Market Overview - On May 12, both A-share and Hong Kong markets experienced a significant rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising nearly 1% and the ChiNext Index increasing over 2% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 1.34 trillion yuan, marking an increase of 118.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - The Hong Kong market also saw a substantial increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising nearly 3% and the Hang Seng Technology Index up over 5% [1][3] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, sectors such as military industry, Apple supply chain, and robotics showed strong performance, with the defense industry leading with a 4.80% increase [2][4] - Notable stocks in the defense sector included AVIC Chengfei, Morningstar Aviation, and Aerospace South Lake, all reaching the daily limit of 20% increase [2] - In the Hong Kong market, non-essential consumer goods, industrials, and information technology sectors were among the top performers [3] Fund Flow - On May 12, net inflow of main funds in the A-share market exceeded 13 billion yuan, with 2,400 stocks experiencing net inflows [3][4] - The top sectors for net inflow included electric power equipment, defense industry, and electronics, with inflows of 2.998 billion yuan, 2.673 billion yuan, and 2.550 billion yuan respectively [4] - In the Hong Kong market, companies actively repurchased shares, with a total repurchase amount exceeding 2.7 billion Hong Kong dollars in May [3][4] Valuation and Investment Outlook - The rolling P/E ratio for the entire A-share market was reported at 19.10 times, while the Hang Seng Index stood at 10.25 times, indicating attractive valuations for both markets [4] - Analysts express optimism about the potential for gradual upward movement in the A-share market amid a stabilizing environment, with a focus on sectors like AI applications, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption [5][6] - The Hong Kong market is expected to benefit from recent monetary easing policies, with analysts suggesting a focus on consumer and technology sectors, as well as high dividend yield sectors [6]

Group 1: Military Industry - The military-related concepts experienced a significant surge, with the China Shipbuilding sector rising by 6.55%, Chengfei concept up by 5.77%, and military electronics increasing by 5.21% [2] - Individual stocks such as AVIC Chengfei (302132.SZ) hit a 20% limit up, marking a nearly 62% increase over the last four trading days [2] - The recent India-Pakistan conflict has positively impacted the reputation of China's military industry, leading to heightened investment sentiment [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Context - The frequency of geopolitical conflicts has increased, which may lead to a rise in demand for China's advanced weaponry in the global market [4] - The article from People's Daily titled "Accelerate the Liberation and Development of New Quality Combat Power" is expected to further enhance market attention towards the military sector [4] Group 3: Apple Supply Chain - The Apple supply chain stocks, including Lens Technology (300433.SZ) and Changying Precision (300115.SZ), also saw significant gains [5] - Apple announced price reductions for various iPhone models, which may stimulate consumer demand and positively affect the overall performance of the supply chain [5] - Recent developments in US-China trade relations, including a 90-day suspension of 24% tariffs, have provided additional support for Apple-related stocks [6] Group 4: Market Performance - The three major indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.82%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.72%, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.63% [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached approximately 1.31 trillion yuan [2]

证券代码：603712 证券简称：七一二 公告编号：临 2025-020 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 天津七一二通信广播股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东天津智博 智能科技发展有限公司（以下简称"智博科技"）持有公司股份 370,386,200 股，占公司总股本比例为 47.98%。本次解除质押后，智博科技累计质押公司 股份 172,018,000 股，占其持有公司股份总数的 46.44%，占公司总股本的 22.28%。 智博科技于 2024 年 11 月 11 日办理了股票质押式回购业务，质押 7,809,800 股，上述内容详见公司于2024年11月14日在上海证券交易所披露的临2024-047 号公告。 公司于 2025 年 5 月 12 日收到控股股东智博科技的通知，智博科技于 2025 年 5 月 9 日办理了该笔质押股票解质押手续，解除质押 7,809,800 股。