Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the lithium industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The lithium industry is expected to transition from a state of "realistic oversupply" to "future tightness," marking 2026 as a pivotal year for price recovery [19] - The financial attributes of lithium have strengthened, with market expectations likely to lead pricing ahead of fundamental improvements [20] - The absolute price heights may be difficult to replicate, but a gradual increase in the price floor is more certain [21] Summary by Sections 1. Overall Viewpoint Discussion - 2026 is anticipated to be a turning point for lithium prices, moving from a low base to a higher equilibrium due to limited supply elasticity and sustained demand growth [19] - The demand for lithium is projected to maintain a compound growth rate of over 20%, driven by the expansion of renewable energy installations and AI-related infrastructure [19] 2. 2025 Lithium Price Review - In Q1 2025, lithium prices experienced fluctuations due to supply constraints and strong demand expectations, with prices peaking at approximately 78,500 CNY/ton [22] - Q2 2025 saw a decline in prices due to a supply-demand imbalance, with prices dropping to around 60,400 CNY/ton by the end of June [29] - Q3 2025 marked a recovery in prices, driven by supply-side disruptions and seasonal demand increases, with prices reaching approximately 72,700 CNY/ton by September [36] 3. Demand Analysis - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, with energy storage becoming a core growth driver, potentially surpassing 30% of total lithium demand by 2026 [8] - The global electric vehicle market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, although at a slightly reduced pace [19] 4. Supply Analysis - Capital expenditures in the lithium sector have decreased significantly, leading to a structural delay in new project approvals and expansions [10] - The report anticipates limited new supply additions in the coming years, with a projected net increase of 448,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2026 [18] 5. Supply-Demand Balance Analysis - The report suggests that the lithium market may not require a complete supply clearing to reverse the current trends, as both supply and demand are expected to increase [38] - Inventory levels are seen as a lagging indicator rather than a decisive factor in price movements [39] 6. Investment Recommendations - Companies with expansion projects in the next three years are highlighted as potential investment opportunities, including Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, and Shengxin Lithium Energy [12] - Companies with diversified business models that can stabilize profits amid lithium price fluctuations are also recommended, such as Zhongmin Resources and Yahua Group [12]

Group 1: Major Announcements - Unisplendour plans to raise no more than 5.57 billion yuan through a private placement to acquire a 6.98% stake in New H3C and for other projects [2] - Zhongwei Semiconductor intends to establish an IPM production line project in Ziyang, Sichuan, using 1.21 billion yuan of leftover IPO funds [2] - Kaiying Network has signed a settlement agreement with Legend IP, which is expected to positively impact the company's profit by approximately 200 million yuan [2] Group 2: Project Developments - Blue Ocean Huaten plans to invest 8 million yuan in Wanren Technology to support its daily operations and AI project development [4] - Yuedian Power A has successfully put into operation the expansion project of the Huizhou Power Plant, which includes two 1000MW units [7] - Longmag Technology intends to raise up to 760 million yuan for its second phase project in Vietnam and chip inductor manufacturing [8] Group 3: Financial Performance - Top Group expects a net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.9 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 3.35% to 13.35% year-on-year due to rising raw material costs and increased market competition [20] - Jingchen Technology reported a net profit of 871 million yuan for 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year, with record high sales of over 174 million chips [21] - Guodian Xintong's net profit for 2025 is projected at 678 million yuan, a decline of 16.91% year-on-year, primarily due to increased credit impairment losses and tax expenses [22] Group 4: Shareholder Actions - Jieshun Technology's actual controller plans to reduce holdings by up to 2.8% of the company's shares [27] - Lihexing's controlling shareholder and concerted actors plan to collectively reduce their holdings by up to 1% [27] - Kory Technology's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by a total of up to 3.13% [29] Group 5: Stock Buybacks - Quzhou Dongfeng plans to repurchase shares worth between 50 million and 100 million yuan, with a maximum price of 6.48 yuan per share [30]

