw a net inflow of 206 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 89.36 million from speculative funds [3] - Hefei Urban Construction (002208) had a net inflow of 118 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 49.63 million from speculative funds [3]

Core Insights - The high-end real estate market in Shanghai is experiencing a significant increase in supply, with 30% of new homes priced over 100,000 yuan per square meter, marking a 45% increase from the previous month [1] - The last week of December saw approximately 20 projects launch, with 8 projects having an average price exceeding 100,000 yuan per square meter [1] - Notable sales include the "national land king" Anlan, which achieved sales of approximately 9.077 billion yuan, and Zhonghai·Huanyu Juzhang, which sold out its initial offering [1][2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The high-end market is characterized by a "phenomenal hot sales" trend, with significant sales figures reported for several projects [2] - In December, the Yangpu Dongwaidan project launched 119 units at an average price of 138,800 yuan per square meter, with 109 units sold on the opening day despite a price increase [3] - Throughout the year, 34 projects in the high-end market achieved "daylight" sales, with 22 of these projects priced above 100,000 yuan per square meter [5] Competitive Landscape - The competition among leading real estate companies is intensifying, particularly among top players like China Resources, China Merchants, and Poly Development, as they strive for year-end performance [6] - As of November, China Resources led with 28.729 billion yuan in sales, closely followed by China Merchants at 28.505 billion yuan, with a narrow margin of only 2.24 billion yuan between them [6][9] - Zhonghai Real Estate is also leveraging its high-end projects, including Anlan and Huanyu Juzhang, to boost its annual performance, having reported 16.838 billion yuan in sales by November [7] Market Outlook - The high-end market is expected to remain a crucial support for Shanghai's real estate sector in 2025, with significant sales anticipated [10] - The competitive landscape among real estate firms is likely to evolve, with product innovation and marketing strategies becoming increasingly important for success [10] - Shanghai's luxury market is projected to account for a substantial portion of national sales, particularly for properties priced over 30 million yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The recent policy change on the value-added tax (VAT) for personal housing sales, reducing the rate from 5% to 3% for properties sold within two years, aims to lower seller transaction costs and help restore the transaction chain [2][4]. - The real estate industry has undergone significant adjustments since 2021, with front-end indicators (sales, land acquisition, and construction) declining by 50-70%, and back-end indicators (completion and investment) dropping by 30-40% [4]. - The cumulative decline in second-hand housing prices from July 2021 to September 2025 is 37%, surpassing the average decline of 34% across 42 countries [4]. - The report emphasizes the need for policies to support demand-side recovery to stabilize the market, particularly in core cities [4]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - The new VAT policy effective from January 1, 2026, will exempt individuals from paying VAT on properties sold after two years of purchase, while those selling within two years will pay a reduced rate of 3% [5]. Market Analysis - The report highlights the critical need for repairing household balance sheets to address the ongoing challenges in the real estate market, with expectations for further supportive policies to stabilize the market [4]. - Anticipated policy measures include reductions in mortgage rates, optimization of purchase restrictions and taxes in first-tier cities, accelerated land acquisition, and support for real estate financing [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies two key investment opportunities: the revaluation of quality commercial real estate and the emergence of strong product capabilities in core cities [4]. - Recommended companies for investment include: 1. Commercial real estate: China Resources Land, New World Development, Kerry Properties, Hang Lung Properties, Longfor Group, with a focus on Swire Properties and New World Development. 2. Quality housing companies: Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, and China Jinmao. 3. Undervalued recovery companies: Jianfa Shares, China Merchants Shekou, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments. 4. Property management: China Resources Vientiane, Greentown Services, China Merchants Jinling, Poly Property, and China Overseas Property. 5. Second-hand housing intermediaries: Beike-W [4].

