Core Viewpoint - The press conference held by the State Council Information Office reflects the policy goal of stabilizing the capital market, which is beneficial for maintaining short-term risk appetite and overall activity in the A-share market, particularly favoring opportunities in the technology sector [1]. Group 1: Financial Policy and Market Stability - The introduction of a package of financial policies aims to support market stability and expectations [1]. - The timing of the press conference indicates a proactive approach to stabilize the capital market [1]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - According to the first quarter reports, both the consumer and technology sectors show strengthened expectations for growth [1]. - In April, structural opportunities within the consumer industry were highlighted, while the technology sector continues to experience a phase of adjustment [1]. - The consumer sector currently exhibits a relatively high profit effect, whereas the technology sector is at a relatively low level [1].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Key Points - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is expected to turn profitable in 2024, but profits in Q1 2025 are projected to decline by 30% quarter-on-quarter due to falling pig prices and seasonal weakness in meat consumption [1][2] - Major pig farming companies, such as Wens Foodstuffs and Muyuan Foods, contributed 88% of the industry's profits, indicating a concentration of profitability among leading firms [1][3] - The cost optimization in pig farming for 2024 is primarily driven by a 9%-10% decrease in feed prices, while improvements in farming performance contributed only 2%-3% [1][5] - The asset-liability ratio of listed pig farming companies stabilized in Q1 2025, but production biological assets decreased by 4% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting a strategic reduction in breeding sows to mitigate future market risks [1][6] - The forecast for pig prices in 2025 suggests a downward trend, although post-Spring Festival performance may exceed expectations, necessitating a reassessment of the impact of secondary fattening [1][7] Subsector Analysis: Pig Farming Key Points - In 2024, listed pig farming companies saw a revenue increase of 2%-3% and a net profit of 31 billion yuan, marking a significant turnaround after three years of losses [3][4] - The average profit per head for leading companies remains robust, with Shennong Group maintaining profits above 300 yuan per head, while other companies face potential losses [8] Subsector Analysis: Poultry Farming Key Points - The white feather chicken market is experiencing price declines, with a 15% increase in supply in Q1 2025 leading to a 40% drop in chick prices [9][10] - Despite price pressures, the profitability of parent stock chickens remains strong, while the commodity chicken segment faces significant supply-demand challenges [10] Subsector Analysis: Pet Food Industry Key Points - The pet food industry has shown sustained high growth, with a 20% revenue increase in 2024 and a 23% increase in Q1 2025, driven by strong domestic and international demand [12][14] - Export growth is expected to slow, but domestic sales are projected to accelerate due to increased consumer spending and e-commerce support [15] Subsector Analysis: Pharmaceutical Industry Key Points - The pharmaceutical sector's performance in Q1 2025 was slightly below expectations, with a 3%-4% decline in revenue primarily due to the vaccine and traditional Chinese medicine sectors [31] - Notable growth was observed in the CXO, innovative drugs, and consumer healthcare segments, with leading companies like WuXi AppTec and Innovent Biologics showing strong performance [30][33] - The medical device sector is anticipated to recover in the latter half of the year, with increased procurement indicating a rebound in hospital demand [34] Additional Insights - The overall food and beverage sector is facing pressure, with traditional industries experiencing high concentration and competition, while emerging sectors like beverages and snacks show potential for growth [17][22] - The liquor industry has seen modest growth, with high-end brands outperforming mid-range products, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [18][21] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call records, highlighting the performance and outlook of various sectors within the agriculture and food industries, as well as the pharmaceutical sector.

