Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.09% on January 26, with 10 industries experiencing gains, led by non-ferrous metals and petroleum & petrochemicals, which rose by 4.57% and 3.18% respectively [1] - The defense and military industry and the automotive industry saw the largest declines, with drops of 4.47% and 2.31% respectively [1] - Overall, there was a net outflow of 114.32 billion yuan in the main funds across the two markets, with six industries seeing net inflows [1] Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals industry increased by 4.57%, despite a net outflow of 2.85 billion yuan in main funds [2] - Out of 138 stocks in this sector, 92 rose, with 22 hitting the daily limit, while 46 fell, including 1 hitting the lower limit [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow were Northern Rare Earth (8.12 billion yuan), Luoyang Molybdenum (5.34 billion yuan), and China Tungsten High-Tech (3.65 billion yuan) [2] Non-Ferrous Metals Fund Inflow - The top stocks by fund inflow included: - Northern Rare Earth: +2.50%, turnover rate 5.09%, main fund flow 81.18 million yuan - Luoyang Molybdenum: +8.35%, turnover rate 2.71%, main fund flow 53.39 million yuan - China Tungsten High-Tech: +10.01%, turnover rate 6.90%, main fund flow 36.52 million yuan [2] Non-Ferrous Metals Fund Outflow - The top stocks by fund outflow included: - Silver Industry: -10.03%, turnover rate 8.50%, main fund flow -1397.23 million yuan - Tongling Nonferrous Metals: -10.06%, turnover rate 10.02%, main fund flow -857.32 million yuan - Zijin Mining: -5.17%, turnover rate 3.22%, main fund flow -626.08 million yuan [3]

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交全额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2026-01-26 | 000657 | 中钨高新 | 40.50 | 20.00 | | 810.00 中国中金财富证券 | 东方证券股份有限 | | | | | | | | 有限公司长沙解放 | 公司北京安立路证 | | | | | | | | 西路证券营业部 | 券营业部 | | 2026-01-26 | 000657 | 中钨高新 | 40.50 | 30.00 | | 1,215.0 东方证券股份有限 | 东方证券股份有限 | | | | | | | | 公司北京安立路证 | 公司北京安立路证 | | | | | | | | 券营业部 | 券营业部 | 1月26日，中钨高新大宗交易成交50万股，成交额2025万元，占当日总成交额的0.42%，成交价40.5元，较市场收盘价49.47 元折价18.13%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metals sector, with the non-ferrous mining ETF (招商, 159690) experiencing a rise of 5.21% and peaking at 6.77% [1] - Major stocks within the sector, such as 白银有色, 中钨高新, and 兴业银锡, reached their daily limit up, while 湖南白银 and 中金黄金 showed notable gains [1] Group 2 - Bank of America has raised its gold price target to $6,000 per ounce, marking the most aggressive forecast among major institutions [3] - Analyst Michael Hartnett noted that historically, gold prices have increased by an average of 300% over approximately 43 months during past bull markets, suggesting a potential peak in spring 2026 [3] - The top three weighted components of the non-ferrous mining ETF are copper (31%), gold (14%), and aluminum (12%), collectively accounting for 57%, indicating a high concentration in leading resources [3] - The ETF acts as a "non-ferrous amplifier," showing significant leverage effects as its net value can increase several times compared to the underlying commodity prices during price uptrends [3] - The mining sector's long-term investment value is expected to benefit from the recovery of the global manufacturing cycle and the ongoing demand from emerging industries such as renewable energy and artificial intelligence [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights significant developments in various companies related to semiconductor, aerospace, and advanced manufacturing sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - Jianghua Microelectronics (江化微) experienced a stock surge after the announcement of its actual controller changing to the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, leading to a limit-up on January 20 [1] - Zhongtung High-tech (中钨高新) reported an increase in tungsten metal reserves by 91,700 tons, resulting in a stock price increase of over 2% after initially opening lower on January 21 [1] - Tengjing Technology (腾景科技) signed a high-end optical device sales order worth $1.28 million in the optical communication field, leading to a limit-up on January 22 [1] - Lizhong Group (立中集团) received a project notification for aluminum alloy wheels from a well-known international automotive manufacturer, with expected sales of approximately 1.37 billion yuan, resulting in a stock price increase of over 3% on January 23 [1] Group 3 - A company involved in commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics has achieved small-scale applications of some products in leading commercial aerospace companies [1] - A subsidiary of a company in the robotics and semiconductor testing equipment sector signed a sales contract worth 1.311 billion yuan for semiconductor testing equipment [1] - A company has obtained agency rights for SK Hynix and MTK, as well as distributor qualifications for AMD, with projected net profit growth of 82%-135% year-on-year by 2025 [1]

