Group 1 - The agricultural and fishery ETF (159275) showed stable performance with a price increase of 0.4% and a trading volume of 696,000 yuan, bringing the fund's total size to 207 million yuan [1] - Key performing stocks included Honghui Fruits and Vegetables, Yisheng Shares, and Zhongxing Mushroom Industry, with increases of 3.28%, 3.13%, and 1.66% respectively [1] - Conversely, stocks such as Xiaoming Shares, COFCO Technology, and Zhongshui Fishery experienced declines of 4.07%, 3.53%, and 1.8% respectively [1] Group 2 - The 14th World Pig Industry Expo will be held from October 18 to 20, 2025, in Changsha, showcasing over 800 global enterprises and focusing on new technologies in the pig farming industry [1] - New Hope Liuhe invested 20 million yuan in September to establish a biotechnology company, enhancing its feed production and aquaculture business [1] - The pig farming industry is facing supply pressure with ongoing price declines, while poultry farming is impacted by avian influenza, creating uncertainty in breeding stock [2] Group 3 - The pig industry is entering a regulatory phase, with authorities aiming to stabilize prices through capacity reduction, although short-term pressures remain due to increased market supply [2] - The animal health sector is seeing improved competition dynamics, with clinical trials for African swine fever vaccines enhancing market expectations [2] - The pet food market is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic brands gaining traction despite limited impacts from tariffs on exports [2]

Group 1 - The agricultural sector is experiencing adjustments, yet funds are increasingly investing in related ETFs, with nearly 2 billion yuan accumulated since September 29 [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting on October 21 to enhance grain yield through technology integration and support for genetically modified crops, benefiting related seed and planting companies [1] - In September, listed pig companies reported a decline in sales revenue, totaling 21.647 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.74% and a month-on-month decrease of 10.77%, primarily due to falling pig prices [2] Group 2 - The average selling price of pigs dropped over 30% year-on-year and 5.42% month-on-month, reaching the lowest level since 2022 [2] - The Ministry of Agriculture and other authorities are focusing on controlling production capacity and reducing weight, which is expected to accelerate capacity reduction in the fourth quarter [2] - The current valuation of the agricultural sector is relatively low, with the agricultural ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.54, indicating a good investment opportunity [2] Group 3 - Recent fluctuations in pork and piglet prices, along with increased slaughter rates, indicate a tightening supply in the pig farming industry [3] - The number of breeding sows is decreasing, and self-breeding operations are facing losses, leading to enhanced capacity reduction motivation [3] - In the livestock sector, beef prices are expected to rise in the medium to long term, while dairy prices remain low, and poultry prices are stable [3] Group 4 - The first agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings in leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, comprising about 40% of the index [4] - The ETF focuses on high-concentration industries, with over 90% of the top ten industries in agriculture, breeding, and feed sectors [4] - Investors can also access the agricultural ETF through linked funds for broader exposure [4]

Core Insights - The 2025 Sichuan Top 100 Enterprises list was released, showing a total of 8 companies with revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan, an increase of 3 from 2024 [1] - Tongwei Group Limited topped the list with revenues surpassing 200 billion yuan, marking its first time at the top [1] - Sichuan Energy Development Group and Qiya Group entered the 100 billion yuan revenue club for the first time [1] Company Rankings - Tongwei Group Limited: Revenue of 24,137,998 million yuan [2] - Sichuan Yibin Wuliangye Group Limited: Revenue of 19,529,677 million yuan [2] - Sichuan Changhong Electronics Holding Group Limited: Revenue of 15,267,474 million yuan [2] - Sichuan Energy Development Group Limited: Revenue of 11,745,767.72 million yuan [2] - Qiya Group Limited: Revenue of 11,035,872.53 million yuan [2] - New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd.: Revenue of 10,306,296.23 million yuan [2] - Luzhou Laojiao Group Limited: Revenue of 10,045,283.6 million yuan [2] - Sichuan Huaxi Group Limited: Revenue of 10,010,347.8 million yuan [2] Additional Rankings - Sichuan Chuanwei Group Limited: Revenue of 8,871,760 million yuan [4] - China National Petroleum Corporation Sichuan Sales Branch: Revenue of 8,830,342.77 million yuan [4] - China Wuyi Group Limited: Revenue of 8,003,938.45 million yuan [4] - Blue Run Group Limited: Revenue of 7,855,709.32 million yuan [4] - China Dongfang Electric Group Limited: Revenue of 7,555,541.23 million yuan [4]

