Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The gold market has strong performance, with prices hitting new highs, and the silver increase is greater than that of gold. The market focuses on the US government shutdown risk and Trump's tariff risk. The short - term gold price is expected to run at a high level with increased volatility [3][14]. - The treasury bond futures are in the stage of shock bottom - building. After adjustment, the bond market valuation is gradually reasonable. The bond market will gradually desensitize to negative factors and return to fundamental trading [16]. - The demand for动力煤is weak, and the price is expected to remain near the long - term agreement price. Attention should be paid to coal supply policies [4][19]. - The iron ore price is expected to continue the box - type shock, and the trend market needs to wait. Attention should be paid to the demand for finished products after the National Day and the changes in coal supply policies [22]. - The palm oil production in Malaysia is expected to decline in September, and the inventory - building pressure will slow down significantly. It is recommended to wait and see before the National Day [23][24]. - The downward space of Zhengzhou sugar is limited, and there may be a weak rebound in the fourth quarter [29]. - The external cotton market is under seasonal supply pressure, and the domestic new cotton harvest will face challenges in downstream demand. The market pressure in the fourth quarter is large [33]. - The coking coal and coke market shows different trends between spot and futures before the festival. The spot price rises due to pre - festival stockpiling, while the futures are worried about post - festival demand and show a shock trend [34]. - The supply and demand of豆粕is weak, and the future price is mainly driven by policies. Attention should be paid to the USDA quarterly inventory report, South American weather and Sino - US relations [38]. - The steel price has limited upward space and needs to pay attention to the callback risk. It is recommended to take a light - position shock approach before the festival [40][41]. - The starch price difference may be undervalued, and there may be a safety margin for widening at low prices [43]. - The medium - term view of玉米is bearish, and the 11 - contract may decline more than the 01 - contract after the National Day [44]. - The red date futures price has risen sharply, and it is recommended to operate short - term. Attention should be paid to the development of jujube fruits in the production area and downstream consumption [47]. - The lithium carbonate price may decline in the long - term under the pressure of inventory - building at the end of the year, but the decline space is limited in the peak season before the actual resumption of production [50]. - The lead price is expected to remain in shock in the short - term, and it is recommended to lay out long positions at low prices and pay attention to positive arbitrage opportunities [52]. - The zinc price decline space is limited, and it is recommended to wait and see on the single - side and pay attention to positive arbitrage opportunities [54]. - The PX price will be in shock adjustment in the short - term [56]. - The PTA price is in a shock trend, and it is recommended to adopt a band strategy [59]. - The downward space of the caustic soda futures price is limited [62]. - The paper pulp market is expected to be in a weak shock [64]. - The PVC fundamentals are weak, but the downward space is limited. Attention should be paid to domestic policy benefits [65]. - The fundamentals of苯乙烯are weak in the fourth quarter, and attention should be paid to whether the sentiment can be boosted [67]. - The soda ash price is recommended to be shorted at high prices, and attention should be paid to supply disturbances [68]. - It is recommended to pay attention to the arbitrage opportunity of going long on glass 2601 and shorting on soda ash 2601 [70]. - The container freight index fluctuates greatly before the festival, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [72][73]. Summary by Directory 1. Financial News and Comments 1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin is cautious about the prospect of interest rate cuts. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman believes that decisive action is needed to cut interest rates. The US 8 - month core PCE price index increased by 0.2% month - on - month [12][13][14]. - The gold price fluctuated and closed higher on Friday, hitting a new high. The precious metals and non - ferrous metals were strong, and silver rose more than gold. The market focuses on the US government shutdown risk and Trump's tariff risk. It is recommended to reduce positions before the holiday [14][15]. 1.2 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank carried out 165.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and 600 billion yuan of 14 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 411.5 billion yuan on the same day [16]. - Some institutions may choose to hold cash for the holiday due to concerns about the new regulations on public bond funds. However, the impact is limited. The treasury bond futures are in the stage of shock bottom - building, and it is recommended to take a shock approach in the short - term [16][17]. 