证券代码：601952 证券简称：苏垦农发 公告编号：2026-002 江苏省农垦农业发展股份有限公司 第五届董事会第十五次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 江苏省农垦农业发展股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第五届董事会第十五 次会议通知及议案于 2026 年 3 月 4 日以专人送达或微信方式发出。本次会议由 公司董事长邓国新召集并主持，于 2026 年 3 月 9 日以通讯方式召开。本次会议 应出席董事 8 名，实际出席董事 8 名。本次会议的通知、召开及表决程序符合公 司法、公司章程及董事会议事规则的相关规定。 1 2026 年 3 月 10 日 江苏省农垦农业发展股份有限公司董事会 特此公告。 二、董事会会议审议情况 本次会议审议通过《关于公司 2026 年度投资计划的议案》。 经审议，同意公司 2026 年度投资计划。2026 年度，公司及所属分、子公司 计划股权投资 6.35 亿元、固定资产投资 3.29 亿元；苏垦农服、金太阳粮油在批 准计划内适时开展套期保值业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [2][47]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the pig farming sector is experiencing significant losses, with production capacity reduction accelerating. The geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran is driving up oil prices, which may lead to an increase in agricultural product prices [1][2]. - The report suggests that the period from March to May is traditionally a low demand season for pork, and the supply side is expected to remain ample, indicating that Q2 2026 may represent the peak supply period of the current pig cycle [2][4]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the planting sector due to rising oil prices and the potential for agricultural product prices to rebound after a three-year decline [2][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index rose by 2.1%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 1.1%. The top five gainers included Yasheng Group (39.0%), COFCO Technology (8.4%), Dunhuang Seed Industry (8.2%), Agricultural Development Seed Industry (8.1%), and Shennong Technology (7.4%) [3][10]. - The top five decliners were Biotech Co. (-6.7%), Yong'an Forestry (-6.7%), Dahu Co. (-6.3%), Jinxin Agriculture (-6.0%), and Huisheng Biotech (-5.2%) [3][10]. Pig Farming - The average price of external three yuan pigs as of March 8 was 10.23 CNY/kg, down 0.44 CNY/kg week-on-week, marking a 4.1% decline and the lowest price since October 2021 [2][11]. - Losses for self-breeding sows with 5,000-10,000 heads have increased to 206.3 CNY/head, reflecting a week-on-week increase of approximately 46.7 CNY/head [2][11]. - The report anticipates that the pig price will continue to decline, with a potential second bottoming out phase expected between March and May, leading to a re-initiation of production capacity reduction [2][4]. Planting Sector - The report notes that the escalation of the US-Iran conflict has led to a significant increase in oil prices, which may positively influence agricultural product prices. As of March 6, WTI crude oil prices reached 91 USD/barrel, a 36% increase from before the blockade [2][4]. - The report suggests that major agricultural product prices have been at historical lows after a three-year decline, indicating potential investment opportunities in the planting and seed sectors [2][4]. Poultry and Livestock - The report indicates that the prices of major poultry products have shown slight fluctuations, with the average sales price of white feather chicken at 3.52 CNY/kg, down 3.6% week-on-week [2][14]. - The beef market remains strong, with the average price of fattened bulls at 25.74 CNY/kg, stable week-on-week [2][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the pig farming sector, such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and Shennong Group, as well as in the planting sector, including Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [2][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that the bottom price for live pigs is being confirmed, and a price increase is expected as pessimistic expectations are likely to be gradually reversed [3][12] - The report emphasizes that the current market expectations for pig prices are overly pessimistic, primarily due to the neglect of the pressure from previous inventory destocking [12][21] - It is noted that the supply peak for live pigs has passed, and prices are expected to gradually rise [14][16] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, anticipating improved performance in 2026 due to cost advantages for leading companies. Suggested stocks include Muyuan Foods (002714, Buy), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498, Buy), and Shennong Group (605296, Not Rated) [3] - For the post-cycle sector, the structural growth trend continues, with profits in the breeding industry chain expected to gradually transmit downstream, benefiting the animal health sector. Recommended stocks include Haida Group (002311, Buy) and Ruipu Biological (300119, Not Rated) [3] - In the planting chain, under the backdrop of geopolitical disturbances, the price increase of bulk commodities has been transmitted to agriculture. The report identifies a positive outlook for planting and seed industry fundamentals, highlighting investment opportunities in large-scale planting. Suggested stocks include Suqian Agricultural Development (601952, Not Rated), Beidahuang (600598, Not Rated), Hainan Rubber (601118, Buy), Longping High-Tech (000998, Buy), and COFCO Sugar (600737, Buy) [3] - The pet sector is experiencing growth and price increase logic, with continuous recognition of domestic brands and sustained growth of leading companies. Suggested stocks include Guibao Pet (301498, Not Rated), Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891, Not Rated), and Petty Holdings (300673, Not Rated) [3] Industry Fundamentals - The report indicates that the average price of live pigs is currently around 10.32 yuan/kg, with a downward trend observed. The market sentiment is dominated by bearish expectations, and the price is in a testing phase for the bottom [21] - The report notes that the number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.61 million heads by the end of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 