近日，兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委在一场公开座谈中表示，在可预见的未来，不大可能再发生2015年 8月那样规模的大型股灾。 鲁政委称，这一论断基于两点原因：其一，A股市场在"9.24"之后出台了稳市机制；其二，2015年之 后，监管层意识到了高杠杆的危害，对资本杠杆控制得特别严格。关于第二点，鲁政委表示，没有杠杆 就不容易产生2015年那样的股灾。 ...

Core Insights - The implementation of the new regulations for merger and acquisition (M&A) loans has prompted banks to actively expand their M&A loan business, aiming to establish competitive advantages through early entry into the market [1][2] - The new regulations have broadened the scope of M&A loans, allowing for equity acquisitions and optimizing loan conditions, which is expected to enhance banks' asset yield [2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Several banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Construction Bank, and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, have entered the M&A loan market since the new regulations were introduced on December 31, 2025, initiating a "first deal competition" [1][2] - Beijing Bank successfully executed the first M&A loan under the new regulations, providing 21 million yuan to support a private technology company's acquisition of a 35% stake in another firm, with a financing ratio of 60% and a three-year term [1] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - The new M&A loan regulations have evolved from strict to more flexible frameworks, introducing three key changes: expanding the applicable scope of M&A loans, optimizing loan conditions, and setting differentiated qualification requirements for banks [2][4] - The regulations allow for a higher proportion of control-type M&A loans in relation to the total transaction value and extend the maximum loan term [2] Group 3: Strategic Importance - M&A loans are increasingly recognized for their potential to enhance banks' asset yields, especially in the context of narrowing interest margins and sluggish growth in traditional lending [3] - The M&A loan business is characterized by strong customer loyalty, high comprehensive returns, and significant barriers to entry, making it a strategic focus for banks aiming to differentiate themselves in a competitive landscape [3] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the growth potential, the complexity and specialization required for M&A loans present challenges for banks, which must navigate multiple stakeholders and legal relationships [4] - Banks are encouraged to develop a comprehensive ecosystem that includes M&A facilitation, financing, and post-investment management to effectively compete in the M&A finance sector [4]

（来源：宁夏金融工作） 2026年是闽宁协作三十周年，为准确把握宁夏经济发展重大战略机遇，积极做好福建金融机构在宁服务工作，切实推动闽宁金融协作更加精准、更有实 效，1月27日，兴业银行银川分行与兴业研究在银川联合举办"金融赋能 质兴塞上"——兴业银行助力宁夏高质量发展暨2026年"兴研说·每月星光"走进宁夏 活动。区市两级金融办、国资委、工业和信息化厅（局）、农业农村厅（局）等政府部门相关领导，多家区市属重点国企负责人，兴业银行银川分行、兴 业研究相关负责人和百余家企业客户代表参与本次活动。 兴业银行银川分行党委书记、行长傅健，兴业研究党委书记、院长刘健为活动致辞。兴业银行首席经济学家、兴业研究学术评审委员会主席鲁政委发表主 旨演讲。 傅健表示，自2017年扎根宁夏以来，兴业银行银川分行始终把自身发展深深融入这片热土，用具体实践回应着宁夏高质量发展的需求。近两年，面对内外 部形势，分行按照"挺进主战场、做主流业务"的工作思路，围绕金融"五篇大文章"，持续深化"区域+行业"经营，聚焦区内优势行业、重点产业，细化客 户建设和资产构建主攻方向，以培育壮大核心客户、机构客户为重点，加强客户建设和大类资产项目储备，持 ...

新华财经北京2月4日电（记者吴丛司）截至4日，已有浦发银行、中信银行、宁波银行、兴业银行等10 家A股上市银行发布2025年业绩快报。业绩快报显示，已做业绩预批的10家上市银行业绩总体稳健增 长，盈利端全线飘红，资产质量稳健。市场预计，2026年银行息差降幅有望收窄、信用成本继续下行， 上市银行业绩有望延续改善趋势。 净利润增长全线飘红城商行增速领跑 | 从盈利能力来看，已做业绩预批的10家A股上市银行在2025年均实现归母净利润的同比增长，部分城商 | | --- | | 行增速亮眼。 | | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 营业收入 [报告期] 2025年年报 | 营业收入(同比增长室) | 归属母公司股东的净利润 归属母公司股东的净利 [报告期] 2025年年报 | 润(目比墙长室) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | [报表类型] 合并报表 | [报告期] 2025年年报 | [报表类型] 合并报表 | [报告期] 2025年年报 | | | | [单位] 亿元 | [单位] % | [单位] 亿元 | [单位] % | | 002948.SZ | ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in trading demand for gold accumulation products has overwhelmed the banking system's capacity, leading to transaction failures and delays, which are attributed to operational issues rather than systemic market risks [1][5][6]. Group 1: Trading Demand and Market Behavior - There has been a significant increase in trading activity for gold accumulation products, driven by fluctuations in gold prices, which has exceeded the banks' operational capabilities [1][6]. - Investors have reported difficulties in executing trades during periods of high demand, with many experiencing failed transactions and system overloads [5][6]. - The current trading frenzy is characterized by a mix of speculative behavior and a lack of available trading platforms, leading to frustration among investors [4][5]. Group 2: Bank Responses and Policy Adjustments - Several banks have raised the minimum purchase amounts for gold accumulation products in response to the increased trading volume and associated risks [7][8]. - Banks are likely to implement stricter trading limits, adjust transaction fees, and enhance their product offerings to manage the surge in demand and mitigate risks [6][9]. - Risk assessment requirements for investors have been tightened, with banks now requiring a risk tolerance evaluation before allowing participation in gold accumulation activities [8][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Analysts predict that the growth rate of gold accumulation products will slow down, shifting the focus from scale to quality in the industry [9]. - There is a call for improved risk education and information disclosure from banks to help investors make informed decisions based on their risk tolerance [9]. - The market is expected to evolve towards more standardized and differentiated products, potentially including structured products linked to gold for various risk profiles [9].