证券代码：000792 证券简称：盐湖股份 公告编号：2026-003 青海盐湖工业股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东签订《增资协议》转让公司部分股份 过户完成的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 青海盐湖工业股份有限公司（以下简称"盐湖股份"或"公司"）于近日收到持 有公司股份 5%以上股东中国中化集团有限公司（以下简称"中化集团"）的通知， 中化集团向中国中化股份有限公司（以下简称"中化股份"）协议转让公司部分股 份事宜已在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司办理完成过户登记手续，并取得了 《证券过户登记确认书》，现将具体情况公告如下： 一、本次协议转让的基本情况 2024 年 7 月 12 日，持有公司股份 5%以上股东中化集团与中化股份签署了 《关于中国中化股份有限公司增资协议》（以下简称《增资协议》），中化集团 以所持有的公司无限售流通股 311,220,951 股股份作价增资至中化股份，变动后 中化股份持有公司无限售流通股 311,220,951 股，占截至 2024 年 7 月 12 日公司 总股本的 5.73%。 具体内容详见公司在 ...

Group 1 - Chemical ETF rose by 2.10%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.01 percentage points [1] - PTA production cut confirmed by Xin Feng Ming, with 2.5 million tons of PTA capacity being taken offline, indicating a tightening supply which supports the recovery of PTA profit margins [1] - Gotion High-Tech signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with BASF to focus on next-generation solid-state battery technology, with expectations for small-scale production of all-solid-state batteries by CATL in 2027 [1] - Zhejiang Longsheng raised the price of disperse dyes by 2000 yuan/ton, marking a potential turning point in the industry due to supply discipline and cost anchoring [1] Group 2 - The 14th Five-Year Plan will promote carbon peak measures, with restrictions on high-energy-consuming products expected to be implemented, indicating a clearer turning point for the chemical industry [2] - The real estate sector is showing signs of stabilization, particularly in first-tier cities, which may lead to a gradual recovery in the industry, highlighting investment opportunities in the chemical real estate chain [2] - The CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) rose by 2.32%, with significant gains in stocks such as Xinzhou Bang (up 8.16%) and Tongkun Co. (up 7.82%) [2] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) accounted for 44.82% of the index, including Wanhua Chemical and Yilong Co. [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a strong performance in the chemical sector, particularly in phosphates, fluorochemicals, and chemical raw materials, with the CSI sub-industry index rising by 2.91% as of February 11, 2026 [1] - The PC market is entering a new price increase cycle driven by a tight supply-demand balance, with domestic PC industry capacity utilization reaching a critical limit of 86% and no clear new capacity expected to come online in 2026 [1] - Major production facilities are undergoing maintenance, leading to a potential supply loss of 100,000 tons in the first half of the year, while upstream bisphenol A prices have risen from 7,500 CNY/ton to 7,950 CNY/ton in January [1] - The chemical industry is characterized as a typical cyclical sector, usually experiencing a five-year cycle of "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement" [1] - The industry outlook is optimistic due to factors such as negative capital expenditure growth, anti-involution trends, overseas interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion, indicating a "dawn" phase for the chemical sector [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical index include Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Shares, and others, accounting for 44.82% of the total index [2] - The chemical ETF managed by Harvest (159129) closely tracks the CSI sub-industry chemical index, focusing on the new economic cycle under the "anti-involution" backdrop [2] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked fund (013527) to explore investment opportunities in the chemical sector [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of cyclical sectors such as petrochemicals, precious metals, and agriculture, with the Petrochemical ETF (159731) rising by 2.35% and individual stocks like Tongkun Co. and Xin Fengming increasing by 7.06% and 6.96% respectively [1] - The Petrochemical ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past four days, totaling 76.6445 million, with its latest share count reaching 1.768 billion and total assets hitting 1.805 billion, both marking all-time highs since inception [1] - Huazhang Securities notes that lithium prices are experiencing a high-level decline, while demand in the energy storage sector is exceeding expectations, leading to a recovery in the lithium battery industry and a shift in market sentiment regarding lithium demand [1] Group 2 - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) closely tracks the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, benefiting from both basic chemicals and oil & petrochemical sectors, and includes high dividend and high growth assets [2] - Key weighted stocks in the ETF include Wanhua Chemical (global MDI leader), China Petroleum (domestic oil and gas leader), China Petrochemical (domestic refining leader), and Salt Lake Potash (domestic potassium fertilizer leader) [2] - The table lists the performance and weight of key stocks within the ETF, with Wanhua Chemical showing a rise of 3.72% and holding a weight of 10.61% [4]

