格隆汇2月13日｜2026年1月，中国国际航空股份有限公司及所属 子公司合并旅客周转量同比上升。 客 运运力投入同比下降0.9%，旅客周转量同比上升3.0%。 其中，国内客运运力投入同比下降2.0%，旅客 周转量同比上升2.6%；国际客运 运力投入同比上升1.5%，旅客周转量同比上升4.2%；地区客运运力投 入同比下 降0.8%，旅客周转量同比上升1.8%。平均客座率82.2%，同比上升3.2个百分 点。其中，国内 航线同比上升3.7个百分点，国际航线同比上升2.0个百分点， 地区航线同比上升1.9个百分点。 ...

《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者张丰蘩 报道：2026年春运中，国航米兰—温州航线作为连接海外侨 胞与故乡的"空中纽带"，成为众多温州籍旅客返乡探亲的热门通道，呈现"孩子多、老人多、行李多、 方言交流多"的鲜明特点。面对多元化的出行需求，国航在温州精心打造"侨乡亲情服务"，用"乡音""乡 情"陪伴返乡旅客的团圆之旅。 2月11日，227名旅客搭乘国航CA838航班从米兰抵达温州。"一上飞机就听到熟悉的家乡话，感觉很亲 切！还没飞到，心已经到温州了。"刚下飞机的李先生推着行李车，兴奋地感慨道。他回忆道，祖辈早 年赴意大利经商，一家人在异乡仍坚持讲温州话，"我来来回回坐了很多次航班，从来没有碰到乘务员 是温州人的，这次乘务员用温州话跟我说新年好。"航班上，像李先生这样因乡音而安心的旅客不在少 数。陈阿姨带着妈妈从米兰回国过年，她说："回国，我就喜欢坐中国民航，感觉这是家，很温馨，对 老人家无微不至照顾。"在13个小时的飞行中，乘务组陪着小旅客玩游戏、讲故事，全程陪护、耐心安 抚。 国航致力于将春运航线转化为传递乡情的桥梁，用专业与温度诠释"人民航空为人民"的服务内核，让每 一位旅客的归途皆成暖途，让每一份团圆期盼 ...

