Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities and banking sectors, while also recommending the insurance sector [8]. Core Insights - The market remains active with an average daily trading volume of 28 trillion yuan in A-shares, and the financing balance stabilizing at 2.7 trillion yuan. However, the ETF market has experienced significant volatility, with major outflows from core broad-based ETFs [11][16]. - The sentiment for market bullishness is strong, and the spring rally is expected to continue, particularly in the insurance sector where beta trading opportunities are anticipated [2][26]. - The central bank's governor indicated that there is still room for interest rate cuts, with the latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remaining unchanged for eight consecutive months [11][32]. Securities Sector Summary - The report highlights a positive outlook for the securities sector, with several brokerages reporting significant profit growth for 2025. The recommendation includes top brokerages such as CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities [2][12]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market is noted at 28 trillion yuan, with a stable financing balance, indicating a recovery opportunity for the brokerage sector [11][12]. Insurance Sector Summary - The report suggests focusing on quality leading companies in the insurance sector, as the market sentiment remains strong and the spring rally is expected to continue [26][27]. - The insurance sector's fund holdings have increased, with major stocks like Ping An and China Life being highlighted for their significant market presence [27][31]. Banking Sector Summary - The banking sector is characterized by stable performance, with several banks reporting positive earnings forecasts for 2025. The report recommends quality individual stocks such as Nanjing Bank and Chengdu Bank [3][40]. - The central bank's comments on potential interest rate cuts and the expansion of wealth management products indicate a favorable environment for banks [32][33]. - The report notes a decline in bond allocations within bank wealth management products, with an increase in deposits and funds [37][34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the banking and securities sectors [6]. Core Insights - The financial sector shows a strategic allocation opportunity, with increased fund positions in banking, securities, and insurance stocks [1][5]. - The banking sector's fund position has slightly increased, indicating a return of risk appetite among investors [2][13]. - The securities sector is experiencing a recovery in fund positions, driven by market activity and performance expectations [3][5]. - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in fund positions, with major insurance stocks being favored by investors [4][5]. Summary by Sections Banking Sector - As of Q4 2025, the banking sector's fund position increased by 0.04 percentage points to 1.89%, with large banks and joint-stock banks seeing gains, while city commercial banks experienced a decline [2][13]. - The top three heavy-weighted stocks in the banking sector account for 46.0% of the total fund position, indicating a concentration in holdings [13][27]. - The dividend yield for A/H shares in the banking sector is approximately 4.87%/4.88%, making it attractive compared to the 10-year government bond yield of 1.83% [5]. Securities Sector - The securities sector's fund position rose by 0.10 percentage points to 0.72%, although it remains at a historically low level [3][5]. - Major securities firms like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan have been favored for their performance potential amidst market recovery [5][8]. - The average price-to-book ratio for large and small securities firms is 1.44x and 1.67x, respectively, indicating they are trading at 27% and 42% of their historical averages [5]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's fund position increased by 0.94 percentage points to 1.72%, with major stocks like Ping An and China Pacific receiving significant increases in holdings [4][5]. - The insurance index's price-to-book ratio is at 1.53x, which is at the 40th percentile of valuations since 2014, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [4][5]. - Strong sales performance in life insurance is noted, with a focus on high-elasticity stocks as key investment opportunities [4].

