丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨通信设备Ⅲ [Table_Title] 通信行业周观点：AI 高景气延续，海内外算力链 齐发力 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年第 34 周，通信板块上涨 10.43%，在长江一级行业中排名第 1 位；2025 年年初以来， 通信板块上涨 44.59%，在长江一级行业中排名第 1 位。DeepSeek 推出 V3.1 模型支持 UE8M0 FP8；Meta 与谷歌达成逾 100 亿美元云计算大单；英伟达发布 Spectrum-XGS，开创 scale- across 互联。AI 与算力主线景气延续，国产与海外算力链齐步向前。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 通信设备Ⅲ cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 通信行业周观点： 2] AI 高景气延续，海内外算力 链齐发力 [Table_Summary2] 板块行情 于海宁 SAC：S0490517110002 SFC：BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 2025 年第 34 周，通信板块上涨 10.43% ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, indicating a continuation of high prosperity driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (August 18-24, 2025) shows the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.57%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.85%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan index, increased by 10.84% [2][11]. - Among the sub-sectors, communication network equipment and devices had the highest increase at 17.14%, while communication cables and accessories had the lowest at 1.19% [2][14]. - Notable individual stock performances included ZTE Corporation with a rise of 32.21%, Ruijie Networks at 32.17%, and Dekoli at 30.87% [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with significant contributions from advancements in AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2]. - The report highlights a strong upward trend across various sub-sectors within telecommunications, with the overall index showing a substantial increase [2][11]. Sub-sector Performance - The communication network equipment and devices sub-sector led the gains with a 17.14% increase, while other sub-sectors also showed positive trends [2][14]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of individual stocks, particularly ZTE Corporation, which achieved the highest increase in the sector [2][16]. Investment Focus Areas - The report suggests focusing on the computing power supply chain and satellite internet as key areas for investment opportunities [3]. - The launch of the Deepseek V3.1 model is noted as a significant development, indicating a shift towards domestic hardware capabilities in the computing power sector [3][32]. Company Announcements - Key announcements from companies in the telecommunications sector include significant revenue growth reported by various firms, with ZTE Corporation leading in market share for AI equipment procurement [34][22]. - The report details the financial performance of several companies, highlighting their revenue and profit growth compared to previous years [34].

Investment Strategy - Concerns over Nvidia's security may accelerate the replacement of domestic chips, creating a vacuum in the supply of computing chips in China. Recent advancements in domestic computing cards are expected to drive rapid development in the related industry chain. Nvidia's H20 computing chip has been reported to have serious security issues, which could negatively impact its future orders in the Chinese market. In 2024, over 50% of the data center accelerator cards in China are expected to be inference cards, with domestic computing cards projected to account for over 40% by the first half of 2025. The domestic accelerated computing server market is expected to grow by 97.3% year-on-year in 2024 and by 52.9% in 2025 [10][12][13] - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1 is expected to enhance the usability of domestic computing cards in large model applications. The V3.1 version supports UE8M0 FP8 precision, which significantly reduces storage and improves computational throughput compared to traditional FP16 and FP32 formats. This advancement is anticipated to lead to a qualitative leap in the application of domestic computing cards [11][14] - The demand for computing infrastructure from operators and cloud vendors is clear, with capital expenditures expected to increase in the second half of the year. The three major operators reported good growth in computing-related business revenues, with China Telecom's cloud service revenue at 57.3 billion yuan, China Unicom's at 37.6 billion yuan, and China Mobile's at 56.1 billion yuan. Capital expenditures for the first half of 2025 are projected to be 494 billion yuan for China Telecom, 348 billion yuan for China Unicom, and 928 billion yuan for China Mobile, accounting for 59.1%, 63.3%, and 61.4% of their annual expenditures respectively [12][13][18] Industry News - The successful launch of the low-orbit satellite internet 09 group marks a significant step in China's satellite internet development, with the country entering a high-density launch phase. This mission was the 590th flight of the Long March series of rockets, and it is expected to enhance the satellite internet network [15][16] - The budget for the 2025 rocket launch service procurement project by Shanghai Yuanxin Satellite Technology Co., Ltd. is approximately 1.336 billion yuan, with a focus on launching 94 satellites across seven missions. This indicates a growing emphasis on satellite internet and commercial space development in China [16][17] - Capital expenditures by the three major operators in the first half of 2025 were the lowest in recent years, totaling 112.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.5% year-on-year. However, there is an expectation of increased investment in AI and computing infrastructure in the second half of the year, which could significantly boost the domestic computing chain [18][19] Weekly Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a significant increase of 10.47% this week, outperforming major indices. The IDC and optical module sectors continued to lead gains, with increases of 14.59% and 14.41% respectively. The overall performance of the communication sector suggests strong investment opportunities in domestic computing chains and satellite internet [19][20]

