证券代码：601989 证券简称：中国重工 公告编号：临 2025-043 2025 年 7 月 18 日，中国证券监督管理委员会出具了《关于同意中国船舶工 业股份有限公司吸收合并中国船舶重工股份有限公司注册的批复》（证监许可 〔2025〕1501 号）（以下简称"中国证监会批复"）。 中国证监会批复的主要内 容如下： "一、同意中国船舶工业股份有限公司以新增 3,053,192,530 股股份吸收合 并中国船舶重工股份有限公司的注册申请。 二、你们本次吸收合并应当严格按照报送上海证券交易所的有关申请文件 进行。 三、你们应当按照有关规定及时履行信息披露义务。 四、你们应当按照有关规定办理本次吸收合并的相关手续。 五、本批复自下发之日起 12 个月内有效。 中国船舶重工股份有限公司 关于中国船舶工业股份有限公司吸收合并中国船舶重工股 份有限公司暨关联交易事项获得中国证券监督管理委员会 同意注册批复的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 中国船舶工业股份有限公司（以下简称"中国船舶"）拟以向中国船舶重工 股份有限公 ...

证监会同意中国船舶工业股份有限公司以新增30.53亿股股份吸收合并中国船舶重工股份有限公司的注 册申请。 ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved China Shipbuilding Industry Co., Ltd. to absorb and merge with China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. by issuing an additional 3,053,192,530 shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) listed on A-shares in the first half of the year has shown significant improvement, with 79 companies reporting positive earnings, driven by national policies and internal reforms [1] Group 1: Central SOEs Performance - 32 central SOEs achieved year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, while 22 companies turned losses into profits, and 25 companies reduced losses [1] - 19 central SOEs have a projected upper limit for net profit growth exceeding 100%, indicating strong profitability [1] - The sectors of electric power equipment, shipbuilding, and rare earths are experiencing high demand and performance, contributing positively to the overall market [1] Group 2: Electric Power Equipment Industry - The electric power equipment industry is benefiting from national policies aimed at carbon neutrality and the construction of a new power system, leading to high-quality development [2][4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims for an average annual revenue growth rate of over 9% for the electric power equipment industry from 2023 to 2024 [4] - Major investments in grid construction and the acceleration of ultra-high voltage projects are creating significant opportunities for electrical equipment companies [5] Group 3: Shipbuilding Industry - Despite a global downturn in shipbuilding, Chinese shipyards lead with 10.04 million CGT and 370 vessels, capturing 52% of global orders [6] - Several central SOEs in shipbuilding are expected to see substantial profit increases, with some companies projecting over 200% growth in net profit [6] - The growth is attributed to effective management, increased delivery of civilian vessels, and rising prices [6] Group 4: Rare Earth Industry - The rare earth sector is thriving due to its strategic importance and increasing demand from industries like new energy and smart manufacturing [7] - China Rare Earth anticipates a net profit of 136 million to 176 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [6] - The company has adapted its marketing strategies and optimized production processes to capitalize on rising prices and demand [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The high growth in these industries is expected to be sustainable, supported by national strategies and market demand [7] - Companies are encouraged to align with national strategies, innovate technologically, optimize supply chains, and expand into international markets to enhance growth and profitability [7]

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry - The conference call primarily discusses the **shipbuilding industry** in China, focusing on **China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation** and its performance in the first half of the year. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a performance of **17 to 20 billion**, exceeding expectations. The first half of the year saw a performance of **15 to 18 billion**, representing nearly a **100% year-on-year growth** [1] - The combined performance of China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry reached nearly **50 billion** in the first half, with Q2 alone contributing approximately **30 billion** [1] - The economic rate for China Shipbuilding reached nearly **Q2% to 10%**, while China Heavy Industry exceeded **6%** [2] - The overall shipbuilding economic rate has returned to a range of **5% to 10%**, indicating a significant profit surge driven by improved economic rates [2] Order Backlog and Market Outlook - The order backlog for the shipbuilding industry is robust, with production schedules extending to the end of **2027** and potentially into **2028** [3] - The industry is expected to experience high growth for at least the next **two to three years**, with a valuation of **over 150 billion** anticipated based on current economic rates [2][3] - Despite concerns over order declines, the total order volume remains strong compared to previous years, indicating that the shipbuilding cycle is still ongoing [7][8] Market Dynamics and External Factors - The decline in orders is attributed to high base effects from the previous year, which was marked by geopolitical tensions and disruptions [8] - The impact of the **301 investigation** and the **China-US trade war** is gradually easing, with a resurgence in orders expected in the latter half of the year [9] - The demand for oil tankers is projected to remain stable due to global oil production increases, particularly in the Middle East [10][11] Management Changes and Internal Improvements - Recent management changes within the company have introduced new leadership with experience from other industries, leading to significant internal reforms aimed at improving efficiency and reducing costs [6] - The merger of two major shipbuilding entities has resulted in a combined order backlog of approximately **450 to 500 billion** [4] Investment Considerations - The shipbuilding sector is viewed as having strong investment potential due to its stable demand and economic conditions, making it a compelling asset within the machinery sector [12][14] - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for investment, as the sector is perceived to be at a low point with potential for recovery and growth [14][15] Other Important Insights - The shipbuilding industry is characterized by a high degree of certainty in demand due to replacement needs and environmental regulations [12] - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious, with many investors still hesitant to allocate funds despite the positive outlook for the industry [5] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market dynamics, and future outlook for the shipbuilding industry in China.