2.92%, which is expected to alleviate supply pressure in the second half of 2026 [14][15] - The report highlights that the core of current pig price fluctuations is inventory rather than production capacity, with the inventory cycle nearing its bottom, suggesting a potential upward trend in prices [16][17] Commodity Prices - The report states that corn, soybean meal, and wheat prices have risen, with corn at 2417.84 yuan/ton, wheat at 2542 yuan/ton, and soybean meal at 3174.57 yuan/ton as of March 6 [34] - The report mentions that the price of natural rubber has shown a downward trend, with futures prices at 16835 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.87% decrease [41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that the bottom price for live pigs is gradually being confirmed, and a price increase is expected as pessimistic expectations are likely to be reversed [3][12] - The report emphasizes that the current market expectations for pig prices are overly pessimistic, primarily due to the neglect of previous inventory depletion pressures on prices [12][21] - It is noted that the supply peak for live pigs has passed, and prices are expected to gradually rise as inventory replenishment begins [14][16] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, anticipating improved performance in 2026 due to cost advantages for leading companies. Suggested stocks include Muyuan Foods (002714, Buy), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498, Buy), and Shennong Group (605296, Not Rated) [3] - For the post-cycle sector, the report indicates a structural growth trend, with profits in the breeding industry chain expected to gradually transmit downstream, benefiting the animal health sector. Recommended stocks include Haida Group (002311, Buy) and Ruipu Biological (300119, Not Rated) [3] - In the planting chain, the report notes that geopolitical factors have led to price increases in bulk commodities, with a positive outlook for grain prices. Suggested stocks include Suqian Agricultural Development (601952, Not Rated), Beidahuang (600598, Not Rated), Hainan Rubber (601118, Buy), Longping High-Tech (000998, Buy), and COFCO Sugar (600737, Buy) [3] - The pet food sector is highlighted as being in a growth phase, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and continuous growth of leading companies. Suggested stocks include Guibao Pet (301498, Not Rated), Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891, Not Rated), and Petty Holdings (300673, Not Rated) [3] Industry Fundamentals - The report indicates that the average price of live pigs is currently around 10.32 yuan/kg, with a downward trend observed. The market sentiment is dominated by bearish expectations, and the price is in a testing phase for its bottom [21] - The report notes that the number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.61 million heads by the end of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 2.92%, which is expected to alleviate supply pressure in the second half of 2026 [14] - It is mentioned that the core of current price fluctuations lies in inventory rather than production capacity, with the inventory cycle nearing its bottom, suggesting a potential upward trend in prices [16][17] Commodity Prices - The report states that corn, soybean meal, and wheat prices have risen, with corn priced at 2417.84 yuan/ton, up 1.13% week-on-week, and wheat at 2542 yuan/ton, up 0.28% [34] - The report highlights that the price of natural rubber has shown a downward trend, with futures prices at 16835 yuan/ton, down 1.87% week-on-week, but expects a strong price performance due to geopolitical factors and supply constraints [41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the pig farming sector, indicating a positive outlook for pig prices in 2026, with cost-advantaged companies expected to achieve performance improvements [3][42]. Core Insights - Geopolitical tensions are driving expectations for price increases in bulk agricultural products, with a confirmed upward trend in grain prices and favorable fundamentals for planting and seed industries [2][36]. - The pig price is expected to recover as pessimistic expectations are likely to be reversed following the confirmation of bottom prices during the off-season [3][9]. - The report highlights structural growth trends in the post-cycle sector, with profits in the breeding industry chain expected to gradually transmit downstream after pig prices rebound [3][42]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs as of February 27 was 10.87 yuan/kg, down 6.45% week-on-week, while the average price of 15 kg piglets was 25.42 yuan/kg, down 0.31% week-on-week [12][51]. - The report notes that the average slaughter weight of pigs is at a historical low of 88.29 kg, indicating limited downside price potential in the future [12][51]. Poultry - The price of white feather broilers was 7.47 yuan/kg, down 0.13% week-on-week, while chick prices increased by 19.58% to 2.87 yuan/chick [15][51]. - The report indicates that the price of yellow feather broilers is steadily recovering, reflecting a positive trend in the poultry market [24]. Feed Sector - Prices for corn, soybean meal, and wheat have risen, with corn priced at 2382.16 yuan/ton (up 0.42%), wheat at 2534.78 yuan/ton (up 0.16%), and soybean meal at 3177.14 yuan/ton (up 0.30%) as of February 27 [26][51]. - The report attributes the rise in corn prices to recovering sales in Northeast China and strong demand for replenishment [26]. Bulk Agricultural Products - Natural rubber prices have increased to 17155 yuan/ton, up 4.29% week-on-week, driven by supply shortages and geopolitical tensions [36][51]. - The report notes that the inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao increased to 663,200 tons, indicating a high current inventory level but limited future increases due to low upstream inventory [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks across different sectors, including pig farming (e.g., Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff), post-cycle sectors (e.g., Haida Group), planting chains (e.g., Suqian Agricultural Development), and the pet food sector (e.g., Guibao Pet) [3][42].