Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks are actively rising in a bearish market, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts due to worsening employment conditions in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Gold Stocks Performance - Zhumeng Gold (01815) increased by 4.71%, closing at 2 HKD [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) rose by 2.37%, closing at 32.82 HKD [1] - China National Gold International (02099) gained 1.86%, closing at 131.1 HKD [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) went up by 1.61%, closing at 32.9 HKD [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) increased by 1.58%, closing at 29.56 HKD [1] Group 2: U.S. Employment Data - In October, the U.S. non-farm employment decreased by 9,100, compared to an increase of 33,000 in the previous month [1] - The number of layoffs reported by Challenger Companies in October reached 153,100, a year-on-year increase of 175.3%, marking the highest level for the same period since 2003 [1] Group 3: Interest Rate Expectations - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in December exceeds 70%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool [1] - CITIC Futures emphasizes the importance of the trading window in December, suggesting potential discussions around next year's interest rate cuts [1] - The nomination of a new Federal Reserve chair is expected to be confirmed before Christmas, which may introduce risks related to independence and could act as a bullish driver [1] Group 4: Long-term Outlook for Gold - Long-term factors such as excessive debt and de-globalization are driving the decline of the dollar's credit [1] - Gold is viewed as a preferred asset to hedge against dollar credit risk, with a sustained trend of global central banks purchasing gold [1] - The long-term price center for gold is expected to maintain an upward trajectory [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive," indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 5% over the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The new tax policy on gold, effective from November 1, 2025, introduces a differentiated VAT system based on the purpose of gold usage, which is expected to reshape the industry landscape [2][3]. - The policy aims to enhance regulatory oversight and prevent tax evasion through a "firewall" mechanism that restricts the transfer of tax credits [3]. - The impact of the new tax policy is expected to increase costs for gold jewelry retailers and shift market dynamics towards larger trading platforms [4][7]. Summary by Sections Tax Policy Changes - The new tax classification divides gold transactions into "investment purposes" and "non-investment purposes," with different VAT treatments [2]. - For on-exchange transactions, VAT exemption applies only to non-physical delivery trades, while physical delivery is taxed based on usage [3]. - Non-investment gold incurs a 13% VAT, significantly affecting cost structures for businesses [3]. Impact on Industry Segments - Gold jewelry retailers face increased costs due to reduced VAT deductions, leading to potential price hikes for consumers [4]. - The market response has been negative, with gold jewelry stocks dropping over 4% in the first week following the announcement [4]. - Industrial gold users are expected to increase their use of hedging tools due to rising costs [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading members of the exchange, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, which are expected to benefit from cost advantages and high compliance barriers [8]. - Investment in gold ETFs is recommended as they are exempt from VAT, providing a way to avoid tax disruptions [8]. - Long-term prospects favor larger mining companies benefiting from market share increases due to the exit of smaller players [8].

Core Viewpoint - Longking Environmental announced that Zijin Mining and its concerted parties plan to issue up to 168 million shares to specific targets at a price of 11.91 yuan per share, with Zijin Mining committing to invest no more than 2 billion yuan to subscribe for all shares issued in this round [1] Group 1 - The issuance of shares will result in Zijin Mining and its concerted parties holding more than 30% of the listed company's shares, triggering the mandatory tender offer obligations under the Regulations on the Management of Acquisitions of Listed Companies [1] - Zijin Mining has committed that the shares obtained from this issuance will not be transferred for 36 months from the completion of the issuance [1]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生26笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为22.53亿元。该股近5个交易日累 计下跌1.08%，主力资金合计净流出6.65亿元。 11月7日，紫金矿业收涨1.58%，收盘价为30.17元，发生2笔大宗交易，合计成交量960万股，成交金额 2.9亿元。 第1笔成交价格为30.17元，成交360.00万股，成交金额10,861.20万元，溢价率为0.00%，买方营业部为 机构专用，卖方营业部为机构专用。 第2笔成交价格为30.17元，成交600.00万股，成交金额18,102.00万元，溢价率为0.00%，买方营业部为 申万宏源证券有限公司国际部，卖方营业部为机构专用。 责任编辑：小浪快报 ...