Summary of China Property Weekly Wrap Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese property market**, specifically analyzing the performance of primary and secondary real estate transactions in the context of fiscal year 2025 (FY25) and the outlook for 2026. Key Highlights 1. **Policy Initiatives**: - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD) has outlined priorities for 2026 aimed at stabilizing the property market, including: - City-specific measures to control new supply and reduce inventory through urban renewal and buybacks of unsold homes for affordable housing [1] - Promotion of high-quality housing initiatives [1] - Enhancement of the "white-list" financing mechanism to support developers' financing needs [1] - Empowerment of local governments to adjust housing policies to support demand [1] - Advancement of new development models to mitigate delivery risks [1] 2. **Local Policy Adjustments**: - Beijing has eased local home purchase restrictions, allowing families with multiple children to buy an additional home within the 5th Ring Road [2] - Potential adjustments in home-purchase rules in other Tier-1 cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen are anticipated [2] 3. **Market Activity**: - Transactions in the primary market improved by **29% week-over-week (wow)**, while the secondary market saw a **5% wow** increase, despite year-over-year (yoy) declines of **-16%** and **-1%** respectively [3][8] - The ratio of units with price cuts narrowed to **15.4 times** those with price increases in December, down from approximately **18 times** in the previous months [3] 4. **Sales and Inventory Data**: - New home sales volume was **-37% yoy**, with search activities down **1.1% wow** [4] - Inventory levels increased by **0.1% wow** but decreased by **3.5%** from the end of 2024, with inventory months at **28.4** [20] 5. **Valuation Insights**: - Stronger state-owned enterprise (SOE) developers experienced a **-1% wow** decline in share prices, while privately-owned enterprises (POE) saw a **-2% wow** drop [32] - Offshore developers are trading at an average **37% discount** to end-2026 estimated net asset value (NAV) [32] 6. **Sales Forecasts**: - Property sales in approximately **75 cities** suggest that top-100 developers' presales are likely to decline **41% yoy** in December, compared to **-36%** in November [8] - Completions are expected to show a **mid-single-digit percentage improvement** yoy in December, with a **-10% yoy** decline projected for FY25 [24] 7. **Market Sentiment**: - Secondary market sentiment remains steady, with subscription-based sales and visitations flattening [3] - Home appliance sales are likely to record a yoy decline in December based on trends in **20 cities** [8] Additional Insights - The report indicates a potential steepened decline in new starts in December, based on land sales trends and cement shipment ratios [8] - The overall market sentiment reflects cautious optimism due to policy adjustments and localized easing measures, which may influence investor focus in the near term [2][3] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the China Property Weekly Wrap, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the Chinese property market.

Core Insights - The luxury real estate market in first-tier cities shows strong resilience, with significant sales in Guangzhou and Shenzhen during the fourth quarter of 2025 [1][6] - Shenzhen's top luxury projects achieved nearly 300 billion yuan in sales, indicating a robust demand for high-end properties [2][5] - Guangzhou's luxury market also performed well, with over 6,000 "ten-million-level" properties sold from January to October, a year-on-year increase of approximately 42% [7][10] Shenzhen Luxury Market Performance - On December 28, the launch of the CITIC Xinyue Bay project in Shenzhen generated over 100 billion yuan in sales within two hours, with a transaction rate of nearly 83% [2][3] - The highest unit price of 38,000 yuan per square meter at CITIC Xinyue Bay set a new record for non-villa residential properties in first-tier cities [3] - Prior to this, the Shenzhen Bay Yunxi project achieved a sales record of 130 billion yuan, while the GCC Lian Tai Chao Zong Wan project sold 53 billion yuan [5][6] Guangzhou Luxury Market Performance - Guangzhou's luxury market saw significant growth, with the Poly Yuexi Bay project achieving a sales amount of 110.89 billion yuan, making it the top-selling project in the first eleven months of 2025 [8][10] - The market shift from "demand-driven" to "improvement-driven" reflects a growing interest from high-net-worth individuals in core urban areas [10][11] - Upcoming luxury projects in Guangzhou are expected to enhance market competition, with nearly ten high-end projects set to launch, including key locations along the Pearl River [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Poly Developments (600048) is committed to maintaining stable operations during the industry adjustment period and has made positive progress in "de-stocking" and "structural adjustment" [1] - The company emphasizes that its solid fundamentals are the cornerstone of long-term value and is focused on delivering sustainable returns to shareholders through robust performance [1] - The company encourages stakeholders to refer to official announcements for further developments [1]

关于保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 北京德恒律师事务所 2025 年第六次临时股东会的 法律意见 北京市西城区金融街 19 号富凯大厦 B 座 12 层 电话:010-52682888 传真:010-52682999 邮编:100033 北京德恒律师事务所 关于保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 2025年第六次临时股东会的法律意见 北京德恒律师事务所 关于保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年第六次临时 股东会（以下简称"本次会议"）于 2025 年 12 月 29 日（星期一）召开。北京 德恒律师事务所（以下简称"德恒"）受公司委托，指派本所律师（以下简称"德 恒律师"），根据《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下简称"《证券法》"）、《中华 人民共和国公司法》（以下简称"《公司法》"）、中国证券监督管理委员会《上 市公司股东会规则》（以下简称"《股东会规则》"）、《保利发展控股集团股份 有限公司章程》（以下简称"《公司章程》"）的规定，就本次会议的召集、召 开程序、现场出席会议人员资格、表决程序等相关事项进行见证，并发表法律意 见。 为出具本法律意见，德恒律师审查了公 ...

证券代码：600048 证券简称：保利发展 公告编号：2025-113 转债代码：110817 转债简称：保利定转 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 2025年第六次临时股东会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、会议召开和出席情况 (一)股东会召开的时间：2025 年 12 月 29 日 二、议案审议情况 (二)股东会召开的地点：广州市海珠区阅江中路 832 号保利发展广场会议室 (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况： | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 1,799 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 5,431,329,339 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股份总数的比例（%） | 45.7745 | 注：上表中公司有表决权股份总数不含公司回购账户所持 105,031,578 股。 (四)表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，会议主持情况 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4] Core Views - The report emphasizes that policy adjustments are being driven by fundamental pressures, suggesting that the current policy intensity may exceed that of 2008 and 2014, indicating ongoing developments in the sector [4] - Real estate is viewed as an early-cycle indicator, serving as a barometer for economic trends, thus making it a strategic investment choice [4] - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private companies performing well in land acquisition and sales [4] - The report continues to favor investment in first-tier cities and select second- and third-tier cities, which have shown better performance during sales rebounds [4] - Supply-side policies, including land storage and management of idle land, are highlighted as critical areas to monitor, with expectations that first- and second-tier cities will benefit more from these changes [4] Summary by Sections New Housing Transactions - In the week, new housing transaction area across 30 cities was 241.0 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 15.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 41.5% [2][25] - First-tier cities recorded a new housing transaction area of 53.9 million square meters, down 0.4% month-on-month and down 41.3% year-on-year [2][25] - Second-tier cities saw a transaction area of 146.8 million square meters, up 21.7% month-on-month but down 40.6% year-on-year [2][25] - Third-tier cities had a transaction area of 40.4 million square meters, up 18.7% month-on-month but down 45.1% year-on-year [2][25] Secondary Housing Transactions - The total area of secondary housing transactions in 14 sample cities was 208.0 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 3.8% but a year-on-year decrease of 22.9% [32] - First-tier cities accounted for 89.3 million square meters, up 2.2% month-on-month [32] - Second-tier cities had 83.7 million square meters, down 1.8% month-on-month [32] - Third-tier cities recorded 35.0 million square meters, up 25.9% month-on-month [32] Credit Bonds - During the week (December 22-28), six credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, totaling 4.732 billion yuan, an increase of 0.402 billion yuan from the previous week [3][40] - The total repayment amount was 6.517 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.964 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing amount of -1.785 billion yuan, which is an increase of 1.366 billion yuan from the previous week [3][40]

昨天，随着7宗开发用地挂牌出让结束，以及蓝田一宗住宅用地宣布终止出让，2025年西安开发用地出让正式收官。 正如大家所感受到的，不管是从土地成交面积、土地出让金金额，还是从溢价成交地块数量、"万元地"数量，以及大牌房企的拿地积极性，整个2025年都 呈现出下降态势。 而这种成交面积的下降，将会影响到接下来西安一些区域的新房供应，2026年逐步得到体现，有助于通过供需关系稳楼市。 当然，楼市要想真正企稳，还是需要房价止跌、信心的回升。 01 2025年西安开发用地成交金额557.8亿元 地产房剑统计显示：2025年全年，西安全市（含西咸新区）共计供应开发用地148宗，面积合计6737.7亩。 最终，共计成交123宗，成交面积5701.85亩，计容建面930.87万平方米，土地出让金收入合计557.8亿元。 与2024年相比，2025年西安开发用地成交面积下降39.73%，成交金额下降29.37%。 2025年的成交面积、成交金额，不到2023年的六成。 今年实际上新增了几个土地市场热点区域，分别为幸福林带片区、团结片区、西电片区，这三大片区均位于三环内，是目前西安主城区城市更新重点区 域。 其中，中国金茂&贝好 ...