具体情况 如下： 天津七一二通信广播股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股权解除质押的公告 本次股份解除质押后，如有 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 24.05 CNY, based on a current price of 19.99 CNY [7]. Core Insights - The company is a core supplier of military communication products and is expected to benefit from a new procurement cycle driven by the military's informationization efforts and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][41]. - The company has faced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, primarily due to industry cyclical adjustments and a decrease in new orders [3][23]. - The military communication sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in orders, which could lead to a reversal in the company's performance [4][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1936, is a major electronic enterprise focused on military and civilian wireless communication, as well as environmental monitoring [2][14]. - It was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2018 and is controlled by the Tianjin State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][14]. Market Opportunities - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is nearing its end, and the company is expected to release previously delayed orders, which, combined with the new equipment from the "15th Five-Year Plan," may lead to a new inventory cycle in the military information sector [3][24]. - The demand for military and civilian communication products is projected to increase due to the modernization of military capabilities and the expansion of transportation infrastructure [4][42]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.16 billion CNY, a decrease of 34.09% year-on-year, and a net loss of 248.82 million CNY, a decline of 156.58% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue and net profit showed an upward trend from 2019 to 2022, but faced challenges in 2024 due to market conditions [3][24]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts a recovery in revenue growth from 2025 onwards, with expected growth rates of 30%, 25%, and 20% for the years 2025 to 2027 [46][47]. - The company is projected to maintain a relatively high gross margin and return on equity (ROE) despite recent declines [28][29]. R&D and Competitive Advantage - The company emphasizes R&D, with R&D expenses accounting for 29.27% of revenue in 2024, reflecting its commitment to innovation and maintaining a competitive edge [33][34]. - It holds numerous patents and has been involved in the development of various wireless communication standards, enhancing its industry influence [33][34].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 24.05 CNY, based on a current price of 19.99 CNY [7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a core supplier of military communication products, benefiting from the ongoing modernization of military communication systems and the anticipated recovery in orders during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [3][4]. - The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, primarily due to industry cyclical adjustments and a decrease in new orders, but it is expected to recover as delayed orders are released and new equipment is procured [3][24]. - The company maintains a strong focus on R&D, with R&D expenses constituting 29.27% of revenue in 2024, which supports its competitive advantage in the military communication sector [33][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1936, is a major electronic enterprise specializing in military and civilian wireless communication, as well as environmental monitoring [2][14]. - It was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2018 and is controlled by the Tianjin State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][14]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.15 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 34.09%, and a net loss of 248.82 million CNY, a decline of 156.58% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue and net profit showed an upward trend from 2019 to 2022, but faced challenges in 2024 due to market conditions [24][26]. Market Outlook - The military communication sector is expected to see increased demand due to the modernization of the military and the emphasis on information technology in warfare [37][41]. - The civilian communication market is also projected to grow, driven by national transportation infrastructure development and the integration of various transportation systems [42][44]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, with projected increases of 30% in 2025, 25% in 2026, and 20% in 2027 for terminal products [46][47]. - The report suggests that the company’s competitive advantages and market position will allow it to outperform its peers in the military communication sector [5][46].

