AGRICULTURAL BANK OF CHINA(601288)
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如何看待银行承接长债指标压力,如何缓解?
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-12-26 12:14
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report Since mid - to late November, long - term bonds, especially ultra - long bonds, have undergone significant adjustments, possibly due to banks' selling under year - end duration indicator constraints. The mismatch between banks' asset and liability durations has intensified, with some state - owned banks' bank book interest rate risk indicators approaching regulatory limits. In 2026, the regulatory standards for bank book interest rate risk are likely to be adjusted. Possible adjustment methods include lowering the interest rate shock amplitude, relaxing regulatory indicator upper limits, and using special treasury bonds to supplement primary capital. It is expected that the probability of lowering the shock amplitude and issuing special treasury bonds to supplement capital next year is relatively high, and the indicator pressure will be alleviated compared to this year [1][2][4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bank Book Interest Rate Indicator Regulatory Policy Evolution After the 2008 international financial crisis, the importance of bank account interest rate risk management became prominent. In 2009, the CBRC issued the "Guidelines for the Management of Commercial Bank Account Interest Rate Risk". In 2016, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision released standards for bank book interest rate risk. In 2017, China comprehensively revised the 2009 guidelines. In July 2024, the Basel Committee revised the bank book interest rate shock scenario, to be officially implemented on January 1, 2026, with the "parallel upward" shock amplitude for interest rates adjusted from 250BP to 225BP [8][9]. 3.2 State - owned Banks' ΔEVE/Net Primary Capital Approaching the Upper Limit Banks divide financial assets into TPL, AC, and OCI accounts. AC and OCI accounts, mainly for allocation, face bank book interest rate risk management indicators. Due to the shortening of liability duration and the lengthening of asset duration, the mismatch between banks' asset and liability durations has intensified. In 2024, the ΔEVE/Net Primary Capital of Agricultural Bank of China (-14.31%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (-14.71%), and China Construction Bank (-14.73%) was close to the - 15% regulatory limit [10][19]. 3.3 How to Alleviate Bank Book Interest Rate Risk? - **2025 Risk Calculation**: Calculate the 2025 year - end ΔEVE based on the increment of AC and OCI financial investments and their growth rate; calculate the 2025 year - end estimated value of primary capital based on the cumulative year - on - year growth rate from Q3 2025 to Q3 2024; then calculate the theoretical value of ΔEVE/primary capital for each major bank. It is expected that the indicators of Agricultural Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank, and China Construction Bank will exceed the 15% regulatory red line, and the indicators of Agricultural Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank, China Construction Bank, and Bank of China will deteriorate marginally in 2025 [22]. - **2026 Possible Measures**: - **Lowering Interest Rate Shock Amplitude**: Lower the parallel upward shock amplitude of RMB in the IRRBB standard by 25BP from January 1, 2026. Static calculations based on 2025 forecast data show that the regulatory buffer space of △EVE/Net Primary Capital increases by 1.3%, and it can support large - scale banks to undertake 30 - year government bonds worth 649 billion yuan. For 5 - year and 10 - year bonds, the supportable scales are 2.8 trillion yuan and 1.3 trillion yuan respectively [2][23]. - **Relaxing Regulatory Indicator Upper Limits**: Static calculations based on 2025 forecast data show that when the regulatory indicator is raised by 1%, the regulatory buffer space of △EVE/Net Primary Capital can support large - scale banks to undertake 30 - year government bonds worth 484 billion yuan. For 5 - year and 10 - year bonds, the supportable scales are 2.0612 trillion yuan and 968.9 billion yuan respectively. If the regulatory indicator is raised by 2%, the supportable incremental scales for 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year government bonds are 4.1225 trillion yuan, 1.9379 trillion yuan, and 968 billion yuan respectively [3][24][26]. - **Supplementing Primary Capital with Special Treasury Bonds**: This year, 50 billion yuan of special treasury bonds have been issued to support state - owned large - scale banks to supplement capital. If Agricultural Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank each have 25 billion yuan of primary capital increase next year, based on the △EVE/primary capital regulatory requirement of 15%, the △EVE released by the 50 billion yuan of supplementary primary capital can support large - scale banks to undertake incremental scales of 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year government bonds of 1.0166 trillion yuan, 477.9 billion yuan, and 238.7 billion yuan respectively. It is less likely to raise the regulatory threshold of "ΔEVE/primary capital" in IRRBB, while it is more likely to lower the interest rate shock amplitude and issue additional special treasury bonds to supplement capital. After these measures, the pressure on IRRBB in 2026 is expected to be alleviated compared to this year [3][4][28].
