Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from increased water storage capacity, which is projected to sustain profit growth. The report highlights a year-on-year increase in water storage levels at key power stations, suggesting a favorable environment for electricity generation in the upcoming quarter [1][3]. - The company's investment in Yalong River Hydropower is anticipated to enhance its profitability, with ongoing projects expected to contribute significantly to revenue [1][3]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company reported revenue of 1,482 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.4%. Projections for 2024 and 2025 indicate revenues of 1,682 million yuan and 1,781 million yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 13.4% and 5.9% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 4,400 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 25.2%. Forecasts for 2024 and 2025 suggest net profits of 5,136 million yuan and 5,509 million yuan, representing growth rates of 16.7% and 7.3% [2][3]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 46.4% in 2023 to 52.5% by 2026, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [2][3]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable, with estimates of 11.9% for 2023 and slightly declining to 12.2% by 2026 [2][3]. Investment Highlights - The company has a strong stake in Yalong River Hydropower (48%) and Dadu River Hydropower (20%), which are expected to provide stable investment returns and further enhance profitability [3]. - The report notes that the company's electricity generation volume increased by 8.46% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a corresponding rise in electricity prices contributing to improved margins [2][3]. - Financial expenses have decreased due to lower interest rates and the conversion of convertible bonds, leading to a reduction in the debt ratio to 32.17% [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a year-on-year increase in both revenue and profit due to favorable water inflow in the river basin where its power stations are located [1] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 10.87 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.48% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 4.422 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 15.10% [1] - The report anticipates that the company will achieve revenue of 16.63 billion yuan, 18.63 billion yuan, and 19.45 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [1] Financial Summary - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 1,420 - 2023A: 1,482 - 2024E: 1,663 - 2025E: 1,863 - 2026E: 1,945 [1][2] - Net Profit (in million yuan): - 2022A: 3,515 - 2023A: 4,400 - 2024E: 4,991 - 2025E: 5,330 - 2026E: 5,632 [1][2] - EPS (in yuan): - 2022A: 0.72 - 2023A: 0.90 - 2024E: 1.02 - 2025E: 1.09 - 2026E: 1.16 [1][3] Operational Performance - The company’s operating cash flow for 2023A is reported at 596 million yuan, with projections of 763 million yuan for 2024E [2] - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 60,353 million yuan in 2023A to 67,037 million yuan in 2024E [2] - The company’s investment income for the first three quarters of 2024 was 4.505 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.01% [1]

四川川投能源股份有限公司 2024 年第一次临时股东大会 会议材料 2024 年 10 月 2024 年第一次临时股东大会文件目录 1.关于与国投电力签订向雅砻江公司增资事宜之协议关联 交易的提案报告； 2.关于增资国能大渡河流域水电开发有限公司关联交易的 提案报告； 3.关于修改 2024 年度公司本部融资计划和方案的提案报告。 2024 年第一次临时股东大会 提案报告一 关于与国投电力签订向雅砻江公司增资事宜之协议关 联交易的提案报告 各位股东: 国投电力控股股份有限公司（以下简称"国投电力"）与 川投能源就向雅砻江流域水电开发有限公司（以下简称"雅砻 江水电"、"雅砻江公司"）增资事宜进行了沟通，并初拟了 增资事宜协议。协议主要内容如下： 双方将对雅砻江水电按各自持股比例（52%：48%）进行增 资，增资总额为人民币 150 亿元，其中国投电力增资人民币 78 亿元，川投能源增资人民币 72 亿元，增资方式为货币出资。具 体增资安排由双方根据雅砻江水电相关项目的进展情况履行相 关程序后适时向雅砻江水电逐步出资到位。在协议约定的增资 总额内对雅砻江水电增资时，双方根据雅砻江水电的实际资金 需求确定具体增资 ...