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the contrasting price trends in livestock, with pig prices declining post-Chinese New Year while chicken prices are expected to rise due to limited supply and potential demand increases [4]. - It expresses optimism regarding the planting sector, anticipating an improvement in planting sentiment driven by rising grain prices in 2025 [5]. - The pet industry is influenced by exchange rate fluctuations affecting short-term export performance, but domestic market growth is expected to continue [6]. Summary by Sections Livestock - Post-Chinese New Year, pig prices have decreased, with daily average prices hovering around the low of 9,920 yuan/ton for the futures contract, indicating a surplus in supply and weak demand [4]. - Yellow chicken prices have increased post-holiday, contrasting with the downward trend observed after the previous two Chinese New Years, suggesting proactive inventory management in the industry [4]. Planting - The report notes that low grain prices in 2025 have negatively impacted some companies' performance, but a recovery in grain prices is expected to boost the planting sector [5]. - Companies with high-density planting varieties are projected to perform well, as evidenced by 康农种业's revenue and net profit growth of 7% and 16% respectively in 2025 [5]. Pet Industry - The report indicates that while the pet company 路斯股份 saw an 11% increase in revenue, net profit declined by 21% due to the appreciation of the RMB affecting gross margins [6]. - The domestic pet market is growing rapidly, and companies with overseas production capacity and increasing orders are expected to perform well [6]. Animal Health - The animal health sector is facing intense competition, but companies that continue to innovate and differentiate their products are likely to perform well despite potential profit pressures in the first half of 2026 [7]. - 科前生物 reported a 1% increase in revenue and a 9% increase in net profit, maintaining a strong market position in the vaccine sector [7]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig sector include 牧原股份 and 温氏股份, while 科前生物 and 海大集团 are suggested for the post-cycle investment [7]. - In the agricultural product chain, stocks like 晨光生物 and 诺普信 are highlighted, along with pet industry stocks such as 乖宝宠物 and 中宠股份 [7].

Core Insights - Smart agriculture is a significant advanced stage in the development of agricultural informationization and modernization, utilizing cutting-edge technologies like satellite positioning systems and intelligent devices to enhance productivity and resource efficiency [1][5] - The Chinese smart agriculture market is experiencing rapid growth, with the market size projected to increase from 38.47 billion yuan in 2017 to 120 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.28% [1][8] - Smart agriculture is a crucial support for rural revitalization and an inevitable trend in agricultural modernization, with future applications expected to be broader and more mature as technology continues to evolve [1][8] Smart Agriculture Industry Overview - Smart agriculture integrates modern information technologies such as the Internet, IoT, big data, and AI to achieve comprehensive information perception, quantitative decision-making, intelligent control, and personalized services in agricultural production [2][5] - Key components of smart agriculture include smart planting, smart livestock, smart aquaculture, intelligent farming machinery, and smart parks [2] Smart Agriculture Classification - Smart agriculture can be categorized into various segments, including smart planting, smart livestock, smart aquaculture, and intelligent agricultural machinery [3] Benefits of Smart Agriculture - Smart agriculture improves ecological environments by ensuring that agricultural practices do not harm soil and water quality, while also enhancing production efficiency through real-time monitoring and data analysis [4][5] - It transforms the mindset of agricultural producers and consumers, enabling remote learning and access to agricultural knowledge and market information, thus changing traditional reliance on experience [5] Industry Development History - The development of smart agriculture in China can be divided into five stages, from traditional practices before 2000 to the current focus on ecological sustainability and resource optimization [6] Industry Policies - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to promote smart agriculture, recognizing it as a key component of digital rural construction and rural revitalization strategies [6] - The "National Smart Agriculture Action Plan (2024-2028)" aims to enhance public service capabilities and explore intelligent solutions for major crops by 2026 [6] Industry Value Chain - The smart agriculture value chain consists of upstream raw materials and equipment, midstream agricultural production processes, and downstream agricultural product processing and distribution [6][7] Current Market Size and Structure - The smart agriculture market is primarily driven by digital platform services and smart planting, accounting for 36% and 31% of the market, respectively [8] - The agricultural product circulation market in China is projected to reach 16.87 trillion yuan in 2024, with a 3% year-on-year growth [7] Industry Trends - The future of smart agriculture will focus on precision management, automation, and environmental sustainability, leveraging advanced technologies to enhance productivity and reduce resource waste [11][12][14] - Automation will significantly improve efficiency across the agricultural production chain, from planting to harvesting, enabling continuous production and higher land productivity [12][13]

