Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines announced the resignation of Chief Engineer Xiao Peng due to age, effective immediately [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the revenue composition of China National Airlines is as follows: passenger air transport accounts for 90.64%, other services account for 4.93%, and air cargo and mail transport account for 4.43% [1] - As of the report date, the market capitalization of China National Airlines is 149.7 billion yuan [1]

证券代码：601111 证券简称：中国国航 公告编号：2025-047 中国国际航空股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 10 月 24 日 （星期五） 至 10 月 30 日 （星期四）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱 ir@airchina.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回 答。 中国国际航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将于 2025 年 10 月 30 日发 布公司 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2025 年第三季度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 10 月 31 日 （星期五） 14:00-15:00 举行 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 一、 说明会类型 （一 ...

中国国际航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会于近日收到公司总工 程师肖鹏先生递交的辞呈。肖鹏先生因年龄原因，向公司董事会辞去总工程师职务。 该辞任即日起生效。 证券代码：601111 股票简称：中国国航 公告编号：2025-048 中国国际航空股份有限公司 关于高级管理人员辞任的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 肖鹏先生确认与公司董事会和公司无不同意见，亦不存在公司股东需要知悉有关 其辞任的其他事宜。董事会对肖鹏先生任职期间对公司做出的贡献表示诚挚的感谢。 特此公告。 中国国际航空股份有限公司董事会 中国北京，二〇二五年十月二十三日 ...

Market Overview - On October 23, the aviation and airport sector rose by 0.38% compared to the previous trading day, with Shenzhen Airport leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3922.41, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13025.45, also up 0.22% [1] Stock Performance - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 7.40, up 3.06% with a trading volume of 554,900 shares and a turnover of 408 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 15.35, up 1.12% with a trading volume of 67,900 shares and a turnover of 105 million yuan [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.94, up 0.82% with a trading volume of 966,200 shares and a turnover of 473 million yuan [1] - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.66, up 0.45% with a trading volume of 608,500 shares and a turnover of 403 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net inflow of 32.22 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 35.07 million yuan [2] - However, speculative funds recorded a net outflow of 67.29 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - China Southern Airlines (600029) had a net inflow of 69.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 34.49 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) saw a net inflow of 39.42 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 3.79 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Shenzhen Airport (000089) experienced a net outflow of 11.13 million yuan from institutional investors, but had a net inflow of 5.62 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Insights - The collaboration between Xilinhot Airport, Air China, and Huaxia Airlines aims to enhance winter travel services and expand flight routes for the 2025 winter season [1][2][3] Group 1: Flight Services and Products - Air China introduced a "ticket + skiing" travel service, offering discounts for ski resorts in Hohhot when booking flights on the Xilinhot-Hohhot route [2] - Huaxia Airlines presented various travel products, including the Mohe Northern Lights package on the Xilinhot-Harbin route and outbound travel options to Japan and South Korea [2] - Xilinhot Airport highlighted new routes for the 2025 winter season, including Xilinhot-Zhengzhou-Guangzhou and Xilinhot-Baotou-Xi'an, along with convenient transfer services [2] Group 2: Strategic Collaboration and Market Development - The visit served as a platform for face-to-face communication among airlines, tourism enterprises, and the airport, promoting resource sharing and mutual benefits [3] - Xilinhot Airport plans to leverage this event to further expand its route network and promote new travel products, enhancing the integration of aviation and tourism [3] - The initiative aims to improve service quality and operational efficiency, contributing to the high-quality development of the regional economy and facilitating citizen travel [3]

