Group 1: Market Movements - The A-share market saw a significant surge, with major indices reaching new highs for the year, particularly driven by the engineering machinery sector, which rose over 6% [3][5] - Leading stocks in the engineering machinery sector, such as SANY Heavy Industry and Zoomlion, experienced substantial gains, with SANY nearing a 9% increase and Zoomlion close to 8% [5][6] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to create a demand for various types of construction machinery, including earth-moving, concrete, and tunneling equipment [7][8] - The project is anticipated to generate a demand boost for the engineering machinery sector, estimated to be between 100 billion to 150 billion yuan [8] - The high-altitude and complex geological conditions of the project will likely favor electric and unmanned construction machinery, potentially increasing the value of individual equipment [8] Group 3: Steel Sector Impact - The steel sector is also benefiting from the hydropower project, with significant increases in stock prices for companies like Xining Special Steel and Liugang [4][10] - The project is projected to consume over 2 million tons of steel, further stimulating demand in the construction materials sector [10] Group 4: Broader Economic Context - The Chinese government is implementing proactive macroeconomic policies, with a notable increase in local government special bond issuance, which reached 2.39 trillion yuan by July 20, 2023 [14] - The ongoing infrastructure investment is expected to maintain steady growth, supported by the government's rich policy toolbox and timely market responses [14]

Core Viewpoint - Zoomlion is expected to deeply participate in the core aspects of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, which is a significant national strategic initiative with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The total investment for the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is around 1.2 trillion yuan [1] - The construction of the project is anticipated to positively impact the demand for engineering machinery and equipment [1] Group 2: Equipment Demand - The project is expected to have substantial demand for earthmoving machinery, concrete machinery, lifting machinery, foundation construction machinery, and tunnel boring machinery [1] Group 3: Company Positioning - Zoomlion, as a leading global high-end equipment manufacturing company, has established long-term strategic partnerships with the contractors related to the project [1] - The company is well-positioned to engage in the core construction phases of the project [1]

Group 1 - The AMAC Specialized Equipment Index increased by 1.29%, closing at 3496.58 points with a trading volume of 81.175 billion [1] - The AMAC Specialized Equipment Index has risen by 5.85% in the past month, 8.72% in the past three months, and 7.57% year-to-date [1] - The index is based on the classification guidelines from the China Securities Association and includes 43 industry classification indices [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the AMAC Specialized Equipment Index include: North China Innovation (6.49%), Mindray Medical (6.42%), Sany Heavy Industry (5.43%), and others [1] - The market share of the AMAC Specialized Equipment Index is 57.23% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and 42.77% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 3 - The industry composition of the AMAC Specialized Equipment Index shows that industrials account for 53.32%, healthcare for 24.75%, and information technology for 17.44% [2] - Other sectors include energy (1.75%), consumer discretionary (0.89%), financials (0.59%), materials (0.51%), utilities (0.39%), real estate (0.24%), and consumer staples (0.13%) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Yarlung Tsangpo River Hydropower Station project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is not only a massive infrastructure initiative but also holds significant economic, energy, and geopolitical implications for China [1]. Investment and Economic Impact - The project is expected to generate over 20 billion yuan in annual fiscal revenue for Tibet, highlighting its potential economic benefits [1]. - Despite the slowdown in traditional large-scale infrastructure projects, strategic projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo Hydropower Station continue to receive investment due to their long-term significance for energy security and ecological protection [1]. Project Specifications - The total investment for the project is 1.2 trillion yuan, which includes the construction of five large dams and aims for a total installed capacity of 60 to 81 million kilowatts, equivalent to three Three Gorges dams [1]. - If fully operational, the hydropower station could generate 300 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, potentially earning 75 billion yuan from electricity sales alone [1]. Engineering Machinery Demand - It is estimated that at least 15% of the total investment (approximately 180 billion yuan) will be allocated to construction equipment, indicating a significant demand for engineering machinery [5]. - The major players in the engineering machinery sector, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and LiuGong, are expected to benefit from this demand, although their combined domestic revenue in 2024 is projected to be less than 120 billion yuan [5][6]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - The profitability of medium and large-tonnage equipment is expected to be higher than that of smaller equipment, with a potential net profit margin of 10% for the machinery used in the Yarlung Tsangpo project, translating to over 18 billion yuan in profits for the engineering machinery sector [6]. - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo project is anticipated to significantly boost the profitability of the engineering machinery industry, which has been facing challenges in recent years [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the engineering machinery industry [1] Core Insights - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project presents significant opportunities for the engineering machinery industry, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan and an expected annual power generation of 300 billion kWh, which is three times that of the Three Gorges Dam [1][2] - The project is expected to drive domestic demand for engineering machinery, with a projected demand increase of 100-150 billion yuan annually, potentially rising to 150-200 billion yuan when considering electrification and automation trends [2] - The overseas market for engineering machinery is showing signs of recovery, with a significant portion of profits (over 80%) coming from international markets, particularly in regions like Indonesia, South America, Africa, the Middle East, and Europe [3] Summary by Sections Yarlung Tsangpo Project Impact - The Yarlung Tsangpo project involves the construction of five hydropower stations with a total installed capacity of 60 GW, significantly boosting the demand for various types of engineering machinery [1][2] Electrification and Automation - The high-altitude environment of the project site is expected to favor the adoption of electric and unmanned machinery, enhancing the value of each unit and increasing the overall market size beyond initial estimates [2] Profitability and Market Trends - The report anticipates a profit increase of 30-40 billion yuan annually for major machinery manufacturers, with an overall profit estimate of 170 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a profit elasticity of over 20% [2] - The domestic non-excavation segment is expected to recover, reducing profit drag on major manufacturers, with gross margins projected to improve from 15% to 20% by mid-2025 [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that large infrastructure projects will boost domestic demand, indicating a clear upward trend in the industry [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Market Weight" [36] Core Viewpoints - In June 2025, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.26% and a month-on-month increase of 3.31%. Domestic sales were 8,136 units, up 6.20% year-on-year but down 3.05% month-on-month. Export sales were 10,668 units, up 19.30% year-on-year and 8.75% month-on-month, accounting for 56.73% of total sales [2] - Loader sales in June 2025 totaled 12,014 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.30% and a month-on-month increase of 14.04%. Domestic sales were 6,015 units, up 13.58% year-on-year but down 0.36% month-on-month. Export sales were 5,999 units, up 9.11% year-on-year and 33.37% month-on-month [3] - The average working hours and operating rates of major construction machinery products decreased by 8.56% and 2.65 percentage points respectively, indicating weak terminal demand. However, the report suggests that sufficient project reserves in domestic downstream sectors could enhance operating rates if funding is timely [4] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - June 2025 excavator sales: 18,804 units, +13.26% YoY, +3.31% MoM - Domestic sales: 8,136 units, +6.20% YoY, -3.05% MoM - Export sales: 10,668 units, +19.30% YoY, +8.75% MoM, 56.73% of total sales - H1 2025 cumulative sales: 120,520 units, +16.77% YoY [2] Loader Sales - June 2025 loader sales: 12,014 units, +11.30% YoY, +14.04% MoM - Domestic sales: 6,015 units, +13.58% YoY, -0.36% MoM - Export sales: 5,999 units, +9.11% YoY, +33.37% MoM - H1 2025 cumulative sales: 64,769 units, +13.59% YoY [3] Market Outlook - The report highlights a positive outlook for overseas expansion of domestic manufacturers, which is expected to enhance global penetration of domestic equipment. The export trade value of construction machinery in May 2025 was $5.024 billion, up 8.64% YoY, while the cumulative export value from January to May was $23.097 billion, up 9.00% YoY [4]

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, China Enterprise Dividend Mixed A (019015), reported a profit of 1.6032 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a net value growth rate of 4.59% during the period, and a total fund size of 33.8038 million yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [3][16]. Fund Performance - As of July 18, the unit net value was 1.128 yuan, with a one-year cumulative net value growth rate of 9.58%, ranking 446 out of 584 comparable funds [3][4]. - The fund's performance over the last three months showed a growth rate of 8.11%, ranking 436 out of 615, and over the last six months, it had a growth rate of 9.65%, ranking 338 out of 615 [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager indicated that with the implementation of U.S. President Trump's tariff policies, global trade tensions are rising. They believe that state-owned enterprise stocks with self-controllable and domestic