Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong rebound today, with all three major indices reaching new highs for the year [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.62%, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.84% and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.61% [2] - Total market turnover was approximately 1.93 trillion yuan, an increase of 201.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The infrastructure construction sector remains hot, with significant gains in engineering machinery, civil explosives, and coal mining and processing sectors [4] - Multiple stocks in the "Chinese state-owned enterprises" category saw a surge, with companies like China Energy Engineering, China Railway Industry, and China Tungsten High-Tech hitting the daily limit [4] Engineering Machinery Sector - The engineering machinery sector led the market, with several stocks hitting the daily limit, including Wuxin Tunnel Equipment, Iron Tuo Machinery, and Hengli Drilling Tools [10] - Notable performers included: - Wuxin Tunnel Equipment: +29.99%, 5-day increase of 95.18% [11] - Iron Tuo Machinery: +29.99%, 5-day increase of 68.98% [11] - Hengli Aluminum: +29.97%, 5-day increase of 67.05% [11] - The China Construction Machinery Industry Association reported that excavator sales reached 120,520 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, with exports up by 10.2% [12] - The demand for engineering machinery is expected to continue to recover, supported by positive macro policies and increased infrastructure investment [12] Coal Sector - The coal sector saw significant gains in the afternoon, with stocks like Shanxi Coking Coal, Haohua Energy, and Shanmei International hitting the daily limit [14] - Key performers included: - Shanxi Coking Coal: +10.07%, 5-day increase of 17.08% [15] - Haohua Energy: +10.06%, 5-day increase of 14.04% [15] - Shanmei International: +10.04%, 5-day increase of 13.77% [15] - The "double焦" futures contracts also surged, with coking coal futures reaching 1,048.5 yuan/ton and coke futures at 1,697 yuan/ton [16] - Expectations for supportive policies in the coal industry are increasing, which may help reverse the sector's challenges [17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the industry index rising by 1.86% and individual stocks like Tungsten High-tech and Yahua Group seeing significant gains of 10.02% and 9.99% respectively [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries, including non-ferrous metals, focusing on structural adjustments, supply optimization, and phasing out outdated production capacity [1] - The copper and aluminum sectors are highlighted for their high-quality development plans, with an emphasis on addressing the overcapacity issues in copper smelting and alumina production [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) includes 50 prominent securities, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 50.02% of the index, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum among the leaders [2]

Group 1 - The local stocks in Hainan showed strength on July 22, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech and Caesar Travel reaching their daily limit up, while Haide Co., Kangzhi Pharmaceutical, and Hainan Development also saw gains [1] - On July 21, the People's Bank of China and five other departments issued the implementation details for the cross-border asset management pilot in Hainan Free Trade Port, allowing foreign investors to invest in various financial products with an initial pilot scale cap of 10 billion [6] - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on July 23, 2025, to discuss the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port, featuring key officials from various ministries [6] Group 2 - The cross-border asset management business in Hainan Free Trade Port is expected to enrich the supply of cross-border financial products and attract asset management institutions to operate in Hainan, aiding the development of the free trade port [8] - Hainan aims to start full island closure operations by the end of 2025, positioning itself to align with international standards similar to Hong Kong, which may enhance its global trade competitiveness [7][8] - The independent nature of the offshore duty-free policy in Hainan is anticipated to remain, with expected benefits from consumption-boosting policies post-closure, including an increase in the variety and quantity of duty-free products [8]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]

Industry Overview - The tungsten market prices have continued to rise, with domestic black tungsten concentrate, APT, and tungsten iron prices reported at 179,000 yuan, 260,000 yuan, and 265,000 yuan per ton respectively, marking increases of 25%, 23.5%, and 24.4% since the beginning of the year [1] - A new round of price adjustments by institutions and tungsten enterprises has enhanced market bullish sentiment, supporting the upward trend in tungsten prices [1] - The Ministry of Natural Resources issued a total mining quota of 58,000 tons for tungsten in April, which is a reduction of 4,000 tons and 5,000 tons compared to 2024 and 2023 respectively [1] - The quality of tungsten ore in China has declined, with tungsten ore and concentrate grades decreasing from 0.42% and 66.57% in 2004 to 0.28% and 56.08% in 2020, further limiting capacity release [1] - There has been no significant increase in domestic supply in recent years, and overseas supply from Bakuta and Sandong tungsten mines may be lower than expected, reinforcing tight supply logic [1] Company Insights - Zhongtung High-tech is a leading comprehensive supplier of hard alloy tools in China, forming a complete tungsten industry chain that includes tungsten mining, smelting, hard alloys, and deep processing [3] - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry leverages its tungsten resource advantages and integrated industry chain layout, continuously enhancing its competitiveness in the high-end hard alloy products sector [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses personnel appointments and removals within five central enterprises in China [1] - Li Zheng (female) has been appointed as the Deputy Secretary and Director of China Chengtong Holdings Group Co., Ltd., while being relieved of her position as a member of the Standing Committee of China CRRC Group Co., Ltd. [2] - Zhao Xufeng has been nominated as the candidate for the position of Deputy General Manager of China International Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. [4] - Shang Yanbo has been nominated as the candidate for the position of Deputy General Manager of Minmetals Technology Group Co., Ltd. [6] - Zeng Jun has been nominated as the candidate for the position of Deputy General Manager of China Information Communication Technology Group Co., Ltd. [8]

