Group 1 - The refining and trading sector increased by 0.73% compared to the previous trading day, with Runbei Hangke leading the gains [1] - On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3968.84, up 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13525.02, down 0.58% [1] - Key stocks in the refining and trading sector showed varied performance, with Runbei Hangke closing at 39.48, up 5.31%, and China Petroleum at 10.41, up 1.56% [1] Group 2 - The refining and trading sector experienced a net outflow of 655 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 549 million yuan [2] - The table of fund flows indicates that major stocks like Heshun Petroleum and Runbei Hangke had mixed net inflows and outflows from different investor types [3] - Heshun Petroleum had a main fund net inflow of 29.66 million yuan, while Runbei Hangke saw a net outflow of 30.16 million yuan from retail investors [3]

恒力石化股份有限公司 近日，公司收到中国银行间市场交易商协会（以下简称"交易商协会"）下发 的《接受注册通知书》（中市协注〔2025〕DFI77号）。《接受注册通知书》中明确： 交易商协会决定接受公司债务融资工具注册；注册自通知书落款之日起2年内有效； 公司在注册有效期内可分期发行超短期融资券、短期融资券、中期票据、永续票据、 资产支持票据、绿色债务融资工具等产品，也可定向发行相关产品；每期发行时应 确定当期主承销商、发行产品、发行规模、发行期限等要素。 公司将根据《接受注册通知书》要求，并按照《非金融企业债务融资工具注册 发行规则》《非金融企业债务融资工具注册工作规程》《非金融企业债务融资工具 定向发行注册工作规程》《非金融企业债务融资工具信息披露规则》等有关规则指 引规定执行，及时履行信息披露义务。 特此公告。 恒力石化股份有限公司董事会 2026 年 1 月 1 日 恒力石化股份有限公司 关于非金融企业债务融资工具（DFI）注册申请获准的 公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 恒力石化股份有限公司（以下简 ...

恒力石化股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 恒力石化股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年8月15日召开第九届董 事会第三十次会议，审议通过了《关于全资子公司之间吸收合并的议案》，同意 公司全资子公司恒力石化（大连）炼化有限公司（以下简称"恒力炼化"）吸收 合并公司全资子公司恒力石化（大连）化工有限公司（以下简称"恒力化工"）。 吸收合并完成后，恒力炼化存续经营，恒力化工将依法注销，恒力化工的全部资 产、债权、债务等其他一切权利和义务均由恒力炼化依法承继。具体内容详见公 司在指定信息披露媒体及上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《关于 全资子公司之间吸收合并的公告》（公告编号：2025-047）。 近日，上述吸收合并涉及的市场主体登记手续，已在市场监督管理部门办理 完毕，至此，本次吸收合并事项已完成。本次吸收合并各方均在公司合并报表范 围内，吸收合并后不会对公司合并报表产生实质性影响，不会对公司的正常经营、 财务状况和经营成果产生重大影响，亦不存在损害公司及全体股东特别是中小 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the Tianhong Chemical ETF (159133), which saw a turnover of 4.42% and a transaction volume of 26.6075 million yuan, with the underlying index rising by 1.84% to reach a new annual high [1][3] - The Tianhong Chemical ETF has achieved a record high in size at 629 million yuan and a record high in shares at 567 million, with a net inflow of 21.9844 million yuan recently [3] - The chemical sector is characterized by its complexity and rapid rotation, with the Tianhong Chemical ETF tracking 50 leading companies, covering both traditional cyclical sectors and emerging growth areas [3] Group 2 - Recent news indicates that major companies in the lithium iron phosphate industry, including Wanrun New Energy and Hunan Youneng, have announced maintenance and production cuts, with reductions of 35% to 50% planned for January 2026 [3][4] - Research institutions suggest that the collective maintenance in the lithium iron phosphate industry is a response to rising raw material costs, leading to increased operational pressure on companies [4] - The lithium battery supply chain is experiencing a rise in both volume and price, with significant increases in production and prices for lithium carbonate and lithium iron phosphate, indicating a recovery in downstream demand [5]