四川川投能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2023 年 10 月 17 日召开第十一届董事会第二十二次会议，审议通过《关于授权 继续使用暂时闲置募集资金进行现金管理的提案报告》。拟在确保不 影响募集资金投资项目正常进行的前提下，对 16 亿元以内的暂时闲 置募集资金进行现金管理。现金管理品种为商业银行保本型理财产品， 期限为 2023 年 10 月 23 日起至 2024 年 10 月 22 日止，12 个月内， 资金可滚动使用。具体内容详见上交所网站 （http://www.sse.com.cn/）披露的《四川川投能源股份有限公司关 于延长使用闲置募集资金进行现金管理期限的公告》（公告编号： 2023-083 号）。 因上一授权期限即将到期，公司于 2024 年 10 月 14 日召开了十 一届三十二次董事会，审议通过了《关于授权继续使用暂时闲置募集 资金进行现金管理的提案报告》，同意公司继续在 15 亿元以内对暂 时闲置募集资金进行现金管理，现金管理品种为商业银行的保本型理 财产品，期限为 2024 年 10 月 23 日至 2025 年 10 月 22 日，资金可滚 动使用。具体内容详见上交所网站 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its performance and potential growth [2][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.422 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1%. The net profit for the third quarter alone was 2.12 billion yuan, up 21.55% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [2]. - The growth in performance is primarily attributed to the company's investments in hydropower, a decrease in financial expenses due to convertible bond conversions, and a decline in interest rates. The financial expenses for the first three quarters of 2024 were 344 million yuan, down approximately 125 million yuan from 469 million yuan in the same period of 2023, marking the largest reduction in recent years [2]. - The company plans to increase its stake in Yalong River Hydropower by investing 7.2 billion yuan as part of a larger 15 billion yuan capital increase, which is expected to enhance its growth prospects [2]. - The report highlights that the electricity price for the company's hydropower stations increased by 4.6% year-on-year in the third quarter, reflecting a tightening supply-demand situation in Sichuan's electricity market [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total profit of 3.88 billion yuan in the third quarter, with investment income increasing by 334 million yuan year-on-year, mainly from Yalong River and Dadu River investments [2]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 5.111 billion yuan, 5.390 billion yuan, and 5.615 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times [3]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth of Yalong River Hydropower, which aims to expand its hydropower capacity to 23 million kilowatts and new energy capacity to 20 million kilowatts by 2030 [2]. - The report suggests that the hydropower sector, characterized by low covariance, is likely to experience a revaluation, indicating long-term investment value [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.087 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.422 billion yuan, up 15.10% year-on-year. The net profit for Q3 alone was 2.120 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 21.55% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [4] - The company plans to increase its investment in its associate companies, including a 7.2 billion yuan investment in Yalong River Hydropower Development Co., Ltd. (holding 48%) and a 248 million yuan investment in Guoneng Dadu River Hydropower Development Co., Ltd. (holding 20%) [4] - The company experienced a favorable water supply and increased electricity prices during the flood season, leading to improved profitability in hydropower operations. From January to September 2024, the company generated 4.345 billion kWh of electricity, a year-on-year increase of 8.87%, with hydropower generation at 4.119 billion kWh, up 8.00% [4] - Investment income rose by 11% year-on-year to 4.505 billion yuan, benefiting from improved water supply and higher electricity prices [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 5.151 billion yuan, 5.491 billion yuan, and 5.981 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 16, and 15 [4] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, total revenue is projected at 1.578 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.151 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 17.1% [5] - The average on-grid electricity price for hydropower increased by 2.55% year-on-year, supporting the company's performance [4] - The company maintains a dividend commitment of no less than 0.4 yuan per share, resulting in a current dividend yield of 2.2% based on the closing price on October 14 [4]

股 票 研 究 公 司 更 新 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 投资要点： 本报告导读： 公司 3Q24 业绩符合预期；分期增资助力雅砻江装机长期持续成长。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入 | 1,420 | 1,482 | 1,513 | 1,661 | 2,140 | | (+/-)% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 9.7% | 28.9% | | 净利润（归母） | 3,515 | 4,400 | 5,004 | 5,707 | 6,009 | | (+/-)% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 5.3% | | 每股净收益（元） | 0.72 | 0.90 | 1 ...

