Core Viewpoint - Shenyin Wanguo has initiated coverage on China Railway Construction (601186) with a "Buy" rating, indicating stable industry investment expectations for 2026 despite pressures in infrastructure and other sectors [1] Industry Summary - Investment in the industry is expected to stabilize in 2026, supported by the orderly advancement of local government debt reduction and the implementation of central "two重" projects [2] - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed this year, with infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate facing challenges, but certain sub-sectors may benefit from national strategies [2] Company Summary - The company has shown marginal improvement in new contract signings, with a total of 8.10 trillion yuan in backlog contracts as of Q3 2025, ensuring long-term stable growth [3] - New contract amounts from 2021 to 2025 Q1-3 show a mixed performance, with a notable increase in emerging business sectors such as green environmental projects and logistics [3] - The company’s revenue and profit have faced pressure due to local government debt and the downturn in the real estate sector, with Q1-3 2025 revenue at 728.4 billion yuan, down 3.9% year-on-year [4] - The company has implemented a three-year plan to control financial metrics, resulting in improved cash flow and a better aging structure of accounts receivable [4] Valuation Summary - The H-share of China Railway Construction is significantly discounted compared to A-shares, with H-share PE (TTM) at 3.6X and PB at 0.25X, while A-share PE is at 5.5X and PB at 0.43X [5] - The dividend yield for H-shares is more attractive at 5.93% compared to 3.87% for A-shares, with cash dividends distributed from 2021 to 2024 showing a steady increase [5]

Core Viewpoint - China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC) announced the issuance of its fourth phase of technology innovation renewable corporate bonds aimed at professional investors, with specific interest rates set for different bond types [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - The company will issue bonds with a first cycle interest rate of 2.12% for the first type and 2.38% for the second type [1] - The third type of bonds will be fully allocated to the first and second types [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC) announced the issuance of technology innovation perpetual corporate bonds for professional investors in 2025, with specific interest rates set for different bond types [1] Summary by Categories Bond Issuance Details - The first tranche of bonds will have a coupon rate of 2.12% for the first period [1] - The second tranche will have a coupon rate of 2.38% for the first period [1] - The third tranche will be fully allocated to the first and second tranches [1]

2025年12月16日，发行人和簿记管理人在网下向专业机构投资者进行了票面利率询价。根据网下专业机 构投资者询价结果，经发行人和簿记管理人协商一致，最终确定本期债券品种一首个周期的票面利率为 2.12%，品种二首个周期的票面利率为2.38%，品种三全额回拨至品种一和品种二。 格隆汇12月16日丨中国铁建(01186.HK)公告，经中国证券监督管理委员会"证监许可〔2025〕2683号"注 册生效，同意中国铁建股份有限公司(以下简称"中国铁建"或"发行人")面向专业投资者公开发行面值总 额不超过300亿元(含300亿元)的公司债券，可在注册有效期内分期发行。 本期债券发行规模为不超过人民币40亿元(含40亿元)，本期债券分为三个品种，品种一以每3个计息年 度为一个周期，在每个周期末，发行人有权选择将本期债券品种一的期限延长1个周期(即延长3年)，或 选择在该周期末到期全额兑付本期债券；品种二以每5个计息年度为一个周期，在每个周期末，发行人 有权选择将本期债券品种二的期限延长1个周期(即延长5年)，或选择在该周期末到期全额兑付本期债 券；品种三以每10个计息年度为一个周期，在每个周期末，发行人有权选择将本期债券品 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條而作出。 茲 載 列 中 國 鐵 建 股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）在 上 海 證 券 交 易 所 網 站 刊 登 的「中 國鐵建股份有限公司2025年面向專業投資者公開發行科技創新可續期 公 司 債 券（第 四 期）票 面 利 率 公 告」，僅 供 參 閱。 经中国证券监督管理委员会"证监许可〔2025〕2683 号"注册生效，同意中 国铁建股份有限公司（以下简称"中国铁建"或"发行人"）面向专业投资者公 开发行面值总额不超过 300 亿元（含 300 亿元）的公司债券，可在注册有效期内 分期发行。 承董事會命 中國鐵建股份有限公司 董事長 戴和根 中國‧北京 2025年12月16日 於 本 公 告 日 期，董 事 會 成 員 包 括：戴 和 根 先 生 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC) is adapting to a challenging domestic environment by focusing on cost reduction and enhancing operational efficiency while experiencing significant growth in overseas orders [4][29]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, CRCC reported a revenue of 728.