Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Bank reported steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a focus on expanding its asset scale and enhancing its financial services to support regional economic development [1][2][3] Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Chengdu Bank achieved operating income of 17.761 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 520 million yuan, representing a growth rate of 3.01% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 9.493 billion yuan, up by 454 million yuan, with a growth rate of 5.03% [1] - The bank's net interest income for the first three quarters was 14.725 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, and a quarterly growth of 9.5% [1][3] Asset Growth - Chengdu Bank's total assets reached nearly 1.39 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 135.139 billion yuan, or 10.81% [1][2] - Total deposits amounted to 986.432 billion yuan, up by 100.573 billion yuan, with an increase of 11.35% [1] - The total loan amount was 847.481 billion yuan, showing a growth of 104.913 billion yuan, or 14.13% [1] Loan Structure and Strategy - The bank's loan growth was primarily driven by corporate lending, with a year-to-date increase of 16.2% as of September 2025 [2] - Chengdu Bank has focused on supporting key industries in Sichuan and Chengdu, achieving 100% coverage of major industrial chains [2] - The bank has developed 20 specialized products for small and micro enterprises, addressing their needs throughout their lifecycle [2] Operational Efficiency - Chengdu Bank's net interest margin is stabilizing, with expectations of improved performance as long-term deposits are repriced [3] - Basic earnings per share for the first three quarters were 2.99 yuan, with an annualized return on assets (ROA) of 0.96% and a return on equity (ROE) of 15.20% [3] Asset Quality - The bank maintained a non-performing loan ratio of 0.68%, indicating strong asset quality compared to industry standards [3] - The provision coverage ratio stood at 433.08%, demonstrating robust risk resistance capabilities [3] Future Outlook - Chengdu Bank is planning a new round of strategic development, focusing on sustainable growth and diversifying its business model to include retail assets and wealth management [3]

Core Insights - Green finance has transitioned from an optional choice to a mandatory requirement for the banking industry, serving as a new engine for strategic transformation and a blue ocean market for future growth [1] - The balance of green financing at Industrial Bank has reached nearly 2.5 trillion yuan, with green loans exceeding 1 trillion yuan and a non-performing loan rate of only 0.57% [1] - The People's Bank of China and other departments have issued a unified policy framework for green finance, effective from October 1, 2025, to standardize various financial products [2] Group 1: Green Credit Growth - As of the end of 2024, the total balance of green credit among 42 A-share listed banks exceeded 27 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 20% [3] - State-owned banks dominate the green credit market, with the six major state-owned banks accounting for over 21 trillion yuan, representing 77.6% of the total [3] - Industrial Bank's green loan balance has risen to 1.08 trillion yuan, joining the "trillion club" [3] Group 2: Performance and Sector Focus - The average growth rate of green credit for A-share listed banks in 2024 was 20.6%, a slowdown from approximately 28% in 2023, yet leading institutions maintained strong growth [4] - The focus of green credit issuance is concentrated in four key areas: clean energy, green transportation, energy conservation and environmental protection, and green buildings [4] - The Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle are identified as core regions for green credit [4] Group 3: Product Innovation - A-share listed banks are deepening innovation in green financial products, creating a multi-dimensional product system that includes loans, bonds, asset securitization, insurance, and carbon finance [5] - Sustainable Development Linked Loans (SLL), carbon emission rights pledge financing, and environmental rights collateral loans are gaining traction [5] - Industrial Bank has launched the first green loan with biodiversity protection insurance, while Bohai Bank introduced a green loan linked to data center energy efficiency [6] Group 4: Broader Financial Tools - The issuance of green bonds has expanded, with the cumulative issuance of labeled green bonds in 2024 surpassing 4 trillion yuan [6] - Banks are actively participating in green wealth management and fund products, enhancing investor engagement through innovative offerings [6] - Carbon finance tools are transitioning from pilot programs to broader applications, with various banks introducing carbon emission rights pledge financing products [6] Group 5: Future Directions - The banking industry is expected to continue innovating green financial products to support sustainable economic development, moving beyond traditional green credit [7] - The development of ESG-linked loans and financing models using carbon emission rights as collateral will be explored [7] - These