Market Overview - On October 22, the aviation and airport sector declined by 0.19% compared to the previous trading day, with Huaxia Airlines leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the aviation and airport sector showed mixed performance, with China Eastern Airlines up by 0.82% to 4.90, while Huaxia Airlines fell by 2.36% to 10.77 [2][3] - The trading volume and turnover for major stocks included: - China Eastern Airlines: 1.0972 million shares, turnover of 534 million yuan - Huaxia Airlines: 327,400 shares, turnover of 351 million yuan - Xiamen Airport: 48,400 shares, turnover of 73.69 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 152 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 168 million yuan [2][3] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks included: - China Eastern Airlines: Net inflow of 50.62 million yuan from institutional investors - Huaxia Airlines: Net inflow of 2.51 million yuan from institutional investors - Xiamen Airport: Net outflow of 6.81 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Insights - The core focus of the news is the successful hosting of the Linyi Airport's 2025 winter-spring flight schedule promotion conference, emphasizing the optimization of flight networks, enhancement of services, and convenience for travelers [1] Flight Network Expansion - Linyi Airport will restore flights to Beijing, achieving full coverage of the top ten domestic hubs (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Chongqing, Harbin, Kunming, Xi'an, Urumqi) [2] - The new flight season will optimize and increase the frequency of routes to key domestic hubs and popular tourist cities, ensuring sufficient capacity and optimized schedules for essential routes to meet the travel needs of business and leisure travelers [2] Service Enhancement - The flight schedule change represents not only an expansion of routes but also a significant improvement in service efficiency [3] - Linyi Airport will continue to implement "first-time passenger services" and promote the construction of a "smart airport," optimizing the entire service process including check-in, security checks, and boarding to reduce passenger waiting times [3] - Collaborations with airlines and travel agencies will lead to the introduction of special ticket prices and diversified travel products such as "flight + hotel" and "flight + scenic spots," benefiting the public and stimulating air travel consumption [3] Economic Development Collaboration - The flight schedule change is a crucial measure for Linyi Airport to adapt to market demands and support local economic and social development [4] - The airport aims to establish itself as an important aviation hub in the southern Shandong and northern Jiangsu regions, continuously improving its flight network to facilitate external openness, deepen economic cooperation, and promote tourism development [4] - Representatives from the cultural and tourism bureau, airlines, travel agencies, and corporate clients highly praised the new flight season plan, believing it will greatly facilitate local residents' travel and attract more visitors and business people to Linyi, injecting new vitality into the local economy [4]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Chinese Aviation Industry Industry Overview - The Chinese aviation industry is currently in the early stages of a super cycle, driven by a demographic dividend that continues to boost demand for air travel, alongside an increased willingness to travel post-pandemic, despite no significant improvement in the macroeconomic environment [1][4][12]. Key Points and Arguments - **Market Price Adjustments**: The marketization of ticket prices has largely been completed, with full ticket prices on major routes increased by 50%-70% [1][3]. - **Fleet Growth**: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, fleet growth has significantly slowed to single digits (2%-3%), alleviating investment pressure in third and fourth-tier cities, which is beneficial for enhancing industry profitability [1][3]. - **Demand and Supply Dynamics**: Since 2019, the passenger load factor in the Chinese aviation industry has significantly improved, with some routes nearing capacity limits. Future improvements in supply and demand will be reflected more in ticket prices, as the industry enters a low supply growth phase due to airspace bottlenecks and slow recovery in aircraft manufacturing capacity [1][8]. - **Long-term Growth**: By 2025, the Chinese aviation industry is expected to enter a phase of increasing supply, which is projected to last for 15 years, achieved through optimized airspace management, controlled aircraft introduction rates, improved fleet turnover efficiency, and increased passenger load factors [1][6][7]. Investment Opportunities - **Profitability Outlook**: The aviation sector is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability and valuation over the next two years, with a high probability of turning profitable by 2025 and potentially achieving profit margins higher than those in 2019 by 2026 [2][13]. - **Valuation Potential**: The traditional airline valuation could rise from 8-10 times earnings to 15-20 times during this super cycle, indicating significant investment potential despite recent stock price increases [2][14]. - **Recommended Airlines**: Key airlines to focus on include: - **Air China**: Strong network and quality of passenger sources, optimistic long-term profitability outlook [15]. - **Juneyao Airlines**: Expected to release significant profit potential in the next two years [17]. - **China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines**: Both have substantial slot resources in the trunk market, poised to benefit from the super cycle [17]. - **Spring Airlines**: Leading profit margins and valuations in key markets, expected to maintain steady growth [17]. Additional Insights - **Passenger Load Factor**: The passenger load factor has reached levels between 88% and 90% during peak periods, indicating efficient utilization of existing seat resources [8]. - **Macroeconomic Factors**: Despite the lack of significant macroeconomic improvement, strong air travel demand persists due to the ongoing super cycle and increased travel willingness post-pandemic [4][10]. - **Strategic Timing for Investment**: The current period is viewed as an optimal time for strategic investment in the aviation sector, with expectations of continued demand growth and recovery in business travel [12]. This comprehensive analysis highlights the robust growth potential and investment opportunities within the Chinese aviation industry, driven by structural changes and favorable market dynamics.

