Summary of the Conference Call for Zhenhua Co., Ltd. Industry Overview - **Chromium Salt Demand**: Global chromium salt demand is expected to increase from 930,000 tons in 2024 to 1,310,000 tons by 2028, a growth of 380,000 tons. Zhenhua's production capacity is projected to grow by only 110,000 tons during the same period, leading to a potential capacity shortfall of approximately 250,000 tons by 2028. This is due to restrictions on hexavalent chromium capacity expansion, positioning Zhenhua to benefit from a high prosperity cycle [2][3]. - **Gas Turbine Market Growth**: The global gas turbine market is rapidly expanding, driven by AI demand, renewable energy peak shaving, and grid updates. Deliveries are expected to rise from 30 GW in 2024 to 91.4 GW by 2028, doubling the demand for metallic chromium from 23,000 tons to 49,700 tons [2][6]. - **Commercial Aircraft Shortage**: The global commercial aircraft fleet is aging, with an average age of 14.8 years. GE's commercial engine backlog has increased by 76% to $11.5 billion, with metallic chromium demand in this sector expected to nearly double from 9,800 tons to 19,400 tons by 2028 [2][7]. - **Military and Aerospace Demand**: NATO countries are committing to increase defense spending, leading to a peak in military aviation upgrades and maintenance, alongside strong growth in commercial rocket and aerospace sectors, driving robust demand for metallic chromium [2][8]. Company Insights - **Zhenhua's Market Position**: Zhenhua occupies a significant position in the chromium salt industry, particularly in sodium dichromate production. The company is the largest domestic supplier with a production capacity of 260,000 tons in 2024, followed by Sichuan Yinhe and CITIC Jinzhou [2][9]. - **Production and Sales Balance**: Zhenhua achieved a sales volume of over 7,000 tons in 2024, reaching production-sales balance. The actual delivery volume in Q1 2025 exceeded 2,500 tons, with expectations for further sales growth [2][11]. - **Revenue Projections**: Forecasted revenues for Zhenhua are 4.57 billion yuan, 5.39 billion yuan, and 6.18 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 766 million yuan, 1.005 billion yuan, and 1.334 billion yuan [3][29]. Market Dynamics - **Concentration of Chromium Salt Industry**: The domestic chromium salt industry is highly concentrated, with Zhenhua leading in capacity. The total domestic capacity is approximately 520,000 tons, with Zhenhua's capacity being the largest [2][9]. - **Global Supply Concentration**: The global supply of metallic chromium is concentrated among a few suppliers, with Zhenhua being the largest domestic supplier. The supply chain dynamics indicate that profits will likely flow upstream to the major producers [2][10]. - **Export Growth**: China's exports of metallic chromium and its oxides have significantly increased, with a reported 18% year-on-year growth in unrefined chromium powder exports from January to May 2025 [2][27]. Investment Outlook - **Valuation and Rating**: Zhenhua's current P/E ratios are 13x, 10x, and 8x for the next three years, leading to a maintained buy rating for the company based on its strong market position and growth potential [2][5][29]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the industry's growth prospects, Zhenhua's strategic positioning, and the anticipated financial performance.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the chemical industry, including Xin Yang Feng, Sen Qi Lin, Rui Feng New Materials, Sinopec, Ju Hua, Yang Nong Chemical, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Tong Kun, Dao Tong Technology, and others [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in products such as Epoxy Chloropropane (up 10.00%), Synthetic Ammonia (up 4.35%), and others, while products like Urea and Sulfur experienced notable declines [4][5][21]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and fluctuating international oil prices are influencing market dynamics, with a recommendation to focus on import substitution, domestic demand, and high-dividend stocks [6][22]. - The chemical industry is currently in a weak performance phase, with mixed results across sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand, although some sectors like lubricants are performing better than expected [23]. Summary by Sections Price Movements - Significant price increases were observed in Epoxy Chloropropane (10.00%), Sulfur (4.59%), and Synthetic Ammonia (4.35), while Urea saw a decrease of 8.47% [4][5][21]. - The report notes that the overall chemical industry remains weak, with varying performance across different sub-sectors [22][23]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on sectors likely to enter a growth cycle, such as Glyphosate, and emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks with strong competitive positions and growth potential [23]. - It highlights the resilience of domestic chemical fertilizer and certain pesticide sub-products, recommending companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Xin Yang Feng, and others for their stable demand [23]. Geopolitical and Economic Context - The report discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions on oil prices, with Brent crude oil priced at $66.99 per barrel and WTI at $62.69, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [6][24]. - It anticipates that the international oil price will stabilize between $65 and $70, suggesting a cautious outlook for the market [6][24].

