【纠错】 【责任编辑:张樵苏】 新华社音视频部制作 2026年1月1日，经过168小时满功率连续运行考核，中核集团漳州核电2号机组正式投入商业运行， 标志着漳州核电一期工程全面建成投产。 记者：郭圻 ...

那么，社保基金会的定增认购价对二级市场投资者意味着什么？对此，业内人士分析认为，上市公司股 价在社保基金会认购价附近止跌反弹的现象，体现了"国家队"资金的锚定效应。社保基金会作为长期资 金、耐心资本的代表，其重仓参与的价格通常被市场视为一个价值的重要参考点。不过，行业基本面和 系统性风险变化也至关重要，不排除在行业和系统性风险下股价跌破社保基金会定增认购价的可能。但 从长期投资角度看，社保基金会定增认购价确实提供了一个重要参考。 全文请见：电力板块走弱，两大千亿巨头股价再次逼近社保基金会定增认购价，将再现神奇支撑？ 近期，中国核电（601985）和国投电力（600886）的股价正再次逼近一个关键点位。最近两年，社保基 金会以战略投资者身份，以8.31元/股和12.72元/股的价格分别重仓投入120亿元和70亿元参与这两家公 司的定向增发。截至2025年12月30日收盘，中国核电和国投电力的股价分别报收8.67元和13.10元，已逼 近社保基金会的定增认购价。 ...

每经记者｜闫峰峰 每经编辑｜吴永久 近期，伴随着电力板块的整体调整，中国核电和国投电力这两只千亿巨头的股价再度逼近全国社会保障 基金理事会（以下简称社保基金会）的定增认购价，而此前该两只个股在社保基金会的定增认购价附近 均显现出韧性和支撑。每经资本眼专栏记者发现，在A股历史上有电力巨头在社保基金会定增认购价附 近获得显著支撑的案例，不过也有跌破定增认购价的案例，但最终收复了社保基金会的认购价。那么， 近期的调整是否意味着中国核电和国投电力的抄底机会来临？ 中国核电、国投电力股价下探，社保基金会认购价附近显韧性 中国核电和国投电力的股价正再次逼近一个关键点位。最近两年，社保基金会以战略投资者身份，以 8.31元/股和12.72元/股的价格分别重仓投入120亿元和70亿元参与这两家公司的定向增发。 而国投电力在2025年9月22日最低跌至13元，距社保基金会的定增认购价12.72元仅有2.15%的空间。不 过国投电力在当日止跌，并随后展开了1个多月的上涨行情。 国电电力和国信证券的案例启示：社保基金会认购价或是市场重要锚 定点 实际上，上市公司股价在社保基金会定增认购价附近获得支撑的情况，在其他个股上已有发生。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Funiu Co., Ltd. and China Nuclear Power [9] Core Insights - The industrial heating market in China is projected to reach a scale of 490.8 billion yuan (~25 million tons of steam) by 2024, with industrial heating demand accounting for 75% of total heat consumption [1][3] - China's per capita heating consumption is significantly lower than the global average, indicating potential for growth in heating intensity as clean energy heating ratios increase [2][20] - The report forecasts that by 2030, power generation units such as coal, nuclear, waste incineration, and biomass will contribute an additional 225.9 billion yuan to the industrial heating market [4] Summary by Sections Heating Market Overview - In 2023, China's residential heating consumption reached 570.3 PJ, ranking first among major economies, but per capita heating is only 4.0 GJ/person, which is 67% lower than the global average of 12.22 GJ/person [2][17][20] - The disparity in heating intensity is attributed to China's vast territory and diverse climate zones, along with a fragmented heating model in southern regions [21] Industrial Heating Demand - Industrial heating accounted for 75% of China's total heat consumption in 2022, with the manufacturing sector being the largest consumer [44] - The report highlights that industrial heating is a continuous demand, primarily using steam, and is less seasonal compared to residential heating [43] Economic Analysis - The report indicates that the economic viability of industrial steam (cogeneration) is significantly better than pure electricity generation, enhancing profitability for power companies [3][44] - The cost of heating is linked to coal prices, with a projected increase in profitability for coal, nuclear, and waste incineration power plants due to additional heating services [3][4] Future Trends - By 2030, it is estimated that coal, nuclear, waste incineration, and biomass will supply 5.4, 0.7, 3.1, and 2.1 million tons of industrial steam respectively, contributing to a total market size of 225.9 billion yuan [4] - The report suggests that future power generation units will increasingly be equipped with heating capabilities, reflecting a shift in market dynamics [4]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly recommending companies involved in coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, green energy, and gas [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in November 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 835.6 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The growth contributions from the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, as well as residential consumption, were 2%, 49%, 29%, and 19% respectively [4][6]. - The secondary industry remains the largest contributor to electricity consumption, accounting for over 60% of the total, with significant growth in high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors [5][6]. - Natural gas prices have shown fluctuations, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $3.31/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decline of 7.30%. The report notes that the domestic LNG ex-factory price is 3915 yuan/ton, down 2.85% week-on-week [1][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - In November 2025, the electricity consumption by the first, second, and third industries grew by 7.9%, 4.4%, and 10.3% respectively, while residential consumption increased by 9.8% [4][6]. - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors saw a 6.7% increase in electricity consumption, with automotive manufacturing leading at a 10% growth rate [5][6]. Natural Gas Sector - The report indicates that global gas prices are experiencing slight fluctuations, with the U.S. market showing a significant drop in spot prices. The report anticipates that the demand for natural gas will increase as winter approaches, potentially stabilizing prices [1][16]. - Recommendations include focusing on integrated gas companies and those benefiting from cost reductions and improved profitability due to lower oil prices [39][40]. Investment Recommendations - For coal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their diversified revenue sources [1]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are favored due to expected improvements in profit margins from reduced capital expenditures [1]. - Nuclear power firms like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their stable cost structures and growth potential [1]. - In the green energy sector, companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended for their stable returns and increasing operational value [1]. - The report also suggests investment in gas companies like Shenzhen Energy and Kunlun Energy, which are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved market conditions [1][39].