Group 1 - The Terahertz concept sector increased by 3.01%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with 13 stocks rising, including Changfei Optical Fiber which hit the daily limit, and Tianyin Electromechanical, Chuangyuan Xinke, and Hengtong Optic-Electric showing significant gains of 9.17%, 8.48%, and 7.96% respectively [1] - The Terahertz concept sector experienced a net outflow of 935 million yuan, with 10 stocks seeing net inflows, and 5 stocks receiving over 100 million yuan in net inflows, led by Hengtong Optic-Electric with a net inflow of 298 million yuan [2] - In terms of capital inflow ratios, Changfei Optical Fiber, Shenglu Communication, and Hengtong Optic-Electric had the highest net inflow rates at 36.14%, 10.11%, and 9.21% respectively [3] Group 2 - The top gainers in the Terahertz concept included Hengtong Optic-Electric with a 7.96% increase, and Tianyin Electromechanical with a 9.17% increase, while the top losers included Taihao Technology with a 3.04% decrease [4] - The overall performance of the Terahertz concept was part of a broader market trend, with various sectors experiencing mixed results, such as Rare Earth Permanent Magnets rising by 4.88% and the Horse Racing concept declining by 0.49% [2]

Market Performance - A-share market experienced significant trading volume, with total turnover reaching 31,770 billion yuan, marking a new high for the year and the second highest in history [1][3] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index approached 3,900 points, with the Shanghai index closing at 3,883.56 points, up 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index rising by 3% [2][3] Trading Activity - Over 3,300 stocks in the market saw an increase, with five stocks exceeding 20 billion yuan in trading volume, including Dongfang Caifu, Hanwujing-U, and Beifang Rare Earth [3] - Notable sectors included digital currency, consumer goods, and liquor, with several stocks hitting their daily limit [2][3] Investor Sentiment - There has been a notable increase in new A-share accounts, with 1.9636 million new accounts opened in July, a 71% increase year-on-year [4] - International funds are increasingly entering the Chinese market, with significant growth in Korean retail investors' holdings in Chinese stocks [4] Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current market rally is primarily driven by institutional investors rather than retail investors, indicating a more strategic approach to investment [5] - The market sentiment remains positive, with expectations of continued upward movement, although caution is advised regarding potential overheating [7]

Group 1 - The stock price of ZTE Corporation was reported at 45.84 yuan, down 1.53% from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price for the day was 47.58 yuan, with a high of 47.90 yuan and a low of 44.48 yuan, resulting in a volatility of 7.35% [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 4.4766 million hands, with a transaction amount of 20.601 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 11.12% [1] Group 2 - ZTE Corporation's main business includes communication network equipment, terminal products, and technical services, providing solutions for global telecom operators and enterprise customers [1] - The company's product offerings include wireless communication systems, optical transmission equipment, and data communication devices, with a complete industrial chain layout in the 5G network construction sector [1] Group 3 - The net outflow of main funds for ZTE Corporation on that day was 1.372 billion yuan, accounting for 0.74% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net inflow of main funds was 2.452 billion yuan, representing 1.33% of the circulating market value [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [5][28][7] Core Insights - The report highlights the combination of subsidy policies and trade incentives aimed at boosting consumer spending in the smart home sector, particularly through the promotion of old-for-new exchange programs and interest subsidies [3][19][28] - The smart home index has shown significant growth, outperforming major indices, indicating a robust market performance [12][16] - The report emphasizes the ongoing technological advancements in IoT, AI, and big data, which are expected to enhance product offerings and meet diverse consumer needs [5][28] Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (August 9-22, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 5.24%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 9.32%, and the ChiNext Index by 14.94%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 14.16%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 8.92 percentage points [12][16] - Year-to-date performance shows the smart home index up by 27.75%, significantly ahead of the Shanghai Composite's 14.14% increase [12][15] - Within the smart home index, the electronic components and parts sector saw a 23.68% increase over the past two weeks, while year-to-date gains were 62.20% [16][17] Industry Policy Tracking - A national conference was held to advance the old-for-new exchange program for consumer goods, emphasizing the government's commitment to stimulating consumption through coordinated policy efforts [18] - The combination of interest subsidy policies with the old-for-new exchange program aims to enhance consumer spending and market vitality [19][21] Industry News Tracking - Sales of old-for-new related and upgraded products have performed well, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales for home appliances and communication devices [24] - Aux Electric has passed the listing hearing for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step towards its market entry [25][26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the smart home industry will benefit from government policies aimed at expanding consumer spending, technological advancements, and increasing domestic demand driven by rising living standards and aging population [5][28]