农业银行(601288) - 农业银行董事会审计委员会工作规则(2025年修订)


2025-12-26 11:17
第二条 本行董事会设审计委员会(以下简称"委员会")。 委员会依照法律法规、监管规定、本行章程和本规则履行职责, 主要负责对董事、高级管理人员执行职务的行为进行监督,审核 财务信息及其披露、监督及评估内外部审计工作和内部控制等, 并履行《公司法》规定的监事会职权。 第二章 组成 第三条 委员会应当由 3 名以上董事组成,其中独立董事应 占多数。委员会委员应当为不在本行担任高级管理人员的董事, 并应具备财务、审计、会计或法律等某一方面的专业知识和工作 1 经验。职工董事可以成为审计委员会成员。 中国农业银行股份有限公司董事会 审计委员会工作规则 (2025 年修订) 第一章 总则 第一条 为规范中国农业银行股份有限公司(以下简称"本 行")董事会决策机制,完善本行公司治理,根据《中华人民共 和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国 商业银行法》、《中国农业银行股份有限公司章程》(以下简称 "本行章程")、《中国农业银行股份有限公司董事会议事规则》 及其他有关法律法规、监管规定,制定本规则。 委员会设主席 1 名,由独立董事中会计专业人士担任,主持 委员会工作。委员会可设副主席 1 名,配合主席开 ...
农业银行(601288) - 农业银行董事会决议公告


2025-12-26 11:15
证券代码:601288 证券简称:农业银行 公告编号:临 2025-058 号 中国农业银行股份有限公司 董事会决议公告 中国农业银行股份有限公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚 假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法 律责任。 中国农业银行股份有限公司(以下简称"本行")董事会于2025 年12月18日以书面形式发出会议通知,于2025年12月26日在北京以 现场方式召开会议。会议应出席董事13名,亲自出席董事11名,林 立董事、庄毓敏董事由于其他公务安排,分别书面委托王志恒副董 事长、汪昌云董事出席会议并代为行使表决权。会议召开符合法律 法规、《中国农业银行股份有限公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章 程》")及《中国农业银行股份有限公司董事会议事规则》的规定。 会议由谷澍董事长主持,审议并通过了以下议案: 一、中国农业银行股份有限公司2024年度董事薪酬标准方案 谷澍先生、王志恒先生、林立先生、吴联生先生、汪昌云先生 和鞠建东先生与审议事项存在利害关系,回避表决。 议案表决情况:有效表决票7票,同意7票,反对0票,弃权0票。 本议案已经本行董事会提名与薪酬委员会审议 ...
谁是银行贵金属之王?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 10:11
Core Viewpoint - The global market is experiencing a rare super cycle in precious metals, driven by a reassessment of the dollar's credibility and real demand from new industrial revolutions such as AI and hydrogen energy [2][24]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of December 24, spot gold reached $4500 per ounce, with international silver and platinum increasing over 140% for the year [2][24]. - The demand for precious metals has shifted from traditional safe-haven assets to being driven by monetary credit, geopolitical factors, and green technology [10][34]. Group 2: Banking Sector Adjustments - Major banks like ICBC, CCB, and CITIC are cleaning up personal precious metal accounts that have been inactive, indicating a strategic shift towards focusing on quality clients rather than quantity [3][26]. - This move is not a retreat but a strategic adjustment to enhance service quality, risk control, and long-term trust [27][36]. Group 3: Asset Growth and Competition - By Q3 2025, ICBC led the market with precious metal assets of 385.43 billion yuan, followed by Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, all surpassing 100 billion yuan [29][31]. - The growth in precious metal assets is built on a solid foundation from 2024, with ICBC showing consistent expansion from 254.30 billion yuan in Q1 to 385.43 billion yuan in Q3 2025 [32][33]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices may reach $4900 per ounce by 2026, with several financial institutions forecasting gold to potentially hit $5000 per ounce [21][41]. - The competition in the precious metals sector will focus on compliance, customer trust, and long-term strategies, with the true "king of precious metals" being the bank that retains the most engaged and trusting clients after account clean-ups [42].
商业银行出海,谁在悄然发力
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-26 09:17
Core Viewpoint - Chinese banks are expanding their global presence, establishing a comprehensive service network that supports domestic enterprises going abroad, particularly in emerging markets along the Belt and Road Initiative [1][2]. Group 1: Global Expansion Strategy - Chinese banks are transitioning from focusing primarily on traditional markets in Europe and the US to diversifying their operations in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America [1]. - The overseas expansion strategy of Chinese banks has evolved from rapid growth through new branches and acquisitions before 2019 to a more focused approach on strategic value and risk control since 2020 [11]. Group 2: Bank Performance and Revenue - As of June 2025, Bank of China leads with 783.13 billion yuan in overseas revenue, marking a 14.4% increase from the previous year, with overseas revenue accounting for 23.77% of its total [14]. - Agricultural Bank of China reported a 21.03% increase in overseas revenue, while Construction Bank's overseas revenue grew by 40.92% [14][15]. - In contrast, Everbright Bank experienced a 12.72% decline in overseas revenue, indicating varying performance among banks [16]. Group 3: Regional Distribution and Focus - The distribution of overseas institutions varies among banks, with Bank of China having the most extensive network, followed by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which has a significant presence in 49 countries [4][5]. - Joint-stock banks tend to focus their internationalization efforts on key financial hubs like Hong Kong and London, aiming for niche markets in cross-border finance and wealth management [9]. Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - Chinese banks face challenges in compliance with differing regulatory environments, cultural integration, and brand recognition in international markets [18]. - The demand for diversified financial services is increasing among Chinese enterprises going abroad, with a shift towards high-value industries and a need for localized services [19][20]. Group 5: Future Directions - To enhance competitiveness, Chinese banks must focus on global collaboration, local market adaptation, compliance risk management, and financial technology innovation [22]. - The future of internationalization for Chinese banks will hinge on their ability to create value in a complex global environment, moving from broad network expansion to deep operational excellence [22].
