Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the extension of the Spring Festival holiday in 2026 will continue to support strong demand for family visits and travel [2] - The 2024 Spring Festival holiday will be adjusted to 8 days, extending by 1 day compared to 2023, and encouraging time off from New Year's Eve [2] - The 2025 Spring Festival holiday will increase by 1 day, optimizing the adjustment principles, and the significant "拼假" effect will be evident [2] Group 2 - The expected cross-regional personnel flow during the 2026 Spring Festival is projected to reach 9.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.3%, setting a new historical high [3] - The railway is expected to send 539 million passengers, a 5.0% increase year-on-year, with passenger capacity also increasing by 5.3% [3] - The civil aviation sector anticipates a passenger transport volume of 95 million, a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, with Southern Airlines and Eastern Airlines expecting daily flight increases of 4.2% and 3.6% respectively [3] Group 3 - The 2026 Spring Festival travel demand is expected to be strong, with a gradual increase in passenger flow and ticket prices maintaining year-on-year growth [4] - The pre-holiday week will see a mix of business and travel passengers, with a confirmed peak in passenger flow before the holiday [4] - The average domestic ticket price is expected to continue rising, supported by high passenger load factors and market-driven pricing [4] Group 4 - The Chinese aviation industry is anticipated to enter a "super cycle," driven by market-driven pricing and a recovery in demand and passenger structure [5] - The long-term logic will provide dual space for performance valuation, with continuous positive feedback from fundamentals and seasonal performance catalyzing market optimism [5] - Recommendations include increasing holdings in major airlines such as Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share aviation sector experienced a significant surge, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines hitting the daily limit, while Southern Airlines and Air China saw increases exceeding 6% [2][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 4, 2026, the A-share aviation sector collectively rose, with Huaxia Airlines and China Eastern Airlines reaching the daily limit [2]. - Southern Airlines and Air China recorded gains of over 6% [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index remained stable at 4067.67, while the ChiNext Index fell by 1.74% [3]. Group 2: Spring Festival Travel - The 2026 Spring Festival travel period began on February 2, with expectations of record-breaking passenger volumes [5]. - On the first day of the Spring Festival travel, civil aviation passenger volume reached 2.19 million, a 5.3% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [5]. - The average domestic economy class ticket price on the first day was 807 yuan, reflecting a 9.3% year-on-year increase, although it was a slight decrease of 1.5% compared to 2019 [5][6]. Group 3: Airline Strategies and Financial Performance - China Eastern Airlines has seen substantial stock price increases, with A-shares and H-shares rising by 50% and 105.79% respectively over the past year, making it the top performer among eight listed airlines in Shanghai and Hong Kong [7]. - The airline's "Three Flying Strategy" has contributed to its success, with the opening of 24 new international routes in 2025 [7]. - Huaxia Airlines is projected to report a net profit of 500 to 700 million yuan for 2025, marking an increase of 86.59% to 161.22% year-on-year [7]. - Southern Airlines is expected to turn a profit with a projected net profit of 800 to 1 billion yuan, while China Eastern and Air China anticipate significant reductions in losses due to tax adjustments [7].

2026.02. 04 本文字数：947，阅读时长大约1分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈姗姗 2月4日，A股航空板块集体大涨。截至中午收盘，华夏航空和中国东航涨停，南方航空和中国国航涨幅也超过6%。 | 中国国航 | | | 8.94 | | 6.05% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪 601111 | | | | | | | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | | 6.9375 | | 0.02% | | FX USDCNY | | | | | | | NYMEX WTI原油 | | | 63.81 | | 0.95% | | 期 CL | | | | | | | 上证指数 | | | 4067.67 | | 0.00% | | 沪 000001 | | | | | | | 创业板指 | | | 3266.99 | | -1.74% | | 深 399006 | | | | | | | 海航控股 | | | 1.74 | | 4.19% | | 沪 600221 | | | | | | | 南方航空 | | | 8.25 | | 7.84% | | 沪 6 ...

Group 1 - The aviation stocks experienced significant gains in the afternoon trading session, with Eastern Airlines (00670) rising by 7.76% to HKD 6.25 [1][3] - Air China (00753) saw an increase of 5.21%, reaching HKD 7.47 [1][3] - China Southern Airlines (01055) rose by 6.23%, trading at HKD 6.48 [1][3] - Cathay Pacific Airways (00293) had a more modest increase of 0.97%, priced at HKD 12.52 [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share aviation sector has seen significant gains, with several airlines recently disclosing optimistic 2025 performance forecasts, leading to a surge in stock prices [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 4, the A-share aviation sector collectively rose, with Huaxia Airlines and China Eastern Airlines hitting the daily limit, while Southern Airlines and Air China saw increases exceeding 6% [1]. - China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines reported substantial stock price increases of 9.98% and 10.02%, respectively, while Southern Airlines rose by 7.84% [2][5]. Group 2: Spring Festival Travel - The 2026 Spring Festival travel period began on February 2, with expectations of record passenger volumes, as the first day saw 2.19 million air travelers, a 5.3% increase from the same day in 2025 [3][5]. - The average ticket price for domestic economy class on the first day of the Spring Festival was 807 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, although it was a slight decrease of 1.5% compared to the same period in 2019 [3][5]. Group 3: Airline Performance Forecasts - Huaxia Airlines expects a net profit of 500 to 700 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 86.59% to 161.22% [6]. - Southern Airlines anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 800 million to 1 billion yuan, while China Eastern Airlines and Air China expect significant reductions in losses due to tax adjustments rather than operational issues [6]. - The overall profitability of the civil aviation sector in 2025 is projected to be 6.5 billion yuan, with the total number of air travelers exceeding 500 million, making China the largest aviation population globally [6].

| 来源：新浪财经 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） | | --- | | 编辑 段炼 杜恒峰 | | 校对 何小桃 | | 封面图片：视觉中国（图文无关） | 每日经济新闻综合自公开资料 每经编辑｜段炼 2月4日，A股航空运输板块集体爆发。截至发稿，东航涨停，南航涨超7%，国航涨超6%，华夏航空、春秋航空、吉祥航空、海航等纷纷上涨。 ...

