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煤炭股跌幅居前 焦煤焦炭期货日内大跌 机构称主流钢厂已对焦炭提出提降
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 02:47
消息面上,12月8日,焦炭连续主力合约日内跌5%;焦煤期货主力合约跌超6%。中信建投(601066) 指出,完成第四轮提涨后,主流钢厂于11月28日正式对焦炭提出"第一轮提降",预计12月1日执行。炼 焦煤价格因需求回落而下跌,导致焦炭成本支撑进一步弱化;同时钢厂因利润压力,凭借减产带来的议 价权,对焦炭成功发起"首轮提降",或标志煤焦市场的拐点确立。 煤炭股跌幅居前,截至发稿,中国秦发(00866)跌11.25%,报2.84港元;中煤能源(601898)(01898)跌 3.62%,报10.38港元;中国神华(601088)(01088)跌2.7%,报39.6港元;兖矿能源(600188)(01171)跌 2.51%,报10.11港元。 ...
煤炭行业周报(12月第1周):保供政策提升库存,库存涨煤价跌-20251207
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-12-07 12:30
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has seen a rise, but it underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 0.77% against the CSI 300's 1.28% [2] - Inventory levels are increasing due to supply policies, while coal prices are declining rapidly. Despite increased production, supply constraints are expected to persist, leading to potential coal shortages in certain regions [6][32] - The report anticipates a rise in the coal price center in the fourth quarter, with current coal asset dividends being reasonable [6][32] Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - As of December 5, 2025, the coal sector's performance was 0.77% up, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 0.51 percentage points. A total of 21 stocks rose, while 14 fell, with New Dazhou A showing the highest increase of 14.98% [2] Key Data on Coal Sales and Inventory - The average daily coal sales for monitored enterprises from November 28 to December 4, 2025, were 6.98 million tons, down 5% week-on-week and down 9.5% year-on-year. Total coal inventory was 24.67 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% week-on-week and 20.5% year-on-year [2][30] Price Trends in Coal Types - As of December 5, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) was 706 CNY/ton, up 1.15% week-on-week, while the price of imported thermal coal fell by 4.69% to 874 CNY/ton. Prices for coking coal and anthracite also showed declines [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in high-dividend thermal coal companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others. For coking coal, companies like Huaibei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal are recommended. Additionally, companies with improved profits in the coking sector are highlighted [6][32]
煤炭开采行业周报:12月煤价仍有上涨动能-20251207
Guohai Securities· 2025-12-07 10:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal price has upward momentum in December, driven by seasonal demand increases and supply constraints [4][7] - The coal mining industry is characterized by high asset quality and strong cash flow among leading companies, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for coal prices [7] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal - As of December 5, the price of thermal coal at northern ports is 785 RMB/ton, a decrease of 31 RMB/ton week-on-week [14] - Production in the Sanxi region has seen a slight decrease in capacity utilization, down 0.61 percentage points [14][21] - Coastal and inland power plants have increased daily coal consumption by 7.3 and 35.3 thousand tons respectively [14][23] - The inventory of power plants in 25 provinces is 136.12 million tons, down 115 thousand tons year-on-year [14][34] 2. Coking Coal - The capacity utilization rate for coking coal mines has decreased by 0.17 percentage points to 84.5% [5][40] - The average crossing volume at Ganqimaodu port has increased, indicating stable import levels [5][44] - The price of main coking coal at ports is 1,630 RMB/ton, down 40 RMB/ton week-on-week [5][41] 3. Coke - The production rate of independent coking plants has increased slightly to 72.66% [53][59] - The average profit per ton of coke has decreased to approximately 30 RMB/ton, down 16 RMB/ton week-on-week [57] - The price of coke at Rizhao port is 1,630 RMB/ton, a decrease of 50 RMB/ton week-on-week [54] 4. Anthracite - The price of anthracite remains stable, with the small block price at 930 RMB/ton [69] 5. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, all rated as "Buy" [9]
印尼明年或将开始征收煤炭出口税
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-12-07 08:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - Indonesia plans to impose a coal export tax starting in 2026 to increase national revenue, which has faced strong opposition from the coal mining association [2][8] - The report recommends companies with strong earnings elasticity such as Yancoal Energy, Jinkong Coal Industry, and focuses on Keda Automation in the smart mining sector [2] - Key companies to watch include major state-owned enterprises like China Coal Energy and China Shenhua, as well as turnaround candidates like China Qinfa [2] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Global energy prices have shown mixed trends, with Brent crude oil futures at $63.75 per barrel (+0.87%) and WTI at $60.08 