ZHUYE GP(600961)

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有色钢铁行业周观点(2025年第17周):铁矿价格出现明显松动,积极关注钢铁板块的投资机会
Orient Securities· 2025-04-27 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, suggesting a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the steel sector. The report indicates that after three years of adjustment, the current position of the steel sector offers high cost-effectiveness, with leading enterprises showing improved profitability and stability [8][13]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Iron ore prices are expected to decline as steel production peaks post-May Day, leading to potential profit squeezes for iron ore suppliers. The domestic demand-driven pricing in the steel sector is highlighted as a key factor [8][13]. Steel Sector - The weekly consumption of rebar decreased to 2.6 million tons, a significant drop of 5.07% week-on-week. The average price of rebar increased slightly by 1.34% to 3,323 CNY/ton, while cold-rolled prices fell by 1.54% to 3,812 CNY/ton [14][36]. - Total steel inventory decreased significantly, with a total of 1,083 million tons, down 3.68% week-on-week and 24.11% year-on-year [23]. - The profitability of rebar production has improved, with long-process rebar margins increasing by 25 CNY/ton and short-process margins rising by 350 CNY/ton [34][36]. Industrial Metals - The report notes a deepening negative value for copper TC/RC, with the average LME aluminum price rising by 3.63% to 2,412 USD/ton. The cost of electrolytic aluminum in Xinjiang decreased significantly by 16.22%, leading to a substantial profit increase [16][28]. Precious Metals - The report suggests that tariffs may boost demand for safe-haven assets and inflation expectations, with gold prices expected to continue rising. As of April 25, 2025, COMEX gold prices were reported at 3,330.2 USD/ounce, a slight decrease of 0.33% week-on-week [16][48]. New Energy Metals - Lithium production in China saw a significant year-on-year increase of 57.44% in February 2025, with prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate at 69,600 CNY/ton. Nickel and cobalt prices showed mixed trends, with nickel prices declining [15][39][48].
株冶集团(600961):2024年报点评:金银量价齐升驱动利润增长,资源优势构筑护城河
Huafu Securities· 2025-04-25 06:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 19.759 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, primarily driven by rising prices of base metals, leading to increased product revenue. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 787 million yuan, up 28.70% year-on-year [3][6]. - The production and sales of gold and silver increased, with gold production rising by 8.05% year-on-year and sales up by 36.42%. However, zinc and lead production saw slight declines [4]. - The company benefits from high-grade mineral resources, particularly from the Shuikoushan lead-zinc mine, which is among the top in the country in terms of value [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.371 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.76%, and a net profit of 205 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 155.56% [3]. - The average prices for gold and silver in 2024 were 557 yuan per gram and 7219 yuan per kilogram, respectively, showing substantial increases compared to the previous year [4]. Production and Sales - Zinc and zinc alloy production was 642,500 tons, a decrease of 2.94% year-on-year, while sales increased by 0.77%. Lead and lead alloy production decreased by 3.79%, with sales down by 2.08% [4]. - The company’s gold production was 3.7 tons, with sales reaching 4.07 tons, marking a 36.42% increase in sales year-on-year [4]. Profitability - The company achieved a gross profit of 1.742 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 8.8%. Gold contributed 23.6% to the gross profit, while silver accounted for 25.3% [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.13 billion, 1.17 billion, and 1.21 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting an upward revision in gold and silver price predictions [6].