国有大型银行板块12月26日跌0.71%,建设银行领跌,主力资金净流出5.13亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-12-26 09:07
证券之星消息,12月26日国有大型银行板块较上一交易日下跌0.71%,建设银行领跌。当日上证指数报 收于3963.68,上涨0.1%。深证成指报收于13603.89,上涨0.54%。国有大型银行板块个股涨跌见下表: 从资金流向上来看,当日国有大型银行板块主力资金净流出5.13亿元,游资资金净流入1.74亿元,散户资 金净流入3.39亿元。国有大型银行板块个股资金流向见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入 (元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601939 建设银行 | | > 664.58万 | 1.04% | 494.59万 | 0.77% | -1159.17万 | -1.82% | | 601658 邮储银行 | | -2904.10万 | -6.75% | 643.13万 | 1.50% | 2260.97万 | 5.26% | | 601988 中国银行 | | -5258.09万 | -6.06% | 2974.07万 ...
王青山,被查!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-26 09:00
【导读】中国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山接受纪律审查和监察调查 金融反腐,又有新消息! 12月26日,中央纪委国家监委官网通报:中国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行 纪检监察组纪律审查和山东省滨州市监委监察调查。 近年来,农业银行反腐工作持续深入。今年以来,农业银行旗下已有多名干部被查,包括内蒙古自治区分行副巡视员姜文俊,深圳市分行原党委副书记、 副行长王国彪,河北省分行原党委委员、副行长陈元良,原首席专家兼浙江省分行原党委书记、行长冯建龙,数据中心原党委委员、纪委书记林鹏等。 今年9月,农业银行通报中央巡视整改进展情况时提到,加大正风肃纪反腐力度,紧盯关键少数和重点领域,持续完善内控案防机制。坚持风腐同查同 治,一体推进不敢腐、不能腐、不想腐。 公开信息显示,王青山曾在农业银行工作多年,曾任贵州省分行党委书记、行长,总行资产负债管理部总经理,农银国际董事等职务。 2014年,王青山曾以农行贵州省分行行长的身份接受媒体采访称,在服务龙头企业的过程中,农行可以借助各种农业产业政策决策机构的信息,并结合自 身掌握的各个领域上下游的产业信息,为龙 ...
王青山,被查!
中国基金报· 2025-12-26 08:51
【导读】中国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山接受纪律审查和监察调查 中国基金报记者 晨曦 金融反腐,又有新消息! 2014 年,王青山曾以农行贵州省分行行长的身份接受媒体采访称,在服务龙头企业的过程 中,农行可以借助各种农业产业政策决策机构的信息,并结合自身掌握的各个领域上下游的 产业信息,为龙头企业提供发展建议。 2019 年,王青山作为中国农业银行资产负债管理部总经理,曾率队前往贵州某地,就金融扶 贫工作进行专题调研。 2020 年,王青山参与拜访某贵阳企业时,其身份为 " 农业银行全资 子公司农银国际董事 " 。 近年来,农业银行反腐工作持续深入。今年以来,农业银行旗下已有多名干部被查,包括内 蒙古自治区分行副巡视员姜文俊,深圳市分行原党委副书记、副行长王国彪,河北省分行原 党委委员、副行长陈元良,原首席专家兼浙江省分行原党委书记、行长冯建龙,数据中心原 党委委员、纪委书记林鹏等。 12 月 26 日,中央纪委国家监委官网通报:中国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山涉 嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行纪检监察组纪律审查和山东 省滨州市监委监察调查。 公开信息显示,王青山曾在 ...
农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山被查
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 07:14
12月26日金融一线消息,据中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委消息:中国 农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业 银行纪检监察组纪律审查和山东省滨州市监委监察调查。 责任编辑:秦艺 12月26日金融一线消息,据中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委消息:中国 农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业 银行纪检监察组纪律审查和山东省滨州市监委监察调查。 责任编辑:秦艺 ...
中国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山接受纪律审查和监察调查
Zhong Yang Ji Wei Guo Jia Jian Wei Wang Zhan· 2025-12-26 07:09
(中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委) 中央纪委国家监委网站讯 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国农业银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委消息:中 国农业银行资产负债管理部原总经理王青山涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国农 业银行纪检监察组纪律审查和山东省滨州市监委监察调查。 ...