Group 1 - The global technology competition is intensifying, with disruptive technologies at the core of the "future industries" becoming a prominent part of China's economic landscape, as highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] - The total financing in related fields has approached 70 billion yuan this year, with specific sectors like nuclear fusion and 6G seeing index increases of over 80% [1][4] - The future industries are transitioning from "concept validation" to "commercialization," becoming a leading force in driving economic and social transformation [1] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a clear blueprint for future industries, focusing on seven key areas including quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, nuclear fusion, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, and 6G [2] - Local governments are actively responding with supportive policies, such as Beijing's "Create the Future" initiative, which has supported 83 potential enterprises and facilitated over 2 billion yuan in financing [2] - Various cities like Shenzhen and Shanghai are implementing financial measures to support high-quality development in future industries, establishing a solid foundation for growth [2] Group 3 - The capital market's enthusiasm for future industries is evident, with IPOs and refinancing processes accelerating significantly, totaling nearly 70 billion yuan as of December 26, 2025 [4] - Notable fundraising includes 14 billion yuan from China Nuclear Power in the nuclear fusion sector and over 8 billion yuan from companies in the embodied intelligence sector [4] - The overall profitability of future industries is expected to improve, with a median net profit forecast of over 650 billion yuan for 381 companies in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 20% [5] Group 4 - Market funds are actively seeking undervalued potential stocks, with over 40 companies showing a decrease in shareholder numbers, indicating a concentration of shares [6] - Companies like Fuzhijun Technology and Zhongyuan Neipei have seen significant reductions in shareholder numbers, suggesting increased market attention [6] - Some companies, despite underperforming in the market, are positioned in sectors like embodied intelligence and quantum technology, presenting potential investment opportunities [6]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The public utility sector experienced a modest increase of 0.92% from January to September 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.02 percentage points, with total revenue reaching 1.381783 trillion yuan, a slight year-on-year growth of 0.02% [1][13] - The overall profitability of the power sector remained stable, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 172.32 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.43% increase year-on-year [1][13] - The electricity consumption growth rate for the first three quarters of 2025 was 4.6%, with a notable decline in the elasticity coefficient to 0.88, indicating a shift towards balanced supply and demand in the electricity market [2] Group 2: Thermal Power - The thermal power sector reported a net profit of 71.12 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 15.83% increase year-on-year, supported by low coal prices [1][20] - The overall revenue for the thermal power sector was 905.78 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.08% year-on-year, while operating costs fell by 6.15% to 745.64 billion yuan [20] - The sector is expected to see a restructuring of its profit model, with a focus on high-dividend thermal power leaders and companies in regions with stable electricity prices [3] Group 3: Renewable Energy - The wind power sector achieved a net profit of 22.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.67%, with revenue rising by 29.98% to 108.09 billion yuan [1][28] - The solar power sector, however, faced challenges with a revenue decline of 18.63% to 26.10 billion yuan, despite a significant profit increase of 67.57% to 2.90 billion yuan [1][28] - The introduction of market-oriented policies and the acceleration of green energy subsidies are expected to improve cash flow for renewable energy companies [3] Group 4: Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector is projected to see significant growth, with an expected operational capacity of 110 million kilowatts by 2030, driven by the increasing importance of nuclear energy in the context of AI competition [4] - The marketization of nuclear power pricing is gradually increasing, with expectations for price rebounds in Guangdong province due to policy changes [4] - Investment opportunities are recommended in nuclear power operators and companies involved in nuclear fusion and uranium mining [4] Group 5: Hydropower - The hydropower sector reported a revenue of 148.76 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.56%, and a net profit of 51.32 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.30% increase [1][37] - The sector's stability and high dividend yield make it an attractive investment, especially in a fluctuating market environment [3][37] - Companies in the hydropower sector are encouraged to maintain strong dividend policies to attract investors [3] Group 6: Natural Gas - The natural gas sector is expected to recover profitability as global LNG production ramps up, with a projected oversupply of 65 billion cubic meters by 2030 [3] - The implementation of pricing reforms in various cities is alleviating margin pressures for city gas companies, leading to increased sales volumes [3] - Investment focus is recommended on high-quality city gas leaders with stable dividend policies [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the utility and environmental sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in November, the total