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year, and a total profit of 204.6 billion yuan, down 13.9% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders only slightly decreased by 5.6% to 148.1 billion yuan, with a notable 8.3% increase in net profit for the third quarter [8][10]. - The company has successfully reduced sales and management expenses by 8.5% and 9.7% respectively in the first half of 2025, demonstrating effective cost control [10]. Business Segments - Engineering contracting remains the core business, contributing over 85% of total revenue, with a revenue of 4,346 billion yuan and a gross margin of 7.4% in the first half of 2025 [12][13]. - The overseas business has seen a remarkable increase, with new contracts signed amounting to 204.8 billion yuan, a 94.5% year-on-year growth, indicating a successful expansion into international markets [15][16]. Real Estate and Manufacturing - The real estate sector is currently a pain point for the company, with a significant revenue drop of 34.2% in the first half of 2025, and a gross margin that fell to 9.7% [18][19]. - In contrast, the industrial manufacturing segment is thriving, with a revenue of 118.3 billion yuan, a 5.3% increase, and a high gross margin of 21.2% [20][22]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company faced a net cash outflow of 797.6 billion yuan from operating activities in the first three quarters of 2025, although this was an improvement from the previous year [23]. - Despite fluctuations in performance, CRCC has maintained stable dividend payouts, providing a sense of security for investors [24]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from a significant increase in overseas orders, which could become a crucial growth driver in the coming years [27]. - The focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, alongside high-margin segments like industrial manufacturing, suggests a resilient operational strategy [29].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan Research indicates that industry investment is expected to stabilize in 2026, supported by total investment levels. Despite a slowdown in fixed asset investment growth this year, with pressures in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate, the orderly progress of local government debt resolution and the implementation of central "dual" projects are anticipated to stabilize investment in 2026. Certain sub-sectors may gain higher investment elasticity aligned with national strategies [1] Group 1: Industry Investment Outlook - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed down year-to-date, with infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate facing pressures [1] - The orderly progress of local government debt resolution and the implementation of central "dual" projects are expected to support investment stability in 2026 [1] - Certain sub-sectors may benefit from higher investment elasticity due to alignment with national strategies [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - China Railway Construction has seen marginal improvement in new orders, with an optimized structure and sufficient backlog to ensure long-term stable growth [1] - The company's balance sheet is continuously improving, with enhanced cash flow and optimized accounts receivable aging structure [1] - The H-shares are significantly discounted, and the dividend yield in the Hong Kong market is more attractive [1] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Recommendation - Using the price-to-earnings (PE) valuation method, comparable companies such as China Railway, China Communications Construction, and China Energy Construction have an average PE of 3.8X for 2025 and 3.6X for 2026 [1] - Given that 2025 financial data does not fully reflect company value, 2026 data is used for valuation reference, assuming a PE of 3.6X for China Railway Construction, corresponding to a market value of RMB 77.9 billion, or HKD 85.8 billion [1] - The current market value is HKD 74.8 billion, indicating an upside potential of 14.7%, leading to an initial coverage with an "Accumulate" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC) [8][33] Core Insights - The report highlights that the construction industry is expected to stabilize in 2026, supported by local government debt management and the implementation of key national projects [7][14] - CRCC's new contract signing has shown marginal improvement, with a robust backlog of orders ensuring steady long-term growth [7][17] - The company's balance sheet is continuously improving, with enhanced cash flow and optimized accounts receivable aging structure [7][21] - The H-shares of CRCC are trading at a significant discount compared to A-shares, making them more attractive from a dividend yield perspective [7][25] - The report projects CRCC's net profit for 2025-2027 to be RMB 21.4 billion, RMB 21.7 billion, and RMB 22.2 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 3.1X, 3.2X, and 3.1X [7][29] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for CRCC are as follows: - 2023: RMB 1,137.99 billion - 2024: RMB 1,067.17 billion - 2025E: RMB 1,092.29 billion - 2026E: RMB 1,114.13 billion - 2027E: RMB 