Core Insights - The report predicts a "front low and back high" trend for the real estate market in 2026, suggesting potential recovery opportunities in the sector [1][3] - It emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the market through inventory reduction and boosting demand and confidence, while also supporting reasonable financing needs of real estate companies [3][4] - The report identifies three main investment lines: stable companies in core cities, "small but beautiful" firms with significant breakthroughs, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [1][9] Market Outlook - The real estate market is expected to face continued pressure in 2025, with a focus on policy measures to prevent a sharp decline [3][4] - The report forecasts a decline in key real estate indicators for 2026, including a projected 8% decrease in sales area to 810 million square meters and a 12% drop in sales revenue to 7.4 trillion yuan [5][6] - It anticipates a gradual recovery in the market, with potential policy and fundamental turning points in Q1 and Q4 of 2026, respectively [7][8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals in first and second-tier cities, such as China Resources Land and China Merchants Shekou [1][9] - It highlights the potential of Poly Real Estate Group as a "small but beautiful" firm that has made significant sales and land acquisition breakthroughs [9] - The report also points to commercial real estate companies like China Resources Vientiane Life and Swire Properties that are actively exploring new operational models [1][9]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Air China, highlighting their potential to benefit from the growth in international travel demand [2][3]. Core Insights - The growth in inbound tourism demand is expected to become a long-term trend, with significant opportunities for Chinese airlines to expand their international capacity, particularly in Europe, the Middle East, and Central Asia [2][15]. - The report predicts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of up to 15% for international passenger flow for Chinese airlines over the next three years, driven by the gradual recovery of inbound tourism and the slow recovery of foreign airlines' capacity [12][13][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy: Visa Relaxation and Local Support - The report discusses the expansion of visa-free entry policies, with China implementing unilateral visa exemptions for 48 countries and optimizing transit visa policies to enhance the convenience of inbound travel [11][24]. - The ongoing policy support is expected to significantly boost inbound tourism, with a focus on improving travel experiences and product offerings for foreign visitors [39][42]. 2. Market Potential: Growth Projections - The report estimates that there is over a 30% growth potential for inbound tourist flows in China, comparing the current contribution of inbound tourism to GDP (0.3%) with that of other major economies (1.2%) [12][13]. - The analysis indicates that the international passenger flow for Chinese airlines could see a CAGR of up to 15% due to the increasing demand from both outbound Chinese travelers and inbound foreign tourists [12][15]. 3. Airline Capacity and Passenger Flow Outlook - Chinese airlines are expected to capture a larger share of the inbound passenger flow, with significant increases in flight frequencies and new routes planned for 2025 [2][15]. - The report highlights that the recovery of international passenger traffic is primarily driven by the growth in inbound tourism, with foreign tourist entry numbers expected to increase significantly [12][39]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of positioning in the international market, recommending investments in leading airlines such as China Eastern Airlines, which has a strong base in Shanghai and is expected to benefit the most from international route expansions [2][15].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Chinese Tourism - **Context**: The tourism sector is rapidly becoming a key focus for enhancing the quality of life in China, aligning with government policies aimed at boosting service consumption, expanding employment, and further opening up to the outside world [1][4] Core Insights and Arguments - **Projected Revenue Growth**: - Total tourism revenue in China is expected to reach approximately RMB 12 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% [1][13] - Domestic tourism spending is projected to account for 18% of per capita consumption by 2030, up from 13% in 2023 [1][14] - The contribution of tourism to GDP is anticipated to rise from 4.8% in 2024 to 6.7% by 2030 [1][11] - **Domestic Tourism Growth**: - Domestic tourism is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.7% over the next five years [1][14] - In 2025, domestic travel volume is projected to reach 6.5 billion trips, a 16% increase year-on-year [1][17] - **Inbound and Outbound Tourism**: - Inbound tourism is expected to contribute 16% to total tourism revenue by 2030, up from 12% in 2025 [1][15] - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to boost outbound tourism, which is crucial for the revenue of Chinese airlines [1][31] Driving Forces Behind Tourism Demand - **Macroeconomic Rebalancing**: Emphasis on service consumption and enhancing quality of life [1][25] - **Global Engagement**: Continued openness to international visitors [1][25] - **Currency Strength**: The appreciation of the RMB is favorable for outbound tourism [1][29] - **Policy Support**: Initiatives aimed at stimulating travel demand among younger and older demographics [1][25] - **Technological Innovation**: Enhanced travel experiences through technology [1][38] Structural Improvements and Monetization - **Visitor Demographics**: Improvement in visitor structure, with an increase in the proportion of non-domestic and business travelers [2][9] - **Supply Constraints**: Airlines are facing low capacity growth due to global supply chain issues, while hotel supply growth has slowed significantly [2][9] Key Investment Opportunities - **Recommended Stocks**: - Air China H-shares, Spring Airlines, Huazhu, Atour, and Trip.com are highlighted as key investment opportunities to capitalize on the strong growth in tourism demand [2][41] - **Airlines**: - Airlines are expected to see improved pricing power and valuation as they recover from deflationary pressures [9][41] - **Hotels**: - The hotel sector is witnessing a positive trend in revenue per available room (RevPAR), with expectations of continued growth [9][42] - **Online Travel Agencies (OTAs)**: - OTAs are expected to benefit from strong tourism demand, but regulatory uncertainties should be monitored [9][43] Additional Important Insights - **Entertainment and Events**: The rise in large-scale entertainment events is significantly contributing to tourism growth, with a notable increase in attendance [1][21] - **Visa Policies**: The introduction of new visa-free policies is driving inbound tourism growth, with a 50% increase in visa-free visitors [1][23][22] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the Chinese tourism industry, highlighting growth projections, driving factors, investment opportunities, and additional insights that may be overlooked.