一、召开会议基本情况 根据《中华人民共和国证券投资基金法》（以下简称"《基金法》"）、《公开募集证券投资基金运作管 理办法》和《申万宏源红利成长灵活配置混合型集合资产管理计划资产管理合同》（以下简称"《红利 成长灵活配置混合资管合同》"）的有关规定，申万宏源红利成长灵活配置混合型集合资产管理计划 （以下简称"本集合计划"）的管理人申万宏源证券资产管理有限公司（以下简称"管理人"）决定以通讯 方式召开本集合计划的份额持有人大会，会议的具体安排如下： 1、会议召开方式：通讯方式开会。 2、会议投票表决起止时间：自2025年【5】月【15】日起，至2025年【6】月【13】日17：00止（纸质 投票表决时间以本公告列明的表决票的寄送地点收到表决票的时间为准，短信投票以短信表决通道的记 录时间为准）。 3、表决票的提交方式 （1）以邮寄方式提交表决票 纸质表决票寄送地点： 管理人：申万宏源证券资产管理有限公司 地址：北京市西城区太平桥大街19号恒奥中心B座2层 邮政编码：100033 联系人：唐玮 联系电话：010-88085035 请在信封表面注明："申万宏源红利成长灵活配置混合型集合资产管理计划份额持有人大会表决 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Market Sentiment Timing Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model is designed to quantify market sentiment using a structured approach, incorporating multiple sub-indicators to assess the overall sentiment direction [7][8] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Sub-indicators used include: industry trading volatility, industry trading congestion, price-volume consistency, Sci-Tech 50 trading proportion, industry trend, RSI, main buying force, PCR combined with VIX, and financing balance proportion [8] 2. Each sub-indicator is scored based on its sentiment direction and position within Bollinger Bands, with scores categorized as (-1, 0, 1) [8] 3. The final sentiment structure indicator is calculated as the 20-day moving average of the summed scores, oscillating around the zero axis within the range of [-6, 6] [8] - Formula: $ \text{Sentiment Indicator} = \text{20-day MA of (Sum of Sub-indicator Scores)} $ - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively captures market sentiment fluctuations, with significant sentiment recovery observed since April 2024 [8][9] 2. Model Name: Moving Average Sequence Scoring (MASS) Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model evaluates the long-term and short-term trends of indices by analyzing the relative positions of moving averages over different time horizons [20] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. For a given period \( N \) (e.g., \( N=360 \) for long-term, \( N=60 \) for short-term), calculate scores for \( N \) moving averages [20] 2. If a shorter moving average \( k \) is above the longer moving average \( k+1 \), assign a score of 1; otherwise, assign 0 [20] 3. Normalize the scores to a range of 0-100 and compute the average score for the index at a specific time point [20] 4. Calculate the 100-day and 20-day moving averages of the trend scores to generate buy/sell signals [20] - Formula: $ \text{Trend Score} = \frac{\text{Sum of Scores}}{N} \times 100 $ - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides clear signals for trend reversals, with recent results indicating a shift towards growth-oriented sectors [20][21] 3. Model Name: RSI Style Timing Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to evaluate the relative strength of different market styles (e.g., growth vs. value, small-cap vs. large-cap) [24] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the net value ratio of two style indices (e.g., growth/value) over a fixed period [24] 2. Compute the RSI using the formula: $ \text{RSI} = 100 - \frac{100}{1 + \frac{\text{Average Gain}}{\text{Average Loss}}} $ - Where "Gain" represents average positive changes, and "Loss" represents average negative changes over \( N \) days [24] 3. Compare the 20-day RSI with the 60-day RSI to determine the dominant style [24] - **Model Evaluation**: The model indicates a clear shift from large-cap value to small-cap growth styles, with strong confirmation from recent RSI trends [24][27] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Market Sentiment Timing Model - Sentiment Indicator Value: 1.5 as of May 9, 2025, indicating a positive sentiment recovery [9] 2. Moving Average Sequence Scoring (MASS) Model - Short-term signals: Positive for indices such as CSI 300, CSI A500, and ChiNext, with short-term scores ranging from 33.90 to 40.68 [36] - Long-term signals: Positive for most indices, with long-term scores exceeding 66.57 for indices like ChiNext [36] 3. RSI Style Timing Model - Growth/Value RSI: Growth-dominant with RSI values of 57.91 (short-term) and 55.24 (long-term) for the CSI Growth/Value index [27] - Small/Large Cap RSI: Small-cap dominant with RSI values of 59.84 (short-term) and 60.16 (long-term) for the Small/Large Cap index [27] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Price-Volume Consistency - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the stability of market sentiment based on the alignment of price and volume movements [8] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the correlation between price changes and trading volume over a fixed period [8] 2. Assign scores based on the strength of the correlation, with higher scores indicating stronger consistency [8] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor showed significant improvement in recent weeks, contributing to the overall sentiment recovery [11][16] 2. Factor Name: RSI - **Factor Construction Idea**: Reflects the relative strength of buying vs. selling pressure over a specific period [24] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Compute average gains and losses over \( N \) days [24] 2. Use the RSI formula to calculate the index value [24] - **Factor Evaluation**: RSI values above 50 indicate strong buying pressure, with recent results favoring growth and small-cap styles [24][27] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Price-Volume Consistency - Recent Score: Increased to 1 as of May 9, 2025, indicating improved alignment between price and volume [12] 2. RSI - Growth/Value RSI: Growth-dominant with short-term RSI of 57.91 [27] - Small/Large Cap RSI: Small-cap dominant with short-term RSI of 59.84 [27]