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by two main factors: the easing of the India-Pakistan conflict and the emphasis on technological advancements in military capabilities [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector saw a substantial increase, with over 30 stocks, including China Shipbuilding, reaching their daily limit or rising over 10% [1] - The military ETF rose nearly 6%, indicating strong investor interest in the sector [1] Group 2: Influencing Factors - An article published by the People's Daily highlighted the need to accelerate the development of new combat capabilities, emphasizing the role of high-tech weapons, smart technology, unmanned equipment, and big data applications as new growth points for military effectiveness [1] - The global military trade sales are projected to reach $111.6 billion in 2024, indicating significant potential for growth in the military sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by geopolitical factors and advancements in technology, with a notable increase in military trade potential for 2024 [1][4][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector saw a strong rebound, with the military ETF rising nearly 6% and over 30 stocks hitting the daily limit or increasing by more than 10% [1][3]. - The backdrop of easing tensions in the India-Pakistan conflict has contributed to this unexpected rally in the military sector [3][6]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - A recent article from the People's Daily emphasized the rapid development of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, highlighting the importance of high-tech weapons in modern warfare [3][4]. - Key growth areas for military capabilities include intelligent technology, unmanned equipment, and big data applications [3][4]. Group 3: Global Military Trade - The global military trade sales are projected to reach $111.6 billion in 2024, with the United States accounting for $42.33 billion, representing 37.92% of the total [4][6]. - The geopolitical landscape, particularly the India-Pakistan conflict, is expected to enhance military trade potential [4][6]. Group 4: Funding and Investment Outlook - Recent data indicates an improvement in the funding landscape for the military sector, with an increase in passive fund sizes and leverage compared to the previous week [4][6]. - Analysts are optimistic about the military industry's recovery in demand by 2025, suggesting a favorable investment environment [4][6]. Group 5: Company Performance and Future Plans - Companies in the military sector are showing confidence in their growth plans for 2025, with significant revenue and profit targets set by firms like Beifang Navigation and Zhongbing Hongjian [7]. - The military sector is expected to see continued activity in themes such as low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, deep-sea technology, and military intelligence [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a positive trend in the military industry, with military stocks showing signs of recovery and potential growth due to increasing demand and favorable market conditions [1][2] - The high-end equipment ETF (159638) has performed well, with a weekly increase of 5.7%, indicating strong investor interest in military-related assets [1] - Active equity funds have reduced their allocation to military stocks, reaching a historical low, which may suggest a potential undervaluation in the sector as the current price-to-book ratio is around 3.12, placing it in the lower range compared to the past five years [1][2] Group 2 - There are indications of improving fundamentals in the military sector, with some upstream companies reporting significant order growth, suggesting a recovery in demand [2] - Long-term perspectives suggest that military spending may increase as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its conclusion, with potential growth in sectors like low-altitude economy, deep-sea technology, and commercial aerospace [2] - The military industry is expected to see a resurgence in market activity, driven by improved fundamentals and heightened investor interest in themes such as military trade and commercial aerospace, which could lead to a sustained rally in military stocks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry stocks are experiencing a strong upward trend, with several stocks hitting their daily limit up, indicating significant investor interest and potential growth in this sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Qifeng Precision Engineering reached its historical high with a 30% limit up [1] - Kunshan Intelligent (301311), Aerospace Nanhu, and Huaru Technology (301302) saw a 20% limit up [1] - AVIC Chengfei (302132), Hongda Electronics (300726), and Chenxi Aviation (300581) increased by over 10% [1] - Nearly 20 stocks, including Qiyi Er (603712) and Leike Defense (002413), hit the limit up [1] Group 2: Market Activity - Dark pool funds are flowing into these military stocks, indicating increased trading activity and potential investment interest [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.61 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to recover from the current downturn as the military industry gradually returns to normalcy, driven by the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4][12]. - The company has faced significant revenue declines due to a slowdown in demand from downstream customers, with a projected revenue of 2.154 billion RMB in 2024, down 34.09% year-on-year [1][6]. - Despite the challenges, the company is actively expanding into new fields and clients, particularly in military and civilian wireless communication sectors, which are anticipated to see a recovery in demand [2][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.154 billion RMB, with a net loss of 249 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 156.58% [1][6]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 31.06%, down 10.79 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is projected at -11.55%, down 25.01 percentage points [3][4]. - The company aims to achieve a net profit of 253 million RMB in 2025, with further growth expected in subsequent years [4][12]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is expected to recover to 2.373 billion RMB in 2025, followed by 3.007 billion RMB in 2026 and 3.675 billion RMB in 2027, indicating a growth trajectory [6][12]. - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 253 million RMB, 322 million RMB, and 399 million RMB, respectively [4][12]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in gross margins, with expectations of 40.09% in 2025 [12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company continues to strengthen its position in military and civilian wireless communication, with several successful bids for military communication projects [2][4]. - The company is also focusing on technological advancements and new business areas, including 5G applications and smart systems [2][4].