Core Points - The State-Owned Enterprise Reform Index (399974) closed at 1916.43 points, down 0.1% with a trading volume of 135.68 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.7% [1] - Among the index constituents, 43 stocks rose while 56 fell, with Wanhua Chemical leading the gainers at a 5.79% increase and Shenzhen South Circuit leading the decliners at a 3.36% decrease [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the State-Owned Enterprise Reform Index include: - Zijin Mining: 3.60% weight, latest price 30.17 yuan, market cap 801.84 billion yuan, sector: Non-ferrous metals [1] - Changjiang Electric Power: 2.90% weight, latest price 28.52 yuan, market cap 697.83 billion yuan, sector: Utilities [1] - CITIC Securities: 2.90% weight, latest price 29.00 yuan, market cap 429.80 billion yuan, sector: Non-banking financial [1] - Taihai Chemical: 2.89% weight, latest price 19.70 yuan, market cap 347.29 billion yuan, sector: Non-banking financial [1] - China Merchants Bank: 2.80% weight, latest price 42.51 yuan, market cap 1072.10 billion yuan, sector: Banking [1] - Xingye Bank: 2.74% weight, latest price 21.17 yuan, market cap 448.02 billion yuan, sector: Banking [1] - North Huachuang: 2.73% weight, latest price 413.75 yuan, market cap 299.71 billion yuan, sector: Electronics [1] - Wrigley: 2.68% weight, latest price 116.75 yuan, market cap 453.18 billion yuan, sector: Food and Beverage [1] - China Shipbuilding: 2.52% weight, latest price 35.81 yuan, market cap 269.49 billion yuan, sector: Defense and Military [1] - Zhongke: 2.42% weight, latest price 111.16 yuan, market cap 162.64 billion yuan, sector: Computer [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 4.52 billion yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 2.98 billion yuan [1] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in Wanhua Chemical, TCL Zhonghuan, and China Satellite, while significant outflows were noted in China Chemical and China Unicom [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant block trading activity on November 7, with a total transaction value of 2.474 billion yuan, highlighting the trading dynamics of key stocks such as Ningde Times and Zijin Mining [1] Group 1: Trading Activity - A total of 77 stocks underwent block trading, with a combined transaction value of 2.474 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by transaction value were Ningde Times (506 million yuan), Zijin Mining (290 million yuan), and Zhongwei Company (282 million yuan) [1] - Among the stocks, 21 were traded at par value, 4 at a premium, and 52 at a discount [1] Group 2: Premium and Discount Rates - The stocks with the highest premium rates included Beijing Bank (10.23%), Hongwei Technology (2.34%), and Lite-On Technology (0.48%) [1] - The stocks with the highest discount rates were Yinuowei (31.74%), Longzhu Technology (30.14%), and Yingtai Biology (24.71%) [1] Group 3: Institutional Trading - The top institutional buy positions were led by Ningde Times (506 million yuan) and Zijin Mining (109 million yuan), followed by Zhangyuan Tungsten (76.63 million yuan) and others [2] - The top institutional sell positions mirrored the buy activity, with Ningde Times (506 million yuan) and Zijin Mining (290 million yuan) leading the sell side [2]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks are actively rising against the market backdrop, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts due to worsening employment conditions in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Gold Stock Performance - Zifeng Gold (01815) increased by 4.71%, closing at 2 HKD - Zijin Mining (02899) rose by 2.37%, closing at 32.82 HKD - China Gold International (02099) gained 1.86%, closing at 131.1 HKD - Shandong Gold (01787) went up by 1.61%, closing at 32.9 HKD - Zhaojin Mining (01818) increased by 1.58%, closing at 29.56 HKD [1] Group 2: U.S. Employment Data - In October, U.S. non-farm employment decreased by 9,100, compared to an increase of 33,000 in the previous month - The number of layoffs reported by Challenger Companies in October reached 153,100, a year-on-year surge of 175.3%, marking the highest level for the same period since 2003 [1] Group 3: Interest Rate Expectations - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates again in December exceeds 70%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool - Focus is on the trading window period in December, with potential discussions on rate cuts for the following year [1] Group 4: Long-term Outlook for Gold - Long-term factors such as excessive debt issuance and de-globalization are driving down the credit of the U.S. dollar - Gold is viewed as a preferred asset to hedge against U.S. dollar credit risk, with a sustained trend of global central banks purchasing gold - The long-term price center for gold is expected to maintain an upward trajectory [1]

Summary of Zijin Mining Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining Group - **Industry**: Mining (Copper and Gold) - **Headquarters**: China - **Market Cap**: US$107.469 billion as of November 5, 2025 - **Stock Ratings**: Overweight (OW) for both H and A shares with price targets of HK$46.1 and Rmb42.2 respectively [1][8][52] Key Industry Insights - **Copper and Gold Market**: The current market for copper and gold is characterized by supply disruptions and rising prices, making Zijin Mining a standout choice among copper stocks [3][12][56] - **Production Growth**: Zijin expects copper production to reach 115,000 tonnes in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% from 2025 to 2028. Gold production is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.3% [3][53] Financial Performance - **Cost Control**: Zijin has maintained low exploration costs, averaging US$11.7 per ounce of gold, significantly below the industry average of US$32.3 per ounce. Mining costs have also decreased from US$38.7 per tonne in 2022 to US$31.3 in 2023 [4][54] - **Revenue