2. Commodity News and Comments 2.1 Black Metal (动力煤) - Some coal mines stopped or reduced production at the end of the month, and the supply decreased slightly. The downstream only maintained rigid demand procurement, and the port coal price stagnated and declined this week [18]. - The demand is weak, and the price is expected to remain near the long - term agreement price. Attention should be paid to coal supply policies [19]. 2.2 Black Metal (Iron Ore) - The construction of the Simandou project has made breakthroughs, and the equipment production and shipment are advancing simultaneously [20]. - The iron ore price is in a shock market, and it is expected to continue the box - type shock. Attention should be paid to the demand for finished products after the National Day and the changes in coal supply policies [22]. 2.3 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - From September 1 to 25, the palm oil production in Malaysia decreased by 4.14% month - on - month [23]. - The palm oil production in Malaysia is expected to decline in September, and the inventory - building pressure will slow down significantly. It is recommended to wait and see before the National Day [23][24]. 2.4 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - As of the week of September 24, the amount of sugar waiting to be shipped at Brazilian ports was 3.1039 million tons, a decrease of 5.44% from the previous week [25]. - In the 25/26 sugar - making season, 3 sugar mills in Xinjiang have started operation. The sugar production in Xinjiang is expected to be about 700,000 tons [26]. - The market expects that the sugar production in the central and southern regions of Brazil will increase by 15% year - on - year in the first half of September. The downward space of Zhengzhou sugar is limited, and there may be a weak rebound in the fourth quarter [28][29]. 2.5 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - The CCI in India may purchase cotton without limit due to the low cotton price. The new cotton in India has been on the market, and the cotton price in the northern region has dropped by about 5 - 6% in the past two weeks [30]. - The export signing volume of US cotton decreased in the week of September 12 - 18, and the shipment volume increased. The external cotton market is under seasonal supply pressure, and the domestic new cotton harvest will face challenges in downstream demand. The market pressure in the fourth quarter is large [32][33]. 2.6 Black Metal (Coking Coal/Coke) - The price of coking coal in the Linfen Anze market remained stable. Before the festival, the coking coal market showed different trends between spot and futures. The spot price rose due to pre - festival stockpiling, while the futures were worried about post - festival demand and showed a shock trend [34]. 2.7 Agricultural Products (豆粕) - It is estimated that the soybean crushing volume in China will be 9.42 million tons in October, and the arrival volume of imported soybeans is expected to be 9.49 million tons, 8.5 million tons, and 8 million tons from October to December respectively [35][36]. - The supply and demand of豆粕is weak, and the future price is mainly driven by policies. Attention should be paid to the USDA quarterly inventory report, South American weather and Sino - US relations [38]. 2.8 Black Metal (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills increased to 2.42 million tons. The inventory of five major varieties decreased slightly this week, and the demand for building materials increased seasonally, but the demand elasticity is not optimistic. The steel price has limited upward space and needs to pay attention to the callback risk. It is recommended to take a light - position shock approach before the festival [39][40][41]. 2.9 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The theoretical profits of corn starch enterprises in Heilongjiang, Jilin, Hebei, and Shandong on September 22 were - 55 yuan/ton, - 179 yuan/ton, 7 yuan/ton, and - 82 yuan/ton respectively [42]. - The starch price difference may be undervalued, and there may be a safety margin for widening at low prices [43]. 2.10 Agricultural Products (Corn) - As of September 25, the average inventory of feed enterprises was 26.01 days, a decrease of 0.57% from the previous week [44]. - The medium - term view of玉米is bearish, and the 11 - contract may decline more than the 01 - contract after the National Day [44]. 2.11 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The price of red dates in the Guangzhou Ruyifang market fluctuated slightly. The futures price of red dates rose sharply, and it is recommended to operate short - term. Attention should be paid to the development of jujube fruits in the production area and downstream consumption [45][47]. 