per barrel (+2.61%) as of December 5, 2025 [1] - Coal prices have seen slight adjustments, with Newcastle coal at $109.5 per ton (-1.44%) and South African Richards Bay coal at $90.8 per ton (+5.13%) [1][36] Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - China Coal Energy: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.46, 1.21, 1.29, and 1.39 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - China Shenhua: Buy with EPS estimates of 2.95, 2.56, 2.71, and 2.86 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - Jinkong Coal Industry: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.68, 1.23, 1.47, and 1.62 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - Yancoal Energy: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.44, 0.99, 1.18, and 1.37 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - China Qinfa: Buy with EPS estimates of 0.20, 0.06, 0.27, and 0.47 for 2024A to 2027E [7] Market Trends - The coal industry is facing challenges due to the proposed export tax, which may impact its competitiveness in the global market [2][8] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring coal demand and pricing trends as the industry navigates these changes [2][36]
需求偏弱震荡或延续,供给约束深跌亦难为
Xinda Securities· 2025-12-07 07:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The supply side constraints are expected to support prices despite high inventory levels and mild weather conditions, with coal prices anticipated to exhibit a bottoming and oscillating trend [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a balanced short-term supply-demand scenario and a long-term gap still present [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of December 6, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 791 RMB/ton, down 27 RMB/ton week-on-week [30] - The international thermal coal FOB price for Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 85.5 USD/ton, down 1.8 USD/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1650 RMB/ton, down 60 RMB/ton week-on-week [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points week-on-week [48] - The daily coal consumption in inland 17 provinces has increased by 32.10 thousand tons/day, a rise of 9.07% week-on-week [47] - The daily coal consumption in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 10.70 thousand tons/day, a rise of 5.72% week-on-week [47] Inventory Situation - The coal inventory in inland 17 provinces has decreased by 100.60 thousand tons, a decline of 0.99% week-on-week [47] - The coal inventory in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 51.10 thousand tons, an increase of 1.48% week-on-week [47] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown a positive performance with a 0.77% increase, although it underperformed compared to the broader market [14][17] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, which are noted for their stable operations and strong performance [12][13]
日耗爬坡缓慢拖累煤价,供应偏紧不改后市可期
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-06 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [5]. Core Views - The coal price is expected to maintain a strong upward trend due to seasonal demand increases and supply constraints, despite short-term pressures from low consumption rates in certain regions [7][8]. - The report highlights the potential for coal prices to rise as winter approaches, with increased demand from power plants for stock replenishment [7]. - The introduction of stricter safety regulations is likely to impact coal production rates, further tightening supply [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry consists of 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 19,360.92 billion [2]. - The circulating market value of the industry is around 18,986.29 billion [2]. 2. Price Tracking - As of December 5, 2025, the average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines is 5.512 million tons, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.22% but a year-on-year decrease of 7.53% [8]. - The price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port is reported at 790 yuan per ton, down 31 yuan from the previous week, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 3.78% [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that the daily coal consumption across 25 provinces reached 5.839 million tons, an increase of 428,000 tons from the previous week, indicating a week-on-week growth of 7.91% [8]. - The report anticipates that as winter progresses, coal demand will increase, particularly in southern regions affected by cold weather [7]. 4. Company Performance and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, and Jinneng Holding Group, which are expected to benefit from the anticipated rise in coal prices [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with high elasticity in their stock performance, particularly those involved in thermal coal production [7].