值得一提的是，南京银行在2025年三季度末逼近3万亿资产规模后，在2025年末首次突破3万亿规模，达 3.02万亿元；与此同时，该行的贷款、存款同比分别增长13.4%、11.7%，均保持双位数增长，带动全年 利息净收入同比增长31.08%至349.02亿元。 资产总量增长的同时，南京银行的不良率与2025年三季度末持平，仍维持在0.83%的低位水平。 利息净收入增超30% 作为江苏省头部上市城商行，南京银行的全年经营指标表现突出，营收与净利润保持高增长态势。 根据业绩快报，南京银行2025年实现营业收入555.4亿元，同比增长10.48%，较2025年前三季度8.79%的 同比增速提升1.71个百分点，增速提升态势明显；实现归母净利润218.07亿元，同比增长8.08%，与前 三季度增速持平，保持稳健增长节奏。营业收入与归母净利润增速同步稳居上市银行"第一梯队"。 长三角 头部城商行 南京银行 （601009.SH）业绩继续增长。 1月22日晚间，南京银行发布2025年度业绩快报，该行全年实现营业收入555.4亿元，同比增长10.48%； 实现归母净利润218.07亿元，同比增长8.08%。 长江商报记者注意 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - Huace Testing expects a net profit of 1.013-1.021 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10%-11% [4] - The company anticipates a Q4 net profit of 201-209 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 15%-20% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on strategic mergers and international expansion, which will gradually release growth momentum [5] Group 2: Military Industry Developments - Major military groups in China have held annual meetings to set goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan and outline key tasks for 2026 [7] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation emphasizes breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and the development of commercial aerospace [8] - China Commercial Aircraft Corporation is advancing the C919 aircraft's certification and commercial operations, with growing interest from Southeast Asian countries [9] Group 3: Cross-Border E-commerce Performance - The global cross-border e-commerce market is projected to reach 551.23 billion USD by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.44% from 2025 to 2034 [13] - Jihua Co. expects a net profit of 272-291 million yuan for 2025, a significant increase of 50%-60% year-on-year [13] - Huakai Yibai anticipates a net profit of 132-162 million yuan for 2025, with improved inventory management leading to a recovery in gross margin [13] Group 4: Coal Industry Trends - In Q4 2025, coal sector holdings in actively managed funds increased to 0.36%, indicating a low level of crowding and significant value [17] - The coal price is expected to be supported by tight supply and demand conditions, with a potential upward trend in the price center [19] - Major coal companies are initiating buybacks and asset injection plans, reflecting confidence in the sector's growth and stability [20] Group 5: Banking Sector Performance - Industrial Bank expects a revenue growth of 0.24% and a net profit growth of 0.34% for 2025, with asset quality remaining stable [22] - The bank's asset scale is projected to exceed 11 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.57% [23] - The non-performing loan ratio is stable at 1.08%, with significant reductions in new non-performing loans in key sectors [23] Group 6: Renewable Energy and Technology - Mingyang Smart Energy plans to acquire Dehua Chip, a leader in satellite energy systems, to enhance its capabilities in space photovoltaic technology [25] - The space photovoltaic market is expected to grow significantly, with Mingyang's revenue projected to reach 40.879 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a 51% year-on-year increase [27] - The company aims to leverage its existing technologies to create synergies with Dehua Chip, enhancing its competitive position in the market [27] Group 7: Robotics Industry Developments - Tesla plans to start selling its humanoid robot Optimus by the end of next year, with ongoing testing to ensure reliability and safety [33] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth, with over 140 companies and more than 330 products launched in 2025 [40] - Microsoft has launched its first robot-specific AI model, Rho-alpha, which enhances the adaptability and reliability of robots [41]

从盈利表现看，首批披露业绩快报的8家上市银行归母净利润全部实现同比增长，其中7家实现营收、净 利润双增，整体表现稳健向好。 其中，城商行增速尤为突出。杭州银行以12.05%的归母净利润增速领跑，宁波银行、南京银行分别实 现8.13%和8.08%的同比增长；农商行中，苏农银行也取得5.04%的增长。 股份制银行中，浦发银行归母净利润同比增长10.52%，表现亮眼；中信银行、招商银行、兴业银行分 别实现2.98%、1.21%和0.34%的增长，在复杂经营环境下保持韧性。 上市银行2025年业绩快报披露拉开帷幕。上海证券报记者统计，截至1月25日，招商银行、中信银行、 浦发银行、兴业银行、宁波银行、南京银行、杭州银行、苏农银行等8家上市银行披露了2025年业绩快 报，这些银行全部实现归母净利润同比正增长，其中7家实现营收、净利润双增。 从首批8份业绩快报看，上市银行整体延续稳健增长态势，盈利能力保持韧性，资产规模稳步扩张，经 营基本面呈现"量稳、质优、结构改善"的特征，负债成本改善、中收快速增长等，成为支撑业绩向好的 关键因素。多家银行在2026年工作会议上透露，将继续优化业务结构，拓宽中收来源，深化风险管理和 加 ...