2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Longpan Times stopped production on September 25 and is expected to resume production in November. Salt Lake Co., Ltd.'s 40,000 - ton/year basic lithium salt integration project started trial production, and Tianqi Lithium's 30,000 - ton battery - grade lithium hydroxide project was officially put into operation [48][49][50]. - The lithium carbonate price may decline in the long - term under the pressure of inventory - building at the end of the year, but the decline space is limited in the peak season before the actual resumption of production [50]. 2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - On September 26, the LME 0 - 3 lead was at a discount of $41.63/ton. The lead price is expected to remain in shock in the short - term, and it is recommended to lay out long positions at low prices and pay attention to positive arbitrage opportunities [51][52]. 2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - On September 26, the LME 0 - 3 zinc was at a premium of $39.84/ton. The zinc price decline space is limited, and it is recommended to wait and see on the single - side and pay attention to positive arbitrage opportunities [53][54]. 2.15 Energy Chemical Industry (PX) - A refinery in the northeast plans to shut down its reforming unit for about 10 days starting from September 27. The PX price will be in shock adjustment in the short - term [55][56]. 2.16 Energy Chemical Industry (PTA) - The negotiation in the PTA spot market weakened, and the basis loosened. The PTA price is in a shock trend, and it is recommended to adopt a band strategy [57][59]. 2.17 Energy Chemical Industry (Caustic Soda) - On September 26, the price of liquid caustic soda in Shandong decreased locally. The downward space of the caustic soda futures price is limited [60][62]. 2.18 Energy Chemical Industry (Paper Pulp) - The price of imported wood pulp in the spot market was mainly stable. The paper pulp market is expected to be in a weak shock [63][64]. 2.19 Energy Chemical Industry (PVC) - The price of PVC powder in the domestic market was weakly sorted. The PVC fundamentals are weak, but the downward space is limited. Attention should be paid to domestic policy benefits [65]. 2.20 Energy Chemical Industry (Styrene) - The weekly consumption of styrene's main downstream products decreased by 4.46% from the previous week. The fundamentals of苯乙烯are weak in the fourth quarter, and attention should be paid to whether the sentiment can be boosted [66][67]. 2.21 Energy Chemical Industry (Soda Ash) - On September 26, the price of soda ash in the South China market remained stable. The soda ash price is recommended to be shorted at high prices, and attention should be paid to supply disturbances [67][68]. 2.22 Energy Chemical Industry (Float Glass) - On September 26, the price of float glass in the Shahe market increased. It is recommended to pay attention to the arbitrage opportunity of going long on glass 2601 and shorting on soda ash 2601 [69][70]. 2.23 Shipping Index (Container Freight) - The EU's shipping fuel regulations have "killed" the demand for methanol - powered ships. Before the festival, the container freight index fluctuated greatly, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [71][72][73].

每经记者｜朱成祥 每经编辑｜魏官红 丨 2025年9月29日 星期一 丨 NO.1 盐湖股份：4万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目投料试车 点评：盐湖股份4万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目投料试车，标志着中国盐湖提锂技术实现工业化突破。短 期关注产能爬坡进度及锂价反弹节奏；长期来看，盐湖股份依托资源垄断+成本优势，有望成为全球锂 盐市场定价权争夺者。不过，也需要注意水资源对盐湖提锂的限制。 NO.2 博迁新材：签订合作协议，估算销售镍粉产品43亿元至50亿元 9月28日，盐湖股份公告称，公司4万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目已基本建成，关键装置吸附提锂装置试 车产出合格液，纳滤反渗透系统完成膜安装及水联动，沉锂及公辅工程完成核心设备单机试车，正式进 入投料试车阶段并产出合格的电池级碳酸锂产品。项目投料试车将提升公司锂盐产能规模，增强市场竞 争力、盈利能力和抗风险能力。 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自 担。 NO.3 智光电气：拟购买控股子公司智光储能股权，股票停牌 9月28日，智光电气公告称，公司正在筹划以发行股份及支付现金的方式购买控股子公司智光储能的全 部或部分少数股权，同时 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement highlights the commencement of trial production for a 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project by Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co., Ltd, which is part of the company's strategic plan to expand lithium production during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1]. Group 1: Project Development - The 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project has been substantially completed, with key components such as the lithium extraction device successfully producing qualified liquid [1]. - The nanofiltration and reverse osmosis systems have completed membrane installation and water linkage, while the lithium sedimentation and auxiliary engineering have finished core equipment single-machine testing [1]. - The project has officially entered the trial production phase, yielding qualified battery-grade lithium carbonate products [1]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - The trial production of the integrated lithium salt project is expected to enhance the company's lithium salt production capacity, thereby improving market competitiveness, profitability, and risk resistance [1]. - This initiative is positioned as a core support for the high-quality development of the ecological salt lake industry and is anticipated to inject strong momentum into the sustainable development of salt lakes [1].