川投能源 （600674.SH）2024 年三季报点评 水电量价齐升，投资收益增厚利润 2024 年 10 月 15 日 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] ➢ 事件：10 月 15 日，公司发布 2024 年三季度报告。公司前三季度营业收入 10.87 亿元，同比增长 6.48%；归母净利润 44.22 亿元，同比增长 15.10%；扣 非归母净利润 43.92 亿元，同比增长 15.22%；基本每股收益 0.9133 元/股。Q3 单季度，公司实现归母净利润 21.20 亿元，同比增长 21.55%。 ➢ 前三季度水电量价齐升，光伏电价下降明显。2024 年 1-9 月，公司控股企 业累计完成发电量 43.45 亿千瓦时，同比增长 8.87%；上网电量 42.77 亿千瓦 时，同比增长 9.33%；企业平均上网电价 0.217 元/千瓦时，同比增长 0.93%。 1）水电：累计完成发电量 41.19 亿千瓦时，同比增长 8.00%；上网电量 40.53 亿千瓦时，同比增长 8.46%；平均上网电价 0.201 元/千瓦时，同比增长 2.55%。 单 Q3 水电上网电量 23.04 亿千瓦时 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 20.78 CNY per share based on a 20x PE valuation for 2024 [5][3]. Core Views - Improved water inflow has led to increased electricity generation and stable profit growth. The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.422 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.10%, with Q3 net profit reaching 2.120 billion CNY, up 21.55% year-on-year. This growth is primarily driven by increased electricity generation from the Yalong River, contributing to an investment income of 4.505 billion CNY, up 11.01% year-on-year [2][3]. - The Yalong River's electricity generation is expected to see a sequential increase in profit growth for Q3 due to improved water conditions. The report estimates a 26% year-on-year increase in electricity generation for Q3, with July, August, and September showing increases of 89%, 23%, and a decrease of 8% respectively. The electricity price for Q3 has increased by 14.7% year-on-year to 0.289 CNY/kWh [2][3]. - High water levels enhance the company's ability to adjust electricity generation, with significant growth potential from the Yalong River and Dadu River projects. The company plans to invest 7.2 billion CNY in the Yalong River, with several hydropower stations in the Dadu River nearing completion, which will improve performance flexibility [2][3]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 14.82 billion CNY in 2023, with a growth rate of 4.4%. The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 15.99 billion CNY, 16.54 billion CNY, and 20.66 billion CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 7.9%, 3.4%, and 24.9% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 4.4 billion CNY, with expected growth rates of 25.2%, 15.1%, and 8.9% for the following years [4][10]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is 0.99 CNY, with projections of 1.04 CNY, 1.13 CNY, and 1.27 CNY for the subsequent years [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.087 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.422 billion yuan, which is a 15.10% increase year-on-year [1] - Investment income grew rapidly due to improved water inflow in the company's major investee companies, with net investment income reaching 4.505 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, up 11% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to increase capital in its investee companies, Yalong River and Dadu River, to support project funding needs, with a total capital increase of 12.38 billion yuan for Dadu River and 150 billion yuan for Yalong River [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 483 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.14%, and a net profit of 2.120 billion yuan, which is a 21.55% increase year-on-year [1] - The company’s hydropower generation increased by 8.46% year-on-year, with a total of 4.053 billion kWh generated in the first three quarters of 2024 [1] - The average on-grid electricity price for hydropower was 0.201 yuan/kWh, up 2.55% year-on-year, while the on-grid price for photovoltaic power decreased by 19.42% [1] Investment and Growth Prospects - The company expects continued strong performance in Q4 2024 due to favorable water storage conditions in the Yalong River and Dadu River basins [2] - The company forecasts net profits of 5.08 billion yuan, 5.42 billion yuan, and 5.83 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.39x, 16.29x, and 15.16x [2][6]