Market Overview - On September 15, the chemical raw materials sector declined by 0.16% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhenhua Co., Ltd. leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3860.5, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13005.77, up 0.63% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the chemical raw materials sector included: - Longbai Group (002601) with a closing price of 19.62, up 5.09% and a trading volume of 667,300 shares, totaling 1.314 billion yuan [1] - ST Yatai (000691) with a closing price of 7.81, up 4.97% and a trading volume of 101,400 shares, totaling 79.1972 million yuan [1] - Jinhai Titanium Industry (000545) with a closing price of 3.69, up 4.53% and a trading volume of 1,184,600 shares, totaling 435 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. (603067) with a closing price of 17.90, down 4.33% and a trading volume of 180,800 shares, totaling 329 million yuan [2] - Sanyou Chemical (600409) with a closing price of 5.78, down 3.02% and a trading volume of 368,900 shares, totaling 216 million yuan [2] - Jinniu Chemical (600722) with a closing price of 7.09, down 2.88% and a trading volume of 319,900 shares, totaling 228 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The chemical raw materials sector experienced a net outflow of 398 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 239 million yuan [2][3] - Notable capital flows included: - Huayi Group (600623) with a net inflow of 26.8479 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Tianyuan Co., Ltd. (002386) with a net inflow of 25.0141 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Xue Tian Salt Industry (600929) with a net inflow of 21.3913 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry in China is expected to undergo a revaluation due to anti-involution measures, which may lead to a significant slowdown in global chemical capacity expansion. This shift could enhance the cash flow and dividend yield of Chinese chemical companies, transforming them from cash-consuming entities to profit-generating ones [6][29] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to rise significantly due to increased orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines in Europe and the US, leading to a projected shortfall of 250,000 tons by 2028, which is about 23% of the total annual production [6] - The report highlights four key investment opportunities: low-cost expansion, improving industry conditions, new materials, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [7][8] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 51.0% over the past 12 months, compared to 42.5% for the CSI 300 index [4] Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for low-cost expansion in major companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, alongside sectors like tires and fertilizers [7] - It also points out the improving conditions in various segments, including chromium salts, phosphate rock, and agricultural chemicals [8] Key Products Analysis - Recent price increases were noted for acrylic acid and esters, with butyl acrylate priced at 7,600 RMB/ton, reflecting a 3.40% increase [10] - The report also mentions the price of polymer MDI in East China at 15,550 RMB/ton, up by 1.97% [10] Company Tracking and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for many, with several companies rated as "Buy" [30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [6][12]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic judgment indicates that non-OPEC countries are expected to lead an increase in oil production, with a significant overall supply growth anticipated. Global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand, although the growth rate may slow due to tariff policies [6][7]. - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is likely to boost demand during the peak season of September and October. Additionally, the leakage incident of GFL R32 in India may enhance China's export opportunities [6][12]. - The report highlights the ongoing investigation into anti-dumping practices against imported semiconductor chips from the U.S., which may benefit domestic semiconductor materials [6][12]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Analysis - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable despite potential slowdowns due to tariffs. Geopolitical factors, including U.S.-China tariff relief and the Russia-Ukraine situation, are influencing oil prices [6][7]. - Coal prices are anticipated to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas export facilities in the U.S. may accelerate, leading to lower import costs [6][7]. Chemical Sector Configuration - The report suggests a strategic focus on four areas: textile and apparel chain, agricultural chemicals, export chain, and sectors benefiting from "de-involution" policies. Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their market positions and growth potential [6][12]. Key Material Focus - Emphasis is placed on the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, with specific companies highlighted for their potential in these sectors [6][12]. Price Trends - Recent data indicates fluctuations in various chemical prices, with PTA prices down by 0.3% and MEG down by 2.0%. The report notes that the overall industrial product PPI has shown a year-on-year decline of 2.9% [12][13][16]. Company Valuations - A detailed valuation table is provided, showcasing various companies in the agricultural chemicals and chemical sectors, with ratings ranging from "Buy" to "Increase" based on their market performance and projected earnings [20].