Group 1: Copper - The LME copper price increased by 0.25% to $12,840.0 per ton, while the Shanghai copper price rose by 0.57% to ¥101,300 per ton [1] - Copper concentrate processing fees fell to -$49.79 per ton, and national copper inventory increased by 2.9% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 203,000 tons [1][13] - The operating rate of copper cable enterprises increased by 2.72 percentage points to 58.71%, with a year-on-year increase of 15.87% [1][13] Group 2: Aluminum - The LME aluminum price rose by 0.29% to $3,137.5 per ton, and the Shanghai aluminum price increased by 1.53% to ¥24,300 per ton [2][14] - The operating rate of domestic aluminum processing enterprises fell by 6.3 percentage points to 51.1% due to the upcoming Spring Festival [2][14] - Electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 6,000 tons to 743,000 tons [2][14] Group 3: Gold - COMEX gold price increased by 6.88% to $4,938.4 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 4.86 tons to 1,079.66 tons [3][15] - Geopolitical risks have led to a strong fluctuation in the gold market [3][15] - The 10-year TIPS yield decreased by 0.07 percentage points to 1.95% [3][15] Group 4: Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 0.25% to ¥672,700 per ton [4][36] - December exports of rare earth permanent magnets increased by 7% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in exports [4][36] - The rare earth sector is expected to see upward price momentum due to supply constraints and favorable export conditions [4][36] Group 5: Tungsten - Tungsten prices increased by 5.54% this week, supported by tight supply conditions [4][38] - The establishment of a $2.5 billion "strategic resilience reserve" in the U.S. may elevate tungsten's priority [4][38] - The price of ammonium paratungstate rose by 6.06% to ¥790,500 per ton [4][38] Group 6: Tin - Tin prices increased by 2.19% to ¥423,700 per ton, with inventory rising by 1.79% to 9,720 tons [4][38] - Supply from Indonesia and Myanmar remains below expectations, supporting an upward price trend [4][38] - The demand outlook is positive due to recovery in semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors [4][38] Group 7: Lithium - The average price of lithium carbonate rose by 0.8% to ¥159,500 per ton, while lithium hydroxide increased by 2.0% to ¥156,900 per ton [4][63] - Lithium production decreased slightly, with total output at 22,200 tons, down by 40 tons [4][63] - The market is experiencing strong demand, with signs of pre-holiday stocking [4][63] Group 8: Cobalt - Cobalt prices decreased by 3.7% to ¥437,000 per ton, while cobalt intermediate prices increased by 1.5% to $25.75 per pound [5][65] - Supply tightness is expected to persist, with domestic prices showing upward momentum [5][65] - The market structure remains tight due to limited liquidity and long transportation cycles [5][65]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The supply-demand tension continues, with tungsten and tin prices breaking historical highs [4] - Rare earth elements are experiencing a supply tightness, leading to increased prices, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which rose by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton [12] - Molybdenum prices are expected to stabilize due to cost support and improved supply-demand dynamics, despite a recent decline [23] - Tungsten prices are at historical highs due to supply contraction and price increases in long-term contracts [30] - Tin prices are strong due to macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply disruptions, with SHFE tin rising by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton [33] - Antimony prices are fluctuating, awaiting signals for export recovery, with recent increases noted [42] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton, while dysprosium decreased by 1.39% to 1,420,000 CNY/ton [12][4] - The supply side remains tight due to policy and supply constraints, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies has shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling [4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices fell by 1.94% to 4,035 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron prices decreased by 1.90% to 258,500 CNY/ton [23] - The market sentiment is supported by a stabilization in international molybdenum oxide prices and reduced mine shipments [23] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 11.43% to 536,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices increased by 12.06% to 790,000 CNY/ton [30] - Supply is tightening due to reduced mining quotas and slower production rates, while domestic demand remains stable [30] Tin - SHFE tin prices increased by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices rose by 21.73% to 54,200 USD/ton [33] - Supply disruptions from key mining regions and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors are driving price increases [33] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices rose by 1.26% to 160,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices increased by 1.42% to 142,500 CNY/ton [42] - The supply remains tight, and demand is expected to decline as the market approaches the Lunar New Year [42]