摩根士丹利发表研究报告指出，始于2025年第四季度的航空业多年周期性改善，很可能在2026至2027年 获得动力，并受需求推动。投资者仓位和信心仍处于低位，但该行认为定价上涨将提振市场情绪，因此 将航空板块目标价平均上调42%，并将三大航空公司A股评级上调至"增持"。 大摩对中国国航（601111）(00753)H股目标价从8.11港元上调至10港元；中国东方航空股份(00670)H股 从4.31港元上调至8.10港元；中国南方航空（600029）股份(01055)H股从5.33港元上调至8.5港元。大摩 予内地三大航空公司H股评级均为"增持"。 该行预计每年客座率将改善1至2个百分点，意味着航空公司拥有更强的定价能力。对中国航空公司多年 供应驱动的上行周期持乐观看法，并且认为，如果定价表现强于预期，利润率有上行空间。该行预计 2026年客公里收益基本持平，随后在2027年提价3%至4%。对2027年的盈利预测较市场一致预期高出 17%。大摩估计，客公里收益每超出预期1个百分点，可能为三大航平均带来约15亿至17亿元人民币的 营业利润增长，因此对2026年的税前利润预测上调介乎14%至20%，并对2027年税 ...

相关事件 中国东方航空股份(00670.HK)附属转让东航供应链49%股权 涉资约2亿元 中国东方航空股份 (00670.HK)：预计2025年度净亏损为13亿元至18亿元 中国南方航空股份(01055.HK)盈喜：预期2025年净 利8亿-10亿元 实现扭亏为盈 中国南方航空股份(01055.HK)拟委任信永中和为2026年度国内审计师和内 部控制审计师 中国国航(00753.HK)向特定对象发行A股申请获上海证券交易所审核通过 中国国航 (601111)2025年业绩预告点评：25年递延所得税资产转回影响 归母净利亏损 经营端持续改善 看好行业 供需格局下龙头弹性 摩根士丹利发表研报指，始于2025年第四季度的航空业多年周期性改善，很可能在2026至2027年获得动 力，并受需求推动。投资者仓位和信心仍处于低位，但该行认为定价上涨将提振市场情绪，因此将航空 板块目标价平均上调42%，并将三大航空公司A股评级上调至"增持"。大摩对国航H股目标价从8.11港元 上调至10港元，东航H股从4.31港元上调至8.1港元，南航H股从5.33港元上调至8.5港元，评级均为"增 持"。 ...

中国国航（601111）(00753)发布公告，本公司于近日收到上海证券交易所向公司出具的《关于中国国 际航空股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票的交易所审核意见》，认为公司向特定对象发行股票申请符合 发行条件、上市条件和信息披露要求。 ...

智通财经APP讯，中国国航(00753)发布公告，本公司于近日收到上海证券交易所向公司出具的《关于中 国国际航空股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票的交易所审核意见》，认为公司向特定对象发行股票申请 符合发行条件、上市条件和信息披露要求。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不會就因本公告全部或任何部分內容 而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 00753 承董事會命 中國國際航空股份有限公司 公司秘書 肖烽 海外監管公告 向特定對象發行A股股票申請獲得上海證券交易所審核通過 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則（「香港上市規則」）第13.10B條作 出。 茲提述中國國際航空股份有限公司（「本公司」或「公司」）關於（其中包括）向特定對象發行A 股股票的日期為二零二五年十月三十日、二零二五年十二月十六日及二零二六年一月八 日之公告以及日期為二零二五年十一月二十八日之通函（「該通函」）。除非本公告另有規 定，否則本公告所用詞彙與該通函所界定者具有相同涵義。 本公司於近日收到上海證券交易所向公司出具的《關於中國國際航空股份有限公司向特定 對象發行股票的交易所審核意見》，認為公司向特定對象發行股票申請符合發行條件、上 市條件和信息披露要求。 本次向特定對象發行A股股票尚需經中國證監會作出同意註冊決定後方可實施，最終能否 獲得中國證監會同意註冊 ...