证券研究报告 银行业月报 ——行业盈利温和修复，关注优质区域行 银行行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 袁喆奇 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520080003 研究助理 李灵琇 一般证券业务编号：S1060124070021 2026年2月4日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 注：全文所指银行指数均为银行（中信）指数 2 行业核心观点：资金结构深刻变化，顺势而为重配置轻交易。资金流向的变化是推动板块估值修复中不可忽视的力量，一方面被动指数的持续扩容带来了稳定的资 金流入，板块高权重的特征仍将持续推动资金的流入，一方面银行板块低波高红利的特征更易获得险资等中长期资金的青睐，目前板块平均股息率达到4.50%，结 合监管一系列引导中长期资金入市的措施，预计板块的股息配置价值吸引力仍将持续。个股维度，我们结合股息和潜在增量中长期资金流入空间，看好A股股份行 板块以及部分优质区域行（成都、江苏、上海、苏州、长沙），同时关注更具股息优势的港股大行配置机会。 25年度快报综述：营收盈利回暖，资产质量稳中有进。营收盈利回暖，资产质量稳中有进。截至1月末，共10家银行披露2025年度业绩快报，大部分银行营收盈利 同比增速均 ...

Group 1 - The banking sector saw an increase of 1.51% on February 4, with China Merchants Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - Key stocks in the banking sector showed various performance metrics, with China Merchants Bank closing at 39.01, up 1.85%, and CITIC Bank at 7.35, up 1.66% [1] Group 2 - The banking sector experienced a net inflow of 1.133 billion yuan from main funds, while retail and speculative funds saw net outflows of 0.351 billion yuan and 0.782 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Major banks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank had significant net inflows of 1.642 billion yuan and 0.322 billion yuan, respectively, indicating strong institutional interest [1] - In contrast, banks like Everbright Bank and CITIC Bank faced net outflows of 0.549 billion yuan and 0.239 million yuan, reflecting weaker retail sentiment [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the HuShen 300 Growth ETF managed by Huaxia Fund Management, which has seen a return of 28.50% since its inception on September 5, 2023, and a return of 3.61% over the past month [1][1][1] - As of the midday close on February 4, the HuShen 300 Growth ETF (159523) decreased by 0.31%, with a trading volume of 2.2597 million yuan [1][1][1] - The top holdings of the ETF include companies such as CATL, which rose by 1.58%, Kweichow Moutai, which increased by 2.01%, and Zijin Mining, which saw a slight increase of 0.05% [1][1][1] Group 2 - Other notable stock performances within the ETF include Sunlight Power, which fell by 0.27%, Haiguang Information, which dropped by 3.51%, and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical, which decreased by 2.14% [1][1][1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Select 300 Growth Innovation Strategy Index return rate [1][1][1] - The fund manager is Zhao Zongting, indicating a specific leadership in the management of the ETF [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - Industrial Bank announced adjustments to its gold accumulation business in response to regulatory requirements and market changes, effective February 4, 2026, increasing the minimum purchase amount for certain transactions [1]. Group 1: Business Adjustments - The minimum purchase amount for single purchases and new regular investment plans will increase from RMB 1,200 to RMB 1,400 for monetary transactions, while the minimum for weight-based transactions remains at 1 gram [1]. - Existing regular investment plans will continue as originally set, unaffected by the new minimum purchase amount; however, modifications to these plans must comply with the new limits [1]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The bank noted significant fluctuations in precious metal prices due to multiple factors, prompting a recommendation for customers to stay informed about market trends and adjust their investment strategies accordingly [1]. - Customers are advised to consider their financial situation and risk tolerance when making investment decisions, emphasizing the importance of risk awareness and cautious decision-making [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant declines in various sectors, particularly in metals and banks, with a notable focus on bank stocks as a safe haven amid volatility in precious metals prices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 2, A-share non-ferrous metals led the decline with a drop of 7.62%, while steel, chemicals, coal, and oil and gas sectors also fell over 5% [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 2.48%, with over 4,600 stocks declining and a trading volume of approximately 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 250 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3][4]. - The banking sector showed resilience, with certain banks like Citic Bank and Shanghai Bank posting gains of 2.64% and 1.62%, respectively, amidst the overall market downturn [4]. Group 2: Bank Sector Analysis - The banking sector has seen a significant correction, with the China Securities Bank Index dropping 6.76% as of January 30, with major banks like Pudong Development Bank and Agricultural Bank of China experiencing declines of 19.29% and 12.5%, respectively [4][5]. - Analysts believe that the peak of fund outflows from the banking sector has passed, with the sector's valuation becoming more attractive, as the median price-to-book (PB) ratio is around 0.57 and the median dividend yield has risen to over 4.5% [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate that passive fund outflows have been a major factor in the banking sector's recent adjustments, but the selling pressure is expected to diminish, allowing for potential recovery in bank stock prices [6][7]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Institutions are starting to show interest in bank stocks, with reports indicating that active funds had reduced their holdings in bank stocks by 1.3 billion shares by the end of the fourth quarter [7]. - Several regional banks have announced stock buyback plans, which have been positively received by the market, reinforcing confidence in the banking sector's fundamentals [7].