格隆汇1月21日丨苏垦农发(601952.SH)公布2025年度业绩快报公告，2025年度，公司全年营业收入 101.86亿元，较上年同期减少7.32亿元，下降6.70%，归属于上市公司股东的净利润5.54亿元，较上年同 期减少1.76亿元，下降24.17%，主要为报告期内农产品价格持续低位震荡，同时受极端气候影响，主要 农作物单产下降、单位成本上升，毛利空间收窄所致。 ...

证券代码：601952 证券简称：苏垦农发 公告编号：2026-001 江苏省农垦农业发展股份有限公司 2025 年度业绩快报公告 1 二、经营业绩和财务状况情况说明 2025年度，公司全年营业收入较上年同期减少7.32亿元，下降6.70%，归属 于上市公司股东的净利润较上年同期减少1.76亿元，下降24.17%，主要为报告期 内农产品价格持续低位震荡，同时受极端气候影响，主要农作物单产下降、单位 成本上升，毛利空间收窄所致。 | | | | | | | 单位：万吨 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 生产量比上 | 销售量比上 | 库存量比上 | | 主要产品 | 生产量 | 销售量 | 库存量 | 年同期增减 | 年同期增减 | 年同期增减 | | | | | | （%） | （%） | （%） | | 自产大小麦 | 62.88 | 49.49 | 13.34 | -1.05 | 42.91 | -28.60 | | 外采大小麦 | 不适用 | 40.73 | 13.52 | 不适用 | 41.08 | -49.25 | | 水 ...

格隆汇1月21日丨苏垦农发(601952.SH)公布2025年度业绩快报公告，2025年度，公司全年营业收入 101.86亿元，较上年同期减少7.32亿元，下降6.70%，归属于上市公司股东的净利润5.54亿元，较上年同 期减少1.76亿元，下降24.17%，主要为报告期内农产品价格持续低位震荡，同时受极端气候影响，主要 农作物单产下降、单位成本上升，毛利空间收窄所致。 ...

Core Insights - The peanut seed industry is crucial for oil security and economic development, with the government implementing various policies to support its growth towards quality, intensification, and scale [5][6][8] - China's peanut processing industry is projected to reach a value of 214 billion yuan in 2024, with stable planting areas and increasing consumption [6][7] - The domestic peanut seed market is dominated by local varieties, with imports primarily for research purposes, and a recovery in trade expected in 2025 [9][10] Industry Overview - Peanut seeds are essential oil and economic crops, requiring strict quality standards, including a germination rate of ≥92% and purity of ≥98% [2][3] - The industry is characterized by a high domestic seed ratio of 98.7%, with a focus on high-oil and disease-resistant varieties [9][10] Policy Background - The government has positioned the seed industry as a key component of agricultural development, launching initiatives to enhance breeding innovation and regulatory frameworks [5][6] Current Development Status - China leads globally in peanut production, processing, and trade, with a total production of 19.23 million tons in 2024, accounting for 38.8% of the world's total [7][8] - The planting area remains stable at over 4.7 million hectares, with significant contributions from key provinces [7][8] Consumption Trends - The peanut consumption market is growing steadily, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.48%, driven by diverse applications including oil extraction and direct consumption [8] Import and Export Analysis - The peanut seed trade is characterized by significant fluctuations, with imports and exports expected to rebound in 2025 after a decline in 2024 [9][10] - The average import price has shown considerable volatility, influenced by factors such as scarcity and logistics costs [10] Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to focus on specialized and resilient varieties, with advancements in breeding technology to shorten development cycles [11][12] - A shift towards an integrated and collaborative industry structure is anticipated, enhancing market concentration and service offerings [13] - Continuous policy support and market demand will drive standardization and internationalization efforts, promoting domestic seeds in emerging markets [14]

Investment Rating - The overall industry investment rating is "Positive" for the planting and livestock sectors, "Neutral" for forestry and aquaculture, and "II" for agricultural product processing [7][8]. Core Insights - The pig price is experiencing a seasonal rebound, with the average price at 12.78 CNY/kg, a slight increase of 0.15 CNY from the previous week. However, the mid-term outlook remains pessimistic due to ongoing market pressures [6][23]. - The livestock industry is undergoing a capacity reduction, with the number of breeding sows decreasing to 39.90 million heads, down 1.1% month-on-month. This trend is expected to continue due to low market prices, rising epidemic risks, and policy pressures [7][24]. - The chicken industry is facing high capacity levels, with prices expected to fluctuate in the mid-term. The average price for broiler chickens is currently at 3.77 CNY/kg, reflecting a slight decrease [8][25]. - The yellow chicken market is anticipated to see price increases due to low production levels, with the average price at 12.95 CNY/kg [10][27]. - The veterinary medicine sector is experiencing a price rebound for key antibiotics, with a year-on-year increase of over 20% expected [11][27]. - The seed industry is benefiting from favorable policies and the advancement of genetically modified crops, which is expected to enhance sales and pricing for quality seed companies [13][28]. - Grain prices are projected to rise in the mid-term due to reduced imports and supportive domestic policies, with corn prices currently at 2369 CNY/ton [14][29]. Summary by Sections Livestock Industry - The average price for live pigs is 12.78 CNY/kg, with a slight increase of 0.15 CNY from last week. The average price for piglets is 25.14 CNY/kg, up 0.66 CNY [6][23]. - The operating rate of large-scale slaughterhouses is 38.58%, down 1.19 percentage points from last week [6][23]. - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.90 million heads, down 1.1% month-on-month, indicating a trend of capacity reduction [7][24]. Chicken Industry - The average price for broiler chickens is 3.77 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.03 CNY from last week [8][25]. - The industry is at a historically high capacity level, with prices expected to remain volatile in the mid-term [9][26]. - The yellow chicken market is expected to tighten supply, with prices likely to rise due to low production levels [10][27]. Veterinary Medicine - Key antibiotic prices are rebounding, with a year-on-year increase of over 20% expected [11][27]. - The market for veterinary vaccines is also growing, with increased sales anticipated for domestically produced vaccines [12][27]. Seed and Grain Industry - The seed industry is benefiting from favorable policies and advancements in genetically modified crops, which are expected to drive sales and pricing [13][28]. - Grain prices are projected to rise due to reduced imports and supportive domestic policies, with corn prices currently at 2369 CNY/ton [14][29].