Core Viewpoint - The PTA (Purified Terephthalic Acid) sector is experiencing strong performance, attracting market attention with significant gains in stock prices of leading companies in the industry. Group 1: Company Highlights - Hengyi Petrochemical (恒逸石化) has a latest stock price of 10.98 CNY with a daily increase of +10.02%, recognized as a leading private multinational with significant PTA production capacity [1] - Xin Feng Ming (新凤鸣) has a latest stock price of 19.90 CNY with a daily increase of +7.86%, ranking among the top three in the domestic polyester filament industry, with most PTA products used internally [2] - Zhongtai Chemical (中泰化学) has a latest stock price of 5.15 CNY with a daily increase of +7.29%, noted for being the largest PTA facility in Northwest China with significant regional market advantages [3] - Rongsheng Petrochemical (荣盛石化) has a latest stock price of 11.98 CNY with a daily increase of +7.06%, recognized as a leader in the PTA industry with a total PTA capacity of approximately 19 million tons [4] - Hengli Petrochemical (恒力石化) has a latest stock price of 22.43 CNY with a daily increase of +6.81%, noted for having the most advanced technology and cost advantages in PTA production [5] - Tongkun Co., Ltd. (桐昆股份) has a latest stock price of 17.40 CNY with a daily increase of +4.07%, established an integrated production and sales structure for PTA and polyester [6] - Shanghai Petrochemical (上海石化) has a latest stock price of 2.85 CNY with a daily increase of +3.64%, possessing a PTA capacity of 400,000 tons per year [8] - Dongfang Shenghong (东方盛虹) has a latest stock price of 11.37 CNY with a daily increase of +3.46%, recognized as an important polyester raw material supplier in East China with existing PTA capacity [9]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector has shown a significant rebound, with the Chemical ETF (516020) reaching a new high since September 2022, reflecting strong performance across various sub-sectors such as petrochemicals, polyester, phosphate chemicals, and lithium batteries [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Chemical ETF (516020) opened lower but experienced a rise, achieving a maximum intraday increase of 2.56% and closing up by 1.98% [1][9]. - The Chemical ETF's index has recorded a year-to-date increase of 41.4%, outperforming major A-share indices like the Shanghai Composite Index (18.3%) and the CSI 300 Index (18.21%) [1][9]. Group 2: Key Stocks Performance - Notable stocks within the sector include Hengyi Petrochemical, which hit the daily limit, and others like Xin Fengming and Rongsheng Petrochemical, which rose over 7% [1][9]. - Hengli Petrochemical increased by over 6%, while Jinfa Technology, Yuntianhua, and Tianci Materials also showed significant gains [1][9]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The chemical sector's strong performance is attributed to policy support and cyclical recovery, leading to a notable outperformance compared to the broader market [1][9]. - The sector's fixed asset investment growth is slowing, and the "anti-involution" policy is promoting industry self-discipline, which is expected to improve profitability levels [6][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The demand for lithium iron phosphate materials is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a global output of 5.25 million tons by 2026, a 36% increase year-on-year [4][12]. - The Chemical ETF (516020) is positioned to capture investment opportunities across various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks [6][13].

Group 1 - The chemical sector has regained momentum, with the chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a price increase of 1.4% after a low opening, reaching a maximum intraday gain of 1.63% [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including Hengyi Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Xin Fengming, saw significant gains, with Hengyi Petrochemical rising over 6% and others increasing by more than 5% [1][2] - A recent conference on the high-quality development of the fertilizer industry highlighted the industry's transition towards quality and efficiency, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] Group 2 - According to Huaxin Securities, the chemical industry remains in a weak position overall, with mixed performance across sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand, although some sectors like lubricants have exceeded expectations [3] - The chemical ETF (516020) is currently at a price-to-book ratio of 2.57, which is considered relatively reasonable based on historical data, suggesting potential for medium to long-term investment [3] - According to Everbright Securities, the basic chemical industry is expected to see strong demand from new materials, particularly in emerging applications like AI and OLED, which will drive growth in core materials such as photoresists [5] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, covering various sub-sectors and concentrating nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks, which provides an opportunity to capitalize on strong market leaders [5] - The ETF also includes significant positions in sectors like phosphate and nitrogen fertilizers, as well as fluorine chemicals, allowing for a comprehensive approach to investment opportunities in the chemical sector [5]

Group 1 - The chemical sector has regained momentum, with the chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a maximum intraday increase of 1.63% and closing up 1.4% [1][8] - Key stocks in the sector include Hengyi Petrochemical, which surged over 6%, and other companies like Rongsheng Petrochemical and New Fengming, which rose over 5% [1][8] - The recent high-quality development conference for the fertilizer industry highlighted the transition towards quality and efficiency in the sector, alongside new quota policies for refrigerants that are expected to optimize supply-demand dynamics [10][10] Group 2 - According to Huaxin Securities, the chemical industry remains weak overall, with mixed performance across sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand, although some sectors like lubricants have exceeded expectations [3][10] - The chemical ETF (516020) has a price-to-book ratio of 2.57, indicating a relatively reasonable valuation position within the last decade [3][10] - According to Everbright Securities, the basic chemical industry is expected to see significant growth by 2025, driven by strong demand in new materials and emerging applications such as AI and OLED [4][11] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index, covering various segments, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Potash [4][11] - Investors can also access the chemical sector through linked funds of the chemical ETF, providing a diversified investment approach [5][11]

