Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank (601009.SH) with a current price of 11.12 CNY [1]. Core Views - Nanjing Bank's revenue and profit growth have accelerated, with a "double U" development curve solidifying [4]. - The bank achieved an operating income of 28.5 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, representing an 8.6% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.6 billion CNY, up 8.8% year-on-year [3][4]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROE) for the first half of the year was 15.3%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Revenue and Profit Growth - Revenue and profit growth rates for the first half of 2025 were 8.6%, 9.6%, and 8.8% respectively, showing improvements compared to the first quarter [4]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 22.1% and -4.3%, respectively, with net interest income maintaining double-digit growth [4]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q2 2025, the growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans were 26.7% and 15%, respectively, indicating a steady increase in scale [5]. - The bank added 130.8 billion CNY in loans during the first half of the year, with significant contributions from corporate and retail loans [5]. Deposit Growth - Deposits increased steadily, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16% as of the end of Q2 2025 [6]. - The bank added 149.4 billion CNY in deposits in the first half of the year, with a notable increase in both fixed and current deposits [6]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) - The NIM for the first half of the year was 1.86%, a slight decrease of 8 basis points compared to 2024 [7][8]. - The bank's interest-earning asset yield and loan yield were 3.72% and 4.56%, respectively, both down from 2024 [7]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first half of the year was 12.8 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4.3%, but the negative growth rate narrowed compared to Q1 [9]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained low at 0.82% as of the end of Q2 2025, with a coverage ratio of 312% [10]. - The bank's risk compensation ability remains strong, with a slight decrease in the provision coverage ratio [10]. Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q2 2025, the core Tier 1 capital ratio was 9.5%, indicating an increase from the previous quarter [11]. - Major shareholders have shown confidence in the bank's future by increasing their holdings [11]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 22.15 billion, 23.58 billion, and 24.50 billion CNY, respectively [12]. - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are 1.79, 1.91, and 1.98 CNY, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating attractive valuations [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent adjustments to the housing loan interest rate pricing mechanism in Shanghai, which aims to optimize the real estate policy and enhance market stability [2][4]. Group 1: New Housing Loan Policies - The new pricing mechanism for commercial personal housing loans no longer distinguishes between first and second homes, allowing for a more unified approach to interest rates [3][4]. - The specific interest rate for each customer's loan will be determined based on the Shanghai market interest rate pricing self-discipline mechanism, along with the bank's operational conditions and customer risk profiles [3][4]. Group 2: Existing Housing Loan Adjustments - Existing housing loans will continue to follow the guidelines established in October of the previous year, allowing for adjustments in the interest rates of certain second-home loans based on market conditions [3][4]. - If the interest rate increase for existing loans exceeds 30 basis points above the average rate of newly issued loans, borrowers can apply for a rate adjustment [3][4]. Group 3: Market Context and Implications - As of July, the weighted average interest rate for newly issued commercial personal housing loans in China was 3.09%, a slight decrease from the previous quarter, while the 5-year LPR was 3.5% [3]. - For second-home owners in Shanghai, applying for a loan after September 1 could result in a minimum interest rate of 3.09%, aligning with first-home rates, while existing loans at 3.45% could potentially be reduced to 3.36% [3].

8月25日上海市六部门联合印发《关于优化调整本市房地产政策措施的通知》。8月29日晚间，有中国银 行、农业银行、建设银行、招商银行、平安银行、光大银行、北京银行、江苏银行、南京银行等多家银 行上海市分行通过官方微信公众号发布《关于优化调整商业性个人住房贷款利率定价机制的公告》，各 家银行《公告》内容一致。新增方面，在利率定价机制安排上，各行不再区分首套住房和二套住房。每 位客户商业性个人住房贷款的具体利率水平，将根据上海市市场利率定价自律机制要求，并结合本行经 营状况、客户风险状况等因素合理确定。对于上海二套房业主来说，如果在9月1日以后申请房贷，最低 利率有望达到3.09%，与首套房房贷利率保持一致。而存量房贷利率为3.45%的二套房贷款可申请降低 房贷利率至3.36%。这与人民银行上海市分行此前发布的调整要求相一致。（21财经） ...