Core Viewpoint - The domestic airline ticket prices in September showed a year-on-year increase driven by improved supply and demand dynamics, with expectations for a turning point in Q4 2025 as the supply-demand gap narrows [1] Industry Dynamics - In September, the demand for air travel benefited from increased passenger flow and longer flight distances, resulting in a higher growth rate than supply. The passenger load factor for both domestic and international routes reached record highs [1] - The six listed airlines in A-shares reported a combined ASK/RPK growth of +4.0%/+7.1% year-on-year in September, with domestic passenger load factors reaching 87.3%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, marking the highest level for September in history [1] - For international routes, the supply growth rate slowed, leading to a widening gap with demand growth. The ASK/RPK for international routes increased by +8.7%/+13.6% year-on-year, with a passenger load factor increase of 3.5 percentage points [1] Aircraft Utilization and Pricing - The aircraft utilization rate in September remained high at 7.8 hours, with narrow-body aircraft showing a slight increase of +0.4% year-on-year [2] - The domestic passenger load factor for the six airlines reached 87.3%, up 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, and 3.9 percentage points compared to 2019, achieving a historical high [2] - Domestic economy class ticket prices increased by +0.6% year-on-year, while international ticket prices decreased by -15.2% [2] Fleet Expansion - The fleet of the six listed airlines grew by 0.3% month-on-month, with a total of 3,340 aircraft managed as of September 2025, reflecting a net increase of 11 aircraft [3] - The main aircraft types introduced were narrow-body models, including 19 new narrow-body aircraft in September [3] Investment Targets - Key companies to watch include China Eastern Airlines (600115.SH), Huaxia Airlines (002928.SZ), Air China (601111.SH), China Southern Airlines (600029.SH), Juneyao Airlines (603885.SH), and Spring Airlines (601021.SH) [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the airline sector, highlighting the potential for price recovery driven by improved supply-demand dynamics [6][10]. Core Insights - In September 2025, the airline industry experienced a significant increase in passenger load factors, with domestic and international routes reaching record highs. The combined ASK/RPK for six listed airlines grew by 4.0% and 7.1% year-on-year, respectively [3][12]. - The report emphasizes the tight supply-demand relationship, with a notable recovery in business travel demand contributing to price increases. The domestic passenger load factor reached 87.3%, up 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, marking the highest level for September in history [4][13]. - The report suggests that the industry is entering a critical phase where supply constraints may lead to sustained price improvements, particularly in the fourth quarter of 2025 [5][24]. Summary by Sections Passenger Load Factors and Pricing - The report indicates that high passenger load factors in September have led to price increases, with domestic economy class ticket prices rising by 2.4% year-on-year. International ticket prices, however, saw a decline of 15.2% [4][13]. - The domestic load factor for the six airlines reached 87.3%, which is 3.9 percentage points higher than the same period in 2019, reflecting strong demand recovery [4][12]. Fleet Expansion - The total fleet of the six listed airlines increased by 0.3% in September 2025, with a net addition of 11 aircraft. The primary models introduced were the A320 and B737 series [5][24]. - China National Airlines led the fleet expansion with a net increase of 5 aircraft, while Eastern Airlines added 2 aircraft during the same period [26][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report advises investors to focus on the sustainability of price improvements in the fourth quarter, particularly for business routes. The recovery in business travel is expected to enhance investor sentiment in the sector [5][24]. - Key airlines to watch include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines, among others [5][6].