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing improved profitability, as indicated by the significant profit growth forecasted by China Shipbuilding for the first half of 2025, driven by high-priced order deliveries, falling steel prices, and early deliveries [1][4] - The new ship order volume in June 2025 increased month-on-month but saw a substantial year-on-year decline due to a high base in June 2024 [1][8] Key Insights - The Clarksons newbuilding price index stabilized in June 2025, with a month-on-month increase, although different ship types showed varied performance, with container ship prices rising while oil tanker prices fell [1][5] - The shipbuilding sector has become a safe haven for performance amid the current macroeconomic backdrop, with steel price declines enhancing the profitability of shipbuilders [2] - The market is witnessing a structural adjustment, with first-tier shipyards experiencing weak order intake while second and third-tier shipyards are seeing considerable order volumes due to capacity anxiety [1][6] Company Performance - China Shipbuilding's profit forecast for the first half of 2025 is between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion, significantly exceeding previous expectations [3][4] - Other companies like China Heavy Industry and China Power also reported substantial profit growth, attributed to high-priced order deliveries and early payments [4][22] Order Trends - In the first half of 2025, China maintained a leading global market share of 56% in new shipbuilding, while South Korea's share increased from 10% to 30%, driven by a surge in container ship orders [10] - Container ship orders increased by 24% year-on-year, while orders for other types of ships like LNG and oil tankers saw a decline of over 70% [9] Market Dynamics - The current newbuilding market is in a brief downturn within an overall upcycle, with historical data indicating that downturns can occur even during upcycles [15][16] - The low demolition rates of older ships are causing many to remain active in the market, which could lead to supply vulnerabilities if demand surges suddenly [18][19] Future Outlook - The potential demolition volume over the next decade is estimated at 16,000 ships, which could significantly impact the supply-demand balance in the shipbuilding market [20] - Investors are advised to focus on leading companies like China Shipbuilding for stable investments, while considering second-tier companies for higher return potential [23] Additional Considerations - The geopolitical landscape and oil price fluctuations are affecting the cruise market, leading to concerns about new ship deployments [12] - LNG ships and car carriers are expected to have strong growth potential due to increasing demand for alternative fuels and the rise of China's electric vehicle exports [13]

Group 1: Overall Performance of Central Enterprises - 79 central enterprise-controlled listed companies reported positive performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with 32 companies showing year-on-year net profit growth, 22 companies turning losses into profits, and 25 companies reducing losses [1] - 19 central enterprise-controlled listed companies expect a net profit increase of over 100%, with several companies achieving significant turnaround from losses [1] Group 2: Power Sector Performance - Huayin Power, a subsidiary of China Datang Group, is expected to lead the growth with a projected net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of up to 44 times due to increased power generation and reduced fuel costs [2] - Major investments in the power grid and ultra-high voltage construction by State Grid and Southern Power Grid are expected to drive growth in related companies, with Guodian Nanzi and Baobian Electric forecasting net profit increases of 171.89% to 225.66% and 229.15%, respectively [2] Group 3: Electric Equipment and Cable Industry - Baobian Electric's profit increase is attributed to enhanced market development and increased project orders, while Baoshan Co. anticipates a net profit growth of 167.98% to 301.98% due to optimized sales policies and improved internal management [3] - New Energy Taishan is expected to turn losses into profits in the first half of the year, reflecting a positive trend in the electric cable sector [3] Group 4: Shipbuilding and Rare Earth Industries - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like China Shipbuilding, China Power, and China Heavy Industry expecting net profit increases exceeding 200% due to effective management and increased delivery of civilian ships [5] - The rare earth industry is also thriving, with companies like China Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals expected to turn losses into profits, driven by rising prices of rare earth products [4] Group 5: Turnaround Companies - 22 central enterprise-controlled listed companies are expected to turn losses into profits, with quality improvement and efficiency enhancement being key factors for their performance recovery [6] - Companies like Zhongnan Co. and Taiji Co. have reported successful turnarounds due to strengthened management and cost control measures [6][7] Group 6: Management and Efficiency Improvements - Many companies achieving year-on-year growth or reduced losses attribute their success to ongoing quality improvement and efficiency enhancement initiatives [7] - Companies are focusing on optimizing resource allocation, controlling costs, and improving operational efficiency as critical drivers of performance growth [7]