兖矿能源资产腾挪 拟3.45亿元收购关联公司
中经记者 李哲 北京报道 兖矿能源(600188.SH、01171.HK)再度筹划与控股股东山东能源集团有限公司(以下简称"山能集 团")进行关联交易。 近日,兖矿能源公告披露,其全资附属公司拟以约3.45亿元收购山东能源装备集团高端支架制造有限公 司(以下简称"高端支架公司")100%股权。 由于高端支架公司的全资持股方山东能源集团重型装备制造(集团)有限公司(以下简称"山能装备") 与兖矿能源均为山能集团控股子公司,此次交易构成关联交易。公开信息显示,这已经是近12个月内兖 矿能源与山能集团之间第五次关联交易。 《中国经营报》记者注意到,此次被收购的高端支架公司主营矿山装备。财务数据显示,2025年前三季 度,标的总资产和总负债均有所攀升,而净利润却呈下滑态势。 标的公司前三季度利润仅27万元 根据公告,兖矿能源拟通过全资附属公司兖矿东华重工有限公司(以下简称"东华重工")收购山能装备 持有的高端支架公司100%股权,交易对价约3.45亿元。 兖矿能源方面在公告中解释称,高端支架公司与东华重工业务存在同业竞争关系,此次收购旨在解决该 问题,助力装备制造产业一体化与煤矿智能化建设,为煤矿安全高效开采与高质量 ...
能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,重仓股中国神华跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 01:35
来源:新浪基金∞工作室 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 能源ETF广发(159945)业绩比较基准为中证全指能源指数,管理人为广发基金管理有限公司,基金经 理为姚曦,成立(2015-06-25)以来回报为19.05%,近一个月回报为-0.68%。 12月5日,能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,报1.187元。能源ETF广发(159945)重仓股方面,中 国神华开盘跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%,陕西煤业涨0.44%,中国石化涨0.00%,中国海油涨0.21%,杰 瑞股份涨0.46%,兖矿能源跌0.14%,广汇能源涨0.00%,中煤能源跌0.36%,山西焦煤涨0.30%。 ...
兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 关于股份回购进展公告
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 截至2025年11月30日,A股回购进展如下: ■ 截至2025年11月30日,公司尚未回购H股股份。 一、回购股份的基本情况 2025年8月29日,兖矿能源集团股份有限公司("公司")召开第九届董事会第十八次会议,审议批准了 《关于回购公司A股股份的议案》。公司使用自有资金人民币0.5-1亿元通过集中竞价方式回购部分A股 股份,回购价格不超过人民币17.08元/股;回购期限为自公司董事会审议通过本次回购方案之日起12个 月内;回购用途为公司股权激励,期限3年,若3年内上述股份未用于股权激励,则予以注销。 2025年5月30日,公司召开2024年度股东周年大会,批准授予公司董事会回购公司H股股份的一般性授 权;2025年8月29日,公司召开第九届董事会第十八次会议,审议批准了《关于根据一般性授权回购公 司H股股份的议案》。公司使用自有资金人民币1.5-4亿元通过集中竞价方式回购部分H股股份,每次回 购H股价格不高于 ...
美国电厂存煤能力进一步下滑 机构看好煤炭板块2026投资机会(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 00:41
随着美国国内煤炭消费爆发式增长,美国煤炭出口预计趋缓,全球海运动力煤贸易或将步入紧平衡格 局,建议重点关注具备区位与成本优势的国内煤企。 中泰证券(600918)发布研报称,交易面与基本面共振,煤炭或迎来新周期,看好2026年煤炭板块投资 机会,投资方面建议把握三条主线。基于中长期资金持续入市,煤炭"高股息、低估值"投资价值进一步 凸显,积极配置红利属性较强的标的;基于企业自身产能增长逻辑,叠加盈利弹性较大,重点关注α与 β共振的有望受益;基于煤价见底、盈利改善,重点关注困境反转的炼焦煤有望受益。 煤炭相关产业链港股: 中煤能源(601898)(01898)、兖矿能源(600188)(01171)、中国神华(601088)(01088)、兖煤澳大利 亚(03668)、中国秦发(00866)等。 10月节后煤价超预期上涨。 节后煤炭供应方面反内卷带动的收缩预期延续,边际因素在于产地降雨和大秦线检修,进口煤或受到蒙 古国政治因素影响环比有所下降。市场则担心四季度供应继续收缩。而价格超预期上涨的主要变量在需 求端,一方面下游电厂采购积极性提升,秦港船舶锚地数提升带动货船比下降,港口持续去库,另一方 面,下游用电量快 ...