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery sector is gaining significant attention in the capital market as a key direction for technological upgrades in high-end manufacturing, with a notable increase in stock performance and fund values [1]. Investment Performance - As of September 12, the solid-state battery sector has seen a rise of over 17% in the past month, with several stocks such as Yinghe Technology, Shanshan Co., and Baili Technology hitting the daily limit [1]. - Funds heavily invested in the solid-state battery field have also experienced substantial gains, with the Yuanxin Yongfeng High-end Manufacturing A fund's net value increasing by over 33% as of September 11 [1]. Industry Outlook - The lithium battery industry is currently in a bottoming phase, with the solid-state battery's industrialization process approaching. The profitability of the supply chain is expected to confirm a bottom recovery by the third quarter of 2024 [1]. - The solid-state battery sector is projected to enter a critical pilot testing phase in 2025, with mass production anticipated in 2026 [1]. - The sector is seen as having significant growth potential and long-term investment value, benefiting from national policy support and being at a crucial juncture for global energy transition and technological self-innovation [1].

Market Overview - On September 12, the chemical raw materials sector declined by 0.41%, with Dayang Bio leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.69, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.38, up 0.13% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the chemical raw materials sector included: - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. (603067) with a closing price of 18.59, up 4.97% [1] - ST Yatai (000691) with a closing price of 7.44, up 4.94% [1] - Shilong Industry (002748) with a closing price of 10.17, up 4.31% [1] - Major decliners included: - Dayang Bio (003017) with a closing price of 33.78, down 3.82% [2] - Sanyou Chemical (600409) with a closing price of 5.97, down 2.45% [2] - Kaisheng New Materials (301069) with a closing price of 23.12, down 2.41% [2] Capital Flow - The chemical raw materials sector experienced a net outflow of 209 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 89.33 million yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Longbai Group (002601) with a main fund net inflow of 26.73 million yuan [3] - Zhongke Titanium White (002145) with a main fund net inflow of 25.74 million yuan [3] - Huayi Group (600623) with a main fund net inflow of 22.27 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The titanium dioxide sector experienced a strong rebound on September 12, with notable stock price increases [1] - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. saw its stock rise by over 5%, while Guocheng Mining increased by over 4% [1] - Other companies in the sector, such as China Nuclear Titanium Dioxide and Jinpu Titanium Industry, also showed positive performance [1]

Company Overview - Zhuhai Chemical Co., Ltd. is located in Huangshi City, Hubei Province, and was established on June 19, 2003. The company was listed on September 13, 2016. Its main business involves the research, manufacturing, and sales of chromium salt products, as well as the comprehensive utilization of chromium salt by-products and other solid waste resources [1]. Financial Performance - As of the report date, Zhuhai shares increased by 5.03%, trading at 18.60 CNY per share, with a transaction volume of 230 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.77%. The total market capitalization is 13.22 billion CNY [1]. Revenue Composition - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: 114.86% from the inorganic salt-related industry, 3.09% from logistics transportation, and 1.82% from other sources [1]. Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten heavy stocks of funds, one fund under Rongtong has a significant holding in Zhuhai shares. The Rongtong Growth 30 Flexible Allocation Mixed A/B Fund (002252) reduced its holdings by 146,900 shares in the second quarter, retaining 398,200 shares, which accounts for 3.2% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest heavy stock. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 354,400 CNY [2]. Fund Performance - The Rongtong Growth 30 Flexible Allocation Mixed A/B Fund was established on December 11, 2015, with a latest scale of 86.97 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 24.09%, ranking 3540 out of 8174 in its category. Over the past year, the return is 34.34%, ranking 4687 out of 7981. Since inception, the fund has achieved a return of 223.63% [2]. Fund Management - The fund manager of Rongtong Growth 30 Flexible Allocation Mixed A/B is Li Wenhai, who has been in the position for 2 years and 128 days. The total asset size of the fund is 348 million CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 39.59% and the worst return being 18.29% [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zhuhua Co., Ltd. experienced a decline in stock price, dropping by 5.08% to 16.82 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 372 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.07%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 11.955 billion CNY [1] - Zhuhua Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the research, manufacturing, and sales of chromium salt products, with its main business revenue composition being 114.86% from inorganic salt-related industries, 3.09% from logistics transportation, and 1.82% from other sources [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, only one fund under Guotai Fund has a significant position in Zhuhua Co., Ltd., specifically the Guotai CSI 2000 ETF, which held 1,820 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 0.28% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fourth largest holding [2] - The Guotai CSI 2000 ETF has a total scale of 9.7484 million CNY and has achieved a return of 29.26% this year, ranking 1230 out of 4222 in its category, with a one-year return of 71.05%, ranking 904 out of 3789 [2]