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a slight increase of 0.28% on October 23, with Xiaoming Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3922.41, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13025.45, also up 0.22% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - Xiaoming Co. (300967) closed at 21.86, up 2.82% with a trading volume of 105,300 shares and a transaction value of 230 million [1] - Tianyu Biological (603717) closed at 9.17, up 2.12% with a trading volume of 152,700 shares and a transaction value of 140 million [1] - Other notable performers include Xiangjia Co. (002982) up 1.76%, Minhe Co. (002234) up 1.73%, and Xinwufeng (600975) up 1.57% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 25.81 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 4.57 million [2] - Major stocks like Jingji Zhino (000048) experienced a significant net outflow of 29.90 million from speculative funds [3] - Muyu Co. (002714) had a net inflow of 43.02 million from institutional investors, but also saw a net outflow of 26.25 million from speculative funds [3]

Core Viewpoint - The livestock farming ETF (516670) has seen significant inflows, with nearly 22 million yuan on a single day and a total of 210 million yuan over the past 11 days, reaching a new high of 1.063 billion yuan since its listing [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - In September, the overall sales revenue of listed pig farming companies declined, with a total revenue of 21.647 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 18.74% and a month-on-month decrease of 10.77% [3] - The decline in sales revenue is attributed to significantly lower pig prices compared to the same period last year, as well as a continuous drop in prices in September [3][4] - The total number of pigs sold by listed companies in September was 15.2934 million heads, marking a year-on-year increase of 27.11% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.92% [4] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price decline is influenced by both ample supply and weak demand, with a notable increase in the number of pigs being marketed due to the release of new production capacity from last year [4] - The number of breeding sows in September was 40.35 million heads, showing a year-on-year decrease of 280,000 heads (0.7%) and a slight month-on-month decrease of 90,000 heads (0.2%) [4] Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - Since May, the industry has been focusing on "de-involution," with multiple meetings held by the Ministry of Agriculture, the National Development and Reform Commission, and industry associations to control production capacity and reduce weight [5] - With the increasing enforcement of policies and recent pig prices entering a loss zone, it is expected that the industry's capacity reduction will accelerate in the fourth quarter, with a potential upward trend in pig prices anticipated in the second half of next year [5] - The livestock farming ETF (516670) has a management fee rate of 0.2% per year, making it the lowest among ETFs tracking the livestock farming index [5]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is experiencing a downturn, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) declining by 1.31% as of market close on October 22, 2023 [1] Industry Analysis - The pig farming industry is facing significant capacity pressure, leading to widespread losses. Current prices for fat and piglets have dropped to yearly lows, suggesting a potential further decline in prices. Historical trends indicate that when both prices are low, the industry may initiate market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases for pigs [3] - Despite the current challenges, there is an expectation of increased pig supply in the fourth quarter due to rising slaughter volumes and accelerated weight gain as temperatures drop. This has led to a stronger demand for meat, with pig prices stabilizing at psychological levels, easing the pressure on the breeding sector [3] - The valuation of the agricultural sector remains relatively low, presenting a favorable investment opportunity. As of October 22, 2023, the agricultural ETF's index price-to-book ratio stands at 2.57, placing it in the 29.3 percentile over the past decade, highlighting its mid- to long-term investment value [3] Investment Direction - Analysts are optimistic about the pig farming sector due to policy and market forces driving capacity reduction, which is expected to enhance long-term performance [4] - The agricultural sector plays a crucial role in food security, economic development, ecological balance, and social welfare. The traditional farming industry is undergoing significant supply-side reforms, which are likely to benefit large-scale farming enterprises. The domestic market concentration is increasing, and companies that have expanded into overseas markets are expected to gain a competitive edge [5] - The current upward trend in grain prices and favorable conditions in the planting and seed sectors indicate significant investment opportunities in these areas [6] ETF Overview - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings including leading companies in livestock, feed, and planting sectors. The top ten holdings account for over 90% of the index, focusing on agricultural breeding, feed, and planting industries [6]