Group 1: Key Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of the semiconductor industry, particularly driven by the demand for high-speed optical chips due to the ongoing upgrades in overseas computing power, catalyzed by events like the NVIDIA GTC conference [4] - The report emphasizes the transition of the defense industry towards intelligent and information-based munitions, with the company being a key player in the production of solid rocket engines, which positions it well for future growth [4] - The real estate sector is currently in an adjustment phase, with expectations of increased industry concentration and a shift from scale to quality, benefiting leading companies like the one analyzed [5] - The automotive sector is seeing advancements in intelligent driving solutions, with the company positioned as a core supplier for L3 autonomous driving technology, indicating a strong growth trajectory [5] - The chemical industry is experiencing a tightening supply of refrigerants, with the company expected to benefit significantly from this trend, as well as from its leadership in fluoropolymer materials [6] - The agricultural sector is projected to see stable growth despite recent price declines, with the company actively increasing its arable land and benefiting from rising grain prices [7] - The logistics sector is expanding its capacity through new shipbuilding initiatives, with a strong dividend policy and low valuation enhancing its attractiveness [8] - The machinery sector is recovering, with significant growth in excavator sales, positioning the company to capitalize on the industry's resurgence [8] - The hotel industry is entering a phase of accelerated expansion, with a focus on quality and quantity in new openings, indicating a positive outlook for the company [9]

Investment Rating - The overall industry rating is positive, indicating that the expected return over the next six months will exceed the CSI 300 Index by more than 5% [56] Core Insights - The livestock industry is experiencing a rapid adjustment in pig prices, with the national average price at 11.73 CNY/kg, down 0.41 CNY from last week. The average price for 15 kg piglets remains stable at 29.24 CNY/kg [6][22] - The slaughtering rate for large-scale enterprises has increased to 58.52%, up 15.76 percentage points from last week and 35.16 percentage points year-on-year [6][22] - The industry is undergoing capacity reduction, with the number of breeding sows at 39.61 million, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year. This trend is expected to continue due to market, epidemic, and policy pressures [7][23] - The poultry sector shows high capacity levels, with chicken prices expected to fluctuate in the medium term. The average price for chicken chicks is 2.7 CNY/bird, and the average price for white feather broilers is 3.67 CNY/kg [9][22] - The yellow chicken market is experiencing low capacity levels, with prices expected to rise in the medium term due to tight supply and seasonal demand [10][24] - The animal health sector is seeing stable prices for core antibiotic products, with a recommendation to focus on companies engaged in pet health [11][24] - The seed industry is benefiting from policy support for biotechnology, with expectations for accelerated development and investment opportunities in leading companies [12][25] - Grain prices are expected to rise in the medium term, with corn and wheat prices at 2399 CNY/ton and 2530 CNY/ton, respectively, driven by seasonal demand and international market trends [14][25] Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include Zhongchong Co., Muyuan Foods, and Suqian Agricultural Development, all rated as "Buy" [4][53]

Group 1 - The core growth driver of the "pet economy" is the consumption of seasonal holiday products, with the search term "New Year pet gift box" on Tmall showing a year-on-year growth of over 20% [1][2] - Sales of pet clothing for the New Year increased by 330%, while sales of pet New Year dinners grew by 290% according to Tmall data [1][2] - The pet product category has formed a comprehensive matrix covering "food + clothing + decoration + services," extending from cats and dogs to exotic pets [2] Group 2 - There has been a 46% month-on-month increase in demand for pet boarding services as reported by 58 Daojia [2] - The pilot program for pet transportation on high-speed trains has expanded to cover 110 stations and 170 trains, while the "pet in cabin" service for airlines now includes 31 airports and 110 flight routes [2] - Major pet exhibitions in South China and North China are scheduled for March, with leading domestic brands expected to launch new products at these events [2] Group 3 - After the Spring Festival, it is anticipated that pig prices will enter a seasonal decline due to decreased demand and increased supply [3] - The price is expected to drop into a low phase, leading to potential losses in the breeding sector as slaughterhouses resume operations after the holiday [3] Group 4 - Recommended stocks in the pig breeding sector include Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498.SZ) [4] - Other recommended stocks in the agricultural product supply chain include Morning Light Bio (300138.SZ) and Noposion (002215.SZ) [4] - In the pet sector, recommended stocks include Guibao Pet (301498.SZ) and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ) [4]