Core Viewpoint - The five major state-owned shipbuilding enterprises in China are expected to report a combined net profit of 50.2 billion to 60.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, showcasing the robust strength of China's shipbuilding industry and boosting confidence in the global shipbuilding market [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry are projected to achieve a combined net profit of 43 billion to 49 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 121% to 152% [3]. - China Heavy Industry anticipates a net profit of 15 billion to 18 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 181.73% to 238.08% due to a significant rise in the number of civil ship deliveries [3]. - China Shipbuilding expects a net profit of 28 billion to 31 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49%, attributed to higher prices for civil ship products and effective cost control [3]. - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China Power are also expected to report substantial profit increases, with China Power projecting a net profit of 8 billion to 11.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 68.28% to 141.9% [6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The global shipbuilding market is experiencing a downturn, with new ship orders in the first half of 2025 declining by 54% year-on-year, totaling 647 ships and approximately 19.38 million compensated gross tonnage (CGT) [8][9]. - Despite the drop in new orders, Chinese shipyards maintain a strong delivery performance, accounting for 48% of global deliveries, while South Korea and Japan hold 31% and 13%, respectively [9]. - The shipbuilding industry in China is expected to continue benefiting from cost advantages, resilient supply chains, and technological innovations, solidifying its position as the world's largest shipbuilding nation [9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The Chinese shipbuilding industry aims to enhance its core competitiveness through increased technological innovation, talent development, and collaborative industrial chain growth, while actively participating in international market competition [10].

Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Shipbuilding (600150.SH) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (601989.SH) is expected to significantly enhance their financial performance, with both companies projecting substantial profit increases for the first half of 2025 [1][7]. Group 1: Financial Performance - China Shipbuilding expects a net profit of between 28 billion to 31 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% [1][7]. - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation anticipates a net profit of between 15 billion to 18 billion yuan for the same period, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 181.73% to 238.08% [1][3]. - Combined, the projected net profits for both companies in the first half of 2025 are estimated to be between 43 billion to 49 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of approximately 121% to 152% [1][8]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The merger is expected to eliminate competition between the two companies and consolidate their resources, enhancing their core functions and competitiveness in the shipbuilding industry [6][7]. - The integration of assets from China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, including shipyards in Dalian, Wuchang, and Beihai, is anticipated to reshape the industry landscape and improve market share [7]. - Both companies are focusing on improving production efficiency and managing costs effectively, which has led to an increase in gross profit margins [1][7]. Group 3: Stock Market Performance - As of July 14, 2023, the market capitalization of China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation reached approximately 2,564 billion yuan, with respective values of 1,508.55 billion yuan and 1,055.73 billion yuan [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant recovery in the performance of upstream electronic components, with a positive outlook for sustained equipment orders [11][12] - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing notable recovery, with deep-sea technology expected to further drive future demand [12][14] - The current market conditions continue to favor the military industry, with military trade anticipated to become a second growth driver [15] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests focusing on the following segments: - **Military Electronics**: Recommended stocks include Zhenhua Technology (000733, Overweight), Aerospace Electronics (002025, Buy), and Torch Electronics (603678, Not Rated) [16] - **Key Materials and Parts**: Recommended stocks include Western Superconducting (688122, Buy) and Chujian New Materials (002171, Buy) [16] - **Aero Engine Chain**: Recommended stocks include Aero Engine Power (600893, Not Rated) and Western Superconducting (688122, Buy) [16] - **Military Trade**: Suggested stocks include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760, Not Rated) and Guorui Technology (600562, Not Rated) [16] Performance Insights - Torch Electronics expects a net profit of 247 million to 280 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 50.36% to 70.45% [11][31] - Major shipbuilding companies, including China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry, reported over 60% growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, with China Heavy Industry potentially doubling its profit [12][13] Market Trends - The defense and military industry index increased by 0.88%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.09% [17][18] - The report notes that the military industry is ranked 25th out of 31 in terms of performance among the primary industry indices [20] Weekly News Highlights - The report includes significant domestic and international news related to the military industry, emphasizing ongoing developments and strategic activities [25][26]