研判2025!中国热镀锌行业产业链、发展现状、竞争格局及发展趋势分析:下游新能源汽车与家电支撑下,中国热镀锌行业销售收入企稳回升[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-04-23 01:29
Core Viewpoint - The hot-dip galvanizing industry in China has seen a steady increase in demand due to its cost-effectiveness and excellent protective properties, particularly in sectors like automotive, construction, and home appliances. Despite a recent decline in sales revenue, the industry is projected to recover slightly in 2024, supported by the manufacturing sectors of new energy vehicles and home appliances [1][11]. Industry Overview - Hot-dip galvanizing, also known as hot-dip zinc coating, involves immersing steel components in molten zinc to create a protective layer that prevents corrosion. This method is particularly effective in harsh environments [3]. - The hot-dip galvanizing industry has experienced significant growth, with sales revenue increasing from 40.948 billion yuan in 2017 to 73.569 billion yuan in 2021, followed by a decline, with a projected revenue of 68 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.56% [1][11]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the hot-dip galvanizing industry includes raw material and equipment suppliers, with steel and zinc being the primary materials. The midstream involves the galvanizing process itself, while the downstream encompasses various applications in construction, transportation, and other sectors [5]. Competitive Landscape - The hot-dip galvanizing industry features a diverse competitive landscape with both large and small enterprises. Major companies leverage scale, technology, and supply chain advantages, while smaller firms focus on flexible strategies and differentiated products [17]. Key Companies - Notable companies in the hot-dip galvanizing sector include Baosteel (宝钢股份), Zinc Industry Co. (锌业股份), and Tianjin Youfa Steel Pipe Group [1][18]. Market Trends - The demand for hot-dip galvanized products is expected to rise due to ongoing growth in construction, automotive, and home appliance sectors. The Belt and Road Initiative is anticipated to provide new opportunities for the industry, particularly in infrastructure projects [22][23]. - Technological advancements are driving improvements in hot-dip galvanizing processes, with a focus on reducing energy consumption and environmental impact. Companies are increasingly adopting automation and smart control systems to enhance production efficiency [22][23].
株冶集团(600961):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:冶炼费触底回升,黄金助力公司业绩增长
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-22 05:02
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [6]. Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in its financial performance, particularly in precious metals, which has contributed to a strong increase in profits [3][19]. - The acquisition of the Shuikoushan mine has enhanced the company's capabilities in precious metals, leading to a notable increase in revenue and profit margins [2][19]. - The report anticipates continued growth in the company's earnings driven by rising production levels and improving processing fees in the zinc sector [3][48]. Summary by Sections 1. Event Overview - The company reported a revenue of 19.759 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 787 million yuan, up 28.70% year-on-year [12]. 2. Performance Analysis - Precious metals revenue has significantly increased, with gold and silver revenues reaching 2.489 billion yuan and 2.010 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 22.8% of total revenue, an increase of 8.6 percentage points from 2023 [2][19]. - The company achieved a record net profit of 277 million yuan in Q1 2025, a 74.07% increase year-on-year, driven by the performance of precious metals [12][3]. 3. Company Highlights - Zinc processing fees have rebounded significantly, which is expected to improve the profitability of the company's smelting operations [48]. - The company is controlled by China Minmetals, which has several quality assets that may be injected into the listed company in the future, enhancing its growth potential [50]. 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.093 billion yuan, 1.221 billion yuan, and 1.359 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 10, and 9 times based on the closing price on April 21, 2025 [3][55][60]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong position in the zinc smelting industry and its potential for continued growth due to rising production and processing fees [3][60].
株冶集团:2024年报及2025年一季报点评:贵金属增益显著,老牌铅锌央企焕新生-20250422
Orient Securities· 2025-04-22 02:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 15.81 CNY based on a 17X PE valuation for 2025 [4][8]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant growth in precious metals, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in recent quarters. The 2024 annual revenue reached 19.76 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 790 million CNY, up 28.7% [7]. - The company benefits from a strong resource and industrial chain advantage, with mining rights for key resources and a complete industrial chain covering zinc, lead, and various precious metals, enhancing its market competitiveness [7]. - The dual drivers of zinc smelting and precious metals segments have demonstrated the company's resilience, with the precious metals segment experiencing substantial revenue growth due to rising prices [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 22.44 billion CNY, 23.67 billion CNY, and 25.12 billion CNY, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.6% from 2024 [2][12]. - **Net Profit**: Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1 billion CNY, 1.1 billion CNY, and 1.24 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 27.2% in 2025 [2][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is forecasted to be 0.93 CNY in 2025, increasing to 1.15 CNY by 2027 [2][12]. - **Profitability Ratios**: The gross margin is expected to improve from 8.8% in 2024 to 10.0% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to rise from 4.0% to 4.9% over the same period [12].