（原标题：主力资金丨尾盘主力资金大幅抢筹7股） 6个行业获主力资金净流入。 据证券时报·数据宝统计，今日（8月25日）沪深两市主力资金净流出442.91亿元，其中创业板净流出116.17亿元，沪深300成份股净流出147.88亿 元。 行业板块方面，申万一级31个行业全线上涨，通信和有色金属行业涨幅居前，均超4%；房地产和综合行业均涨超3%，钢铁、商贸零售、食品饮 料、建筑材料和电子等行业均涨超2%。 从资金流向来看，申万一级行业中，6个行业获主力资金净流入。有色金属、食品饮料、房地产行业净流入金额居前，均超11亿元；钢铁、商贸零 售和综合行业净流入金额均超2亿元。 25个主力资金净流出的行业中，计算机和电子行业净流出金额居前，均超100亿元；基础化工、非银金融、机械设备、汽车和医药生物行业净流出 金额均超25亿元。 4股获主力资金大手笔抢筹均超10亿元 从个股来看，101股主力资金净流入均超1亿元，其中18股净流入均超3亿元。4股主力资金净流入金额均超10亿元，分别为领益智造、东方精工、 万科A、中文在线。 消费电子概念股领益智造涨停，主力资金净流入11.9亿元，居首。机器人概念股东方精工也涨停，主力资金净 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese asset market is experiencing a comprehensive rise, with significant increases in stocks, bonds, and currency, driven by ample domestic liquidity and positive market sentiment [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index is projected to reach 3900 points soon, with a target of 4000 points by the end of the week, as per HSBC's revised forecasts [2]. - HSBC has raised its end-2025 targets for major indices: Shanghai Composite from 3700 to 4000, CSI 300 from 4300 to 4600, and Shenzhen Component from 11500 to 13000, indicating a potential upside of 5-7% [2][3]. Sector Analysis - The market is seeing strong performance in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, and consumer goods, with significant inflows from foreign investors [4][8]. - The dividend yields for major indices are as follows: Shanghai Composite at 2.8%, CSI 300 at 2.6%, and Shenzhen Component at 2.1% [3]. Profit Growth Projections - Estimated net profit growth for 2025 is 9.4% for the Shanghai Composite, 8.6% for CSI 300, and 38.7% for Shenzhen Component, with further growth expected in 2026 [3]. Investment Trends - There is a notable increase in trading volume, with the total market turnover exceeding 31.77 billion yuan, marking a historical high [8]. - The real estate sector is reacting positively to anticipated policy changes, with companies like Vanke seeing significant stock price increases [7]. Foreign Investment Dynamics - Northbound capital transactions reached 404.54 billion yuan, with major purchases in stocks like ZTE Corporation and Kweichow Moutai [21][23]. Valuation Insights - Current PE ratios in sectors such as agriculture, food and beverage, and non-bank financials are at historical low percentiles, indicating potential undervaluation [30].

港交所消息：8月19日，瑞银集团持有的 中兴通讯 H股淡仓比例从4.95%增至5.51%。 ...