申万宏源证券认为，此次出台的丰富科技创新债券产品体系和完善科技创新债券配套支持机制的一系列 举措，拓宽了科技创新企业融资渠道，有利于激发科技创新动力和市场活力，助力培育新质生产力。发 行科技创新债券为公司支持科技创新、服务新质生产力提供了新的方式，通过向科技创新公司提供发展 必要的资金支持，助力科技创新公司提升市场竞争力和综合实力，推动相关科技创新领域产业加快发 展。 申万宏源证券表示，未来将继续紧跟政策动向，聚焦主责主业，发挥专业优势，切实提高科技金融服务 质效，为做好金融科技大文章、助力培育新质生产力贡献力量。 中证报中证网讯(记者林倩)近日中国人民银行、中国证监会联合发布《关于支持发行科技创新债券有关 事宜的公告》，对支持科技创新债券发行提出多项重要举措，包括支持金融机构、科技型企业、私募股 权投资机构和创业机构发行科技创新债券。同时，深交所发布《关于进一步支持发行科技创新债券服务 新质生产力的通知》，明确将进一步拓宽发行主体和募集资金使用范围，简化信息披露安排，完善配套 支持机制。中国证券报记者从申万宏源证券（000562）获悉，公司积极响应，于5月9日作为首批券商在 深交所成功簿记发行科技创新公司债 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the "export rush" effect in China is expected to continue until May, but may face uncertainties in June [1] - Leading indicators suggest that the import of processing trade, which is a precursor to the export rush, has shown a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points to 5.0% in April, indicating that the export rush will likely persist into May [1] - Observational data from mid-May shows a significant increase in booking throughput at the Port of Los Angeles and a rise in the Yiwu small commodity export price index since late April, further supporting the expectation of continued export rush in May [1] Group 2 - The report notes that the tariff suspension period for emerging economies is 90 days, and considering the one-month shipping delay for goods from these countries to the U.S., the export rush effect in June is anticipated to diminish [1]

Core Viewpoint - The total credit impairment losses for 42 A-share listed securities firms in 2024 reached 3.156 billion yuan, an increase of 15.74% compared to 2023 [1] Group 1: Credit Impairment Losses Overview - Among the 42 firms, Shenwan Hongyuan reported the highest credit impairment loss of 474 million yuan in 2024, while CITIC Securities reported the lowest at -1.114 billion yuan [1] - Huatai Securities experienced the largest increase in credit impairment losses, rising by 657 million yuan compared to 2023, while CITIC Securities saw a decrease of 749 million yuan [1] - The most significant increases in credit impairment losses, exceeding 12 times, were observed in CICC and China Galaxy [1][13] Group 2: Shenwan Hongyuan's Credit Impairment Details - Shenwan Hongyuan's 474 million yuan credit impairment loss primarily stemmed from other bond investments, with 379 million yuan attributed to bond investment impairment provisions [4] - The firm has faced ongoing high credit impairment losses, with figures from 2020 to 2024 being 798 million yuan, 522 million yuan, 1.424 billion yuan, 341 million yuan, and 474 million yuan respectively, marking a 38.85% increase in 2024 [6] - Shenwan Hongyuan's significant losses are linked to its stock pledge business, which has resulted in substantial financial losses due to poor-quality client financing [6][7] Group 3: Other Firms' Credit Impairment Losses - Tianfeng Securities reported a credit impairment loss exceeding its net profit in 2024, while Huaxi Securities and Guohai Securities had credit impairment losses exceeding 30% of their net profits [9][10] - Huaxi Securities has consistently high credit impairment losses, with figures from 2021 to 2024 being 205 million yuan, 332 million yuan, 87 million yuan, and 255 million yuan respectively [11] - China Galaxy's credit impairment losses surged by over 12 times, with losses increasing from 34 million yuan in 2023 to 441 million yuan in 2024, primarily due to increased expected credit losses in credit-related businesses [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - The report summarizes the sponsorship work of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities for Pengyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. regarding its stock issuance through a simplified procedure to specific targets, covering the period from December 2, 2022, to December 31, 2024 [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - The issuer, Pengyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd., has a registered capital of 759,812,332 yuan and is located in Yixing City, Jiangsu Province [1]. - The company’s stock code is 300664, and it was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on December 2, 2022 [1]. Group 2: Sponsorship Work Overview - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities appointed representatives Zheng Chunding and Tang Pin for continuous supervision during the stock issuance process [1]. - The sponsorship period for the stock issuance is set to end on December 31, 2024, with the company required to disclose its annual report by April 29, 2025 [1]. Group 3: Major Events During Sponsorship - The actual controller of the company, Wang Hongchun, was placed under residential surveillance due to allegations of insider trading, but this did not significantly impact the company's operations [3]. - The Jiangsu Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a warning letter to the company due to issues related to its equity incentive plan and inaccurate disclosures regarding related guarantees [3]. - The company reported a decline in net profit for 2024 compared to the previous year, prompting the sponsor to urge management to address the underlying causes [4]. Group 4: Company Compliance and Cooperation - Throughout the sponsorship period, the company complied with relevant laws and regulations, maintaining timely and accurate information disclosure [5]. - The company cooperated well with the sponsor, providing necessary documents and facilitating on-site inspections and training [5]. Group 5: Fund Management and Usage - The sponsor monitored the use of raised funds, confirming that the management and usage of these funds complied with regulatory requirements, with no violations reported [6].