innovations will not only assist in achieving national carbon reduction goals but also cultivate new growth momentum for banks [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" rating for the banking sector [1][4]. Core Views - As of the end of October, 42 listed banks reported a 1.5% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, an improvement of 0.7 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [4][9]. - The report highlights a continued recovery in profitability, driven by a rebound in interest income and non-interest income [4][10]. - The report anticipates that the positive signals from interest margin and non-interest income will persist into the fourth quarter of 2025, with a focus on the impact of policies aimed at reducing competition and the quality of retail assets [15][4]. Summary by Sections Profitability Analysis - The net interest income for the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, while non-interest income from fees and commissions grew by 4.6% [10][6]. - The report notes that the profitability of individual banks varies, with some banks like Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Agricultural Bank of China showing significant growth rates of 10.2% and 3.0% respectively [4][9]. Operational Breakdown - Total asset growth for the 42 listed banks was 9.3% year-on-year, with loan growth at 7.7% and deposit growth at 7.9% [22][4]. - The annualized net interest margin for the third quarter was stable at 1.36%, with a decrease in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [4][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift towards reallocation rather than trading, emphasizing the importance of structural changes in funding flows that support valuation recovery in the banking sector [6][4]. - Specific banks such as Chengdu Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Suzhou Bank are highlighted for their regional advantages and potential for continued profit growth [6][4].

Core Insights - A total of 77 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net inflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more as of November 5, with Cambricon Technologies (寒武纪-U) leading with 50 days of continuous inflow [1] - The total net inflow of main funds for Cambricon Technologies reached 6.325 billion yuan, followed by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank with a net inflow of 777 million yuan over five days [1] - In terms of the proportion of net inflow to trading volume, *ST Baoying ranks first, with a 47.72% increase over the past eight days [1] Summary by Category Stocks with Continuous Net Inflows - Cambricon Technologies (688256) has seen net inflows for 50 days totaling 6.325 billion yuan, with a price increase of 44.33% [1] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (600000) recorded net inflows of 777 million yuan over five days, with a price increase of 0.42% [1] - CITIC Bank (601998) had net inflows of 439 million yuan over six days, with a price increase of 3.85% [1] Notable Performers - *ST Baoying had the highest net inflow ratio, with a significant price increase of 47.72% over the last eight days [1] - Other notable stocks include Jiangsu Bank (600919) with a net inflow of 342 million yuan and a price increase of 5.70%, and Yaxing Anchor Chain (601890) with a net inflow of 331 million yuan and a price increase of 10.16% [1] Additional Stocks with Inflows - Other stocks with notable net inflows include: - China Shenhua (601088) with 314 million yuan and a 3.42% increase [1] - Haotian Co., Ltd. (603759) with 166 million yuan and a 64.35% increase over 11 days [1] - Microelectronic Physiology (688351) with 140 million yuan and a 12.94% increase [1]

Market Performance - The city commercial bank sector increased by 0.12% on November 5, with Ningbo Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3969.25, up 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13223.56, up 0.37% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Ningbo Bank (002142) closed at 29.09, up 0.83% with a trading volume of 306,800 shares and a transaction value of 894 million [1] - Nanjing Bank (6000000) closed at 11.65, up 0.60%, with a trading volume of 555,100 shares and a transaction value of 648 million [1] - Shanghai Bank (601229) closed at 10.04, up 0.50%, with a trading volume of 842,000 shares [1] - Other notable performances include Chengdu Bank (601838) at 17.06, up 0.35%, and Hangzhou Bank (600926) at 16.02, up 0.12% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 52.36 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 89.18 million [2] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 142 million from speculative funds [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Banks - Jiangsu Bank (600919) had a net inflow of 63.74 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 46.26 million from speculative funds [3] - Chengdu Bank (601838) reported a net inflow of 63.42 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 57.05 million from speculative funds [3] - Ningbo Bank (002142) had a net inflow of 5.72 million from institutional investors but a significant net outflow of 43.57 million from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, indicating