研究所： 证券分析师： 林加力 S0350524100005 linjl01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 徐凝碧 S0350524110001 xunb@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 2025Q4 单季度营收增速达到 16%，灵活调整金 2026 年 01 月 25 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 融资产结构 ——南京银行（601009）2025 年业绩快报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 300 表现 | | 2026/01/23 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 南京银行 | | -8.9% | -7.6% | 2.2% | | 沪深 300 | | 1.8% | 2.1% | 23.6% | | 市场数据 | 2026/01/23 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 10.35 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | 9.91-12.20 | | 总市值（百万） | 127,962.92 | | 流通市值（百万） | 127,962.92 | | 总股本（万股 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业深度报告 2026 年 01 月 25 日 25 年理财规模扩张，增配存款和基金 ——金融风向标 2026-W03 总量研究/银行 ❑ 本周 A 股上涨，但银行板块总体走弱。25 年理财规模持续扩张，含权理财 规模触底回升，理财全年增配存款和公募基金。策略上，银行板块等待 A 股 风格切换，持续关注招商银行（600036.SH）等标的。 ❑ 【周观察·动向】 监管动态：央行公布贷款市场报价利率（LPR）为：1 年期 LPR 为 3.0%，5 年 期以上 LPR 为 3.5%，维持不变。行业动态：招商银行、杭州银行、兴业银行、 南京银行、苏农银行和宁波银行发布 2025 年业绩快报。市场动态：本周万得全 A 指数上涨 1.81%，申万银行板块下跌 2.70%。 ❑ 【周综述·数据】 公开市场操作与资金利率：本周央行大幅净投放 1.2 万亿，质押式回购利率大 幅上行。各期限 Shibor 小幅波动，短端至长端均微降。银行资负跟踪：资产端， 中长期限国债收益率全线走低，大行票据转贴现累计净买入规模同比少增，本 期末 1M、3M 和半年票据利率分别为 1.7%、1.45%、1.13%，分别较上期 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the banking sector [4]. Core Insights - As of January 23, 2026, eight banks have reported stable growth in performance and maintained asset quality. The outlook for 2026 suggests continued improvement in bank performance, supported by narrowing interest margin declines and decreasing credit costs [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Indicators - Eight banks reported their performance for 2025, showing stable growth and asset quality. The revenue growth rates for major banks were as follows: - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank: +1.9% - Industrial Bank: +0.2% - China Merchants Bank: +0.01% - CITIC Bank: -0.6% - Regional banks showed varied performance, with Nanjing Bank at +10.5%, Ningbo Bank at +8.0%, Hangzhou Bank at +1.1%, and Suzhou Rural Bank at +0.4% [4][6]. 2. Scale and Growth - Quality regional banks continued to experience strong credit growth. By the end of 2025, asset growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 16.6% - Ningbo Bank: 16.1% - Hangzhou Bank: 12.0% - Loan growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 13.4% - Ningbo Bank: 17.4% - Hangzhou Bank: 14.3% - Overall deposit growth remained stable, with city commercial banks maintaining a growth rate of over 10% and joint-stock banks at 7%-8% [4][6]. 3. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios showed a stable or declining trend across the eight banks, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank at 1.26%, Suzhou Rural Bank at 0.88%, and CITIC Bank at 1.15%. The provision coverage ratios remained robust, with Hangzhou Bank and China Merchants Bank showing a decline of over 10 percentage points but still at high absolute levels [4][6]. 4. Outlook for 2026 - The report anticipates continued improvement in bank performance in 2026, driven by: - A narrowing decline in interest margins leading to improved net interest income growth. - Increased fee income from insurance and wealth management channels. - Continued resolution of risks in key corporate sectors and stabilization of retail risk exposure [4][6]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines for 2026: 1. Identifying banks with potential for performance growth, recommending Ningbo Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Nanjing Bank. 2. Considering banks with convertible bond expectations, recommending Chongqing Bank and Changshu Bank. 3. Continuing dividend strategies, recommending Bank of Communications, Jiangsu Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [4][6].

证券研究报告 银行 华泰研究 2026 年 1 月 24 日 | 中国内地 动态点评 增持 (维持) | 12 月至今中信银行指数回调 8.4pct,主要受地产舆情、降息预期、资金风 | 沈娟 | 研究员 | | --- | --- | --- | | | SAC No. S0570514040002 | shenjuan@htsc.com | | 格切换影响,指数估值降至 0.65xPB、近 5 年 65%分位,部分优质个股 25E | SFC No. BPN843 | +(86) 755 2395 2763 | | 股息率近6%。险资开门红同比高增,预计后续新增保费对高股息、低波动 | | | | 的优质银行股仍有配置需求:银行开年投放积极,息差降幅明显收窄,盈利 | 贺雅亭 | 研究员 | | | SAC No. S0570524070008 | heyating@htsc.com | | 有望改善,地产链影响或较为可控。南京、宁波、兴业等 8家银行披露 25A | SFC No. BUB018 | +(86) 10 6321 1166 | | 业绩快报，其中６家营收提升、5 家利润改善，我们预计 20 ...

总资产迈上 3 万亿，营收增速突破 10% 南京银行(601009) 南京银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 李润凌(分析师) | 021-23183283 | lirunling@gtht.com | S0880525120003 | 本报告导读： 南京银行发布 2025 年业绩快报，营收增速突破 10%，利润增速维持 8%+，ROE 水 平 12.0%。总资产迈上 3 万亿，零售 AUM 迈上 1 万亿。资产质量指标保持稳定。 投资要点： [Table_Industry] 商业银行/金融 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [Table_Target] 目标价格(元): | 14.57 | | | | [Table_Market] 交易数据 | 52 周内股价区间(元) | 10.00-12.1 ...