and Profitability**: Projected revenues for 2025 are Rmb354.239 million, with net income expected to reach Rmb52.385 million. The company has a P/E ratio of 11.0 for 2025, which is attractive compared to peers [8][32][61] Market Outlook - **Bullish Commodity Outlook**: The commodities team forecasts copper prices to rise due to supply disruptions, with a projected deficit of 230,000 tonnes in 2025 and 590,000 tonnes in 2026. Gold prices are expected to rebound to US$4,500 per ounce by mid-2026 [5][57][59] - **Geopolitical Factors**: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and the trend towards de-dollarization are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [55][58] Investment Drivers - **M&A Activity**: Recent mergers and acquisitions in gold, lithium, and molybdenum projects are expected to enhance Zijin's growth potential and diversify its portfolio [22][23] - **Sustainable Growth Model**: The company employs an "acquisition — exploration — reserve expansion" model, which has proven effective in achieving sustainable operational growth [3][53] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: Stronger copper prices driven by robust demand or continued supply disruptions could benefit Zijin. Additionally, project ramp-ups and untapped resources present further growth opportunities [56][59] - **Downside Risks**: Potential risks include weaker copper prices due to economic downturns, project execution failures, and geopolitical disruptions that could impact production [56][59] Valuation - **Attractive Valuation**: Zijin's valuation is considered attractive compared to peers, with a projected P/E of 11.2x for 2026, lower than the average of ~13x for other copper miners [6][61][60] Conclusion Zijin Mining Group is positioned favorably within the copper and gold markets, with strong production growth, effective cost control, and a positive outlook for commodity prices. The company's strategic M&A activities and sustainable growth model further enhance its investment appeal.

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining experienced a significant block trade on November 6, with a transaction volume of 7.3 million shares and a transaction value of 217 million yuan, indicating active trading interest in the stock [2] Group 1: Block Trade Details - The block trade price was 29.70 yuan, which is equal to the closing price on the same day, showing no premium or discount [2] - The buyer was Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. headquarters, while the seller was an institutional proprietary account [2] - In the last three months, Zijin Mining has recorded a total of 24 block trades, with a cumulative transaction value of 1.964 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Stock Performance Metrics - On the day of the block trade, Zijin Mining's closing price was 29.70 yuan, reflecting a 2.38% increase [2] - The stock had a turnover rate of 0.87%, with a total trading volume of 5.282 billion yuan for the day [2] - Over the past five days, the stock has seen a cumulative decline of 4.53%, with a net outflow of 729 million yuan [2] Group 3: Margin Financing Data - The latest margin financing balance for Zijin Mining is 6.881 billion yuan, which has decreased by 281 million yuan over the past five days, representing a decline of 3.93% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The fundraising amount through private placements in the A-share market has significantly increased this year, with financial stocks leading the way in terms of capital raised [2]. Group 1: Fundraising Statistics - As of November 3, 2023, 140 companies have raised a total of 812.37 billion yuan through private placements, marking a 23% increase in the number of companies and a 5.4 times increase in the amount raised compared to the previous year [2]. - Among the top 10 companies by fundraising amount, 6 are financial institutions, highlighting the dominance of this sector in the private placement market [2]. - Four major state-owned banks, including China Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and others, have raised over 100 billion yuan each through private placements, contributing significantly to the overall market size [2]. Group 2: Specific Company Fundraising - China Bank raised 165 billion yuan, Postal Savings Bank 130 billion yuan, Traffic Bank 120 billion yuan, and Construction Bank 105 billion yuan through private placements [2]. - The successful completion of fundraising by these banks indicates a substantial breakthrough in their plans to supplement core Tier 1 capital through the capital market [2]. Group 3: Use of Funds - Companies are utilizing the funds raised through private placements for various purposes, including asset acquisitions and operational funding [3]. - For instance, AVIC Chengfei raised 17.439 billion yuan for acquiring 100% equity of AVIC Chengfei, while Sairisi raised 8.164 billion yuan for a new factory and operational funds [3]. - Guolian Securities raised 29.492 billion yuan to acquire 99.26% of Minsheng Securities [3]. Group 4: Policy Support and Market Dynamics - The revival of the private placement market is supported by policy initiatives, including the China Securities Regulatory Commission's new merger and acquisition guidelines [3]. - Local governments have also introduced measures to support corporate mergers and acquisitions, further stimulating the market [3]. Group 5: Notable Cases and Challenges - Some companies have seen significant participation from major shareholders in their private placements, such as Nanfang Electric, which plans to raise up to 2 billion yuan with substantial backing from its controlling shareholder [3]. - However, not all private placements have been successful; for example, GCL-Poly announced the termination of its nearly three-year fundraising plan, originally aimed at raising 4.842 billion yuan, due to market adjustments in the photovoltaic industry [4].