Core Viewpoint - Salt Lake Co. has successfully completed a new lithium salt production project, increasing its annual capacity to 80,000 tons, amidst a competitive domestic lithium salt market, while maintaining a gross profit margin of nearly 50% [1][3]. Group 1: Project Details - The newly constructed lithium salt project has a capacity of 40,000 tons per year, with the total production capacity of the company now reaching 80,000 tons per year [1][2]. - The project was initially announced in May 2022 with a total investment of 7.08 billion yuan and a construction period of 24 months, indicating a planned completion by 2024 [2][3]. - The project utilizes old brine from potassium fertilizer production as raw material, and the technology has improved lithium recovery rates by 25.63%, achieving a total recovery rate of 82.4% [3]. Group 2: Cost and Profitability - The estimated cost of lithium salt production for the new project is expected to be below 40,000 yuan per ton, with estimates around 30,000 yuan per ton [3]. - Prior to the new project, the company's existing lithium salt production cost was approximately 36,500 yuan per ton, based on last year's financial data [3]. - Despite fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices between 60,000 to 80,000 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025, the company has maintained a gross profit margin close to 50% [3]. Group 3: Future Expansion Plans - The company aims to reach a lithium salt production capacity of 200,000 tons per year by 2030, indicating a significant expansion strategy [4]. - Currently, the lithium resources in Qinghai, including major salt lakes, are primarily developed, and the company may consider mergers and acquisitions to increase production capacity [5].

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Overweight [1] Core Views - The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 17th this week, with a decline of 0.95%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.16 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 2.91 percentage points [4][22] - The chemical industry is expected to continue its trend of differentiated growth in 2025, with recommendations to focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector's performance this week was -0.95%, ranking it 17th among all sectors, while the top three performing sectors were power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and electronics [22][23] - The top three individual stocks in the chemical sector this week were Bluefeng Biochemical (61.16%), Shangwei New Materials (44.81%), and Huarsoft Technology (31.83%) [28] Key Industry Dynamics - A new plan for stable growth in the petrochemical industry was released by seven departments, aiming for an average annual growth of over 5% in value added from 2025 to 2026 [34] - The plan emphasizes the importance of technological innovation, digital empowerment, and environmental sustainability in the petrochemical sector [34] Investment Opportunities - Synthetic biology is highlighted as a key area for growth, with companies like Kasei Biotech and Huaheng Biological being recommended for investment [4][8] - The third-generation refrigerants are expected to enter a high prosperity cycle due to upcoming quota policies and stable demand growth from the air conditioning and cold chain markets [5] - The electronic specialty gases market presents significant domestic substitution opportunities, driven by rapid upgrades in the semiconductor and photovoltaic industries [6][8] - Light hydrocarbon chemicals are identified as a global trend, with a shift towards lighter raw materials expected to enhance the value of leading companies in this sector [8] - The COC polymer industry is accelerating its domestic industrialization process, with companies like AkzoNobel being recommended for attention [9] - Potash fertilizer prices are anticipated to rebound as supply tightens and demand increases due to rising agricultural planting intentions [10] - The MDI market is expected to improve due to oligopolistic supply dynamics and stable demand from polyurethane applications [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [5][6][20] Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to see stable growth due to the introduction of policies aimed at enhancing industry health and eliminating outdated capacity [5][6] - The demand for viscose filament is anticipated to tighten, leading to an upward trend in prices, while the grass herbicide market is expected to optimize its structure [5][6] - The global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand despite some slowdown due to tariff policies [5][6] Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable [5][6] - The coal market is anticipated to experience long-term price stabilization, with easing pressures on downstream sectors [5][6] - Natural gas exports from the U.S. are likely to accelerate, potentially lowering import costs [5][6] Chemical Sector Analysis - The report highlights that the viscose filament industry will see a supply-demand tightening, with a projected increase in operating rates from 84% to over 95% [5][6] - The grass herbicide market is set to address issues of low pricing and quality through upcoming industry meetings aimed at regulating competition [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [5][6] - Specific companies to watch include Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, Jilin Chemical Fiber, and Lier Chemical, which are expected to benefit from market dynamics [5][6][20] Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating various ratings such as "Buy" and "Increase" for companies like Hailir Chemical, Yunnan Chemical, and Wanhu Chemical [20]