6 February 2026 | 8:59PM HKT Equity Research Qinghai Salt Lake Industry (000792.SZ) Accelerated growth outlook, potential first dividend in 10 years; upgrade to Buy 000792.SZ 12m Price Target: Rmb42.00 Price: Rmb32.40 Upside: 29.6% We revise up recurring earnings for QHL by 66% and 36% for 2026E and 2027E, to incorporate the recent asset injection of Yiliping lithium brine project, higher lithium price as a result of mark-to-market, and higher potash price assumptions. We also see improved clarity on QHL's ...

Core Insights - The Chinese lithium battery industry is showing strong signals of emerging from a comprehensive recession cycle, with significant growth in revenue and profit across major companies [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the total revenue from lithium battery businesses of listed companies in China reached approximately 537.995 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.95%, and a 35.16 percentage point improvement compared to the same period in 2024, which saw a decline of 20.21% [2]. - For the third quarter of 2025 (July to September), the combined operating revenue of major lithium battery listed companies was 374.252 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.62% year-on-year growth, while net profits totaled 34.397 billion yuan, up 67.18% year-on-year [2]. - The fourth quarter (October to December) is projected to see net profits for 68 lithium battery listed companies ranging from 7.568 billion yuan to 15.182 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 178.83% to 257.95% [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - In the third quarter, 26 lithium battery listed companies reported net profits exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top three being Salt Lake Industry (000792.SZ), Huayou Cobalt (603799.SH), and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [3]. - Despite 27 companies reporting losses in the fourth quarter, this number has decreased by 21 compared to the previous year, with most companies experiencing reduced losses. Notably, 17 companies achieved profit growth, accounting for 62.96% of the total [2]. - Only 15 companies reported a decline in performance in the fourth quarter, representing just 22.06% of the total [2].

Core Viewpoint - Salt Lake Co., Ltd. has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading activity, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth in its core business areas of potassium and lithium products [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of February 6, Salt Lake Co., Ltd. saw a stock price increase of 2.15%, reaching 32.78 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.628 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.96%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 173.458 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 16.41%, with a 0.00% change over the last five trading days, a 4.80% increase over the last 20 days, and a 31.59% increase over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The net inflow of main funds was 14.1555 million CNY, with large orders accounting for 25.05% of total buying and 24.50% of total selling [1]. - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard once this year, with a net purchase of 133 million CNY on January 5, contributing to a total buying of 800 million CNY, which is 15.99% of total trading volume [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Salt Lake Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 11.111 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.503 billion CNY, which is a 43.34% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes potassium products at 79.16%, lithium products at 18.32%, other products at 2.40%, and trade at 0.12% [2]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 5.45% to 190,000, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 5.76% to 27,844 shares [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed 5.306 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3].

瑞银表示，全球化工行业盈利低迷背景下，海外高成本产能加速退出。当前中国化工行业1.5倍的P/BV 估值处于过去20年43%分位，主动权益基金对化工板块的超配比例在2025年Q4触底回升，处于10年低 位。历史数据显示，当PPI同比转正时，化工板块多实现超额收益，而瑞银宏观团队预测2026年末至 2027年初PPI将重回正增长通道，行业配置价值凸显。 截至2月6日10:50，中证石化产业指数强势上涨2.18%，同标的指数规模最大的石化ETF（159731）上涨 2.02%，石化ETF近20个交易日资金净流入超14.37亿元，资金抢筹特征显著。 石化ETF（159731）及其联接基金（017855/017856）紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数，受基础化工和石油 石化双轮驱动，同时涵盖高股息和高成长资产，权重股包括万华化学（全球MDI龙头）、中国石油（国 内油气龙头）、中国石化（国内炼化龙头）、盐湖股份（国内钾肥龙头）等。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱： ...