证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 】 2025 04 13 年 月 日 煤炭开采 3 重倒挂助煤价以时间换空间，"中特煤"以行动书写担当 行情回顾（2025.4.7~2025.4.11）： 基本面方面，我们持续强调"把握行业本质属性，坚定信心、坚守定力"。 "一利稳定增长，五率持续优化"，着力提高央企控股上市公司质量，强化投资者回 报。 中信煤炭指数 3,157.77 点，下跌 5.04%，跑输沪深 300 指数 2.16pct，位列中信板 块涨跌幅榜第 16 位。 本周两大煤炭央企发声"积极支持控股上市公司高质量发展"。此外，多部委机构打 出稳市组合拳，场外增量资金充足，我们认为"财务报表优异，低资本开支&现金流 充裕，具备高分红、高股息的央企"尤为受益。 考虑到煤价属周期波动，煤炭企业或通过加大成本管控力度，保证企业效益稳步提 升。以神华、中煤两大央企为例，在 24 年煤价中枢明显下移的背景下，其业绩降幅 显著低于煤价降幅，降本增效成效显著，诚意满满。 加大回购注销、分红力度，推动资产注入，延伸产业链布局均是提高 ROE 的方向。 重点领域分析： 增持（维持） 行业走势 -30% -2 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for key coal enterprises such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, highlighting their strong financial performance and potential for high dividends [8][10]. Core Viewpoints - The coal industry is experiencing a cyclical downturn, but companies are focusing on cost control and operational efficiency to maintain profitability. Major state-owned enterprises like Shenhua and China Coal have shown a significant reduction in performance decline compared to coal price drops, indicating effective cost management [3][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining investor confidence through high-quality development and asset integration within state-owned enterprises [2][3]. - The current coal prices are seen as bottoming out, with expectations of benefiting from domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth and increasing domestic demand [2][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The CITIC Coal Index decreased by 5.04% during the week of April 7-11, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.16 percentage points [1][75]. - The report notes that the coal market is currently in a phase of narrow fluctuations, with supply stability and limited demand growth impacting price movements [11][33]. Key Company Analysis - China Shenhua's coal production cost for 2024 is reported at 179 RMB/ton, remaining stable year-on-year, while China Coal Energy's cost is 282 RMB/ton, down 25 RMB/ton from the previous year [6][8]. - Both companies are expected to increase share buybacks and dividends, enhancing shareholder returns [8][10]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the coal market is characterized by a seasonal downturn, with limited demand from power plants and a shift towards cleaner energy sources impacting coal consumption [11][33]. - The report highlights that the focus on cost control and operational efficiency is crucial for maintaining profitability amid fluctuating coal prices [3][8]. Price Trends - As of April 11, 2025, the price of Qinhuangdao port Q5500 thermal coal is reported at 676 RMB/ton, showing stability week-on-week [11][33]. - The report anticipates that coal prices will remain under pressure due to weak demand and high inventory levels, but significant price drops are not expected in the short term [11][33].

Core Viewpoint - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) plans to acquire a 51% stake in Northwest Mining Company (西北矿业) for a total cash consideration of 140.66 billion yuan, aiming to enhance its profitability despite a decline in coal prices impacting its financial performance [2][5]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves Yanzhou Coal purchasing 26% of Northwest Mining for 47.48 billion yuan and injecting 93.18 billion yuan as capital increase [3][4]. - Prior to the acquisition, the ownership of Northwest Mining was held by various subsidiaries of Shandong Energy Group, with Yanzhou Coal being a subsidiary itself [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Yanzhou Coal's revenue and net profit are projected to decline by 7.29% and 28.39%, respectively, despite an increase in coal production [7][8]. - The company reported a coal production increase of 1.42 million tons, but the sales revenue from coal dropped to 916.25 billion yuan, a decrease of 103.95 billion yuan [8][9]. Industry Context - The coal industry is facing challenges with a significant drop in coal prices, with average prices for various coal types declining by 1.8% to 44.53% year-on-year [8][9]. - The overall revenue for major coal enterprises in China decreased by 11.1%, with a profit drop of 22.2%, indicating a tough market environment [8][9]. Future Outlook - Yanzhou Coal aims to enhance its operational capabilities post-acquisition, with a commitment to achieve a cumulative net profit of no less than 71.22 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [6]. - The company plans to focus on high-quality development, targeting a coal production of 1.55 to 1.6 million tons in 2025, while also aiming to reduce its debt ratio below 60% [10].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部 份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 中國山東省鄒城市 2025年4月10日 於本公告日期，本公司董事為李偉先生、劉健先生、劉強先生、張海軍先生、蘇力 先生及黃霄龍先生，而本公司的獨立非執行董事為彭蘇萍先生、朱利民先生、胡家 棟先生及朱睿女士。 * 僅供識別 1 兗礦能源集團股份有限公司 YANKUANG ENERGY GROUP COMPANY LIMITED* ( 在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司 ) (股份代碼：01171) 董事會會議通知 兗礦能源集團股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此公佈，董事 會將於 2025 年 4 月 25 日（星期五）於本公司總部舉行董事會會議，籍以審議並公 佈（其中包括）本公司及其附屬公司截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日止三個月之未經審計第 一季度業績（按照中國會計准則編制）。 承董事會命 兗礦能源集團股份有限公司 董事長 李偉 ...

动力煤龙头兖矿能源（600188）(600188.SH、01171.HK)将获控股股东注入煤炭资源。 4月8日晚间，兖矿能源发布资产收购计划。公司拟以现金140.66亿元收购控股股东山东能源集团权属公 司山东能源集团西北矿业有限公司(简称"西北矿业")51%股权，其中以现金47.48亿元受让西北矿业26% 股权，以现金93.18亿元向西北矿业增资。 实施百亿元级收购，兖矿能源将减少与山东能源集团之间的同业竞争问题。同时，通过对山东能源集团 优质煤炭资源的整合，兖矿能源将进一步增厚其在西北地区的煤炭资源储备，进而增强盈利能力。 长江商报记者注意到，由于煤炭市场震荡下行，商品煤价格下跌致煤炭业务盈利下滑，2024年，兖矿能 源实现营业收入1391.24亿元，同比减少7.29%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润144.25亿元，同比减少 28.39%。 报告期内，兖矿能源(合并口径，下同)的煤炭销售价格为672.18元/吨，同比减少约16.3%。 本次交易中，西北矿业现有股东方作出业绩承诺，2025年至2027年，西北矿业对应的经审计的扣除非经 常性损益后归母净利润累计不低于71.22亿元。 拟140亿取得西北矿业51% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yanzhou Coal Mining Company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The acquisition of a 51% stake in Northwest Mining Company for CNY 14.066 billion is a strategic move to enhance growth and resource base [3][4] - Northwest Mining has rich coal resource reserves with a total approved capacity of 61.05 million tons per year, and it operates in key regions such as Shaanxi, Gansu, Shanxi, and southern Inner Mongolia [3] - The company is expected to see a rebound in profitability in 2024, excluding non-recurring losses, with an adjusted net profit of approximately CNY 2.4 billion, indicating growth compared to 2023 [3] - The acquisition is projected to increase Yanzhou Coal's revenue and net profit by approximately 12.37% and 7.68% respectively in 2024 [4] - The deal is characterized by low cash outflow and attractive valuation metrics, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.69, which is lower than Yanzhou Coal's A-share PE of 8.8 [6] Financial Summary - For 2023, total revenue is reported at CNY 150.1 billion, with a projected decline to CNY 139.1 billion in 2024, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from CNY 20.1 billion in 2023 to CNY 14.4 billion in 2024, with a gradual recovery thereafter [5] - The gross margin is forecasted to decline from 40.6% in 2023 to 35.8% in 2024, stabilizing around 34% in the following years [5] - The company aims to achieve a coal production target of 300 million tons, with the acquisition being a crucial step towards this goal [4][6]

值得注意的是，就在4月8日晚，兖矿能源刚公告称，拟以现金140.66亿元收购山东能源集团西北矿业有 限公司（以下简称"西北矿业"）51%股权，其中以现金47.48亿元收购西北矿业现有股东26%股权，以现 金93.18亿元向西北矿业增资。而西北矿业下辖矿井正是山东能源的优质煤炭资产，该项交易将进一步 落实山东能源在西北区域的优质煤矿资产注入兖矿能源，也是兖矿能源向3亿吨原煤当量目标迈进的重 要一步。 兖矿能源有关负责人对《证券日报》记者表示，公司未来还将持续强化资源支撑体系，在加快落实控股 股东所属西北、内蒙古等区域优质煤矿资产注入的同时，积极获取陕蒙、新疆等国家能源战略基地"核 心产区"优质煤炭资源，同时密切关注境外焦煤、有色金属等资产并购机会。 （文章来源：证券日报） 公告显示，兖矿能源4月9日收到控股股东山东能源发来的《关于支持上市公司高质量发展的函》，山东 能源坚定看好中国资本市场发展前景和兖矿能源的长期投资价值，并做出如下承诺： 一是除因法律法规、规章及规范性文件、国家政策和监管机构另有要求外，山东能源自本承诺函出具之 日起12个月内，将不主动减持所持有的兖矿能源股份。而且在上述承诺期间内，如兖矿能源 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yanzhou Coal Mining Company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The acquisition of a 51% stake in Northwest Mining Company for 14.066 billion yuan is a strategic move to enhance growth and resource reserves [3][4] - Northwest Mining has rich coal resource reserves with a total approved capacity of 61.05 million tons per year, and it operates in key regions such as Shaanxi, Gansu, Shanxi, and southern Inner Mongolia [3] - The company is expected to see a growth in profitability in 2024, excluding non-recurring losses, with an adjusted net profit of approximately 2.4 billion yuan [3] - The acquisition is projected to increase Yanzhou Coal's revenue and net profit by approximately 12.37% and 7.68% respectively in 2024 [4] Financial Summary - In 2023, total revenue was 150.1 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 139.1 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from 20.1 billion yuan in 2023 to 14.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a gradual recovery thereafter [5] - The gross margin is projected to decline from 40.6% in 2023 to 35.8% in 2024, reflecting the impact of market conditions [5] - The company is expected to maintain a low P/E ratio of 9.59 in 2025, indicating potential undervaluation [5][6] Strategic Focus - Yanzhou Coal will continue to focus on its coal business and accelerate the implementation of its goal to reach 300 million tons of raw coal production [6] - The acquisition is seen as a key step towards achieving this production target and enhancing the company's profitability [4][6] - The company plans to actively seek high-quality coal resources in strategic energy bases such as Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang, while also exploring overseas acquisition opportunities [6]

兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 关于控股股东支持上市公司高质量发展自愿承诺的 公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完 整性承担法律责任。 2025 年 4 月 9 日，兖矿能源集团股份有限公司（"兖矿能源" "本公司"）收到控股股东山东能源集团有限公司（"山东能源"） 发来的《关于支持上市公司高质量发展的函》，现将有关情况公告如 下。 山东能源坚定看好中国资本市场发展前景和本公司的长期投资 价值。为贯彻落实国务院《关于进一步提高上市公司质量的意见》要 求，维护广大投资者利益，提升兖矿能源中长期投资价值，助力中国 资本市场稳定和经济高质量发展，山东能源承诺： 股票代码：600188 股票简称：兖矿能源 编号：临 2025-023 1 3. 山东能源将继续积极支持兖矿能源深耕主责主业，增强核心 竞争力，并将在综合考虑相关资产的质量、本公司的资金安排等情况 的基础上，持续向本公司注入优质主业资产，实现优质资产向本公司 集聚，支持本公司持续、稳定、健康发展，优化提升投资者回报。 本公司董事会将督促山东能源严格遵守上述承诺，并按照相关法 律法规以 ...

兖矿能源（600188.SH）事件点评 收购西北矿业股权，3 亿吨规划更进一步 2025 年 04 月 09 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 8 日，公司公告，公司拟以现金 140.66 亿元收购控股 股东山能集团权属公司西北矿业 51%股权，其中以现金 47.48 亿元受让西北矿 业 26%股权，以现金 93.18 亿元向西北矿业增资。此次收购及增资后，公司将以 51%的持股比例取得西北矿业控制权。 ➢ 收购价格对应约 11 倍 PE（2024 年）。据公告，西北矿业 2023 年和 2024 年 1 月至 11 月净利润分别为 22.66 亿元、14.74 亿元。但 2024 年业绩下降是 有特殊原因的：一是五举煤矿开始试生产，核定 300 万吨的煤矿仅贡献 90 余万 吨商品煤产量，而各项固定成本及费用较高导致当年亏损 6.89 亿元，该矿 2025 年达产后将实现盈利；二是为客观公允反映资产价值，以 2024 年 11 月 30 日为 评估基准日开展评估时，对西北矿业下属资产计提 2.8 亿元减值，抵减了 2024 年利润。若剔除上述 9.26 亿元非经常性亏损，调整后净利润约 24 亿元，同比呈 ...