Group 1 - *ST Tianmao's stock will be delisted on September 30, 2025 [1] - Duori Pharmaceutical is planning a change in control and will suspend trading from September 29 [2] - Zhonghuan Environmental is also planning a change in control and will suspend trading from September 29 [3] Group 2 - Yidao Information is planning to acquire Langguo Technology and become its controlling shareholder, suspending trading from September 29 [3] - Zhiguang Electric is planning to purchase minority stakes in its subsidiary Zhiguang Energy, suspending trading from September 29 [4] - Guanzhong Ecology's controlling shareholder intends to change to Deep Blue Finance Whale, with trading resuming on September 29; the company plans to acquire 51% of Hangzhou Actuary [5] Group 3 - Xindazheng intends to acquire 75.15% of Jiaxin Liheng to expand its business reach [6] - Boqian New Materials signed a strategic cooperation agreement, estimating sales of nickel powder products between 4.3 billion to 5 billion yuan [7] - Zhongxin Co. faces significant impact from the U.S. Department of Commerce's final ruling on anti-dumping investigations against thermoplastic molded fiber products from China and Vietnam [7] Group 4 - Xin Guang Optoelectronics' chairman and general manager, Kang Weimin, has been placed under detention measures [8] - Yalake Co. has commenced trial production for its 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project [9] - United Precision's two actual controllers plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [10] Group 5 - Keli'er's actual controller and chairman, Nie Pengju, plans to reduce his holdings by no more than 2% [11] - Jinhaitong's Xunuo Investment plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 3% [12] - Jingsong Intelligent's Anyuan Investment plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 2.68% [13]

关于 4 万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目投料试车的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 为落实青海盐湖工业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）"十四五"生态 盐湖产业发展规划中"扩大锂"战略部署，公司此前启动投资建设 4 万吨/年基 础锂盐一体化项目（具体详见《关于投资新建 4 万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目的 公告》，2022-038）。截至本公告披露日，该项目已基本建成，关键装置吸附提 锂装置试车产出合格液，纳滤反渗透系统完成膜安装及水联动，沉锂及公辅工程 完成核心设备单机试车，正式进入投料试车阶段并产出合格的电池级碳酸锂产品。 证券代码：000792 证券简称：盐湖股份 公告编号：2025-055 青海盐湖工业股份有限公司 青海盐湖工业股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 9 月 29 日 4 万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目投料试车，将进一步提升公司锂盐产能规模， 增强公司锂盐产品市场竞争力、盈利能力和抗风险能力，为公司生态盐湖产业高 质量发展提供核心支撑，为盐湖可持续发展注入了强劲动力。 特此公告。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Salt Lake Co., Ltd. is advancing its lithium strategy by completing a 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project, enhancing its market competitiveness and supporting sustainable development in the ecological salt lake industry [1] Group 1: Project Development - The 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project has been substantially completed, with key devices such as the lithium adsorption device successfully trialed [1] - The nanofiltration reverse osmosis system has completed membrane installation and water linkage, indicating progress in the project's operational readiness [1] - Core equipment for lithium precipitation and auxiliary engineering has undergone individual trial runs, marking the project’s transition to the material trial production phase [1] Group 2: Market Impact - The trial production of the 40,000 tons/year integrated lithium salt project is expected to significantly increase the company's lithium salt production capacity [1] - This enhancement in production capacity is anticipated to improve the company's market competitiveness, profitability, and risk resistance [1] - The project is positioned as a core support for the high-quality development of the ecological salt lake industry, injecting strong momentum into sustainable development efforts [1]

格隆汇9月28日丨盐湖股份(000792.SZ)公布，为落实青海盐湖工业股份有限公司"十四五"生态盐湖产业 发展规划中"扩大锂"战略部署，公司此前启动投资建设4万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目（具体详见《关于 投资新建4万吨/年基础锂盐一体化项目的公告》，2022-038）。截至本公告披露日，该项目已基本建 成，关键装置吸附提锂装置试车产出合格液，纳滤反渗透系统完成膜安装及水联动，沉锂及公辅工程完 成核心设备单机试车，正式进入投料试车阶段并产出合格的电池级碳酸锂产品。4万吨/年基础锂盐一体 化项目投料试车，将进一步提升公司锂盐产能规模，增强公司锂盐产品市场竞争力、盈利能力和抗风险 能力，为公司生态盐湖产业高质量发展提供核心支撑，为盐湖可持续发展注入了强劲动力。 ...