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a decline of 1.22% on October 22, with Shengnong Development leading the drop [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - The following companies showed notable performance: - Pangming Co., Ltd. (300967) closed at 21.26, up 1.67% with a trading volume of 55,600 shares and a transaction value of 117 million [1] - Shengnong Development (002299) closed at 16.16, down 4.15% with a trading volume of 276,600 shares and a transaction value of 449 million [2] - Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) closed at 18.09, down 1.15% with a trading volume of 410,500 shares and a transaction value of 750 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net outflow of 388 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 211 million [2] - Notable capital flows included: - Pangming Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 6.53 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 7.21 million [3] - Wens Foodstuff Group experienced a net outflow of 2.93 million from institutional investors, with a significant net inflow of 20.58 million from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [5] Core Insights - In September 2025, the total number of pigs slaughtered by listed companies reached 15.2934 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.11% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.92% [10][11] - The significant year-on-year growth in slaughter volume is attributed to the release of new production capacity in 2024, while the month-on-month decline is due to leading companies like Muyuan and others responding to policy calls by slaughtering heavier pigs earlier [10][11] - The average selling price of pigs in September 2025 decreased by 5.42% month-on-month and 30.18% year-on-year, with the current prices being the lowest for the peak season since 2022 [19][20] - The cumulative revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 for listed pig companies was 222.871 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.15% despite the decline in average selling prices [11][12] Summary by Sections Slaughter Volume - In September 2025, listed pig companies reported a slaughter volume of 15.2934 million pigs, with leading companies like Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope slaughtering 5.573 million, 3.3253 million, and 1.3942 million pigs respectively [10][11] - The cumulative slaughter volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was 139 million pigs, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.39% [10][11] Revenue and Pricing - The revenue for September 2025 was 21.647 billion, down 18.74% year-on-year and 10.77% month-on-month, primarily due to lower selling prices [11][12] - The average selling price for pigs in September was 13.26 yuan per kilogram, which is significantly lower than the previous year [19][20] Weight and Performance - The average weight of pigs slaughtered in September was 106.74 kg, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.44% but a month-on-month decrease of 0.39% [20] - Leading companies reported average weights of 126.30 kg, 113.51 kg, and 97.16 kg for Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope respectively [20]

Core Viewpoint - The controlling shareholder of New Hope Dairy, Universal Dairy Limited (UDL), did not execute its planned share reduction within the specified timeframe, maintaining its shareholding status in the company [2][4]. Shareholder Reduction Situation - UDL had announced a plan to reduce its holdings by up to 25,820,305 shares, representing 3% of the total share capital, from July 21, 2025, to October 20, 2025 [1]. - As of October 20, 2025, UDL did not reduce any shares, and its shareholding remained unchanged [2]. Compliance with Regulations - The reduction plan adhered to relevant laws and regulations, including the Securities Law of the People's Republic of China and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's rules [3]. - UDL has complied with its commitments made during the initial public offering, indicating a preference to continue holding shares unless specific financial needs arise [4]. Additional Notes - UDL has not violated any commitments regarding share reduction and has not triggered any conditions that would require an extension of the lock-up period or necessitate an increase in shareholding [5].

Market Overview - The aquaculture sector increased by 0.28% on October 21, with Tianbang Food leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.33, up 1.36%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13077.32, up 2.06% [1] Stock Performance - Tianbang Food (002124) closed at 2.93, up 3.90% with a trading volume of 849,200 shares and a transaction value of 247 million [1] - Minhe Livestock (002234) closed at 69.8, up 2.24% with a trading volume of 49,700 shares and a transaction value of 42.8 million [1] - Xiaoming Co. (300967) closed at 20.91, up 2.00% with a trading volume of 48,100 shares and a transaction value of 99.9 million [1] - Shengnong Development (002299) closed at 16.86, up 2.00% with a trading volume of 118,600 shares and a transaction value of 28.67 million [1] - Tianyu Bio (603717) closed at 8.93, up 1.94% with a trading volume of 81,500 shares and a transaction value of 72.32 million [1] Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector experienced a net outflow of 44.44 million from institutional investors and 35.77 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 80.22 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows Shengnong Development (002299) with a net inflow of 22.98 million from institutional investors [3] - Institutional investors also showed a net inflow of 18.73 million for Zhengbang Technology (002157) [3] - Tianbang Food (002124) had a net inflow of 16.94 million from institutional investors [3]