具体调整规则是，存量房贷利率加点值高于上季度全国新发放房贷利率平均加点值加30基点以上的，可 申请调整加点值，重新约定的加点值不低于上季度全国新发放房贷利率平均加点值加30基点。具体加点 值根据市场供求、客户资信情况、贷款担保变化等因素确定。 21世纪经济报道记者李览青 上海报道 上海房市"825大礼包"的房贷利率执行细则来了！ 继8月25日上海市六部门联合印发《关于优化调整本市房地产政策措施的通知》（以下简称《通知》） 后，多家银行上海市分行刚刚出台了优化调整商业性个人住房贷款利率定价机制的细则。 8月29日晚间，21世纪经济报道记者注意到，已有中国银行、农业银行、建设银行、招商银行、平安银 行、光大银行、北京银行、江苏银行、南京银行等多家银行上海市分行通过官方微信公众号发布《关于 优化调整商业性个人住房贷款利率定价机制的公告》（以下简称《公告》），各家银行《公告》内容一 致。 具体来说，《公告》集中于新增房贷与存量房贷两方面。 新增方面，在利率定价机制安排上，各行不再区分首套住房和二套住房。每位客户商业性个人住房贷款 的具体利率水平，将根据上海市市场利率定价自律机制要求，并结合本行经营状况、客户风险状况等 ...

Regulatory Voice - The People's Bank of China, the Financial Regulatory Administration, and the National Forestry and Grassland Administration jointly issued a notice to support high-quality development in forestry, proposing 15 specific measures across five areas, including financial services for collective forest rights reform and enhancing financial support for strategic forestry initiatives [1] Industry Focus - Several small and medium-sized banks have announced a reduction in RMB deposit rates, with decreases ranging from 10 to 20 basis points, including adjustments to the 3-year fixed deposit rates by banks such as Jiangsu Bank and Nanjing Bank [2] Personal Pension Products - The ninth batch of personal pension financial products was released, with two new products added by China Post Investment Management, bringing the total to 37 products supported by the registration center. The new products are primarily fixed-income investments, focusing on bonds while including a small portion of equity and derivative assets [3] Corporate Dynamics - Zhejiang International Trade Group and Zhejiang Oriental Financial Holding Group have increased their shareholding in Hangzhou United Bank to 6.06% and 3.94%, respectively, following the approval of share transfers by the Zhejiang Regulatory Bureau [4] - Shengjing Bank announced plans to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Shengjing Financial Holdings and its concerted parties proposing a cash offer to acquire all issued H-shares for HKD 2.967 billion and domestic shares for CNY 3.929 billion [5] - Three banks in Sichuan, namely Chengdu Bank, Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank, and Sichuan Bank, are planning to jointly establish a wealth management company, with preparations already underway [6] - Jilin Rural Commercial Bank has been approved to commence operations, marking the establishment of the 11th provincial-level rural commercial bank in China [7]

Market Overview - The city commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.92% on August 29, with Suzhou Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xi'an Bank saw a significant increase of 10.00%, closing at 4.18, with a trading volume of 1.51 million shares and a transaction value of 623 million yuan [1] - Qingdao Bank and Xiamen Bank also reported slight increases of 1.03% and 0.75%, respectively [1] - Conversely, Suzhou Bank experienced a decline of 2.40%, closing at 8.12, with a trading volume of 744,000 shares and a transaction value of 612 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector had a net outflow of 1.793 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 913 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that retail investors are showing interest in the sector despite the overall decline [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - Xi'an Bank had a net inflow of 99.76 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 42.89 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Hangzhou Bank also saw a net inflow of 61.29 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors withdrew 35.94 million yuan [3] - In contrast, Qilu Bank experienced a significant net outflow of 62.93 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 35.68 million yuan [3]