株冶集团(600961):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:贵金属增益显著,老牌铅锌央企焕新生
Orient Securities· 2025-04-22 01:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in precious metals, revitalizing its status as a long-standing lead-zinc enterprise [1] - The company reported a revenue of 19.76 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 790 million yuan, up 28.7% year-on-year [7] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 4.803 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 277 million yuan, a substantial increase of 74.07% year-on-year [7] - The company benefits from resource and industry chain advantages, enhancing its market competitiveness [7] - The zinc smelting business and precious metals segment drive the company's performance resilience, with significant revenue growth in both sectors [7] Financial Summary - The company’s projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are 0.93, 1.03, and 1.15 yuan respectively, with an upward revision from the previous estimate of 0.87 yuan for 2025 [2][8] - Revenue is expected to grow from 19.76 billion yuan in 2024 to 25.12 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.2% [3] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 8.8% in 2024 to 10.0% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to rise from 4.0% to 4.9% over the same period [3] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 15.3 in 2024 to 9.7 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [3]
1家湘企净利润同比增长74.07%,300公司一季报出炉
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-04-21 09:40
长沙晚报掌上长沙4月21日讯(全媒体记者 刘军)21日,共52家上市公司公布2025年一季报,至此,A 股市场已有300家公司公布一季报,其中有184家公司净利润同比增长,占比超61%。净利润同比增长超 100%的公司有52家,占比超17%。据记者统计,目前有9家上市湘企公布了一季报,其中一家企业归母 净利润同比增长74.07%。 在300家公司中,净利润增长幅度最大的是万祥科技,增长幅度为2125.5%;净利润同比下滑最厉害的 是联合光电,下滑幅度达1537.0%。 万祥科技的主营业务为消费电子精密零组件产品相关的研发、生产与销售。公司一季度实现营业收入 2.80亿元,同比增加34.47%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润387.66万元,同比增加2125.5%;归属于上 市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润307.07万元。不过,记者注意到,据公司2024年年报,2024年 该公司净利润亏损1639万元,同比由盈转亏。公司目前没有说明一季度业绩反转原因。 截至21日收盘,公布了一季报的9家湘企为,ST张家界、株冶集团、蓝思科技、五矿新能、宇环数控、 雪天盐业、岳阳兴长、绝味食品、力合科技。 雪天盐业主营业务为盐 ...
株冶集团(600961) - 株冶集团关于股东权益变动触及1%整数倍的提示性公告
2025-04-21 09:20
证券代码:600961 证券简称:株冶集团 公告编号:2025-015 株洲冶炼集团股份有限公司 关于股东权益变动触及 1%整数倍的提示性公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 本次权益变动后,湖南湘投金冶私募股权投资基金企业(有限合伙)(以 下简称"湘投金冶")持有的股份由 65,370,510 股减少至 58,435,410 股,占公 司总股本的比例由 6.09%减少至 5.45%,股东权益变动触及 1%的整数倍(即 6%)。 本次权益变动不触及要约收购,不会导致公司控股股东及实际控制人发 生变化。 公司于 2025 年 4 月 21 日收到湘投金冶发来《告知函》,获悉在 2025 年 4 月 21 日,湘投金冶通过集中竞价交易的方式减持公司无限售流通股 6,935,100 股,现将本次权益变动相关情况公告如下: 一、本次权益变动基本情况 (2)本次权益变动所涉及股份均享有表决权,不存在表决权委托或受限等 1 任何权利限制或限制转让的情况。 (3)本公告数据中比例的计算保留小数点后两位,尾数 ...
银行股跳水翻绿,黄金股狂飙!LPR利率为何保持不变?
21世纪经济报道· 2025-04-21 04:14
4月2 1日,银行股冲高回落,齐鲁银行、平安银行、浦发银行、成都银行跌超1%,工商银行、建设银行创历史新高后跳水翻绿。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601665 | 齐鲁银行 | 6.02 | -0.16 | -2.59% | 1.46亿 | 10.34% | | 600000 | 浦发银行 | 10.60 | -0.21 | -1.94% | 3.19亿 | 3.01% | | 000001 | 平安银行 | 11.02 | -0.16 | -1.43% | 9.00亿 | -5.81% | | 002142 | 宁波银行 | 24.27 | -0.33 | -1.34% | 4.07亿 | -0.16% | | 002966 | 苏州银行 | 7.91 | -0.10 | -1.25% | 1.93亿 | -2.47% | | 601128 | 常熟銀行 | 7.17 | -0.09 | -1.24% | 2.19亿 | -5.28% | | 002807 ...
黄金概念持续走高 晓程科技20CM涨停
news flash· 2025-04-21 02:54
智通财经4月21日电,晓程科技、莱绅通灵、潮宏基、鹏欣资源涨停,赤峰黄金、株冶集团、湖南黄 金、西部黄金等涨超7%。消息面上,现货黄金日内涨超1.7%,突破3380美元/盎司。 黄金概念持续走高 晓程科技20CM涨停 ...