a potential return to a valuation of 1 times net asset value [4][7]. Core Insights - The banking sector has demonstrated steady performance, with a year-to-date revenue growth of 0.8% and a net profit growth of 1.5% for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a stable regulatory environment supporting bank profitability [10][14]. - The report highlights a shift in focus from scale to balance in credit growth, with banks increasingly pursuing a "quantity-price balance" strategy [4][7]. - The cost of liabilities has improved more significantly than the decline in asset pricing, leading to a stabilization of net interest margins, which is expected to continue into the next year [4][7]. - Asset quality remains stable but shows signs of divergence, particularly with rising risks in small and micro businesses [4][7]. - The report suggests that the current dividend yield of the banking sector has returned to an attractive range, indicating a significant disconnect between stable earnings and stock holdings, which could lead to a value recovery [4][7]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The banking sector's performance has been characterized by a steady increase in revenue and profit, with state-owned banks showing better-than-expected stability and regional banks leading in performance [11][12][15]. - The report notes that the revenue growth of state-owned banks has turned positive, with non-interest income contributing significantly to this growth [12][15]. Credit Growth and Strategy - The report indicates a gradual abandonment of scale-driven growth, with banks focusing on achieving a balance between volume and pricing in their lending practices [4][7]. - The credit growth rate for listed banks decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 7.7% in Q3 2025, with state-owned banks maintaining a growth rate of approximately 8.5% [4][7]. Profitability and Asset Quality - The net interest margin for listed banks remained stable at 1.5%, with a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 3 basis points in Q3 2025 [4][7]. - The overall non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.22%, indicating manageable risk levels across the sector [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading banks and undervalued regional banks as key investment opportunities, suggesting that the recovery in valuations is supported by stable earnings and attractive dividend yields [4][7].

- The "Expected High Dividend Portfolio" model is constructed using a two-stage process: first, calculating the dividend yield based on annual report profit distribution data, and second, predicting and calculating the dividend yield using historical dividend data and fundamental indicators. Additionally, two short-term factors, the reversal factor and the profitability factor, are used to assist in stock selection. The portfolio is optimized within the CSI 300 constituents, holding 30 stocks per period and rebalancing monthly[3][8][13] - The stock selection process for the "Expected High Dividend Portfolio" involves: (1) excluding suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituents, (2) removing the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (21-day cumulative returns), (3) excluding stocks with declining profitability (quarterly net profit growth rate < 0), and (4) ranking the remaining stocks by expected dividend yield and selecting the top 30 stocks to construct an equally weighted portfolio[9][13] - The backtesting results of the "Expected High Dividend Portfolio" from February 2, 2009, to August 31, 2017, show a cumulative return of 358.90% relative to the CSI 300 Total Return Index, with a cumulative excess return of 107.44%. The annualized excess return is 8.87%, the maximum rolling one-year drawdown of excess return is 12.26%, and the monthly excess win rate is 60.19%[11] - In October 2025, the "Expected High Dividend Portfolio" achieved an average return of 5.47%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 5.93% and the CSI Dividend Index by 2.50% during the same period[3][14][19]

Core Insights - Chengdu Bank's Q3 2025 report highlights its robust asset quality and strategic positioning as a key financial support for the construction of the Western Financial Center and the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle [1][2]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - Chengdu Bank maintains a low non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.68% and a provision coverage ratio of 433.08%, placing it in the top tier of the banking industry [2]. - The bank's NPL ratio has remained at a historical low of 0.66% for six consecutive quarters, with a provision coverage ratio of 452.65%, significantly exceeding industry averages [2]. - The bank employs a refined risk control system, utilizing a comprehensive industry research framework and intelligent risk control technologies to predict and manage credit risks effectively [2]. - As of September, the bank's capital adequacy ratios are well above regulatory requirements, with a core Tier 1 capital ratio of 8.77%, Tier 1 capital ratio of 10.52%, and total capital ratio of 14.39% [2]. Credit Investment and Regional Development - Chengdu Bank's credit issuance aligns with the national policy to enhance financial support for the real economy, with total assets reaching 1.385 trillion yuan, a 10.81% increase year-on-year [3]. - The bank's loan and advance total reached 847.48 billion yuan, growing 14.13% from the previous year, thus contributing significantly to regional credit growth [3]. - The bank's deposits totaled 986.43 billion yuan, with an increase of 100.57 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 11.35% [3]. Strategic Development and Growth - Chengdu Bank's strategic layout is closely aligned with the Chengdu-Chongqing financial collaboration policies, focusing on expanding its core business areas while developing new growth avenues [4]. - The bank has seen explosive growth in its cross-regional business, with over 30% of new deposits and loans coming from this segment, including personal deposits surpassing 100 billion yuan [4]. - The retail banking sector has shown significant progress, with over 5 million mobile banking users and a notable increase in personal consumption loans, reflecting a strong alignment with macroeconomic policies [4]. National Strategy and Financial Services - Chengdu Bank integrates its development with national strategies, focusing on technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance [5][6]. - The bank has provided substantial funding for major projects, including over 45 billion yuan in special bonds and more than 16 billion yuan for local infrastructure [6]. - The bank's focus on key industries and innovative financial products has led to significant loan issuance to strategic emerging industries, with over 80% coverage for specialized enterprises [6]. Future Outlook - Chengdu Bank aims to leverage opportunities from the Western Financial Center and the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle, focusing on high-quality development and expanding its business footprint [7].

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 3977.20 points, slightly above the annual line with a change of 0.02% [1] - A total trading volume of A-shares reached 929.27 billion yuan today [1] - 30 A-shares have surpassed the annual line, with notable stocks showing significant deviation rates [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Dahua Intelligent (002512) has the highest deviation rate at 9.08%, with a daily increase of 10.04% and a turnover rate of 16.96% [1] - Zhongmin Energy (600163) follows with a deviation rate of 6.19%, increasing by 9.96% today [1] - Fujian Expressway (600033) shows a 4.40% deviation rate with a daily increase of 5.03% [1] Trading Activity - The total trading volume of A-shares today is 929.27 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1] - Stocks like Chengdu Bank (601838) and Zhejiang Dingli (603338) have lower deviation rates, just above the annual line [1][2] Notable Stocks - Other stocks with significant performance include Maike Audi (300341) with a 3.58% deviation rate and a daily increase of 5.68% [1] - Stocks with minor deviations include Chongqing Water (601158) and Zhejiang Dingli (603338), both showing minimal changes [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [2] Core Viewpoints - The banking sector shows resilience better than expected, with a focus on strong fundamentals and quality dividends driving core profit improvement [6][15] - The annualized non-performing loan generation rate for listed banks is 0.55%, down 13 basis points from Q2 2025, indicating a marginal decline in non-performing loan generation across all types of banks [6] - The report suggests focusing on two main directions for investment: high-quality fundamentals that may recover valuation premiums as market risk appetite increases, and stable high-dividend stocks [6][15] Summary by Sections Operating Overview - In the first nine months of 2025, listed banks' revenue and net profit grew by 0.9% and 1.5% year-on-year, respectively, with revenue growth slightly declining due to bond market volatility affecting non-interest income [15][24] - The net interest margin for listed banks was 1.41%, remaining stable compared to the first half of 2025, driven by a continuous decline in funding costs [15][25] Profitability Breakdown - The net interest income of listed banks decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, but various types of banks showed improvement in net interest income, particularly city commercial banks [25] - Non-interest income from wealth management and commission fees increased by 4.6% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in capital markets [16][25] Asset and Liability Insights - Total assets and liabilities of listed banks grew by 9.3% year-on-year, maintaining steady expansion [17] - Loan growth remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, while deposits grew by 7.8%, indicating a slight decline in deposit growth rate [10][17] Risk Perspective - The overall non-performing loan ratio for listed banks was stable at 1.23%, with a provision coverage ratio of 236%, indicating solid asset quality [11][15] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in bank performance, with a focus on quality banks that exhibit strong resilience [6][15]