Key Points - SpaceX's procurement orders for calibration testing products from 康斯特 from 2016 to 2024 are relatively small [1] - 法尔胜 does not engage in businesses related to "controlled nuclear fusion," "superconductors," or "commercial aerospace" [1] - 龙旗科技 plans to invest 1.5 billion yuan to build an AI + smart terminal digital benchmark factory project in Nanchang High-tech Zone [1] - 蜀道装备 has won a contract worth 6,486,000 USD for the Rumuji natural gas liquefaction facility project in Nigeria [1] - TCL科技's subsidiary intends to acquire a 10.7656% stake in Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 6.045 billion yuan [1] - 一品红 plans to repurchase shares worth between 100 million to 200 million yuan [2] - 实丰文化's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [2] - 随升科技 intends to raise no more than 470 million yuan through a private placement [1][2] - 太力科技 has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Jinan University [1][2]

Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish outlook for the metals sector, driven by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and a recovering global economy, particularly in China [3][44] - Key investment themes for 2026 include expanding demand for precious metals like gold and silver, improving fundamentals for aluminum and copper, strategic opportunities in rare earths, and supply-side disruptions due to overcapacity in certain sectors [3][4] Group 1: Precious Metals - The report suggests a long-term bullish view on gold, with expectations of price increases driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, which enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3][44] - Silver is also highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its high price ratio to gold, indicating potential for significant price appreciation [3] - Specific companies to watch include Shandong Gold (600547.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH), which are expected to benefit from increased production and operational efficiencies [4] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The report notes that aluminum and copper are set to see improved profitability due to lower production costs and increased demand, particularly in the context of infrastructure investments [3][4] - Companies such as Zhongfu Industrial (600595.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH) are identified as having strong positions in the copper market, with expected profit growth [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in copper, where inventory levels are shifting significantly [18][58] Group 3: Rare Earths and Strategic Metals - The report identifies rare earth elements as a critical area for investment, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions between the US and China, which may create opportunities for companies involved in rare earth mining and processing [3][4] - Companies like Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and China Rare Earth (000831.SZ) are highlighted for their potential to benefit from price increases in rare earth materials [4] Group 4: Energy Metals - The report discusses the rebound in lithium and nickel prices, driven by strong demand from the battery sector, with specific mention of companies like Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [4][27] - The expected growth in energy storage solutions is also noted as a significant driver for demand in these metals [4] Group 5: Overall Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is noted to have outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 96.46% in 2025 compared to a 21.65% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [33][35] - The report indicates that while the sector has seen significant gains, valuations are currently at historical averages, suggesting potential for further growth [35]

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | 2026-01-23 | 000657 | 中钨高新 | 38.26 | 10.00 | 382.60 中国中金财富证券 | 东方证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 有限公司长沙解放 | 公司北京安立路证 | | | | | | | 西路证券营业部 | 劳营业部 | | 2026-01-23 | 000657 | 中钨高新 | 38.26 | 10.00 | 382.60 东方证券股份有限 | 东方证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 公司北京安立路证 | 公司北京安立路证 | | | | | | | 券营业部 | 券营业部 | 1月23日，中钨高新大宗交易成交20万股，成交额765.2万元，占当日总成交额的0.15%，成交价38.26 元，较市场收盘价44.97元折价14.92%。 ...

两融数据显示，该股最新（1月22日）两融余额为22.40亿元，其中，融资余额为22.25亿元，近10日增加 3.66亿元，环比增长19.68%。 中钨高新股价再创历史新高，该股近期呈不断突破新高之势，近一个月累计有13个交易日股价刷新历史 纪录。截至13:59，该股目前上涨4.63%，股价报44.48元，成交9958.83万股，成交金额42.02亿元，换手 率6.85%，该股最新A股总市值达1013.52亿元，该股A股流通市值646.26亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，中钨高新所属的有色金属行业，目前整体涨幅为3.10%，行业内，目前股价 上涨的有127只，涨停的有锌业股份、豫光金铅等7只。股价下跌的有13只，跌幅居前的有铂科新材、图 南股份、龙磁科技等，跌幅分别为3.73%、3.12%、2.64%。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入127.55亿元，同比增长13.39%，实现净利润 8.46亿元，同比增长18.26%，基本每股收益为0.3821元，加权平均净资产收益率9.51%。（数据宝） （文章来源：证券时报网） ...