electricity consumption in China reached 835.6 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.2%. The contributions from various sectors were: primary industry (7.9%), secondary industry (4.4%), tertiary industry (10.3%), and urban and rural residents (9.8%) [3][8]. - The growth in electricity consumption is primarily driven by the tertiary industry, particularly in sectors related to big data analysis and artificial intelligence services, which saw significant increases in electricity usage [9]. - The report notes that the natural gas market is experiencing slight fluctuations, with LNG prices continuing to decline. As of December 26, the national LNG ex-factory price was 3915 RMB/ton, down 2.85% week-on-week [3][40]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - In November, the total electricity consumption was 8356 billion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The secondary industry contributed 49% to the growth, while the tertiary industry followed with a 29% contribution [10][11]. - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors showed a notable increase in electricity consumption, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7%, surpassing the average growth rate of the manufacturing sector by 2.5 percentage points [9][10]. Natural Gas Sector - The report indicates that global gas prices are experiencing minor fluctuations, with the Henry Hub spot price at $3.31/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 7.30%. The TTF spot price in the Netherlands was €27.70/MWh, down 1.42% week-on-week [3][19]. - The report suggests that the LNG ex-factory price in China is under pressure due to high inventory levels and low-cost sea gas resources, leading to a continued downward trend [40][41]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market positioning: - For thermal power, companies like Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and Datang Power are highlighted for their integrated coal and power operations [3][17]. - In the hydropower sector, companies such as Yangtze Power and Guotou Power are recommended due to their stable financial performance and reduced capital expenditures [3][17]. - For nuclear power, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested due to their stable cost structures and growth potential [3][17]. - In the green energy sector, companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are noted for their improved returns from stable project yields [3][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The annual electricity price expectations are gradually becoming clearer, with multiple factors constraining electricity price levels. The average transaction price for Guangdong's annual electricity trading in 2026 has reached the lower limit of the medium to long-term trading price, indicating a downward price expectation [2][6] - Despite the clear downward expectation for electricity prices, the thermal power sector has shown relative stability, outperforming the hydroelectric sector, which is less impacted by price fluctuations [2][6] - The recent decline in coal prices and the expected increase in capacity prices for 2026 are expected to provide a buffer against the downward trend in long-term contract prices, supporting market expectations for thermal power company profitability [2][6] Summary by Sections Electricity Price Expectations - The electricity supply and demand situation is at risk of deterioration, and there are non-seasonal risks associated with coal prices. The market's expectation for the 2026 annual electricity price has been negatively impacted by weak monthly and spot electricity prices in some provinces [2][7] - The average monthly prices for Guangdong and Jiangsu this year were 373 and 377 cents/kWh, respectively, down by 47 and 52 cents/kWh year-on-year. The announcement of the annual trading results has confirmed the market's previous pessimistic expectations [2][6] Thermal Power Sector Performance - The thermal power sector has shown resilience despite the downward price expectations, driven by two main factors: a significant "inverted V" trend in coal prices since October and the expected stepwise increase in capacity prices for 2026 [2][6] - The price of Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal peaked at 834 yuan/ton in late November but has since dropped to 672 yuan/ton by December 26, a decrease of 162 yuan/ton [2][6] - The expected increase in capacity prices by approximately 65 yuan/year·kW across provinces is anticipated to enhance the profitability stability of thermal power companies [2][6] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Huaneng International, Datang Power, Guodian Power, Huadian International, China Power, China Resources Power, and Funiu Co., as well as Inner Mongolia Huadian, which represents "coal-electricity integration" thermal power [2][12][13] - For the hydroelectric sector, recommended companies include Yangtze Power, Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Huaneng Hydropower [2][12][14] - In the renewable energy sector, companies such as Longyuan Power H, Xintian Green Energy H, China Nuclear Power, and Zhongmin Energy are recommended due to their potential for growth [2][12][15]

Core Insights - The China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) has launched China's first nuclear medical demonstration base at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Suzhou University, marking a significant advancement in nuclear medicine [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The newly inaugurated phase of the nuclear hospital integrates functions such as precise diagnosis and treatment using nuclear technology, clinical trials, medical innovation, and training exchanges [1] - The focus areas of the project include nuclear medicine, oncology, and chronic disease prevention and treatment [1]