Summary of Hengli Petrochemical Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hengli Petrochemical - **Industry**: Chemicals, specifically focusing on polyester fibers and petrochemical products - **Capacity**: Largest PTA plant globally with a capacity of 16.6 million tonnes per annum and a crude-to-chemicals project of 20 million tonnes per annum [11] Key Points Industry Dynamics - **PX Fundamentals**: Improved since late October 2025, with PX prices and gross profits rising approximately RMB 650 and RMB 1,000 per tonne respectively as of December 25, 2025. This improvement is attributed to: 1. Increased PX demand from overseas blending components 2. Tighter supply due to maintenance at facilities in China and abroad 3. Low inventory levels in China [2] - **PTA Profitability**: The PTA industry has seen notable improvements in self-discipline, leading to a decrease in market-wide inventories, now at a three-year low. PTA prices increased over RMB 500 per tonne to RMB 5,040 per tonne as of December 25, 2025, with a gross profit increase of nearly RMB 100 per tonne [3] Financial Projections - **2026 Earnings Outlook**: Positive projections for the aromatics value chain in 2026, with expectations of continued strong PX profitability due to tight supply in the first half of 2026. No new capacity launches are anticipated for 2026, which, combined with low inventories and industry self-discipline, is expected to support PTA profitability recovery. An estimated improvement of RMB 200 in per-tonne gross profit for PX/PTA could add approximately RMB 700 million to RMB 2 billion to Hengli's earnings [4] Valuation and Ratings - **Price Target Adjustment**: The price target has been raised from RMB 22.7 to RMB 25.6, reflecting a 2-4% increase in earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027. The new price target implies a 2.4x price-to-book value (P/BV) and a 15.2% return on equity (ROE) for 2026 [5][6] Market Metrics - **Current Stock Price**: RMB 21.27 as of December 26, 2025 - **Market Capitalization**: RMB 150 billion (approximately USD 21.4 billion) - **Average Daily Volume**: 24,455,000 shares - **Debt Metrics**: Net debt to EBITDA ratio projected at 5.1x for 2025 [6] Earnings Estimates - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2025E: RMB 0.99 - 2026E: RMB 1.53 (up 4% from previous estimates) - 2027E: RMB 1.67 (up 2% from previous estimates) [7] Risks - **Downside Risks**: 1. Declining PX industry fundamentals could impact profitability 2. Falling refinery fundamentals amid high oil prices 3. Ineffective sales channels leading to declining refined oil sales and profits [12] Additional Insights - **Forecast Returns**: Anticipated stock return of 22.5%, with a forecast price appreciation of 20.4% and a dividend yield of 2.1% [10] This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections regarding Hengli Petrochemical's performance and the broader industry context, highlighting potential investment opportunities and risks.

Investment Rating - The report provides a "C" investment rating for the petrochemical industry, indicating a cautious outlook for investment opportunities [2]. Core Insights - The PX supply-demand balance is expected to tighten in the first half of 2026, leading to a recovery in market conditions. The operating rate is projected to improve from 78% in 2023 to over 85% [3][11]. - The PTA industry has reached the end of its capital expenditure cycle, with no new capacity expected until mid-2027. The current industry is entering a phase of coordinated production cuts, which may reduce PX demand [11][12]. - The downstream polyester sector is gradually tightening, with expectations for improved market conditions. Recommended companies include Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials [16]. Summary by Sections PX Supply and Demand - PX supply-demand is expected to be tight in the first half of 2026, with a significant recovery in market conditions anticipated. The operating rate is projected to rise from 78% in 2023 to over 85% [3][11]. - There are no large-scale new capacity plans in the short term, and maintenance seasons for domestic refineries may create temporary supply gaps [3]. PTA Industry Overview - The PTA industry's capacity increased from 46.08 million tons in 2018 to 86.02 million tons in 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 11%. The current capacity accounts for about 75% of global PTA capacity [11]. - The PTA industry is expected to enter a phase of coordinated production cuts, which may weaken PX demand [11][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as large refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical [16]. - The upstream exploration and development sector remains highly prosperous, with expectations for continued high capital expenditure in offshore services, recommending companies like CNOOC Services and Haiyou Engineering [16].