据航旅纵横大数据显示，截至1月29日国内航线预订量已超716万张，日均机票预订量同比+16%。银河 证券表示，高频预订数据与官方运量预测形成交叉印证，反映民航出行需求旺盛，叠加航班供给稳步释 放，有望支撑春运民航客流与收益水平同步改善。 消息面上，2026年春节假期再次延长，将保障探亲出游继续两旺。近日全国春运电视电话会议预计， 2026年春运跨区域人员流动量将达95亿人次，同比增长约5.3%，将再创历史新高。其中，铁路、民航 客运量总体规模和单日峰值均有望超过历史同期峰值。 航空股涨幅居前，截至发稿，中国国航（601111）(00753)涨5.49%，报7.49港元；东方航空(00670)涨 5.17%，报6.1港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨4.92%，报6.4港元；国泰航空(00293)涨0.97%，报 12.52港元。 ...

Industry Dynamics Tracking - The overall container shipping rates have decreased, with the SCFI composite index dropping by 9.7% to 1317 points. Specific routes such as Shanghai-Europe and Shanghai-Mediterranean saw declines of 11.1% and 12.0% respectively [3][4] - The refined oil tanker rates have increased, with the BCTI index rising by 4.6% to 890 points. The MR rates in the Pacific and Atlantic regions showed mixed results, with a notable increase of 12.7% in the Atlantic [8] - The logistics sector is witnessing a resilient demand, with the e-commerce express delivery industry expected to benefit from a recovery in the economy and a reduction in costs, leading to improved profitability for companies like SF Express and JD Logistics [12] Air Transport - The civil aviation sector is showing signs of recovery, with major airlines like China Southern and Hainan Airlines expected to turn profitable in 2025, while Eastern and Air China are projected to reduce their losses significantly [3] - The State Council has issued a plan to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption, focusing on transportation services among others, which is expected to support the aviation sector [3] Shipping and Port Operations - The dry bulk shipping market is experiencing a "strong off-season" due to a combination of high demand in the Atlantic region and tight capacity, with the BDI index rising by 12.0% to 1949 points [8] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is tense, with the U.S. increasing military presence and Iran conducting live-fire exercises, which could impact oil shipping routes [6] - China's port cargo throughput has decreased, with a reported decline of 1.70% in total cargo and a 4.35% drop in container throughput [9] Road and Rail Transport - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight volumes reported at 7441.9 million tons, a decrease of 3.35% [10] - Shenzhen International reported a 3.3% increase in toll revenue for December 2025, indicating stable revenue growth in the road transport sector [11] Investment Opportunities - In the express delivery sector, companies like YTO Express and ZTO Express are expected to benefit from market share growth and operational improvements, while SF Express is noted for its cost control and shareholder returns [12] - The oil transportation market is anticipated to improve due to OPEC+ production increases and potential interest rate cuts, suggesting a favorable outlook for companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [13] - The dry bulk shipping market is expected to continue its recovery, driven by environmental regulations and increased demand for commodities, with companies like China Merchants Energy and Haitong Development highlighted as potential beneficiaries [13]

Group 1 - The aviation and airport sector increased by 2.35% on February 3, with Southern Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the aviation sector showed varied performance, with Southern Airlines closing at 7.65, up 5.37%, and China Eastern Airlines at 5.71, up 4.20% [1] Group 2 - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 43.44 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 106 million yuan [3] - Notable inflows from speculative funds were recorded at 149 million yuan [3] - The stock performance of major companies included China Eastern Airlines with a net inflow of 69.47 million yuan from institutional investors [4] Group 3 - The Aerospace ETF (product code: 159227) tracked the National Aerospace Industry Index and saw a decline of 8.15% over the past five days, with a net subscription of 12.87 million yuan [6] - The General Aviation ETF (product code: 159230) tracked the National General Aviation Industry Index and experienced a decline of 9.25%, with a net subscription of 10.71 million yuan [7] - The Tourism ETF (product code: 562510) tracked the CSI Tourism Theme Index and saw a decline of 2.92%, with a net subscription of 8.91 million yuan [7]

航空股今日回暖，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)涨4.81%，报5.66港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨 4.15%，报6.03港元；中国国航（601111）(00753)涨2.79%，报6.99港元；国泰航空(00293)涨1.48%，报 12.37港元。 招商证券发布研报称，25年四季度以来，受益行业票价同比改善、未来盈利修复预期强化以及市场整体 上涨影响，行业估值总体大幅上行，1月下旬以来受国际油价较快上涨影响板块有所回落，当前时点建 议关注春运行业量价表现、供需政策落地情况及中东局对油价影响。 消息面上，航旅纵横大数据显示：截至1月29日，2026年节前春运，国内航线机票预订量超1246万张， 比去年春运同期增长约8%；出境航线机票预订量超137万张，入境航线航线机票预订量超147万张，比 去年春运同期增长约5%。 ...