Key Insights - The report highlights the stable recovery of the macroeconomic environment, with Japan's GDP growth exceeding expectations in Q2 and manufacturing PMI showing unexpected improvement, leading to a rise in the Nikkei 225 index to a historical high [2][3] - The report emphasizes the investment opportunities in the "AI+" sector, particularly in hardware and infrastructure, driven by government policies promoting AI development [3][4] - The report discusses the performance of specific companies, such as Xiaoxiong Electric and Water Well, noting their revenue growth and strategic focus on product innovation and channel health [5][6][10][12] Company Performance - Xiaoxiong Electric reported a total revenue of 2.535 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.94%, with a net profit of 205 million yuan, up 27.32% [5] - Water Well's H1 2025 revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, with a net profit decline of 56.5%, indicating challenges in demand but a focus on channel health [6] - Guolian Minsheng's H1 2025 revenue reached 4.011 billion yuan, a significant increase of 269%, with net profit soaring by 1185% due to the consolidation of Minsheng Securities [7] Industry Trends - The "AI+" initiative is expected to accelerate the development of related industries, with a focus on hardware such as AI glasses and smart home devices [3] - The report notes the increasing demand for data center services, with companies like WanGuo Data expanding their operations and achieving significant order growth [16] - The banking sector shows signs of stability, with several banks reporting steady growth in net profit and revenue, indicating a resilient financial environment [10][19][23]

| | | | 早见:八尺中十九 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要会计数据 | 2025 年 1-6 月 | 2024年1-6月 | 同比增减 | 2023 年 1-6 月 | | | | | (%) | | | 经营业绩 | | | | | | 营业收入 | 28, 480, 211 | 26, 215, 568 | 8. 64 | 24, 303, 937 | | 营业利润 | 15, 356, 880 | 14, 123, 051 | 8.74 | 12, 888, 988 | | 利润总额 | 15, 340, 688 | 14, 102, 989 | 8.78 | 12, 899, 648 | | 归属于上市公司股东净利润 | 12, 619, 215 | 11, 594, 146 | 8.84 | 10, 684, 857 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经 | 12, 520, 620 | 11, 476, 892 | 9.09 | 10, 378, 032 | | 常性损益后的净利润 | | | | | | 经营活动产生/(使用)的现金流 | ...

浙商证券研报指出，南京银行25H1营收和归母利润增速均环比提升，呈现U型改善态势，略好于市场预 期。展望全年，营收、利润增速有望继续维持大个位数增长，主要考虑上半年生息资产高增，为全年营 收打下良好基础。测算25Q2息差环比下降10bp至1.31%，主要受资产收益率下行幅度大于负债成本率影 响。上半年南京银行持股1%以上的股东持续增持，主动增持金额近60亿元，显示了股东对南京银行未 来发展的信心和价值的认可。认为不排除主要股东继续增持的可能，主要考虑大股东受转债摊薄影响， 持股比例较历史高位和持股上限还有空间。目标价为15.70元/股，对应25年PB1.04倍，现价空间39%， 维持"买入"评级。 ...

核心观点 上半年，南京银行营收、业绩增速双双提速，正"U"型趋势延续。南京银行依托区域beta，规模保持两 位数增长，成本端持续优化下，净息差企稳回升。资产质量保持优秀水平，零售风险边际小幅暴露，属 于行业共同趋势。同时"南银转债"顺利转股，资本得以补充，依托持续改善的盈利能力，有望形成规模 增长—利润增长—内生资本补充的正向循环。兼具成长性与红利属性，属于攻守兼备品种。 事件 8 月28 日，南京银行公布1H25 半年报：1H25 年实现营业收入284.80 亿元，同比增长8.6%（1Q25： 6.5%）；实现归母净利润126.19亿元，同比增长8.8%（1Q25：7.1%）。2Q25 不良率0.84%，季度环比 上升1bp；2Q25 拨备覆盖率季度环比下降12pct 至311.7%。 简评 4. 转债顺利转股，资本得以补充，依托持续改善的盈利能力，有望形成正向循环。6 月9 日，南京银行 公告"南银转债"触发强赎，至7 月18 日转股顺利完成。此次顺利转股后，公司总股本增加至123.64 亿 股，2Q25核心一级资本充足率同比提升0.5pct、季度环比提升0.6pct 至9.47%，资本得以补充，规模增长 ...