demand attributes will have better defensive characteristics [3]. - The report suggests that the concept of "dividend" investment, particularly high-dividend stocks, is expected to expand to broadly defined dividend stocks with potential high dividend capabilities. These companies typically have high operational barriers, stable ROE, and abundant operating cash flow, indicating a potential for sustained dividends while still being undervalued historically [3]. Fund Holdings - As of June 27, the fund's top ten holdings included Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shandong Publishing Group, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., New Media Group, Bohai Ferry, Phoenix Media, Nanjing Steel Group, Nanjing High Accurate Drive Equipment Manufacturing Group, China Shenhua Energy Company, and China Construction Bank [19]. Risk Metrics - The fund has a Sharpe ratio of 0.6765 since inception, indicating a reasonable risk-adjusted return [9]. - The maximum drawdown since inception is 14.12%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2024 at 11.88% [12]. Fund Positioning - The average stock position since inception has been 91.66%, compared to the peer average of 83.17%. The fund reached a peak stock position of 93.42% at the end of Q1 2024 and a low of 89.12% at the end of 2024 [15].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co., Ltd., has clarified that an individual involved in a controversial video is not an employee or authorized dealer, and their actions are unrelated to the company [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Overview - A video surfaced on social media showing a driver of an off-road vehicle verbally abusing a motorcyclist, which led to public outcry due to the driver wearing clothing with the company's logo [3]. - The company responded promptly, stating that the individual in the video has no employment relationship with them and that their inappropriate behavior does not reflect the company's values [3]. Group 2: Company Response - On July 19, the company conducted a thorough investigation and confirmed that the individual had previously engaged in business dealings with them, but is not currently affiliated with the company [1][3]. - The company emphasized that the individual's actions are personal and do not represent the company or its interests [1][3]. Group 3: Legal Consequences - The individual involved, identified as Li, admitted to his misconduct and was administratively detained for disturbing public order [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (stock code: 000157), has clarified that a man featured in a viral video is not associated with the company or its authorized dealers, and his actions are personal and unrelated to the company [1] Group 1 - The company has received inquiries regarding the viral video titled "Off-Road Vehicle Do Not Park Motorcycle" and has taken the matter seriously [1] - An internal investigation confirmed that the individual in the video has never had an employment relationship with the company [1] - The business cooperation between the individual’s company and Zoomlion was terminated at the end of 2024, and the individual is not currently affiliated with the company [1] Group 2 - The company emphasizes its commitment to corporate reputation and insists on high standards of professional ethics and social responsibility among its employees [1] - The company aims to actively maintain a harmonious and friendly social environment [1]

Macro and Strategy Research - In June, social financing increased by over 90 billion yuan year-on-year, with government bond financing contributing over 50 billion yuan, indicating a strong support for social financing growth [2] - The short-term loans for enterprises increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 110 billion yuan in June, reflecting a cautious approach towards long-term loans due to external uncertainties and profit pressures [2][3] - M1 growth rate rebounded significantly by 2.3 percentage points to 4.6% in June, driven by accelerated fiscal spending and a reduction in seasonal government deposits [3] Economic Data Review - The actual GDP growth rate for Q2 2025 was 5.2%, slightly below expectations, while the industrial added value in June grew by 6.8%, exceeding expectations [5] - The contribution rates of final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation, and net exports to GDP growth were 52.3%, 24.7%, and 23.0% respectively, indicating consumption as the main driver of GDP growth [5] - The industrial production index showed a significant rebound in June, supported by increased working days and the release of policies [6] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth has declined for three consecutive months, with manufacturing investment decreasing by 2.7 percentage points to 5.1% in June, reflecting cautious corporate investment sentiment [7] - Real estate investment growth rate fell to -12.9%, indicating ongoing demand-side pressures in the real estate sector [8] Industry Research - The mechanical equipment industry saw a 1.56% increase in the index from July 9 to July 15, outperforming the broader market [10] - Excavator sales in June reached 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, indicating a strong domestic market for construction machinery [10] - The easing of tariff uncertainties in Southeast Asia is expected to positively impact export dynamics in the mechanical equipment sector [10]