Core Viewpoint - Central Huijin's direct or indirect control over listed companies forms the "national team" of China's securities industry, providing significant advantages in investment banking, asset management, and wealth management [1] Group 1: Central Huijin's Role - Central Huijin enhances resource allocation efficiency through specialized management, creating opportunities for mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage industry [1][16] Group 2: Company Profiles - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) was established on July 31, 1995, with a registered capital of 4.827 billion yuan, and is recognized as the flagship enterprise in Central Huijin's securities sector, focusing on high-net-worth client services and cross-border investment banking [3] - Shenwan Hongyuan Group was formed through the merger of the first joint-stock securities company and the first listed securities company in China, with a registered capital of 25.04 billion yuan, and has a comprehensive service model combining research, investment, and investment banking [5] - China Galaxy Securities, established on January 26, 2007, has a registered capital of 10.934 billion yuan and strong capabilities in brokerage and asset management [9] - CITIC Securities, founded on November 2, 2005, with a registered capital of 7.757 billion yuan, is a large comprehensive securities company with a wide range of services [11] - Xinda Securities, established on September 4, 2007, has a registered capital of 3.243 billion yuan and is the first securities company under an asset management company [13] - Dongxing Securities, founded on May 28, 2008, has a registered capital of 3.232 billion yuan and offers a variety of financial services [15] Group 3: Shareholding Structure - CICC's largest shareholder is Central Huijin Investment Co., holding 1.936 billion shares, accounting for 40.11% of circulating shares [3] - Shenwan Hongyuan's largest shareholder is China Jianyin Investment Co., holding 6.596 billion shares, accounting for 26.34% of circulating shares, with Central Huijin as the second-largest shareholder [5] - China Galaxy's largest shareholder is China Galaxy Financial Holdings, holding 5.187 billion shares, accounting for 47.43% of circulating shares, with Central Huijin holding approximately 48.20% control [9] - CITIC Securities' largest shareholder is Beijing Financial Holdings Group, holding 2.777 billion shares, accounting for 35.81% of circulating shares, with Central Huijin as the second-largest shareholder [11] - Xinda Securities is primarily controlled by China Cinda Asset Management, holding 2.551 billion shares, accounting for 78.67% of circulating shares [13] - Dongxing Securities is primarily controlled by China Orient Asset Management, holding 1.455 billion shares, accounting for 45.00% of circulating shares [15]

智通财经记者 | 陈靖 科创债发行主体范围扩大后，券商等积极响应。 5月8日，沪深交易所公告显示，中信证券（600030.SH）、国泰海通证券（601211.SH）、中信建投证 券（601066.SH）等12家证券公司拟发行总额超177亿元的科创债。 12家券商募集资金的主要用途为，将不低于70%资金专项用于支持科技创新领域，通过股权、债券、基 金等多元化投资形式实施。 以招商证券（600999.SH）为例，其计划募集资金50亿元，其中10亿元用于符合资本市场要求的投资； 25亿元投入科技创新类债券、ETF及公募基金的做市与风险对冲服务；剩余资金将用于科技创新类证券 承销业务。 截至发稿，沪深两市交易所拟发行科创债总额为330.65亿元，其中上交所规模为309.65亿元，深交所规 模为21亿元。多家头部券商发行量较大，其中招商证券（600999.SH）（50亿元）、中信建投（25亿 元）、国泰海通证券（20亿元）、中信证券（20亿元）、中国银河（601881.SH）（20亿元）、平安证 券（601318.SH）（10亿元）、申万宏源（000166.SZ）（10亿元）、东方证券（600958.SH）（10亿 元 ...