中钨高新材料股份有限公司 关于签署募集资金四方监管协议的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、募集资金基本情况 根据中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）《关 于同意中钨高新材料股份有限公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资 金注册的批复》（证监许可〔2024〕1898 号），中钨高新材料股份有 限公司（以下简称"公司"或"中钨高新"）采取向特定对象发行的 方式向 17 名特定对象发行 189,473,684 股人民币普通股 A 股股票， 发行价格为 9.50 元/股，募集资金总额为人民币 1,799,999,998 元， 扣除发行费用（不含税）19,698,113.19 元，募集资金净额为 1,780,301,884.81 元。中审众环会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）已对 本次募集配套资金的到位情况进行了审验，并于 2025 年 3 月 25 日出 具了《验资报告》（众环验字（2025）0200006 号）。 公司前期已开立募集资金专用账户用于专项存放本次募集资金 并与独立财务顾问、募集资金专户开户行签署了《募集资金三方监管 协议》，具体 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongtung High-tech (000657.SZ) is a leading tungsten integrated giant backed by the Minmetals Group, completing a full industry chain layout from tungsten ore to powder, alloy, and tools, with global leading capacity levels [21][23]. - The company has benefited from the injection of the Shizhu Garden tungsten mine, which has filled resource gaps and contributed to non-tungsten revenue through by-products like fluorite, bismuth, and molybdenum [23]. - Revenue projections for Zhongtung High-tech are estimated at 15.6 billion, 16.5 billion, and 17.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1.08 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.32 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 24.3, 21.3, and 20.0 times [23]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The tungsten market is expected to benefit from rising tungsten prices, with the company poised to gain from the steady progress of the Shizhu Garden tungsten mine expansion project [23]. - The PCB micro-drill business is identified as a significant growth driver for deep processing revenue [23]. - The overall performance of the tungsten industry is influenced by manufacturing growth rates and supply risks, which could impact future profitability [23].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The copper market shows a steady upward trend with LME copper prices increasing by 2.26% to $9,879.00 per ton, while domestic copper prices rose by 2.47% to 79,900 yuan per ton. Supply-side pressures are evident as the processing fee for imported copper concentrate has dropped to -$44.81 per ton, indicating potential supply constraints [1][13] - The aluminum market is stabilizing at the bottom, with LME aluminum prices up by 1.31% to $2,595.00 per ton. However, the operating rate of leading aluminum cable enterprises has decreased to 61.8%, reflecting ongoing demand challenges [2][14] - Gold prices have decreased by 2.90% to $3,286.10 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical tensions and a reduction in SPDR gold holdings, indicating a temporary decline in gold's safe-haven appeal [3][15] - The rare earth sector is experiencing upward momentum, driven by export controls and stable production levels, with expectations of improved supply-demand dynamics and potential price support [3][27][30] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of Bulk and Precious Metals Market - Copper prices are on the rise, with a slight increase in inventory and a decrease in processing fees indicating potential supply issues [1][13] - Aluminum prices are stabilizing, but demand remains weak as indicated by declining operating rates in the industry [2][14] - Precious metals, particularly gold, are facing downward pressure due to geopolitical factors and reduced investment interest [3][15] 2. Updates on Bulk and Precious Metals Fundamentals 2.1 Copper - The copper market is experiencing a robust demand outlook, with potential supply constraints due to declining processing fees and reduced operating rates in key sectors [1][13] 2.2 Aluminum - The aluminum market is stabilizing, but the demand outlook remains weak, as evidenced by declining operating rates in the aluminum cable sector [2][14] 2.3 Precious Metals - Gold prices are under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and a decrease in ETF holdings, reflecting a temporary decline in its safe-haven status [3][15] 3. Updates on Minor Metals and Rare Earths - The rare earth sector is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics and stable production levels, with potential price support anticipated [3][27][30] - The antimony market is facing downward price pressure, but upcoming regulatory changes may provide a demand boost [4][31] - Molybdenum prices are stabilizing, with low inventory levels and strong demand from the steel sector indicating a positive outlook [4][32] 4. Updates on Energy Metals - Lithium prices have shown slight declines, but production levels are increasing, indicating a stable supply outlook [5] - Cobalt prices have increased, reflecting strong demand in battery applications, while nickel prices are mixed with slight fluctuations [5]