Core Viewpoint - The planting industry sector experienced a decline of 0.83% on January 20, with Shennong Seed Industry leading the drop [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] - The planting industry sector saw a net outflow of 346 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 287 million yuan [2] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Shennong Seed Industry (300189) closed at 6.72, down 7.82%, with a trading volume of 1.8634 million shares and a transaction value of 126.7 million yuan [2] - Qiu Le Seed Industry (920087) closed at 17.19, up 1.66%, with a trading volume of 64,300 shares and a transaction value of 110 million yuan [1] - Zhongxing Fungi Industry (002772) closed at 15.44, up 1.58%, with a trading volume of 99,400 shares and a transaction value of 151 million yuan [1] Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Major funds saw a net inflow in Qiu Le Seed Industry of 8.296 million yuan, while retail investors had a net inflow of 264,100 yuan [3] - North China Agricultural University (600598) had a net outflow of 11.4282 million yuan from major funds, but a net inflow of 8.2526 million yuan from retail investors [3] - The overall fund flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with retail investors showing interest despite the overall sector decline [2][3]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The pork price is rising due to the peak consumption season, and there is an expectation for accelerated destocking after the holiday [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization and the commercialization of genetically modified crops to enhance yield and self-sufficiency [1][11] - The report highlights the profitability recovery in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased piglets turning profitable, indicating a short-term challenge for capacity destocking [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is supporting Shandong Province in enhancing grain production and agricultural modernization, focusing on rural revitalization and technological innovation [1][11] - Key recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.72 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.26%. The number of breeding sows is 39.9 million, showing a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including stocks like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2359.57 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.26% [24] - Wheat: The average price is 2513.57 CNY/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [27] - Soybeans: The average price is 4053.16 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.12% [38] - Cotton: The average price is 15640.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.18% [43]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The pork price is rising due to the peak consumption season, and there is an expectation for accelerated destocking after the holiday [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization and the commercialization of genetically modified crops to enhance yield and self-sufficiency [1][11] - The report highlights the profitability recovery in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased piglets turning profitable, indicating a short-term challenge for capacity destocking [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is supporting Shandong province in enhancing grain production and agricultural modernization, focusing on technology and innovation [1][11] - Key recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on genetically modified seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.72 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.26% [2][12] - The number of breeding sows is 39.9 million, showing a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year, indicating a steady adjustment in production capacity [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine sector include Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and others, with a focus on companies that show significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity [2][12]

Group 1 - On January 16, Suqian Agricultural Development Co., Ltd. (苏垦农发) experienced a decline of 0.54% in stock price, with a trading volume of 68.49 million yuan. The financing buy amount was 5.63 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 8.88 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -3.25 million yuan. The total financing and securities balance reached 220 million yuan as of January 16 [1] - The financing balance of Suqian Agricultural Development is 219 million yuan, accounting for 1.71% of the circulating market value, which is below the 10% percentile level over the past year, indicating a low position [1] - The company has a total of 123,900 shares available for short selling, with a short selling balance of 1.15 million yuan, which is also below the 40% percentile level over the past year, indicating a relatively low level [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Suqian Agricultural Development was 43,900, a decrease of 3.35% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 3.46% to 31,413 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Suqian Agricultural Development reported an operating income of 6.809 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.63%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 304 million yuan, down 33.37% year-on-year [2] - Since its A-share listing, Suqian Agricultural Development has distributed a total of 2.665 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.282 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The sentiment in the pork market has significantly improved, with a notable reduction in losses for pig farming. The average price of live pigs is currently 12.55 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased by 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year, indicating a steady adjustment in pig production capacity [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has initiated a nationwide inspection of winter crop seeds to ensure safety for the upcoming spring and summer planting seasons. This includes a focus on key crops such as corn, rice, soybeans, cotton, and vegetables. The commercialization of genetically modified seeds is expected to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency rates for critical varieties [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture is conducting inspections to ensure seed quality and compliance, which is crucial for agricultural production safety. The emphasis on genetically modified technology is expected to revolutionize yield improvements, with companies like Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development likely to benefit [1][11] Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.55 CNY/kg, with a slight increase in slaughter volume by 17.4% year-on-year. The market sentiment has improved significantly, with a reduction in losses for self-bred and purchased pig farming, indicating a potential for recovery in the sector. Recommended stocks include companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2353.51 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.09% week-on-week. The international price is 5.21 USD/bushel, up 2.11% [26][27] - Wheat: The domestic average price is 2513.62 CNY/ton, down 0.09% week-on-week. The international price is 5.82 USD/bushel, down 0.13% [29][31] - Soybeans: The domestic average price is 4048.42 CNY/ton, up 0.63% week-on-week. The international price is 405.95 USD/ton, up 0.74% [39][43] - Cotton: The average price in Xinjiang is 15530.00 CNY/ton, up 0.84% week-on-week [45][49] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.64 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.76%. The prices for chicken feed and egg-laying hen feed remain stable [52][54]