1,133.25 billion - The expected growth rates are 3.80%, -6.22%, 2.35%, 2.00%, and 1.72% respectively [3][30] - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: RMB 26.10 billion - 2024: RMB 22.22 billion - 2025E: RMB 21.41 billion - 2026E: RMB 21.69 billion - 2027E: RMB 22.23 billion - The corresponding growth rates are -2.19%, -14.87%, -3.62%, 1.30%, and 2.51% [3][30] Market Data - As of December 15, 2025, CRCC's closing price is HKD 5.51, with a market capitalization of HKD 748.23 billion [4][8] - The H-shares are trading at a P/E ratio of 3.6X and a P/B ratio of 0.25X, indicating a significant discount compared to A-shares [7][25] Order and Contract Insights - CRCC's cumulative new contract amounts from 2021 to 2025Q3 are as follows: - 2021: RMB 2.82 trillion - 2022: RMB 3.25 trillion - 2023: RMB 3.29 trillion - 2024: RMB 3.04 trillion - 2025Q1-3: RMB 1.52 trillion - The new contract signing has shown a year-on-year growth of 10.39%, 15.09%, 1.51%, -7.80%, and 3.08% respectively [7][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" investment rating for the construction and decoration industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Conference has set the tone for "dual easing," indicating that incremental policies and key projects are expected to advance [12][13]. - There is a significant increase in special bond net financing, with a cumulative net financing of 3.88 trillion yuan as of December 13, 2025, which is higher than the same period in the previous three years [13]. - The macroeconomic focus remains on stable growth, with expectations for further policies to promote infrastructure and real estate demand in the coming year [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Viewpoints and Investment Recommendations - The construction and decoration index fell by 1.59% last week, with specific sectors like landscaping engineering (+1.74%) and municipal engineering (+0.20%) performing better [12]. - The Central Economic Conference emphasized a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, suggesting that strategic projects will accelerate [12]. - The report identifies three main investment lines: 1. Recommend state-owned enterprises benefiting from national key projects, such as China Railway Construction and China State Construction [17]. 2. Focus on high-prosperity segments related to major strategic projects, recommending companies like High Hope Explosive and China Railway Industry [17]. 3. Support for companies transitioning to new productive forces like AI and robotics, recommending firms such as Roman Holdings and Hongrun Construction [17]. 2. Market Review - The report notes that the special bond issuance has completed 103% of the annual issuance target, with a total of 4.54 trillion yuan issued [13][16]. - The construction sector's performance is tracked, with specific stocks showing significant gains, such as Yaxiang Integration (+25.2%) and Hexin Instruments (+13.4%) [23]. 3. Key Company Dynamics - The report tracks significant company announcements, including China Chemical's nylon new material project achieving full production capacity and Shanghai Construction's provision of guarantees totaling 63.89 billion yuan [30]. 4. Industry Valuation Status - As of December 12, 2025, the PE ratios for various construction sub-sectors are as follows: housing construction (6.25x), municipal engineering (7.89x), and chemical engineering (10.56x) [31].

Core Insights - China Railway Construction Nano Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was established on December 15, with a registered capital of 100 million RMB [1] - The company is involved in the manufacturing of graphite and carbon products, synthetic materials, high-performance fibers and composite materials, general and specialized equipment, non-ferrous metal alloys, and new material technology research and development [1] - Shareholders include China Railway Construction's subsidiary China Railway 11th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan Wuchuang Institute Investment Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Taihong Technology Co., Ltd. [1] Company Overview - The legal representative of the newly established company is Wei Jiaru [1] - The business scope encompasses a wide range of manufacturing and research activities related to advanced materials [1] Shareholder Information - The company is jointly held by three entities, indicating a collaborative approach to its operations and potential market reach [1] - The involvement of established companies in the shareholder structure may enhance credibility and resource access for the new venture [1]